Boston College at Louisville - 2021 Matchup Preview

Boston College Eagles at Louisville Cardinals

Saturday, October 23rd 2021 (4:00 PM EDT)
Louisville -4 (57.5)
Louisville 28 - Boston College: 14 (ACC)

Eagles (6 - 6) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Hafley (9 - 5)
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (25 - 34 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LOU coming off BYE
Our Line: -6 (SP+ LOU -7)
Projected Score: BC: 23 - LOU: 32 (55)
LOU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
BC Travel: 819 miles

Cardinals (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (14 - 13)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (34 - 19 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BC Players
LOU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boston College's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Boston College vs Colgate	-42.5	56.5	W 51 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Boston College at Massachusetts	-39.0	57.0	W 45 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/18	Boston College at Temple	-15.0	55.5	W 28 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Boston College vs Missouri	-1.0	58.5	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Boston College at Clemson	+14.5	46.5	L 13 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Boston College vs NC State	+3.0	51.0	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 10/23	Boston College at Louisville	+4.0	57.5	L 14 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/30	Boston College at Syracuse	+6.5	51.5	L 6 - 21	U	N
Fri 11/5	Boston College vs Virginia Tech	+1.0	51.0	W 17 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Boston College at Georgia Tech	-2.0	55.0	W 41 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Boston College vs Florida State	-3.0	55.5	L 23 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/27	Boston College vs Wake Forest	+5.5	64.0	L 10 - 41	U	N
Mon 12/27	Boston College vs East Carolina	-3.0	52.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

Louisville's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/6	Louisville vs Ole Miss	+9.0	74.5	L 24 - 43	U	N
Sat 9/11	Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky	-30.0	62.5	W 30 - 3	U	N
Fri 9/17	Louisville vs UCF	+7.0	67.5	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Louisville at Florida State	+1.5	61.0	W 31 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Louisville at Wake Forest	+7.0	64.5	L 34 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Louisville vs Virginia	-2.5	69.5	L 33 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Louisville vs Boston College	-4.0	57.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Louisville at NC State	+6.0	57.0	L 13 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/6	Louisville vs Clemson	+3.5	46.0	L 24 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/13	Louisville vs Syracuse	-3.0	55.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Thu 11/18	Louisville at Duke	-20.0	60.0	W 62 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Louisville vs Kentucky	-3.0	58.0	L 21 - 52	O	N
Tue 12/28	Louisville vs Air Force	+1.0	55.0	L 28 - 31	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	.2	44%	25.4	42%	2.51	102	46%	284	3.67	.22	47%	32.8	49%	45%	3.41	67.3	1.3	1.9
LOU	.27	43%	29.9	43%	2.82	200	43%	244	3.75	.16	40%	21.2	41%	39%	3.58	52.5	2.2	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Offense	11	25.4	25	44.1%	3.67	1.3	22	386	102	284	3.1	45%	55%	42%	46%	16%	.2
LOU Defense	11	21.2	18.9	40.1%	3.58	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	41%	39%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Defense	11	32.8	34	47%	3.41	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	49%	45%	15%	.22
LOU Offense	11	29.9	33.8	42.8%	3.75	2.2	21	444	200	244	5.2	54%	46%	43%	43%	19%	.27

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boston College	11	30:28	21.7	44%	64%	7.7	67.3	1.3	1.9	4.7	2.2	0	29
Louisville	11	31:28	20.8	45%	54%	6.3	52.5	2.2	1.1	5.6	1.9	0	26.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Offense	11	45%	42%	32.8	101.7	3.1	11	-.03	2.51	80%	10%	0.73
LOU Defense	11	57%	41%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.87	71%	11%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Defense	11	49%	49%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.08	71%	9%	1
LOU Offense	11	54%	43%	38.2	199.9	5.2	21	.25	2.82	72%	15%	1.31

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Offense	11	55%	46%	22	35.5	284.2	8	12.9	23	8	.39	1.7	31%	35%	.45	6%	2.1
LOU Defense	11	43%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.28	1.8	36%	32%	.38	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Defense	11	50%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.34	1.5	28%	36%	.35	6%	1.9
LOU Offense	11	46%	43%	18.4	28.6	244.2	8.5	13.3	20	12	.3	1.7	35%	37%	.54	4%	2.3

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: NR
Boston College's Offense Rating: NR
Boston College's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boston College's 2021 Expected Record: -
Boston College's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #75
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #84
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #63

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: Louisville: 6.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 0.9 Louisville: 7.8

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 6.4 NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisville's 2021 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #52
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #24
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Boston College's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Louisville 32
Boston College 23

Projected Total Points: 55

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.9

Louisville's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Louisville	38	Boston College	24	Louisville -25.5	Boston College	54.5	Over
2024	10/25	Boston College	27	Louisville	31	Louisville -7.0	Boston College	54.0	Over
2023	09/23	Louisville	56	Boston College	28	Louisville -14	Louisville	53.0	Over
2022	10/01	Boston College	34	Louisville	33	Louisville -13.5	Boston College	48.5	Over
2021	10/23	Louisville	28	Boston College	14	Louisville -4	Louisville	57.5	Under
2020	11/28	Boston College	34	Louisville	27	Boston College -1	Boston College	57.0	Over
2019	10/05	Louisville	41	Boston College	39	Louisville -3.5	Boston College	61.0	Over
2018	10/13	Boston College	38	Louisville	20	Boston College -11	Boston College	56.5	Over
2017	10/14	Louisville	42	Boston College	45	Louisville -20	Boston College	60.0	Over
2016	11/05	Boston College	7	Louisville	52	Louisville -24.5	Louisville	52.0	Over
2015	10/24	Louisville	17	Boston College	14	Louisville -8.5	Boston College	37.0	Under
2014	11/08	Boston College	19	Louisville	38	Louisville -2.5	Louisville	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisville	8	4	9 Overs
Boston College	4	8	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 4	6 - 6	4 - 4	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 8	6 - 6	2 - 2	4 - 4

(#) BC at (#) LOU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BC	LOU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#75	#52
Perf GradeGrade	#27	#39
OffenseOff	#36	#17
DefenseDef	#36	#96
Spec TeamsST	#10	#53
TalentTal	#50	#58
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Boston College Injury Report

Louisville Injury Report

Boston College on Offense


CategoryCat	BC Off	LOU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#36	#96
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#84	#64
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boston College Run Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	LOU Def
Run GameRun	#75	#106
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#11	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#72

Boston College Pass Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	LOU Def
Pass GamePass	#88	#48
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#34	#108
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Louisville on Offense


CategoryCat	LOU Off	BC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#17	#36
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#24	#63
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisville Run Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	#48	#42
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#16	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#4

Louisville Pass Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	#28	#7
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#11	#132
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Louisville -4.0 (57.5)
Louisville won vs Boston College this year (28-14)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Boston College last year (38-24)
Louisville beat Boston College in 2024 (31-27)
Louisville beat Boston College in 2023 (56-28)

BC's OC Frank Cignetti Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tem Lukabu (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

LOU's OC Scott Satterfield (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Bryan Brown (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD