Iowa at Northwestern - 2021 Matchup Preview

Iowa Hawkeyes at Northwestern Wildcats

Saturday, November 6th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Iowa -11.5 (40.5)
Iowa 17 - Northwestern: 12 (Big Ten)

Hawkeyes (10 - 4) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (171 - 106)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (30 - 17 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

IOWA 2nd straight Road Game
NW 2nd straight Home Game
NW is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -9 (SP+ IOWA -22.5)
Projected Score: IOWA: 23 - NW: 21 (44)
IOWA Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
IOWA Travel: 201 miles

Wildcats (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Pat Fitzgerald (107 - 83)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (27 - 12 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
IOWA Players
NW Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa's 2021 Schedule

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Iowa vs Indiana	-3.5W34–6	45.5	W34–6	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Iowa at Iowa State	+4.0W27–17	45.0	W27–17	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Iowa vs Kent State	-22.0W30–7	55.5	W30–7	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Iowa vs Colorado State	-24.0W24–14	43.5	W24–14	U	N
Fri 10/1	Iowa at Maryland	-3.0W51–14	47.5	W51–14	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Iowa vs Penn State	-2.5W23–20	41.0	W23–20	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Iowa vs Purdue	-11.0L7–24	42.5	L7–24	U	N
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/30	Iowa at Wisconsin	+3.0L7–27	35.5	L7–27	U	N
Sat 11/6	Iowa at Northwestern	-11.5W17–12	40.5	W17–12	U	N
Sat 11/13	Iowa vs Minnesota	-4.0W27–22	37.5	W27–22	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Iowa vs Illinois	-12.0W33–23	37.5	W33–23	O	N
Fri 11/26	Iowa at Nebraska	+1.5W28–21	41.0	W28–21	O	Y
Sat 12/4	Iowa vs Michigan	+12.0L3–42	43.5	L3–42	O	N
Sat 1/1	Iowa vs Kentucky	+3.0L17–20	43.5	L17–20	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule

Northwestern's 2021 Schedule

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Northwestern vs Michigan State	-3.0L21–38	45.5	L21–38	O	N
Sat 9/11	Northwestern vs Indiana State	-28.5W24–6	46.0	W24–6	U	N
Sat 9/18	Northwestern at Duke	-2.5L23–30	50.0	L23–30	O	N
Sat 9/25	Northwestern vs Ohio	-13.5W35–6	47.5	W35–6	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Northwestern at Nebraska	+11.0L7–56	51.5	L7–56	O	N
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/16	Northwestern vs Rutgers	+2.5W21–7	45.0	W21–7	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Northwestern at Michigan	+23.5L7–33	51.5	L7–33	U	N
Sat 10/30	Northwestern vs Minnesota	+7.5L14–41	43.5	L14–41	O	N
Sat 11/6	Northwestern vs Iowa	+11.5L12–17	40.5	L12–17	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Northwestern at Wisconsin	+26.0L7–35	41.5	L7–35	O	N
Sat 11/20	Northwestern vs Purdue	+11.0L14–32	47.5	L14–32	U	N
Sat 11/27	Northwestern at Illinois	+7.0L14–47	45.0	L14–47	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IOWA	.16	45%	29.3	48%	2.83	171	43%	198	3.95	.02	38%	16.1	39%	38%	3.17	39.6	1.1	2.3
NW	.11	40%	23.4	35%	2.43	164	45%	199	3.93	.03	38%	19.8	45%	33%	2.06	40.4	1.6	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IOWA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NW		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IOWA Offense	8	29.3	29.8	45.4%	3.95	1.1	20	369	171	198	4.6	52%	48%	48%	43%	14%	.16
NW Defense	9	19.8	12.4	38.2%	2.06	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	45%	33%	20%	.03

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IOWA Defense	8	16.1	17.2	38.3%	3.17	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	39%	38%	17%	.02
NW Offense	9	23.4	26.8	39.6%	3.93	1.6	20	363	164	199	3.8	55%	45%	35%	45%	16%	.11

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa	8	29:15	19.9	34%	67%	4.8	39.6	1.1	2.3	6.4	2.8	3	32.9
Northwestern	9	31:18	20.3	40%	69%	5	40.4	1.6	2.1	6.1	1.6	0	30.3

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IOWA Offense	8	52%	48%	37	171.1	4.6	18	.14	2.83	84%	9%	0.9
NW Defense	9	45%	45%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.96	62%	11%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IOWA Defense	8	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.52	59%	11%	0.8
NW Offense	9	55%	35%	43.4	164	3.8	16	-.05	2.43	58%	11%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IOWA Offense	8	48%	43%	17.6	31	197.6	6.4	11.2	9	5	.19	1.2	31%	27%	.22	4%	1.8
NW Defense	9	55%	33%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	-.04	1.4	34%	28%	.18	9%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IOWA Defense	8	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.08	1.5	31%	30%	.15	6%	1.8
NW Offense	9	45%	45%	19.2	31.4	198.9	6.3	10.4	12	8	.32	1.5	30%	34%	.41	5%	2

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: NR
Iowa's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Iowa's 2021 Expected Record: -
Iowa's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #27
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #94
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa: Northwestern: -3.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 11.4 Northwestern: -11.1

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -3.05 NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northwestern's 2021 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #107
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4 #119
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.2

Iowa's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa 23
Northwestern 21

Projected Total Points: 44

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.4

Northwestern's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/26	Iowa	40	Northwestern	14	Iowa -16.5	Iowa	38.5	Over
2023	11/04	Northwestern	7	Iowa	10	Iowa -4.5	Northwestern	30.5	Under
2022	10/29	Iowa	33	Northwestern	13	Iowa -11.5	Iowa	37.0	Over
2021	11/06	Northwestern	12	Iowa	17	Iowa -11.5	Northwestern	40.5	Under
2020	10/31	Iowa	20	Northwestern	21	Iowa -3.0	Northwestern	0
2019	10/26	Northwestern	0	Iowa	20	Iowa -7.5	Iowa	35.5	Under
2018	11/10	Iowa	10	Northwestern	14	Iowa -10	Northwestern	46.5	Under
2017	10/21	Northwestern	17	Iowa	10	Northwestern -2.5	Northwestern	45.5	Under
2016	10/01	Iowa	31	Northwestern	38	Iowa -12	Northwestern	44.5	Over
2015	10/17	Northwestern	10	Iowa	40	Iowa -2.5	Iowa	41.0	Over
2014	11/01	Iowa	48	Northwestern	7	Iowa -6	Iowa	0
2013	10/26	Iowa	17	Northwestern	10	Iowa -3	Iowa	0
2012	10/27	Northwestern	28	Iowa	17
2011	10/15	Iowa	41	Northwestern	31
2010	11/13	Northwestern	21	Iowa	17
2009	11/07	Iowa	10	Northwestern	17
2008	09/27	Iowa	17	Northwestern	22
2007	11/03	Northwestern	17	Iowa	28
2006	11/04	Iowa	7	Northwestern	21
2005	11/05	Northwestern	28	Iowa	27
2002	11/09	Iowa	62	Northwestern	10
2001	11/10	Northwestern	16	Iowa	59
2000	11/10	Iowa	27	Northwestern	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Northwestern	10	6	4 Overs
Iowa	13	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 12	7 - 5	5 - 3	2 - 2
Road Teams	12 - 11	5 - 7	2 - 2	3 - 5

(#) IOWA at (#) NW

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	IOWA	NW
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#27	#107
Perf GradeGrade	#26	#122
OffenseOff	#59	#122
DefenseDef	#13	#112
Spec TeamsST	#20	#47
TalentTal	#42	#44
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Iowa Injury Report

Northwestern Injury Report

Iowa on Offense


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	NW Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#59	#112
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#94	#72
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Iowa Run Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	NW Def
Run GameRun	#113	#120
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#7	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#78

Iowa Pass Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	NW Def
Pass GamePass	#87	#79
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#106	#119
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Northwestern on Offense


CategoryCat	NW Off	IOWA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#122	#13
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#119	#5
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northwestern Run Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	IOWA Def
Run GameRun	#73	#33
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#57	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#35

Northwestern Pass Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	IOWA Def
Pass GamePass	#133	#4
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#69	#88
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 56° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Iowa 11.5 (40.5)
Iowa won at Northwestern this year (17-12)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Northwestern in 2024 (40-14)
Iowa beat Northwestern in 2023 (10-7)

IOWA's OC Brian Ferentz (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NW's OC Mike Bajakian (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC Jim O'Neil (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD