Louisville at NC State - 2021 Matchup Preview
Louisville logo   Louisville Cardinals at NC State Wolfpack  NC State logo
Saturday, October 30th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
NC State -6 (57.0)
NC State 28 - Louisville: 13  (ACC)

 
Cardinals (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (14 - 13)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (23 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ NCST -8)
Projected Score: LOU: 26 - NCST: 28 (54)
NCST Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
LOU Travel: 422 miles
Wolfpack (9 - 3) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (57 - 47)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (35 - 21 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisville's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/6 Louisville vs Ole Miss+9.074.5L 24 - 43UN
Sat 9/11 Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky-30.062.5W 30 - 3UN
Fri 9/17 Louisville vs UCF+7.067.5W 42 - 35OY
Sat 9/25 Louisville at Florida State+1.561.0W 31 - 23UY
Sat 10/2 Louisville at Wake Forest+7.064.5L 34 - 37OY
Sat 10/9 Louisville vs Virginia-2.569.5L 33 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Louisville vs Boston College-4.057.5W 28 - 14UY
Sat 10/30 Louisville at NC State+6.057.0L 13 - 28UN
Sat 11/6 Louisville vs Clemson+3.546.0L 24 - 30ON
Sat 11/13 Louisville vs Syracuse-3.055.5W 41 - 3UY
Thu 11/18 Louisville at Duke-20.060.0W 62 - 22OY
Sat 11/27 Louisville vs Kentucky-3.058.0L 21 - 52ON
Tue 12/28 Louisville vs Air Force+1.055.0L 28 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
NC State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 NC State vs South Florida-20.058.0W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/11 NC State at Mississippi State-1.555.0L 10 - 24UN
Sat 9/18 NC State vs Furman-27.545.0W 45 - 7OY
Sat 9/25 NC State vs Clemson+10.546.5W 27 - 21OY
Sat 10/2 NC State vs Louisiana Tech-18.556.0W 34 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 NC State at Boston College-3.051.0W 33 - 7UY
Sat 10/23 NC State at Miami-3.554.5L 30 - 31ON
Sat 10/30 NC State vs Louisville-6.057.0W 28 - 13UY
Sat 11/6 NC State at Florida State-3.055.0W 28 - 14UY
Sat 11/13 NC State at Wake Forest+1.065.0L 42 - 45ON
Sat 11/20 NC State vs Syracuse-11.049.5W 41 - 17OY
Fri 11/26 NC State vs North Carolina-6.562.0W 34 - 30ON
Tue 12/28 NC State vs UCLA-2.060.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU.2743%29.943%2.8220043%2443.75.1640%21.241%39%3.5852.52.21.1
NCST.1642%30.243%2.6112342%2623.87.1641%27.240%41%3.8274.31.61
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NCST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Offense1129.92342.8%3.752.2214442002445.254%46%43%43%19%.27
NCST Defense1227.22140.7%3.821 - - - - - 49%50%40%41%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Defense1121.225.540.1%3.581.1 - - - - - 57%43%41%39%17%.16
NCST Offense1230.235.342.5%3.871.6223851232623.450%50%43%42%17%.16

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisville1131:2820.845%54%6.352.52.21.15.61.9026.8
NC State1229:5722.344%67%8.174.31.617.62.8329.7
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Offense1154%43%38.2199.95.221.252.8272%15%1.31
NCST Defense1249%40% - - - - .072.7159%12%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Defense1157%41% - - - - .072.8771%11%0.97
NCST Offense1250%43%36.2123.33.420.032.6171%11%0.84

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Offense1146%43%18.428.6244.28.513.32012.31.735%37%.544%2.3
NCST Defense1250%41% - - - - - - 9.251.634%32%.47%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Defense1143%39% - - - - - - 5.281.836%32%.387%2.2
NCST Offense1250%42%20.933.3261.97.912.52415.31.831%36%.396%2.1

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisville's 2021 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8  #52
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9  #24
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6  #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville:    NC State: 10.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 7.8   NC State: 16.1




NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 10.55 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2021 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.1  #14
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1  #39
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7  #14

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Louisville's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 28
Louisville 26

Projected Total Points: 54
NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

NC State's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/29NC State10Louisville13Louisville -3.5NC State56.5Under
202211/19Louisville25NC State10Louisville -4Louisville43.0Under
202110/30NC State28Louisville13NC State -6NC State57.0Under
201911/16NC State20Louisville34Louisville -4.5Louisville52.0Over
201811/17Louisville10NC State52NC State -16NC State65.0Under
201710/05NC State39Louisville25Louisville -3.5NC State67.0Under
201610/22Louisville54NC State13Louisville -20Louisville65.0Over
201510/03NC State13Louisville20NC State -5Louisville47.5Under
201410/18Louisville30NC State18Louisville -14.5NC State0
201112/27NC State31Louisville24
200709/29NC State10Louisville29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
NC State452 Overs
Louisville746 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 55 - 43 - 22 - 2
Road Teams5 - 64 - 52 - 22 - 3

(#) LOU at (#) NCST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLOUNCST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #52 #14
Perf GradeGrade #39 #29
OffenseOff #17 #41
DefenseDef #96 #27
Spec TeamsST #53 #55
TalentTal #58 #34
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Louisville on Offense
CategoryCat
LOU OffNCST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #17 #27
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #14
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisville Run Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffNCST Def
Run GameRun #48 #26
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #16 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #36
Louisville Pass Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffNCST Def
Pass GamePass #28 #39
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #11 #78
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCatNCST OffLOU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #41 #96
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #39 #64
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffLOU Def
Run GameRun #101 #106
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #23 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #72
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCatNCST OffLOU Def
Pass GamePass #19 #48
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #48 #108
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 54°
Rematch from Week 9
NC State -6.0 (57.0)
NC State won vs Louisville this year (28-13)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat NC State in 2023 (13-10)

  
LOU's OC Scott Satterfield (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Bryan Brown (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NCST's OC Tim Beck* (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC Tony Gibson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD