Kentucky at Louisville - 2021 Matchup Preview
Kentucky logo   Kentucky Wildcats at Louisville Cardinals  Louisville logo
Saturday, November 27th 2021 (7:30 PM EST)
Louisville -3 (58.0)
Kentucky 52 - Louisville: 21

 
Wildcats (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mark Stoops (52 - 50)
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (11 - 32 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LOU is playing their 6th straight game
UK is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ UK -5.5)
Projected Score: UK: 18 - LOU: 30 (48)
LOU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
UK Travel: 69 miles
Cardinals (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (14 - 13)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (34 - 19 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kentucky's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Kentucky vs UL Monroe-31.054.0W 45 - 10OY
Sat 9/11 Kentucky vs Missouri-5.556.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 9/18 Kentucky vs Chattanooga-33.548.0W 28 - 23ON
Sat 9/25 Kentucky at South Carolina-4.549.0W 16 - 10UY
Sat 10/2 Kentucky vs Florida+7.556.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/9 Kentucky vs LSU-2.050.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 10/16 Kentucky at Georgia+21.544.5L 13 - 30UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Kentucky at Mississippi State+1.047.0L 17 - 31ON
Sat 11/6 Kentucky vs Tennessee+1.057.5L 42 - 45ON
Sat 11/13 Kentucky at Vanderbilt-21.552.5W 34 - 17UN
Sat 11/20 Kentucky vs New Mexico State-35.561.0W 56 - 16OY
Sat 11/27 Kentucky at Louisville+3.058.0W 52 - 21OY
Sat 1/1 Kentucky vs Iowa-3.043.5W 20 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Louisville's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/6 Louisville vs Ole Miss+9.074.5L 24 - 43UN
Sat 9/11 Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky-30.062.5W 30 - 3UN
Fri 9/17 Louisville vs UCF+7.067.5W 42 - 35OY
Sat 9/25 Louisville at Florida State+1.561.0W 31 - 23UY
Sat 10/2 Louisville at Wake Forest+7.064.5L 34 - 37OY
Sat 10/9 Louisville vs Virginia-2.569.5L 33 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Louisville vs Boston College-4.057.5W 28 - 14UY
Sat 10/30 Louisville at NC State+6.057.0L 13 - 28UN
Sat 11/6 Louisville vs Clemson+3.546.0L 24 - 30ON
Sat 11/13 Louisville vs Syracuse-3.055.5W 41 - 3UY
Thu 11/18 Louisville at Duke-20.060.0W 62 - 22OY
Sat 11/27 Louisville vs Kentucky-3.058.0L 21 - 52ON
Tue 12/28 Louisville vs Air Force+1.055.0L 28 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK.1243%2349%3.0719635%1223.33.1345%26.444%46%3.57561.12
LOU.2743%29.943%2.8220043%2443.75.1640%21.241%39%3.5852.52.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Offense112310.843.4%3.331.1173181961224.961%38%49%35%14%.12
LOU Defense1121.218.940.1%3.581.1 - - - - - 57%43%41%39%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Defense1126.431.845.3%3.572 - - - - - 50%50%44%46%14%.13
LOU Offense1129.933.842.8%3.752.2214442002445.254%46%43%43%19%.27

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kentucky1131:0017.337%47%5.7561.124.91.4327.7
Louisville1131:2820.845%54%6.352.52.21.15.61.9026.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Offense1161%49%39.8196.44.919.183.0775%9%0.94
LOU Defense1157%41% - - - - .072.8771%11%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Defense1150%44% - - - - .052.8659%9%0.83
LOU Offense1154%43%38.2199.95.221.252.8272%15%1.31

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Offense1138%35%1321.9121.85.69.475.041.328%22%.155%1.9
LOU Defense1143%39% - - - - - - 5.281.836%32%.387%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Defense1150%46% - - - - - - 16.211.428%36%.395%1.9
LOU Offense1146%43%18.428.6244.28.513.32012.31.735%37%.544%2.3

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kentucky's 2021 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.4  #23
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.1  #21
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.3  #35

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky:    Louisville: 6.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 13.4   Louisville: 7.8




Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 6.4 NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisville's 2021 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8  #52
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9  #24
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6  #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.8
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

Kentucky's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 30
Kentucky 18

Projected Total Points: 48
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.9

Louisville's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Louisville41Kentucky0Louisville -1.0Louisville45.5Under
202411/30Kentucky14Louisville41Louisville -3.5Louisville48.5Over
202311/25Louisville31Kentucky38Louisville -7.5Kentucky47.5Over
202211/26Kentucky26Louisville13Kentucky -3.5Kentucky42.5Under
202111/27Louisville21Kentucky52Louisville -3Kentucky58.0Over
201911/30Kentucky45Louisville13Kentucky -3.5Kentucky51.0Over
201811/24Louisville10Kentucky56Kentucky -17Kentucky53.0Over
201711/25Kentucky17Louisville44Louisville -10Louisville68.0Under
201611/26Louisville38Kentucky41Louisville -26Kentucky70.5Over
201511/28Kentucky24Louisville38Louisville -4Louisville51.5Over
201411/29Louisville44Kentucky40Louisville -14Kentucky0
201309/14Kentucky13Louisville27Louisville -10.5Louisville0
201209/02Louisville32Kentucky14
201109/17Kentucky17Louisville24
201009/04Louisville16Kentucky23
200909/19Kentucky31Louisville27
200808/31Louisville2Kentucky27
200709/15Kentucky40Louisville34
200609/03Louisville59Kentucky28
200509/04Kentucky24Louisville31
200409/05Louisville28Kentucky0
200308/31Kentucky24Louisville40
200209/01Louisville17Kentucky22
200109/01Kentucky10Louisville36
200009/01Louisville40Kentucky34
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisville1457 Overs
Kentucky1173 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 153 - 93 - 40 - 5
Road Teams15 - 109 - 35 - 04 - 3

(#) UK at (#) LOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUKLOU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #23 #52
Perf GradeGrade #18 #39
OffenseOff #4 #17
DefenseDef #71 #96
Spec TeamsST #60 #53
TalentTal #30 #58
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
UK OffLOU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #4 #96
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #21 #64
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffLOU Def
Run GameRun #18 #106
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #10 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #72
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
UK OffLOU Def
Pass GamePass #22 #48
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #14 #108
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Louisville on Offense
CategoryCatLOU OffUK Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #17 #71
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #35
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisville Run Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffUK Def
Run GameRun #48 #66
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #16 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #56
Louisville Pass Game
CategoryCatLOU OffUK Def
Pass GamePass #28 #76
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #11 #73
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Louisville -3.0 (58.0)
Kentucky won at Louisville this year (52-21)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Kentucky last year (41-0)
Louisville beat Kentucky in 2024 (41-14)
Kentucky beat Louisville in 2023 (38-31)

  
UK's OC Liam Coen (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Brad White (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LOU's OC Scott Satterfield (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Bryan Brown (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD