Louisville at Wake Forest - 2021 Matchup Preview

Louisville Cardinals at Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Saturday, October 2nd 2021 (12:30 PM EDT)
Wake Forest -7 (64.5)
Wake Forest 37 - Louisville: 34 (ACC)

Cardinals (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (14 - 13)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (23 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LOU 2nd straight Road Game
WAKE is playing their 5th straight game
LOU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ WAKE -2)
Projected Score: LOU: 23 - WAKE: 26 (49)
WAKE Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
LOU Travel: 335 miles

Demon Deacons (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dave Clawson (43 - 45)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (28 - 17 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LOU Players
WAKE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisville's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/6	Louisville vs Ole Miss	+9.0	74.5	L 24 - 43	U	N
Sat 9/11	Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky	-30.0	62.5	W 30 - 3	U	N
Fri 9/17	Louisville vs UCF	+7.0	67.5	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Louisville at Florida State	+1.5	61.0	W 31 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Louisville at Wake Forest	+7.0	64.5	L 34 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Louisville vs Virginia	-2.5	69.5	L 33 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Louisville vs Boston College	-4.0	57.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Louisville at NC State	+6.0	57.0	L 13 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/6	Louisville vs Clemson	+3.5	46.0	L 24 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/13	Louisville vs Syracuse	-3.0	55.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Thu 11/18	Louisville at Duke	-20.0	60.0	W 62 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Louisville vs Kentucky	-3.0	58.0	L 21 - 52	O	N
Tue 12/28	Louisville vs Air Force	+1.0	55.0	L 28 - 31	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule

Wake Forest's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Wake Forest vs Old Dominion	-32.5	61.5	W 42 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/11	Wake Forest vs Norfolk State	-43.0	58.0	W 41 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/18	Wake Forest vs Florida State	-4.5	63.0	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Fri 9/24	Wake Forest at Virginia	+3.5	71.0	W 37 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Wake Forest vs Louisville	-7.0	64.5	W 37 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/9	Wake Forest at Syracuse	-5.5	59.0	W 40 - 37	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Wake Forest at Army	-3.0	53.5	W 70 - 56	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Wake Forest vs Duke	-16.5	71.5	W 45 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Wake Forest at North Carolina	+2.5	78.0	L 55 - 58	O	N
Sat 11/13	Wake Forest vs NC State	-1.0	65.0	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Wake Forest at Clemson	+3.5	57.0	L 27 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/27	Wake Forest at Boston College	-5.5	64.0	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/4	Wake Forest vs Pittsburgh	+3.5	72.5	L 21 - 45	U	N
Fri 12/31	Wake Forest vs Rutgers	-17.0	63.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU	.27	43%	29.9	43%	2.82	200	43%	244	3.75	.16	40%	21.2	41%	39%	3.58	52.5	2.2	1.1
WAKE	.23	42%	28.1	41%	2.76	166	42%	281	4.24	.22	47%	22.1	48%	45%	4.23	44.6	0.8	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WAKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Offense	11	29.9	23	42.8%	3.75	2.2	21	444	200	244	5.2	54%	46%	43%	43%	19%	.27
WAKE Defense	9	22.1	17.3	46.7%	4.23	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	48%	45%	18%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Defense	11	21.2	25.5	40.1%	3.58	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	41%	39%	17%	.16
WAKE Offense	9	28.1	28.3	41.5%	4.24	0.8	24	447	166	281	3.9	50%	50%	41%	42%	16%	.23

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisville	11	31:28	20.8	45%	54%	6.3	52.5	2.2	1.1	5.6	1.9	0	26.8
Wake Forest	9	27:23	23.6	40%	48%	5.3	44.6	0.8	1.9	7.6	1.8	4	29.1

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Offense	11	54%	43%	38.2	199.9	5.2	21	.25	2.82	72%	15%	1.31
WAKE Defense	9	54%	48%	-	-	-	-	.19	2.65	82%	12%	1.06

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Defense	11	57%	41%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.87	71%	11%	0.97
WAKE Offense	9	50%	41%	42	165.7	3.9	22	.06	2.76	80%	11%	0.87

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Offense	11	46%	43%	18.4	28.6	244.2	8.5	13.3	20	12	.3	1.7	35%	37%	.54	4%	2.3
WAKE Defense	9	46%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.24	1.5	30%	33%	.2	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Defense	11	43%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.28	1.8	36%	32%	.38	7%	2.2
WAKE Offense	9	50%	42%	19.4	34.4	281.4	8.2	14.5	14	5	.39	1.8	34%	30%	.42	6%	2.3

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisville's 2021 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #52
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #24
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: Wake Forest: 7.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 7.8 Wake Forest: 10.1

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: 7.55 NR
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wake Forest's 2021 Expected Record: -
Wake Forest's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1 #39
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #10
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #92

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Louisville's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Wake Forest 26
Louisville 23

Projected Total Points: 49

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.3

Wake Forest's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/29	Louisville	48	Wake Forest	21	Wake Forest -3	Louisville	66.5	Over
2021	10/02	Wake Forest	37	Louisville	34	Wake Forest -7	Louisville	64.5	Over
2020	12/12	Louisville	45	Wake Forest	21	Louisville -1.5	Louisville	62.5	Over
2019	10/12	Wake Forest	59	Louisville	62	Wake Forest -7	Louisville	65.0	Over
2018	10/27	Louisville	35	Wake Forest	56	Louisville -3	Wake Forest	68.0	Over
2017	10/28	Wake Forest	42	Louisville	32	Louisville -3	Wake Forest	66.5	Over
2016	11/12	Louisville	44	Wake Forest	12	Louisville -33	Wake Forest	56.5	Under
2015	10/30	Wake Forest	19	Louisville	20	Louisville -9.5	Wake Forest	44.0	Under
2014	09/27	Louisville	20	Wake Forest	10	Louisville -21	Wake Forest	0
2006	01/02	Wake Forest	13	Louisville	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wake Forest	3	5	6 Overs
Louisville	7	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 4	4 - 5	1 - 5	3 - 0
Road Teams	4 - 6	5 - 4	0 - 3	5 - 1

(#) LOU at (#) WAKE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LOU	WAKE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#52	#39
Perf GradeGrade	#39	#20
OffenseOff	#17	#10
DefenseDef	#96	#54
Spec TeamsST	#53	#80
TalentTal	#58	#62
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Louisville Injury Report

Wake Forest Injury Report

Louisville on Offense


CategoryCat	LOU Off	WAKE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#17	#54
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#24	#92
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisville Run Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	WAKE Def
Run GameRun	#48	#74
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#16	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#68

Louisville Pass Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	WAKE Def
Pass GamePass	#28	#28
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#11	#64
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Wake Forest on Offense


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	LOU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#10	#96
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#10	#64
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wake Forest Run Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	LOU Def
Run GameRun	#61	#106
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#45	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#72

Wake Forest Pass Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	LOU Def
Pass GamePass	#8	#48
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#13	#108
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WAKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Wake Forest -7.0 (64.5)
Wake Forest won vs Louisville this year (37-34)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

LOU's OC Scott Satterfield (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Bryan Brown (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WAKE's OC Warren Ruggiero (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC Lyle Hemphill (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD