Iowa at Iowa State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Iowa Hawkeyes at Iowa State Cyclones(#16)

Saturday, September 11th 2021 (4:30 PM EDT)
Iowa State -4 (45.0)
Iowa 27 - Iowa State: 17

Hawkeyes (10 - 4) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (171 - 106)
Avg Score : 23 - 19 (26 - 18 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ISU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ ISU -3)
Projected Score: IOWA: 21 - ISU: 23 (44)
ISU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
IOWA Travel: 110 miles

Cyclones (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (37 - 29)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (32 - 14 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
IOWA Players
ISU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Iowa vs Indiana	-3.5	45.5	W 34 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Iowa at Iowa State	+4.0	45.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Iowa vs Kent State	-22.0	55.5	W 30 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Iowa vs Colorado State	-24.0	43.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Fri 10/1	Iowa at Maryland	-3.0	47.5	W 51 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Iowa vs Penn State	-2.5	41.0	W 23 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Iowa vs Purdue	-11.0	42.5	L 7 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Iowa at Wisconsin	+3.0	35.5	L 7 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/6	Iowa at Northwestern	-11.5	40.5	W 17 - 12	U	N
Sat 11/13	Iowa vs Minnesota	-4.0	37.5	W 27 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Iowa vs Illinois	-12.0	37.5	W 33 - 23	O	N
Fri 11/26	Iowa at Nebraska	+1.5	41.0	W 28 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/4	Iowa vs Michigan	+12.0	43.5	L 3 - 42	O	N
Sat 1/1	Iowa vs Kentucky	+3.0	43.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule

Iowa State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Iowa State vs Northern Iowa	-28.5	50.0	W 16 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/11	Iowa State vs Iowa	-4.0	45.0	L 17 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/18	Iowa State at UNLV	-32.0	53.0	W 48 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Iowa State at Baylor	-7.0	46.0	L 29 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/2	Iowa State vs Kansas	-34.5	57.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Iowa State at Kansas State	-6.5	51.0	W 33 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Iowa State vs Oklahoma State	-7.5	47.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/30	Iowa State at West Virginia	-7.5	49.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/6	Iowa State vs Texas	-6.0	59.5	W 30 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Iowa State at Texas Tech	-13.0	55.5	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/20	Iowa State at Oklahoma	+3.0	59.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Fri 11/26	Iowa State vs TCU	-16.0	61.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Wed 12/29	Iowa State vs Clemson	+1.5	44.0	L 13 - 20	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IOWA	.06	37%	23.4	39%	2.66	124	35%	180	3	.08	38%	19.2	39%	37%	3.91	36.1	1.4	2.4
ISU	.24	44%	31.3	40%	2.97	161	47%	264	4.1	.18	41%	20.5	41%	40%	3.74	38.6	1.1	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IOWA	#100 (.14)	42% (72)		44% (63)	2.92 (89)	185	40% (94)	121	3.77 (84)	#30 (.11)	42% (72)		46% (97)	39% (51)	3.37 (27)	26.3	0.8	1.8
ISU	#62 (.2)	40% (99)		40% (106)	2.83 (102)	150	41% (77)	236	4.23 (37)	#79 (.18)	43% (81)		46% (101)	38% (41)	3.44 (29)	25.9	1.1	1.5

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IOWA Offense	14	23.4	26	37.2%	3	1.4	17	304	124	180	3.4	52%	48%	39%	35%	17%	.06
ISU Defense	13	20.5	14.3	40.7%	3.74	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	41%	40%	19%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IOWA Defense	14	19.2	18.2	37.7%	3.91	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	39%	37%	16%	.08
ISU Offense	13	31.3	32.3	43.8%	4.1	1.1	22	425	161	264	5.1	44%	56%	40%	47%	15%	.24

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa	14	30:05	16.6	34%	31%	4.1	36.1	1.4	2.4	4.8	2.2	5	33.4
Iowa State	13	30:54	21.5	36%	65%	4.8	38.6	1.1	1.4	6.5	2.5	1	28

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IOWA Offense	14	52%	39%	36.2	123.6	3.4	18	.04	2.66	70%	12%	0.91
ISU Defense	13	51%	41%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.01	69%	14%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IOWA Defense	14	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.75	72%	8%	0.79
ISU Offense	13	44%	40%	31.6	160.7	5.1	25	.13	2.97	63%	10%	1.11

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IOWA Offense	14	48%	35%	15.9	28.9	180.1	6.2	11.4	12	11	.08	1.6	34%	28%	.2	5%	1.9
ISU Defense	13	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.26	1.6	30%	31%	.48	6%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IOWA Defense	14	52%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	25	.15	1.6	34%	29%	.27	8%	2
ISU Offense	13	56%	47%	24.1	34.3	263.8	7.7	11	22	9	.34	1.4	31%	29%	.29	5%	2

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: NR
Iowa's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Iowa's 2021 Expected Record: -
Iowa's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #27
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #94
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa: Iowa State: 9.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 11.4 Iowa State: 14.3

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 9.65 NR
Iowa State's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Iowa State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Iowa State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #19
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8 #34
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #19

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.2

Iowa's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa State 23
Iowa 21

Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
Iowa 22
Iowa State 22

Total Points: 43

Based on Entire Season
Iowa State 25
Iowa 21

Total Points: 46

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

Iowa State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	Iowa State	16	Iowa	13	Iowa State -3.0	Push	43.0	Under
2024	09/07	Iowa	19	Iowa State	20	Iowa -3	Iowa State	35.0	Over
2023	09/09	Iowa State	13	Iowa	20	Iowa -3.5	Iowa	35.5	Under
2022	09/10	Iowa	7	Iowa State	10	Iowa -3.5	Iowa State	39.0	Under
2021	09/11	Iowa State	17	Iowa	27	Iowa State -4	Iowa	45.0	Under
2019	09/14	Iowa State	17	Iowa	18	Iowa -1.5	Iowa State	42.5	Under
2018	09/08	Iowa	13	Iowa State	3	Iowa -3.5	Iowa	47.0	Under
2017	09/09	Iowa State	41	Iowa	44	Iowa -3.5	Iowa State	48.5	Over
2016	09/10	Iowa	42	Iowa State	3	Iowa -18	Iowa	49.0	Under
2015	09/12	Iowa State	17	Iowa	31	Iowa -4	Iowa	48.0	Push
2014	09/13	Iowa	17	Iowa State	20	Iowa -15.5	Iowa State	0
2013	09/14	Iowa State	21	Iowa	27	Iowa -3	Iowa	0
2012	09/08	Iowa	6	Iowa State	9
2011	09/10	Iowa State	44	Iowa	41
2010	09/11	Iowa	35	Iowa State	7
2009	09/12	Iowa State	3	Iowa	35
2008	09/13	Iowa	17	Iowa State	5
2007	09/15	Iowa State	15	Iowa	13
2006	09/16	Iowa	27	Iowa State	17
2005	09/10	Iowa State	23	Iowa	3
2004	09/11	Iowa	17	Iowa State	10
2003	09/13	Iowa State	21	Iowa	40
2002	09/14	Iowa	31	Iowa State	36
2001	11/24	Iowa State	17	Iowa	14
2000	09/15	Iowa	14	Iowa State	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Iowa State	11	5	2 Overs
Iowa	14	6	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 14	4 - 7	2 - 4	2 - 3
Road Teams	14 - 11	7 - 4	3 - 2	4 - 2

(#) IOWA at (#) ISU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	IOWA	ISU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#27	#19
Perf GradeGrade	#26	#35
OffenseOff	#59	#53
DefenseDef	#13	#24
Spec TeamsST	#20	#57
TalentTal	#42	#55
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Iowa Injury Report

Iowa State Injury Report

Iowa on Offense


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	ISU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#59	#24
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#94	#19
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Iowa Run Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	ISU Def
Run GameRun	#113	#29
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#7	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#57

Iowa Pass Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	ISU Def
Pass GamePass	#87	#47
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#106	#46
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Iowa State on Offense


CategoryCat	ISU Off	IOWA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#53	#13
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#34	#5
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Iowa State Run Game


CategoryCat	ISU Off	IOWA Def
Run GameRun	#60	#33
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#69	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#35

Iowa State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ISU Off	IOWA Def
Pass GamePass	#48	#4
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#58	#88
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 90° - Wind: 12 mph

Rematch from Week 2
Iowa State -4.0 (45.0)
Iowa won at Iowa State this year (27-17)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Iowa last year (20-19)
Iowa beat Iowa State in 2023 (20-13)
Iowa State beat Iowa in 2022 (10-7)

IOWA's OC Brian Ferentz (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ISU's OC Tom Manning (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD