Oregon State at Colorado - 2021 Matchup Preview

Oregon State Beavers at Colorado Buffaloes

Saturday, November 6th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Oregon State -11.5 (55.5)
Colorado 37 - Oregon State: 34 (Pac-12)

Beavers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (12 - 35 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ORST 2nd straight Road Game
COLO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -7 (SP+ ORST -19)
Projected Score: ORST: 22 - COLO: 27 (49)
ORST Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
ORST Travel: 971 miles, 1 hrs behind

Buffaloes (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Karl Dorrell (5 - 4)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (24 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ORST Players
COLO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oregon State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Oregon State at Purdue	+7.0	67.0	L 21 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/11	Oregon State vs Hawai'i	-11.0	65.0	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Oregon State vs Idaho	-28.0	63.5	W 42 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Oregon State at USC	+11.0	62.5	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Oregon State vs Washington	-2.5	57.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Oregon State at Washington State	-4.0	59.0	L 24 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Oregon State vs Utah	+3.0	57.5	W 42 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Oregon State at California	-2.5	56.5	L 25 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/6	Oregon State at Colorado	-11.5	55.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/13	Oregon State vs Stanford	-12.5	56.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Oregon State vs Arizona State	+2.5	59.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Oregon State at Oregon	+7.5	61.5	L 29 - 38	O	N
Sat 12/18	Oregon State vs Utah State	-7.0	68.0	L 13 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule

Colorado's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Colorado vs Northern Colorado	-37.5	56.5	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/11	Colorado vs Texas A&M	+17.5	51.0	L 7 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Colorado vs Minnesota	-2.5	49.0	L 0 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/25	Colorado at Arizona State	+13.5	45.5	L 13 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/2	Colorado vs USC	+9.0	50.5	L 14 - 37	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Colorado vs Arizona	-6.0	46.5	W 34 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Colorado at California	+8.0	44.0	L 3 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/30	Colorado at Oregon	+24.5	49.0	L 29 - 52	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Colorado vs Oregon State	+11.5	55.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Colorado at UCLA	+18.0	57.5	L 20 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/20	Colorado vs Washington	+6.5	43.0	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/26	Colorado at Utah	+24.0	52.5	L 13 - 28	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST	.23	47%	17.6	55%	3.33	198	38%	211	4.26	.28	49%	29.4	50%	47%	3.9	55.3	1.1	0.7
COLO	.1	38%	20.9	41%	2.58	212	34%	202	3.1	.13	36%	30.5	34%	37%	3.15	56.3	1.8	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Offense	7	17.6	11.8	46.6%	4.26	1.1	22	409	198	211	5.4	51%	49%	55%	38%	14%	.23
COLO Defense	6	30.5	27	35.8%	3.15	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	57%	34%	37%	22%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Defense	7	29.4	35.2	48.8%	3.9	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	50%	47%	13%	.28
COLO Offense	6	20.9	23.9	38.5%	3.1	1.8	20	414	212	202	4.6	60%	40%	41%	34%	15%	.1

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oregon State	7	27:57	22.1	40%	63%	6.1	55.3	1.1	0.7	3.9	1	1	32.4
Colorado	6	31:33	20	43%	43%	5.7	56.3	1.8	1.2	8.2	2.5	1	27.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Offense	7	51%	55%	36.9	197.6	5.4	15	.29	3.33	80%	8%	0.97
COLO Defense	6	43%	34%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.46	67%	14%	1.41

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Defense	7	57%	50%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.06	72%	7%	1.01
COLO Offense	6	60%	41%	46	212.3	4.6	15	.05	2.58	65%	10%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Offense	7	49%	38%	19.1	33.3	211.3	6.4	11	11	5	.17	1.4	29%	25%	.16	7%	1.7
COLO Defense	6	57%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.16	1.6	38%	32%	.39	8%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Defense	7	43%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.32	1.4	25%	37%	.48	6%	2
COLO Offense	6	40%	34%	16.3	29.7	201.5	6.8	12.3	6	7	.18	1.9	34%	31%	.29	6%	2.1

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oregon State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9 #44
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #16
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #87

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: Colorado: -2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 8.9 Colorado: -10.0

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -2.5 NR
Colorado's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Colorado's 2021 Expected Record: -
Colorado's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.0 #105
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #121
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #94

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.8
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Oregon State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Colorado 27
Oregon State 22

Projected Total Points: 49

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Colorado's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/04	Colorado	19	Oregon State	26	Oregon State -13.0	Colorado	60.5	Under
2022	10/22	Oregon State	42	Colorado	9	Oregon State -23	Oregon State	47.5	Over
2021	11/06	Colorado	37	Oregon State	34	Oregon State -11.5	Colorado	55.5	Over
2018	10/27	Colorado	34	Oregon State	41	Colorado -26.5	Oregon State	59.5	Over
2017	10/14	Oregon State	33	Colorado	36	Colorado -9.5	Oregon State	56.0	Over
2016	10/01	Colorado	47	Oregon State	6	Colorado -16	Colorado	56.0	Under
2015	10/24	Oregon State	13	Colorado	17	Oregon State -3.5	Colorado	59.0	Under
2014	10/04	Colorado	31	Oregon State	36	Oregon State -7.5	Colorado	0
2013	09/28	Oregon State	44	Colorado	17	Oregon State -11	Oregon State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado	4	5	4 Overs
Oregon State	5	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 5	7 - 2	3 - 2	4 - 0
Road Teams	5 - 4	2 - 7	0 - 4	2 - 3

(#) ORST at (#) COLO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ORST	COLO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#44	#105
Perf GradeGrade	#37	#120
OffenseOff	#12	#119
DefenseDef	#93	#119
Spec TeamsST	#121	#7
TalentTal	#48	#47
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Oregon State Injury Report

Colorado Injury Report

Oregon State on Offense


CategoryCat	ORST Off	COLO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#12	#119
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#16	#94
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon State Run Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	#37	#118
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#6	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#99

Oregon State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	#42	#108
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#107	#129
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Colorado on Offense


CategoryCat	COLO Off	ORST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#119	#93
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#121	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado Run Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	#81	#90
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#97	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#119

Colorado Pass Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	#100	#71
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#124	#103
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Oregon State 11.5 (55.5)
Colorado won vs Oregon State this year (37-34)

Previous Matchups
Oregon State beat Colorado in 2023 (26-19)

ORST's OC Brian Lindgren (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Tim Tibesar (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

COLO's OC Darrin Chiaverini (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Chris Wilson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD