Kent State at Northern Illinois - 2025 Matchup Preview
Kent State logo Kent State Golden Flashes at Northern Illinois HuskiesNorthern Illinois logo
Friday, November 28th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium - DeKalb, IL  (Mid-American)

 
Golden Flashes (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Mark Carney (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 37 (14 - 62 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
NIU 2nd straight Home Game
NIU is playing their 4th straight game
KENT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Northern Illinois -15.5   (SP+ NIU -11)

Projected Score: KENT: 18 - NIU: 33 (51)
NIU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
KENT Travel: 390 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Huskies (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (31 - 38)
Avg Score : 14 - 19 (19 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#60)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
 
Kent State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Kent State vs Merrimack-5.550.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Kent State at Texas Tech+48.560.0L 14 - 62OY
Sat 9/13 Kent State vs Buffalo+23.548.5L 28 - 31OY
Sat 9/20 Kent State at Florida State+45.555.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Kent State at Oklahoma+49
Sat 10/11 Kent State vs Massachusetts-6.5
Sat 10/18 Kent State at Toledo+30
Sat 10/25 Kent State vs Bowling Green+6
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Kent State at Ball State+0
Tue 11/11 Kent State at Akron+3
Wed 11/19 Kent State vs Central Michigan-4.5
Fri 11/28 Kent State at Northern Illinois+15.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule
Northern Illinois's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Northern Illinois vs Holy Cross-13.548.5W 19 - 17UN
Fri 9/5 Northern Illinois at Maryland+17.044.5L 9 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Northern Illinois at Mississippi State+21.549.5
Sat 9/27 Northern Illinois vs San Diego State-1
Sat 10/4 Northern Illinois vs Miami (OH)-8
Sat 10/11 Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan-9
Sat 10/18 Northern Illinois at Ohio+3.5
Sat 10/25 Northern Illinois vs Ball State-18
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Northern Illinois at Toledo+17
Wed 11/12 Northern Illinois at Massachusetts-14.5
Tue 11/18 Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan-13.5
Fri 11/28 Northern Illinois vs Kent State-15.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENT#135 (-.08)29% (134)2126% (135)1.91 (133)10233% (116)2152.33 (126)#92 (.18)39% (66)36.740% (76)38% (58)4 (89)47.711
NIU#112 (.07)32% (131)1433% (125)2.73 (92)18031% (127)1003.2 (110)#10 (-.1)36% (46)18.535% (39)37% (52)2.09 (16)51.50.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENT#131 (.01)30% (134)33% (132)2.57 (128)7829% (134)1552.89 (130)#133 (.35)50% (131)50% (123)51% (130)4.34 (115)35.71.70.9
NIU#86 (.16)42% (79)44% (72)3.25 (33)20440% (86)1793.39 (113)#11 (.06)38% (19)41% (52)35% (9)3.08 (12)42.81.21.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENT Offense3211429.3%2.331153171022152.756%44%26%33%18%-.08
NIU Defense218.51736.1%2.091 - - - - - 43%56%35%37%16%-.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENT Defense336.76239%41 - - - - - 48%52%40%38%10%.18
NIU Offense2141931.7%3.20.5152801801003.865%35%33%31%13%.07

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kent State331:541532%44%6.347.71141127
Northern Illinois233:301532%67%6.551.50.5151127
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENT Offense356% (38)26% (135)38102.32.73 (95)-.19 (135)1.91 (133)57% (114)12% (116)0.66 (129)
NIU Defense243% (23)35% (39) - - - - -.27 (3)2.11 (17)75% (80)9% (80)0.55 (3)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENT Defense348% (54)40% (76) - - - - .14 (99)2.65 (53)44% (15)7% (115)1.09 (96)
NIU Offense265% (8)33% (125)471803.82 (109).11 (81)2.73 (92)89% (16)10% (91)1.24 (25)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENT Offense344% (95)33% (116)1525.72158.414.35 (54)1 (23).06 (123)2 (6)39% (126)16% (131)-.09 (134)6% (92)2.6 (8)
NIU Defense256% (114)37% (52) - - - - - - 1 (87).08 (32)1.5 (75)29% (112)35% (108).58 (122)7% (51)2.5 (126)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENT Defense352% (84)38% (58) - - - - - - 1 (87).22 (70)1.5 (68)33% (62)40% (124).44 (105)3% (125)1.6 (33)
NIU Offense235% (129)31% (127)14231004.47.10 (133)1 (23).08 (120)1.5 (69)39% (124)22% (119).29 (81)3% (23)2.5 (16)

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -17.82 #124
Kent State's Offense Rating: -0.51 #135
Kent State's Defense Rating: 17.31 #107
2025 Talent Rating: 516.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Kent State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Kent State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.7 #130
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #122
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.6 #130

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -17.82   Northern Illinois: -4.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -21.7   Northern Illinois: -10.4




Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -4.21 #86
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 1.78 #125
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 4.80 #54
2025 Talent Rating: 526.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Northern Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8
Northern Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #130
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Kent State Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 36.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 62

Kent State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Northern Illinois 33
Kent State 18


Total Points: 51

Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense at Home: 19
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Northern Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/25Kent State27Northern Illinois37Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -20.5Kent State44.5Over
202111/03Kent State52Northern Illinois47Kent StateKent State -3.5Kent State72.0Over
202112/04Northern Illinois41Kent State23Northern IllinoisKent State -3.5Northern Illinois75.5Under
201710/07Northern Illinois24Kent State3Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -23.5Kent State44.5Under
201611/25Kent State21Northern Illinois31Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -5Northern Illinois45.5Over
201410/04Northern Illinois17Kent State14Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -22Kent State0
201310/05Kent State24Northern Illinois38Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -9.5Northern Illinois0
201211/30Kent State37Northern Illinois44Northern Illinois
201110/08Northern Illinois40Kent State10Northern Illinois
200811/18Kent State14Northern Illinois42Northern Illinois
200711/10Northern Illinois27Kent State20Northern Illinois
200510/22Kent State3Northern Illinois34Northern Illinois
200209/28Northern Illinois13Kent State6Northern Illinois
200110/13Kent State44Northern Illinois34Kent State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northern Illinois1233 Overs
Kent State242 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 63 - 41 - 22 - 2
Road Teams6 - 84 - 32 - 22 - 1

(#124) Kent State Info
Power Rating: -17.82 #124
Offense Rating: -0.51 #135
Defense Rating: 17.31 #107
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.7 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.6 #130
Talent Rating: 516.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 29%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.33 PPO
Awful Run Success 26%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Awful OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 39%
Poor in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Kent State has lost 10 straight
Kent State has lost 6 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Kent State Notes
(9/10) Two QB system w/ Deshields and Montes. Meh
(9/6) Physically does not look like FBS level ball
(8/30) QB DeShields/Montes meh, Run Off awful
(4/11) HC Burns fired, OC Carney Int HC for '25
(3/26) QB Kargman some exp, glorious hair
(3/26) RB rebuild, awful LY, Nubin (Minn) added.
(3/26) WR rebuild, surprisingly decent depth/options
(3/26) OL worst in CFB, 3/5 back, only 2 portals?
(3/26) Def near worst, 6 portals, 4 DBs
(3/26) Worst CFB team of last 4 years LY

Kent State Highlights

Kent State Deficiencies
Kent State Can Not Run the Ball (#122)
Kent State offense is really bad (#134)
Kent State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#126)
Kent State run game is really bad (#135)
Kent State pass game is really bad (#116)
Kent State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Kent State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Kent State does not Sack the QB (#112)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNIUKENT
OverallOver#102#99
OffenseOff#105#111
DefenseDef#82#65
Special TeamsST#94#107
PassingPass#102#55
RushingRush#63#107
Run BlockRBLK#111#116
Pass BlockPBLK#108#119
Route RunningWR Rt#98#76
TacklingTkl#50#44
Run DefenseR Def#67#38
Pass Rush DefPRush#67#84
Coverage DefCov#93#79

Previous Matchups
Northern Illinois beat Kent State in 2023 (37-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: KENT | NIU
Depth Chart: KENT | NIU
Rosters: KENT | NIU
(#86) Northern Illinois Info
Power Rating: -4.21 #86
Offense Rating: 1.78 #125
Defense Rating: 4.80 #54
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Talent Rating: 526.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 35%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 32%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.2 PPO
Awful Run Success 33%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 2.09 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Northern Illinois has lost 10 straight
Northern Illinois has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Northern Illinois Notes
(8/30) Slog W over Holy Cross. 3.7 ypc, 4.5 ypp. Woof
(5/5) Portal QB Proctor (Dart) exciting, joins in summer
(5/5) QB1 Holst won spring, started 3 games LY
(5/5) WR Bryant, Pardridge and Givens top 3 spring
(5/5) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 2 more w/ exp. Lost 5 Srs
(4/27) Staff high on Fr QB Brady Davidson, best croot
(3/26) RB rebuild, Johnson/Poe have exp, some depth
(3/26) Def good LY, replacing all. Only 2 portals, CBs
(3/26) Hammock good, but lost most exp in CFB

Northern Illinois Highlights
Northern Illinois is Undefeated at Home

Northern Illinois defense is really good in red zone (#16)
Northern Illinois Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#12)
Northern Illinois Defensive Line is very good (#17)
Northern Illinois has a great TO Margin (#11)
Northern Illinois commits very few Penalties (#30)

Northern Illinois Deficiencies
Northern Illinois has a really bad Offense
Northern Illinois has a really bad Offense at Home
Northern Illinois Can Not Run the Ball (#106)
Northern Illinois offense is really bad (#131)
Northern Illinois Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#106)
Northern Illinois offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#110)
Northern Illinois run game is really bad (#125)
Northern Illinois pass game is really bad (#127)
Northern Illinois offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Northern Illinois does not Sack the QB (#122)


  
Kent State's OC Mark Carney
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dru Deshields355761%513409.0
CJ Montes (Tr)101953%140117.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Garcia4513503.011
Dru Deshields246122.510
Jahzae Kimbrough164502.812
Maurice Stephens131131.031
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Wolford7223431.979
Terik Mulder (Tr)789112.750
Wayne Harris775010.727
Ardell Banks475018.838

View Kent State's Full Roster
Kent State's DC Kody Morgan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Young210020
Mason Woods202010
Jaire Rawlison192002
Joel Cordoba160010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A.J. Campbell62100
Jamond Mathis (Tr)61150
Jelani Davis (Tr)62110
Thomas Aden (Tr)61100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaire Rawlison192002
Terrell Miller30002
Darian Blachewicz31001

Northern Illinois's OC Wesley Beschorner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Holst264065%192014.8
Jackson Proctor (Tr)2633%8001.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Chavon Wright3816714.445
Telly Johnson Jr.3115314.974
Jaylen Poe222011.021
DeAree Rogers122022.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
DeAree Rogers108908.925
Gary Givens III226013.015
Jaylen Poe52404.89
Telly Johnson Jr.31906.317

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster
Northern Illinois's DC Nick Benedetto
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quinton Urwiler201100
Muhammed Jammeh110001
Filip Maciorowski111001
Ty Myles82000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Roy Williams61120
Quinton Urwiler201100
Marc Pretto51100
Trey Porter30000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Muhammed Jammeh110001
Alvin Gulley Jr.00001
Donte Harrison62001