Michigan at Iowa - 2021 Matchup Preview
Michigan logo   Michigan Wolverines vs Iowa Hawkeyes  Iowa logo
Saturday, December 4th 2021 (8:00 PM EST)
Michigan -12 (43.5)
Michigan 42 - Iowa: 3  (Big Ten)

 
Wolverines (12 - 2) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (52 - 22)
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (26 - 24 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
IOWA is playing their 6th straight game
MICH is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -6  (SP+ MICH -12)
Projected Score: MICH: 21 - IOWA: 26 (47)
MICH Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
MICH Travel: 214 miles
Hawkeyes (10 - 4) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (171 - 106)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (28 - 14 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Michigan vs Western Michigan-16.565.5W 47 - 14UY
Sat 9/11 Michigan vs Washington-6.547.5W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/18 Michigan vs Northern Illinois-27.554.5W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/25 Michigan vs Rutgers-20.050.0W 20 - 13UN
Sat 10/2 Michigan at Wisconsin+2.043.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 10/9 Michigan at Nebraska-2.550.5W 32 - 29OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Michigan vs Northwestern-23.551.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 10/30 Michigan at Michigan State-4.050.5L 33 - 37ON
Sat 11/6 Michigan vs Indiana-20.551.0W 29 - 7UY
Sat 11/13 Michigan at Penn State-2.548.0W 21 - 17UY
Sat 11/20 Michigan at Maryland-16.058.5W 59 - 18OY
Sat 11/27 Michigan vs Ohio State+6.563.5W 42 - 27OY
Sat 12/4 Michigan vs Iowa-12.043.5W 42 - 3OY
Fri 12/31 Michigan vs Georgia+7.547.0L 11 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Iowa's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Iowa vs Indiana-3.545.5W 34 - 6UY
Sat 9/11 Iowa at Iowa State+4.045.0W 27 - 17UY
Sat 9/18 Iowa vs Kent State-22.055.5W 30 - 7UY
Sat 9/25 Iowa vs Colorado State-24.043.5W 24 - 14UN
Fri 10/1 Iowa at Maryland-3.047.5W 51 - 14OY
Sat 10/9 Iowa vs Penn State-2.541.0W 23 - 20OY
Sat 10/16 Iowa vs Purdue-11.042.5L 7 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Iowa at Wisconsin+3.035.5L 7 - 27UN
Sat 11/6 Iowa at Northwestern-11.540.5W 17 - 12UN
Sat 11/13 Iowa vs Minnesota-4.037.5W 27 - 22OY
Sat 11/20 Iowa vs Illinois-12.037.5W 33 - 23ON
Fri 11/26 Iowa at Nebraska+1.541.0W 28 - 21OY
Sat 12/4 Iowa vs Michigan+12.043.5L 3 - 42ON
Sat 1/1 Iowa vs Kentucky+3.043.5L 17 - 20UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH.2343%27.545%2.9413142%2504.09.2242%20.441%44%4.3657.510.3
IOWA.1645%29.348%2.8317143%1983.95.0238%16.139%38%3.1739.61.12.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
IOWA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Offense627.526.443.1%4.091193821312504.643%57%45%42%16%.23
IOWA Defense816.113.738.3%3.172.3 - - - - - 49%51%39%38%17%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Defense620.424.442.4%4.360.3 - - - - - 53%47%41%44%10%.22
IOWA Offense829.328.345.4%3.951.1203691711984.652%48%48%43%14%.16

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan625:3019.336%44%5.857.510.33.31.5127
Iowa829:1519.934%67%4.839.61.12.36.42.8332.9
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Offense643%45%28.7131.24.612.12.9461%8%0.97
IOWA Defense849%39% - - - - -.022.5259%11%0.8
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Defense653%41% - - - - .12.9292%5%0.97
IOWA Offense852%48%37171.14.618.142.8384%9%0.9

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Offense657%42%20.535.5250.37.112.294.331.634%35%.478%2
IOWA Defense851%38% - - - - - - 11.081.531%30%.156%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Defense647%44% - - - - - - 1.361.631%35%.415%1.9
IOWA Offense848%43%17.631197.66.411.295.191.231%27%.224%1.8

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan's 2021 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.4  #4
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5  #19
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8  #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan:    Iowa: 5.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 23.4   Iowa: 11.4




Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 5.7 NR
Iowa's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Iowa's 2021 Expected Record: -
Iowa's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4  #27
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6  #94
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4  #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Michigan's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa 26
Michigan 21

Projected Total Points: 47
Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Iowa's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202312/02Iowa0Michigan26Michigan -23.5Michigan35.0Under
202210/01Iowa14Michigan27Michigan -10.5Michigan42.0Under
202112/04Iowa3Michigan42Michigan -12Michigan43.5Over
201910/05Michigan10Iowa3Michigan -4Michigan48.0Under
201611/12Iowa14Michigan13Michigan -18.5Iowa51.0Under
201311/23Iowa24Michigan21Iowa -3.5Michigan0
201211/17Michigan42Iowa17
201111/05Iowa24Michigan16
201010/16Michigan28Iowa38
200910/10Iowa30Michigan28
200610/21Michigan20Iowa6
200510/22Iowa20Michigan23
200409/25Michigan30Iowa17
200310/04Iowa30Michigan27
200210/26Michigan9Iowa34
200110/27Iowa26Michigan32
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa711 Overs
Michigan954 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 72 - 41 - 11 - 3
Road Teams7 - 94 - 23 - 11 - 1

(#) MICH at (#) IOWA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMICHIOWA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #4 #27
Perf GradeGrade #6 #26
OffenseOff #30 #59
DefenseDef #6 #13
Spec TeamsST #17 #20
TalentTal #15 #42
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCat
MICH OffIOWA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #30 #13
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #5
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffIOWA Def
Run GameRun #5 #33
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #61 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #35
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffIOWA Def
Pass GamePass #41 #4
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #50 #88
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Iowa on Offense
CategoryCatIOWA OffMICH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #59 #6
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #94 #10
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Iowa Run Game
CategoryCat
IOWA OffMICH Def
Run GameRun #113 #10
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #7 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #6
Iowa Pass Game
CategoryCatIOWA OffMICH Def
Pass GamePass #87 #34
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #106 #3
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Down to Average P4

MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lucas Oil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
Michigan 12.0 (43.5)
Michigan won at Iowa this year (42-3)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Iowa in 2023 (26-0)

  
MICH's OC Josh Gattis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Mike Macdonald (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

IOWA's OC Brian Ferentz (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD