UCF at Louisville - 2021 Matchup Preview
UCF logo   UCF Knights at Louisville Cardinals  Louisville logo
Friday, September 17th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
UCF -7 (67.5)
Louisville 42 - UCF: 35

 
Knights (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (13 - 35 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LOU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ LOU -3)
Projected Score: UCF: 19 - LOU: 31 (50)
UCF Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
UCF Travel: 713 miles
Cardinals (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (14 - 13)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (34 - 19 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 UCF vs Boise State-6.567.0W 36 - 31UN
Sat 9/11 UCF vs Bethune-Cookman-46.067.0W 63 - 14OY
Fri 9/17 UCF at Louisville-7.067.5L 35 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2 UCF at Navy-15.052.5L 30 - 34ON
Sat 10/9 UCF vs East Carolina-10.065.0W 20 - 16UN
Sat 10/16 UCF at Cincinnati+21.556.0L 21 - 56ON
Fri 10/22 UCF vs Memphis-1.563.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/30 UCF at Temple-12.052.0W 49 - 7OY
Sat 11/6 UCF vs Tulane-13.557.0W 14 - 10UN
Sat 11/13 UCF at SMU+7.061.5L 28 - 55ON
Sat 11/20 UCF vs UConn-30.056.0W 49 - 17OY
Fri 11/26 UCF vs South Florida-17.062.0W 17 - 13UN
Thu 12/23 UCF vs Florida+7.056.0W 29 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Louisville's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/6 Louisville vs Ole Miss+9.074.5L 24 - 43UN
Sat 9/11 Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky-30.062.5W 30 - 3UN
Fri 9/17 Louisville vs UCF+7.067.5W 42 - 35OY
Sat 9/25 Louisville at Florida State+1.561.0W 31 - 23UY
Sat 10/2 Louisville at Wake Forest+7.064.5L 34 - 37OY
Sat 10/9 Louisville vs Virginia-2.569.5L 33 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Louisville vs Boston College-4.057.5W 28 - 14UY
Sat 10/30 Louisville at NC State+6.057.0L 13 - 28UN
Sat 11/6 Louisville vs Clemson+3.546.0L 24 - 30ON
Sat 11/13 Louisville vs Syracuse-3.055.5W 41 - 3UY
Thu 11/18 Louisville at Duke-20.060.0W 62 - 22OY
Sat 11/27 Louisville vs Kentucky-3.058.0L 21 - 52ON
Tue 12/28 Louisville vs Air Force+1.055.0L 28 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.3349%24.352%3.1921146%3524.43.2146%23.646%47%4.247512.2
LOU.2743%29.943%2.8220043%2443.75.1640%21.241%39%3.5852.52.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1024.312.848.7%4.431285632113524.849%51%52%46%14%.33
LOU Defense1121.218.940.1%3.581.1 - - - - - 57%43%41%39%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1023.634.646.1%4.242.2 - - - - - 51%49%46%47%18%.21
LOU Offense1129.933.842.8%3.752.2214442002445.254%46%43%43%19%.27

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1027:3028.149%55%9.27512.27.12.6029.3
Louisville1131:2820.845%54%6.352.52.21.15.61.9026.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1049%52%44.4210.74.823.183.1986%8%0.83
LOU Defense1157%41% - - - - .072.8771%11%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1051%46% - - - - .042.8464%12%0.82
LOU Offense1154%43%38.2199.95.221.252.8272%15%1.31

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1051%46%24.440.8352.18.614.4324.471.829%38%.616%2.3
LOU Defense1143%39% - - - - - - 5.281.836%32%.387%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1049%47% - - - - - - 9.391.732%36%.46%2.1
LOU Offense1146%43%18.428.6244.28.513.32012.31.735%37%.544%2.3

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2021 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8  #62
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #60
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4  #40

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Louisville: 6.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: 4.8   Louisville: 7.8




Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 6.4 NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisville's 2021 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8  #52
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9  #24
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6  #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.8
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.6

UCF's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 31
UCF 19

Projected Total Points: 50
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.9

Louisville's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/09UCF14Louisville20UCF -5.5Louisville62.0Under
202109/17Louisville42UCF35UCF -7Louisville67.5Over
201310/18Louisville35UCF38Louisville -17.5UCF0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisville221 Overs
UCF111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 20 - 21 - 0
Road Teams2 - 12 - 10 - 12 - 0

(#) UCF at (#) LOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFLOU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #62 #52
Perf GradeGrade #61 #39
OffenseOff #69 #17
DefenseDef #39 #96
Spec TeamsST #131 #53
TalentTal #49 #58
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffLOU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #69 #96
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #60 #64
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffLOU Def
Run GameRun #47 #106
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #74 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #72
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffLOU Def
Pass GamePass #88 #48
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #6 #108
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Louisville on Offense
CategoryCatLOU OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #17 #39
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #40
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisville Run Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffUCF Def
Run GameRun #48 #49
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #16 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #113
Louisville Pass Game
CategoryCatLOU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePass #28 #23
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #11 #75
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

UCF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
UCF 7.0 (67.5)
Louisville won vs UCF this year (42-35)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UCF's OC G. J. Kinne (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC Travis Williams (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LOU's OC Scott Satterfield (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Bryan Brown (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD