Iowa at Wisconsin - 2021 Matchup Preview
Iowa logo

Iowa Hawkeyes at Wisconsin Badgers

Wisconsin logo
Saturday, October 30th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -3 (35.5)
Wisconsin 27 - Iowa: 7  (Big Ten)

 
Hawkeyes (10 - 4) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (171 - 106)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (30 - 17 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
IOWA coming off BYE
WIS is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -7  (SP+ WIS -9)

Projected Score: IOWA: 25 - WIS: 16 (41)
WIS Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
IOWA Travel: 146 miles
Badgers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Paul Chryst (57 - 20)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (16 - 18 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Iowa's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4Iowa vs Indiana-3.5W34–645.5W34–6UY
Sat 9/11Iowa at Iowa State+4.0W27–1745.0W27–17UY
Sat 9/18Iowa vs Kent State-22.0W30–755.5W30–7UY
Sat 9/25Iowa vs Colorado State-24.0W24–1443.5W24–14UN
Fri 10/1Iowa at Maryland-3.0W51–1447.5W51–14OY
Sat 10/9Iowa vs Penn State-2.5W23–2041.0W23–20OY
Sat 10/16Iowa vs Purdue-11.0L7–2442.5L7–24UN
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/30Iowa at Wisconsin+3.0L7–2735.5L7–27UN
Sat 11/6Iowa at Northwestern-11.5W17–1240.5W17–12UN
Sat 11/13Iowa vs Minnesota-4.0W27–2237.5W27–22OY
Sat 11/20Iowa vs Illinois-12.0W33–2337.5W33–23ON
Fri 11/26Iowa at Nebraska+1.5W28–2141.0W28–21OY
Sat 12/4Iowa vs Michigan+12.0L3–4243.5L3–42ON
Sat 1/1Iowa vs Kentucky+3.0L17–2043.5L17–20UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule
Wisconsin's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4Wisconsin vs Penn State-5.5L10–1648.5L10–16UN
Sat 9/11Wisconsin vs Eastern Michigan-26.0W34–752.0W34–7UY
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/25Wisconsin vs Notre Dame-6.0L13–4143.5L13–41ON
Sat 10/2Wisconsin vs Michigan-2.0L17–3843.5L17–38ON
Sat 10/9Wisconsin at Illinois-12.5W24–042.0W24–0UY
Sat 10/16Wisconsin vs Army-14.0W20–1437.5W20–14UN
Sat 10/23Wisconsin at Purdue-3.5W30–1341.0W30–13OY
Sat 10/30Wisconsin vs Iowa-3.0W27–735.5W27–7UY
Sat 11/6Wisconsin at Rutgers-13.0W52–337.5W52–3OY
Sat 11/13Wisconsin vs Northwestern-26.0W35–741.5W35–7OY
Sat 11/20Wisconsin vs Nebraska-10.0W35–2843.5W35–28ON
Sat 11/27Wisconsin at Minnesota-7.0L13–2339.0L13–23UN
Thu 12/30Wisconsin vs Arizona State-8.5W20–1342.5W20–13UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IOWA.1645%29.348%2.8317143%1983.95.0238%16.139%38%3.1739.61.12.3
WIS.0742%12.845%2.7816539%1813.47.0235%21.632%37%2.442.31.71.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IOWA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IOWA Offense829.329.845.4%3.951.1203691711984.652%48%48%43%14%.16
WIS Defense721.618.335%2.41.7 - - - - - 46%54%32%37%18%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IOWA Defense816.117.238.3%3.172.3 - - - - - 49%51%39%38%17%.02
WIS Offense712.815.642.3%3.471.7203461651813.954%46%45%39%16%.07

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa829:1519.934%67%4.839.61.12.36.42.8332.9
Wisconsin736:2019.638%42%5.142.31.71.75.11.6030.9
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IOWA Offense852%48%37171.14.618.142.8384%9%0.9
WIS Defense746%32% - - - - -.22.0963%11%0.67
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IOWA Defense849%39% - - - - -.022.5259%11%0.8
WIS Offense754%45%41.9164.63.913.062.7882%11%0.88

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IOWA Offense848%43%17.631197.66.411.295.191.231%27%.224%1.8
WIS Defense754%37% - - - - - - 8.21.739%23%.18%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IOWA Defense851%38% - - - - - - 11.081.531%30%.156%1.8
WIS Offense746%39%17.728.91816.310.2107.091.530%30%.166%1.8

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: NR
Iowa's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Iowa's 2021 Expected Record: -
Iowa's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4  #27
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6  #94
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4  #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa:    Wisconsin: 12.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 11.4   Wisconsin: 20.1




Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 12.55 NR
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wisconsin's 2021 Expected Record: -
Wisconsin's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.1  #7
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8  #58
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8  #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.2

Iowa's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa 25
Wisconsin 16


Projected Total Points: 41
Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wisconsin's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Wisconsin0Iowa37Iowa -5.5Iowa37.5Under
202411/02Iowa42Wisconsin10Iowa -2.5Iowa40.0Over
202310/14Wisconsin6Iowa15Wisconsin -8.0Iowa33.5Under
202211/12Iowa24Wisconsin10Iowa -1.0Iowa35.5Under
202110/30Wisconsin27Iowa7Wisconsin -3Wisconsin35.5Under
202012/12Iowa28Wisconsin7Wisconsin -1Iowa39.0Under
201911/09Wisconsin24Iowa22Wisconsin -7.5Iowa36.5Over
201809/22Iowa17Wisconsin28Wisconsin -3Wisconsin43.5Over
201711/11Wisconsin38Iowa14Wisconsin -11.5Wisconsin45.0Over
201610/22Iowa9Wisconsin17Wisconsin -2.5Wisconsin43.0Under
201510/03Wisconsin6Iowa10Wisconsin -8Iowa46.0Under
201411/22Iowa24Wisconsin26Wisconsin -8.5Iowa0
201311/02Iowa9Wisconsin28Wisconsin -7Wisconsin0
201010/23Iowa30Wisconsin31
200910/17Wisconsin10Iowa20
200810/18Iowa38Wisconsin16
200709/22Wisconsin17Iowa13
200611/11Iowa21Wisconsin24
200511/12Wisconsin10Iowa20
200411/20Iowa30Wisconsin7
200311/22Wisconsin21Iowa27
200211/02Iowa20Wisconsin3
200111/03Wisconsin34Iowa28
200010/27Iowa7Wisconsin13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wisconsin1254 Overs
Iowa1287 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 136 - 74 - 32 - 4
Road Teams13 - 117 - 64 - 23 - 4

(#) IOWA at (#) WIS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatIOWAWIS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #27 #7
Perf GradeGrade #26 #3
OffenseOff #59 #19
DefenseDef #13 #3
Spec TeamsST #20 #49
TalentTal #42 #21
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Iowa on Offense
CategoryCat
IOWA OffWIS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #59 #3
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #94 #2
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Iowa Run Game
CategoryCat
IOWA OffWIS Def
Run GameRun #113 #8
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #7 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #14
Iowa Pass Game
CategoryCat
IOWA OffWIS Def
Pass GamePass #87 #42
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #106 #9
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Wisconsin on Offense
CategoryCatWIS OffIOWA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #19 #13
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #58 #5
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Wisconsin Run Game
CategoryCat
WIS OffIOWA Def
Run GameRun #75 #33
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #3 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #35
Wisconsin Pass Game
CategoryCatWIS OffIOWA Def
Pass GamePass #100 #4
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #103 #88
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 52° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 9
Wisconsin -3.0 (35.5)
Wisconsin won vs Iowa this year (27-7)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Wisconsin last year (37-0)
Iowa beat Wisconsin in 2024 (42-10)
Iowa beat Wisconsin in 2023 (15-6)

  
IOWA's OC Brian Ferentz (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

WIS's OC Joe Rudolph (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Jim Leonhard (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD