Louisville at Ole Miss - 2021 Matchup Preview
Louisville logo Louisville Cardinals vs Ole Miss Rebels(#6)Ole Miss logo
Monday, September 6th 2021 (8:00 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -9 (74.5)
Ole Miss 43 - Louisville: 24

 
Cardinals (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (14 - 13)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (35 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Game in Dome
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ MISS -7)
Projected Score: LOU: 29 - MISS: 35 (64)
MISS Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
LOU Travel: 317 miles
Rebels (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (41 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisville's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/6 Louisville vs Ole Miss+9.074.5L 24 - 43UN
Sat 9/11 Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky-30.062.5W 30 - 3UN
Fri 9/17 Louisville vs UCF+7.067.5W 42 - 35OY
Sat 9/25 Louisville at Florida State+1.561.0W 31 - 23UY
Sat 10/2 Louisville at Wake Forest+7.064.5L 34 - 37OY
Sat 10/9 Louisville vs Virginia-2.569.5L 33 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Louisville vs Boston College-4.057.5W 28 - 14UY
Sat 10/30 Louisville at NC State+6.057.0L 13 - 28UN
Sat 11/6 Louisville vs Clemson+3.546.0L 24 - 30ON
Sat 11/13 Louisville vs Syracuse-3.055.5W 41 - 3UY
Thu 11/18 Louisville at Duke-20.060.0W 62 - 22OY
Sat 11/27 Louisville vs Kentucky-3.058.0L 21 - 52ON
Tue 12/28 Louisville vs Air Force+1.055.0L 28 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Ole Miss's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/6 Ole Miss vs Louisville-9.074.5W 43 - 24UY
Sat 9/11 Ole Miss vs Austin Peay-37.069.5W 54 - 17ON
Sat 9/18 Ole Miss vs Tulane-14.077.0W 61 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2 Ole Miss at Alabama+15.079.5L 21 - 42UN
Sat 10/9 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-5.067.0W 52 - 51ON
Sat 10/16 Ole Miss at Tennessee-1.082.0W 31 - 26UY
Sat 10/23 Ole Miss vs LSU-9.076.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 10/30 Ole Miss at Auburn+3.067.5L 20 - 31UN
Sat 11/6 Ole Miss vs Liberty-7.566.5W 27 - 14UY
Sat 11/13 Ole Miss vs Texas A&M+1.057.5W 29 - 19UY
Sat 11/20 Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt-35.566.5W 31 - 17UN
Thu 11/25 Ole Miss at Mississippi State+2.565.0W 31 - 21UY
Sat 1/1 Ole Miss vs Baylor-1.060.5L 7 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU.3244%31.643%3.2721045%2364.45.2442%27.346%40%4.2154.911.3
MISS.2746%33.747%3.2221844%2753.83.1946%24.750%42%3.675.20.91.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU#15 (.31)46% (26)48% (20)3.09 (56)17345% (30)2514.27 (31)#73 (.18)40% (49)40% (44)40% (65)3.98 (87)46.10.81.2
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Offense1331.63544.1%4.451214462102365.456%44%43%45%14%.32
MISS Defense1324.722.346.1%3.61.7 - - - - - 51%49%50%42%16%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Defense1327.327.542.4%4.211.3 - - - - - 48%52%46%40%17%.24
MISS Offense1333.740.745.7%3.830.9264922182754.854%46%47%44%15%.27

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisville1330:3221.140%52%6.254.911.36.22.5328.6
Ole Miss1327:292638%63%975.20.91.76.23129.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Offense1356%43%38.8209.85.429.253.2768%9%1.22
MISS Defense1351%50% - - - - .33.5667%10%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Defense1348%46% - - - - .233.2777%10%1.06
MISS Offense1354%47%45.2217.64.833.33.2268%10%1.22

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Offense1344%45%1728236.58.513.9216.41.730%36%.515%2.1
MISS Defense1349%42% - - - - - - 11.091.329%32%.176%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Defense1352%40% - - - - - - 10.251.733%30%.356%2.1
MISS Offense1346%44%2233274.88.312.5217.251.632%34%.334%2

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisville's 2021 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8  #52
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9  #24
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6  #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville:    Ole Miss: 7.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 7.8   Ole Miss: 14.8




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 7.4 NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ole Miss's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8  #17
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8  #17
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4  #36

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Louisville Scoring
Offense: 31.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5

Louisville's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 35
Louisville 29

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Ole Miss 37
Louisville 30

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 33
Louisville 28

Total Points: 61
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.7
Defense: 24.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Ole Miss's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/06Ole Miss43Louisville24Ole Miss -9Ole Miss74.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss110 Overs
Louisville001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) LOU at (#) MISS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLOUMISS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #52 #17
Perf GradeGrade #39 #65
OffenseOff #17 #51
DefenseDef #96 #77
Spec TeamsST #53 #58
TalentTal #58 #27
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Louisville on Offense
CategoryCat
LOU OffMISS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #17 #77
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #36
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisville Run Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffMISS Def
Run GameRun #48 #103
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #16 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #84
Louisville Pass Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffMISS Def
Pass GamePass #28 #37
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #11 #43
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCatMISS OffLOU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #51 #96
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #17 #64
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffLOU Def
Run GameRun #30 #106
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #72 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #72
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatMISS OffLOU Def
Pass GamePass #27 #48
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #41 #108
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 75°
Rematch from Week 1
Ole Miss -9.0 (74.5)
Ole Miss won vs Louisville this year (43-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
LOU's OC Scott Satterfield (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Bryan Brown (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MISS's OC Jeff Lebby (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC D. J. Durkin (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD