Oregon State at USC - 2021 Matchup Preview
Oregon State logo   Oregon State Beavers at USC Trojans  USC logo
Saturday, September 25th 2021 (10:30 PM EDT)
USC -11 (62.5)
Oregon State 45 - USC: 27  (Pac-12)

 
Beavers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (12 - 35 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USC is playing their 4th straight game
ORST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ ORST -9.5)
Projected Score: ORST: 17 - USC: 36 (53)
USC Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
ORST Travel: 776 miles
Trojans (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Donte Williams (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (43 - 18 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oregon State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Oregon State at Purdue+7.067.0L 21 - 30UN
Sat 9/11 Oregon State vs Hawai'i-11.065.0W 45 - 27OY
Sat 9/18 Oregon State vs Idaho-28.063.5W 42 - 0UY
Sat 9/25 Oregon State at USC+11.062.5W 45 - 27OY
Sat 10/2 Oregon State vs Washington-2.557.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 10/9 Oregon State at Washington State-4.059.0L 24 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Oregon State vs Utah+3.057.5W 42 - 34OY
Sat 10/30 Oregon State at California-2.556.5L 25 - 39ON
Sat 11/6 Oregon State at Colorado-11.555.5L 34 - 37ON
Sat 11/13 Oregon State vs Stanford-12.556.5W 35 - 14UY
Sat 11/20 Oregon State vs Arizona State+2.559.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/27 Oregon State at Oregon+7.561.5L 29 - 38ON
Sat 12/18 Oregon State vs Utah State-7.068.0L 13 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
USC's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 USC vs San José State-13.561.0W 30 - 7UY
Sat 9/11 USC vs Stanford-17.053.0L 28 - 42ON
Sat 9/18 USC at Washington State-7.061.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 9/25 USC vs Oregon State-11.062.5L 27 - 45ON
Sat 10/2 USC at Colorado-9.050.5W 37 - 14OY
Sat 10/9 USC vs Utah-3.052.5L 26 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 USC at Notre Dame+8.059.5L 16 - 31UN
Sat 10/30 USC vs Arizona-22.055.5W 41 - 34ON
Sat 11/6 USC at Arizona State+10.061.0L 16 - 31UN
Sat 11/13 USC at California-2.052.5
Sat 11/20 USC vs UCLA+4.566.5L 33 - 62ON
Sat 11/27 USC vs BYU+8.565.5L 31 - 35OY
Sat 12/4 USC at California+4.557.5L 14 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST.2347%17.655%3.3319838%2114.26.2849%29.450%47%3.955.31.10.7
USC.1846%35.844%2.419747%3193.92.1841%2340%41%3.7971.81.82.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Offense717.611.846.6%4.261.1224091982115.451%49%55%38%14%.23
USC Defense62317.940.8%3.792.5 - - - - - 52%48%40%41%17%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Defense729.435.248.8%3.90.7 - - - - - 57%43%50%47%13%.28
USC Offense635.84346.2%3.921.822417973193.239%61%44%47%17%.18

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon State727:5722.140%63%6.155.31.10.73.91132.4
USC630:1422.344%67%6.771.81.82.55.72.2035.4
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Offense751%55%36.9197.65.415.293.3380%8%0.97
USC Defense652%40% - - - - .12.9157%11%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Defense757%50% - - - - .243.0672%7%1.01
USC Offense639%44%30.797.33.28-.142.4161%10%0.64

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Offense749%38%19.133.3211.36.411115.171.429%25%.167%1.7
USC Defense648%41% - - - - - - 9.261.632%28%.366%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Defense743%47% - - - - - - 5.321.425%37%.486%2
USC Offense661%47%29.743.8319.37.310.8177.381.530%35%.367%2

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oregon State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9  #44
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.9  #16
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5  #87

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State:    USC: 2.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 8.9   USC: -0.6




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 2.2 NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
USC's 2021 Expected Record: -
USC's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6  #81
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #45
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4  #107

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.8
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Oregon State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
USC 36
Oregon State 17

Projected Total Points: 53
USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

USC's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/24Oregon State14USC17USC -5.5Oregon State70.5Under
202109/25USC27Oregon State45USC -11Oregon State62.5Over
201811/03Oregon State21USC38USC -15USC64.5Under
201710/07USC38Oregon State10USC -33Oregon State57.0Under
201409/27USC35Oregon State10USC -13USC0
201311/01Oregon State14USC31Oregon State -2USC0
201011/20Oregon State36USC7
200910/24USC42Oregon State36
200809/25Oregon State27USC21
200711/03USC24Oregon State3
200610/28Oregon State33USC31
200411/06Oregon State20USC28
200312/06USC52Oregon State28
200209/28USC22Oregon State0
200111/03USC16Oregon State13
200009/29Oregon State31USC21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC1131 Overs
Oregon State533 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 52 - 41 - 31 - 1
Road Teams5 - 114 - 21 - 13 - 1

(#) ORST at (#) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatORSTUSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #81
Perf GradeGrade #37 #41
OffenseOff #12 #23
DefenseDef #93 #104
Spec TeamsST #121 #92
TalentTal #48 #10
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Oregon State on Offense
CategoryCat
ORST OffUSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #12 #104
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #16 #107
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon State Run Game
CategoryCat
ORST OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #37 #93
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #6 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #130
Oregon State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ORST OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #42 #118
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #107 #66
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCatUSC OffORST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #23 #93
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #45 #87
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffORST Def
Run GameRun #43 #90
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #13 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #119
USC Pass Game
CategoryCatUSC OffORST Def
Pass GamePass #49 #71
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #8 #103
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5

ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
USC -11.0 (62.5)
Oregon State won at USC this year (45-27)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ORST's OC Brian Lindgren (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Tim Tibesar (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USC's OC Graham Harrell (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Todd Orlando (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD