Massachusetts at Kent State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Massachusetts logo Massachusetts Minutemen at Kent State Golden FlashesKent State logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (2:30 PM EDT)
Kent State -1.5 (49.5) (-115)  Open: -3.0
Kent State 42 - Massachusetts: 6  (Mid-American)

 
Minutemen (0 - 12) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Joe Harasymiak (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (9 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 12 (#136)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Our Line: Kent State -14.5  (SP+ KENT -17)
Projected Score: UMASS: 18 - KENT: 32 (50)
KENT Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
UMASS Travel: 460 miles
Golden Flashes (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Kenni Burns (1 - 23)
Avg Score : 21 - 34 (26 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
 
Massachusetts's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Massachusetts vs Temple+3.051.5L 10 - 42ON
Sat 9/6 Massachusetts vs Bryant-14.552.0L 26 - 27ON
Sat 9/13 Massachusetts at Iowa+35.544.5L 7 - 47ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Massachusetts at Missouri+44.557.5L 6 - 42UY
Sat 10/4 Massachusetts vs Western Michigan+12.546.5L 3 - 21UN
Sat 10/11 Massachusetts at Kent State+1.549.5L 6 - 42UN
Sat 10/18 Massachusetts vs Buffalo+16.547.5L 21 - 28OY
Sat 10/25 Massachusetts at Central Michigan+16.546.5L 13 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Massachusetts at Akron+12.551.5L 10 - 44ON
Wed 11/12 Massachusetts vs Northern Illinois+8.543.5L 3 - 45ON
Tue 11/18 Massachusetts at Ohio+34.553.5L 14 - 42OY
Tue 11/25 Massachusetts vs Bowling Green+14.044.5L 14 - 45ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Kent State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Kent State vs Merrimack-5.550.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Kent State at Texas Tech+48.560.0L 14 - 62OY
Sat 9/13 Kent State vs Buffalo+23.548.5L 28 - 31OY
Sat 9/20 Kent State at Florida State+44.556.5L 10 - 66ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Kent State at Oklahoma+46.553.5L 0 - 44UY
Sat 10/11 Kent State vs Massachusetts-1.549.5W 42 - 6UY
Sat 10/18 Kent State at Toledo+25.548.5L 10 - 45ON
Sat 10/25 Kent State vs Bowling Green+7.547.5W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Kent State at Ball State+3.048.5L 13 - 17UN
Tue 11/11 Kent State at Akron+7.549.5W 42 - 35OY
Wed 11/19 Kent State vs Central Michigan+7.550.5L 16 - 28UN
Fri 11/28 Kent State at Northern Illinois+5.045.0W 35 - 31OY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS#69 (.19)41% (94)11.143% (78)3.1 (50)16438% (110)1823.73 (89)#114 (.26)46% (116)38.651% (128)40% (71)4.66 (129)63.20.80.8
KENT#131 (.01)30% (134)21.333% (132)2.57 (128)7829% (134)1552.89 (130)#133 (.35)50% (131)33.650% (123)51% (130)4.34 (115)35.71.70.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
KENT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense1211.19.340.8%3.730.8203461641824.156%44%43%38%17%.19
KENT Defense1233.620.650.1%4.340.9 - - - - - 55%45%50%51%12%.35
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Defense1238.642.546.3%4.660.8 - - - - - 60%39%51%40%14%.26
KENT Offense1221.326.230.5%2.891.713233781552.447%51%33%29%28%.01

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Massachusetts1232:1919.738%58%7.363.20.80.84.11.3125.4
Kent State1226:5212.919%38%4.835.71.70.94.71.5027.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense1256% (27)43% (78)40.21644.118 (78).16 (53)3.1 (50)74% (62)11% (95)0.96 (68)
KENT Defense1255% (113)50% (123) - - - - .3 (132)3.58 (133)81% (115)8% (111)1.13 (122)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense1260% (133)51% (128) - - - - .25 (125)3.51 (131)87% (131)8% (113)0.95 (52)
KENT Offense1247% (91)33% (132)32.377.52.43 (134)-.07 (132)2.57 (128)61% (123)19% (134)0.95 (72)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense1244% (109)38% (110)15.627.3181.86.711.714 (108)6 (10).23 (81)1.7 (22)33% (87)32% (57).34 (69)6% (80)2 (98)
KENT Defense1245% (25)51% (130) - - - - - - 4 (125).41 (126)1.5 (23)28% (124)38% (127).42 (109)4% (127)1.8 (15)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense1239% (2)40% (71) - - - - - - 6 (109).29 (100)1.7 (112)28% (118)28% (29).27 (51)6% (72)2.1 (89)
KENT Offense1251% (54)29% (134)11.624.5155.46.313.418 (68)13 (103).14 (109)2.1 (2)41% (134)19% (134).11 (132)8% (128)2.7 (1)

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -26.33  #136
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: -0.22  #135
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 26.11  #133
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00  #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Massachusetts's 2025 Expected Record: 0.0 - 12.0
Massachusetts's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -36.6  #136
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 7.8  #136
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 42.8  #136

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -26.33   Kent State: -16.99

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -36.6   Kent State: -19.3




Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -16.99  #129
Kent State's Offense Rating: 2.18  #128
Kent State's Defense Rating: 21.86  #120
2025 Talent Rating: 516.00  #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Kent State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kent State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.3  #130
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0  #125
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9  #120

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.3
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5

Massachusetts's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 12
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Kent State 32
Massachusetts 18


Projected Total Points: 50
Kent State Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.2
Defense: 33.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Kent State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Kent State42Massachusetts6Kent State -1.5Kent State49.5Under
201510/17Massachusetts10Kent State15UMass -5Kent State55.5Under
201410/11Kent State17Massachusetts40Kent State -1.5Massachusetts0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kent State220 Overs
Massachusetts112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams2 - 12 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#136) UMASS at (#129) KENT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUMASSKENT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #136 #129
SP+SP+ #136 #130
Perf GradeGrade #136 #128
OffenseOff #136 #119
DefenseDef #130 #126
Spec TeamsST #123 #116
TalentTal #109 #115
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
Massachusetts Notes
(11/4) Killed by Akron, 169 total yds, 3 TOs. Worst FBS
(10/31) Worst program in CFB, but fair everyone is hurt
(10/31) UMass disgrace to MAC, should drop to FCS
(10/30) Only competitive in 2 games & 1 was L to Bryant
(10/24) 13 starters from Week 1 are out now.
(10/15) Have not scored 7+ points in any game over a month
(10/12) Blown out by Kent? UMass is worst team in CFB
(10/12) There is nothing here to like or fear. Mid FCS at best
(9/25) DBs are extremely banged up, moving CB to S
(9/25) 17 pts vs 2 FBS teams, 0 in the 2nd half
(9/25) QB1 B Rose is out, Hairston & Jordan playing
(8/30) Killed by Temple? Barely 300 yds, gave up 450+
Massachusetts Injury Report
Kent State Notes
(11/28) Beat NIU to finish 4-3. Incredible job by Mark Carney
(11/5) Coaching malpractice by Carney vs Ball St
(11/5) Blew game vs Ball St. Coaching & stupidity
(10/31) Huge W over BG, but BG had no one at QB
(10/31) WR Cade Wolford a name to know, 26.3 ypc, 6 TD
(10/31) QB Deshields can play, just so bad on OL/DL
(10/30) Mark Carney interim no more, permanent HC
(9/13) Off much improved vs Buffalo. Impressive
(9/10) Two QB system w/ Deshields and Montes. Meh
(9/6) Physically does not look like FBS level ball
(8/30) QB DeShields/Montes meh, Run Off awful
(4/11) HC Burns fired, OC Carney Int HC for '25
Kent State Injury Report
Massachusetts on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UMASS OffKENT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #136 #126
SuccessSuc #94 #131
ExplosiveExp #72 #79
PPAPPA #69 #133
PowerPwr #135 #120
SP+SP+ #136 #120
Pts POPPO #89 #115
HavocHav #95 #127
Massachusetts Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UMASS OffKENT Def
Run GameRun #134 #122
Run SuccessRSuc #78 #123
Run ExplRExp #68 #122
PPAExp #53 #132
Run BlockR Blk #109 -
OL YdsOLY #50 #133
Stuff RateStuff #38 #133
TackleTak -  #98
Massachusetts Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UMASS OffKENT Def
Pass GamePass #112 #132
Pass SuccessPSuc #110 #130
Pass ExplPExl #22 #23
PPAExp #81 #126
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #134 #58
F7 HavocF7 #95 #111
DB HavocDB #80 #127
Kent State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatKENT OffUMASS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #119 #130
SuccessSuc #134 #116
ExplosiveExp #1 #41
PPAPPA #131 #114
PowerPwr #128 #133
SP+SP+ #125 #136
Pts POPPO #130 #129
HavocHav #134 #106
Kent State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
KENT OffUMASS Def
Run GameRun #128 #117
Run SuccessRSuc #132 #128
Run ExplRExp #72 #52
PPAExp #132 #125
Run BlockR Blk #96 -
OL YdsOLY #128 #131
Stuff RateStuff #126 #131
TackleTak -  #78
Kent State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatKENT OffUMASS Def
Pass GamePass #108 #135
Pass SuccessPSuc #134 #71
Pass ExplPExl #2 #112
PPAExp #109 #100
Pass Block/RushP Blk #136 #60
F7 HavocF7 #134 #113
DB HavocDB #128 #72
Program Comparison
KENT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dix Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 65° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Kent State -1.5 (49.5)
Kent State won vs Massachusetts this year (42-6)

Previous Matchups
Kent State beat Massachusetts last year (42-6)

  
UMASS's OC Mike Bajakian (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Hairston10721650%957444.4
Grant Jordan (Tr)6311057%595325.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brandon Hood (Tr)9836823.890
Rocko Griffin (Tr)5324524.643
Elijah Faulkner4011402.914
Juwuan Price2610103.927
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacquon Gibson6361609.850
Donnie Gray (Tr)2726009.641
Max Dowling (Tr)20199310.077
Jake McConnachie (Tr)1614409.021

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC Jared Keyte (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martin973002
Derrieon Craig781112
Zeraun Daniel (Tr)753002
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)694222
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques White4311531
David Onuoha (Tr)425320
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)694222
Tim Grant-Randall273221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martin973002
Brennen Bailey181002
Derrieon Craig781112

KENT's OC Mark Carney (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dru Deshields13624057%20301838.5
CJ Montes (Tr)101953%140117.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Garcia14664734.445
Jordan Nubin (Tr)7925313.225
Jahzae Kimbrough399702.512
Cade Wolford129718.131
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Wolford19509726.879
Dashawn Martin33507415.475
Wayne Harris35383110.942
Ardell Banks12205217.138

View Kent State's Full Roster

KENT's DC Kody Morgan (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Woods9411231
CJ Young898323
Joel Cordoba662011
Jaire Rawlison522106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamond Mathis (Tr)288663
CJ Young898323
Jelani Davis (Tr)244340
Mason Woods9411231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaire Rawlison522106
Terrell Miller301006
Jamond Mathis (Tr)288663