Washington at Oregon State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Washington Huskies at Oregon State Beavers

Saturday, October 2nd 2021 (9:00 PM EDT)
Oregon State -2.5 (57.5)
Oregon State 27 - Washington: 24 (Pac-12)

Huskies (4 - 8) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jimmy Lake (4 - 3)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (30 - 19 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ORST is playing their 5th straight game
WASH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ ORST -10)
Projected Score: WASH: 30 - ORST: 19 (49)
ORST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
WASH Travel: 219 miles

Beavers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (22 - 25 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WASH Players
ORST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Washington's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Washington vs Montana	-22.5	54.0	L 7 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/11	Washington at Michigan	+6.5	47.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/18	Washington vs Arkansas State	-17.5	58.5	W 52 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Washington vs California	-7.5	47.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/2	Washington at Oregon State	+2.5	57.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Washington vs UCLA	-1.5	55.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/22	Washington at Arizona	-17.5	45.5	W 21 - 16	U	N
Sat 10/30	Washington at Stanford	+2.5	45.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Washington vs Oregon	+7.0	48.0	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/13	Washington vs Arizona State	+6.0	45.5	L 30 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Washington at Colorado	-6.5	43.0	L 17 - 20	U	N
Fri 11/26	Washington vs Washington State	-1.0	45.0	L 13 - 40	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington's Schedule

Oregon State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Oregon State at Purdue	+7.0	67.0	L 21 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/11	Oregon State vs Hawai'i	-11.0	65.0	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Oregon State vs Idaho	-28.0	63.5	W 42 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Oregon State at USC	+11.0	62.5	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Oregon State vs Washington	-2.5	57.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Oregon State at Washington State	-4.0	59.0	L 24 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Oregon State vs Utah	+3.0	57.5	W 42 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Oregon State at California	-2.5	56.5	L 25 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/6	Oregon State at Colorado	-11.5	55.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/13	Oregon State vs Stanford	-12.5	56.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Oregon State vs Arizona State	+2.5	59.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Oregon State at Oregon	+7.5	61.5	L 29 - 38	O	N
Sat 12/18	Oregon State vs Utah State	-7.0	68.0	L 13 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WASH	.26	46%	34.1	47%	2.8	176	45%	227	3.78	.13	47%	18.7	52%	40%	4.33	40.5	0.8	2
ORST	.23	47%	17.6	55%	3.33	198	38%	211	4.26	.28	49%	29.4	50%	47%	3.9	55.3	1.1	0.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WASH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WASH Offense	4	34.1	29.6	46.1%	3.78	0.8	22	403	176	227	4.5	58%	42%	47%	45%	10%	.26
ORST Defense	7	29.4	25.3	48.8%	3.9	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	50%	47%	13%	.28

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WASH Defense	4	18.7	19	46.8%	4.33	2	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	52%	40%	14%	.13
ORST Offense	7	17.6	21.7	46.6%	4.26	1.1	22	409	198	211	5.4	51%	49%	55%	38%	14%	.23

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Washington	4	31:38	21.8	48%	83%	5.3	40.5	0.8	2	4.5	2.5	0	32
Oregon State	7	27:57	22.1	40%	63%	6.1	55.3	1.1	0.7	3.9	1	1	32.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WASH Offense	4	58%	47%	39	176.3	4.5	11	.16	2.8	83%	4%	0.91
ORST Defense	7	57%	50%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.06	72%	7%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WASH Defense	4	55%	52%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.57	71%	9%	0.78
ORST Offense	7	51%	55%	36.9	197.6	5.4	15	.29	3.33	80%	8%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WASH Offense	4	42%	45%	17	27.8	226.5	8.2	13.3	4	3	.41	1.7	30%	40%	.48	6%	1.8
ORST Defense	7	43%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.32	1.4	25%	37%	.48	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WASH Defense	4	45%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.12	1.3	28%	26%	.1	5%	2
ORST Offense	7	49%	38%	19.1	33.3	211.3	6.4	11	11	5	.17	1.4	29%	25%	.16	7%	1.7

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: NR
Washington's Offense Rating: NR
Washington's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Washington's 2021 Expected Record: -
Washington's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #83
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #102
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #45

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington: Oregon State: 6.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington: -0.7 Oregon State: 8.9

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 6.95 NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9 #44
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #16
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #87

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Washington Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.6
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 19

Washington's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Washington 30
Oregon State 19

Projected Total Points: 49

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Oregon State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/18	Oregon State	20	Washington	22	Oregon State -1.5	Washington	62.5	Under
2022	11/04	Washington	24	Oregon State	21	Washington -4.5	Oregon State	53.5	Under
2021	10/02	Oregon State	27	Washington	24	Oregon State -2.5	Oregon State	57.5	Under
2020	11/14	Washington	27	Oregon State	21	Washington -13.5	Oregon State	51.0	Under
2019	11/08	Oregon State	7	Washington	19	Washington -10.5	Washington	65.0	Under
2018	11/17	Washington	42	Oregon State	23	Washington -32.5	Oregon State	57.5	Over
2017	09/30	Oregon State	7	Washington	42	Washington -27.5	Washington	59.5	Under
2016	10/22	Washington	41	Oregon State	17	Washington -31.5	Oregon State	53.0	Over
2015	11/21	Oregon State	7	Washington	52	Washington -16	Washington	48.0	Over
2014	11/22	Washington	37	Oregon State	13	Washington -4	Washington	0
2013	11/23	Oregon State	27	Washington	69	Washington -1.5	Washington	0
2012	10/27	Washington	20	Oregon State	17
2011	11/19	Oregon State	38	Washington	21
2010	10/16	Washington	35	Oregon State	34
2009	11/14	Oregon State	48	Washington	21
2008	10/18	Washington	13	Oregon State	34
2007	11/10	Oregon State	29	Washington	23
2006	10/14	Washington	17	Oregon State	27
2005	11/05	Washington	10	Oregon State	18
2004	10/16	Washington	14	Oregon State	29
2003	10/18	Oregon State	17	Washington	38
2002	11/09	Washington	41	Oregon State	29
2001	11/10	Oregon State	49	Washington	24
2000	10/06	Washington	33	Oregon State	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon State	9	5	3 Overs
Washington	15	6	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 10	2 - 9	2 - 5	0 - 4
Road Teams	10 - 14	9 - 2	4 - 0	5 - 2

(#) WASH at (#) ORST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WASH	ORST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#83	#44
Perf GradeGrade	#80	#37
OffenseOff	#101	#12
DefenseDef	#44	#93
Spec TeamsST	#27	#121
TalentTal	#18	#48
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Washington Injury Report

Oregon State Injury Report

Washington on Offense


CategoryCat	WASH Off	ORST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#101	#93
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#102	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Washington Run Game


CategoryCat	WASH Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	#124	#90
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#53	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#119

Washington Pass Game


CategoryCat	WASH Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	#98	#71
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#93	#103
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oregon State on Offense


CategoryCat	ORST Off	WASH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#12	#44
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#16	#45
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon State Run Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	WASH Def
Run GameRun	#37	#107
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#6	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#70

Oregon State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	WASH Def
Pass GamePass	#42	#2
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#107	#70
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

WASH 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Oregon State -2.5 (57.5)
Oregon State won vs Washington this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat Oregon State in 2023 (22-20)

WASH's OC John Donovan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC Ikaika Malloe (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ORST's OC Brian Lindgren (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Tim Tibesar (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD