Georgia Southern at Marshall - 2025 Matchup Preview

Georgia Southern Eagles at Marshall Thundering Herd

Saturday, November 29th 2025 (1:30 PM EST)
Marshall -10.5 (61.5) (-425) Open: -6.5 | 60.5
Georgia Southern 24 - Marshall: 19 (Sun Belt)

Eagles (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Clay Helton (20 - 18)
Avg Score : 28 - 32 (20 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)

MRSH is playing their 5th straight game
GASO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Marshall -8 (SP+ MRSH -6)
Projected Score: GASO: 26 - MRSH: 34 (60)
MRSH Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
GASO Travel: 417 miles

Thundering Herd (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tony Gibson (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
GASO Players
MRSH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Southern's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Georgia Southern at Fresno State	+2.5	54.5	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/6	Georgia Southern at USC	+29.0	61.5	L 20 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/13	Georgia Southern vs Jacksonville State	-3.0	59.0	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Georgia Southern vs Maine	-22.0	57.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Georgia Southern at James Madison	+14.5	54.5	L 10 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	Georgia Southern vs Southern Miss	+3.0	59.5	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Georgia Southern vs Georgia State	-6.5	58.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/25	Georgia Southern at Arkansas State	-1.5	59.5	L 24 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6	Georgia Southern at App State	+4.5	62.5	W 25 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/15	Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina	-3.0	59.5	W 45 - 40	O	Y
Sat 11/22	Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion	+10.0	62.0	L 10 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/29	Georgia Southern at Marshall	+10.5	61.5	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Mon 12/29	Georgia Southern vs App State	-10.0	58.5	W 29 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 1

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule

Marshall's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Marshall at Georgia	+39.5	55.5	L 7 - 45	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Marshall vs Missouri State	-7.0	53.5	L 20 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/13	Marshall vs Eastern Kentucky	-14.5	49.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Marshall at Middle Tennessee	-2.5	46.5	W 42 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Marshall at Louisiana	-2.5	47.5	L 51 - 54	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Marshall vs Old Dominion	+14.5	57.5	W 48 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Marshall vs Texas State	+3.0	65.5	W 40 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30	Marshall at Coastal Carolina	-7.5	55.5	L 27 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/8	Marshall vs James Madison	+13.5	53.5	L 23 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/15	Marshall at Georgia State	-9.5	59.5	W 30 - 18	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Marshall at App State	-3.5	57.5	L 24 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/29	Marshall vs Georgia Southern	-10.5	61.5	L 19 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO	#39 (.21)	45% (41)	27.9	46% (43)	3.2 (22)	137	45% (36)	234	4.01 (40)	#133 (.3)	49% (133)	32.3	51% (134)	47% (125)	4.45 (130)	47.3	0.9	1.2
MRSH	#58 (.19)	45% (37)	30.8	43% (68)	3.05 (47)	198	48% (17)	208	3.89 (53)	#65 (.16)	39% (33)	30.3	37% (12)	42% (73)	3.62 (64)	59.9	1.3	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO	#68 (.19)	43% (65)		46% (44)	2.84 (101)	128	40% (85)	238	4.57 (17)	#105 (.23)	45% (108)		47% (109)	44% (102)	3.81 (71)	48.3	1.7	1.5
MRSH	#60 (.21)	43% (66)		45% (47)	3.35 (18)	203	40% (88)	181	3.93 (66)	#47 (.13)	40% (46)		43% (75)	37% (21)	3.87 (79)	42.5	0.7	1.5

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Offense	13	27.9	19.5	45%	4.01	0.9	20	371	137	234	4.2	49%	49%	46%	45%	14%	.21
MRSH Defense	12	30.3	24.7	38.9%	3.62	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	37%	42%	16%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Defense	13	32.3	35.3	49.1%	4.45	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	51%	47%	15%	.3
MRSH Offense	12	30.8	31.3	45.1%	3.89	1.3	21	406	198	208	4.8	57%	42%	43%	48%	13%	.19

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Southern	13	27:09	20.4	45%	53%	5	47.3	0.9	1.2	4.3	0.9	1	28.5
Marshall	12	30:05	21.3	35%	44%	6.8	59.9	1.3	1.8	6.1	2.3	3	32.2

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Offense	13	49% (75)	46% (43)	32.5	136.7	4.2	16 (60)	.16 (45)	3.2 (22)	73% (60)	9% (54)	0.92 (87)
MRSH Defense	12	51% (76)	37% (12)	-	-	-	-	.04 (28)	2.6 (16)	63% (17)	10% (53)	0.99 (88)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Defense	13	51% (86)	51% (134)	-	-	-	-	.28 (135)	3.4 (134)	74% (88)	9% (83)	1.07 (116)
MRSH Offense	12	57% (19)	43% (68)	41.4	198.2	4.8	23 (40)	.05 (100)	3.05 (47)	63% (120)	8% (38)	0.85 (119)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Offense	13	49% (66)	45% (36)	19.6	31.1	233.8	7.5	11.9	25 (33)	8 (88)	.3 (48)	1.6 (64)	29% (38)	36% (20)	.46 (17)	5% (30)	2.1 (59)
MRSH Defense	12	48% (59)	42% (73)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (12)	.33 (109)	1.8 (133)	34% (37)	29% (66)	.21 (35)	6% (81)	1.9 (42)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Defense	13	47% (55)	47% (125)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (75)	.37 (117)	1.5 (54)	29% (105)	37% (133)	.36 (101)	6% (73)	1.8 (20)
MRSH Offense	12	42% (117)	48% (17)	18.2	27.9	207.9	7.5	11.4	18 (50)	6 (7)	.38 (28)	1.5 (84)	28% (23)	31% (61)	.31 (65)	5% (25)	2.1 (33)

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -11.87 #118
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 11.75 #53
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 23.62 #135
2025 Talent Rating: 586.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Georgia Southern's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 6.5
Georgia Southern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3 #111
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #66
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #131

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -11.87 Marshall: -3.78

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -11.3 Marshall: -5.2

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -3.78 #96
Marshall's Offense Rating: 4.53 #94
Marshall's Defense Rating: 11.89 #93
2025 Talent Rating: 608.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Marshall's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Marshall's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #89
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #54
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #121

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 27.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.5
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Georgia Southern's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Marshall 34
Georgia Southern 26

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia Southern 29
Marshall 28

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Marshall 33
Georgia Southern 26

Total Points: 59

Marshall Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

Marshall's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Marshall	19	Georgia Southern	24	Marshall -10.5	Georgia Southern	61.5	Under
2024	10/12	Georgia Southern	24	Marshall	23	Georgia Southern -1	Push	58.5	Under
2023	11/11	Marshall	38	Georgia Southern	33	Georgia Southern -1.5	Marshall	56.5	Over
2022	11/19	Georgia Southern	10	Marshall	23	Marshall -6	Marshall	52.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Marshall	2	2	1 Overs
Georgia Southern	2	1	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0

(#118) GASO at (#96) MRSH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GASO	MRSH
Power RatePwr	#118	#96
SP+SP+	#111	#89
Perf GradeGrade	#112	#57
OffenseOff	#61	#80
DefenseDef	#134	#31
Spec TeamsST	#115	#106
TalentTal	#99	#92
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#65

Georgia Southern Notes(10/22) DL is statistically bottom 5 in CFB, line yds & havoc
(10/22) Defense is worst in CFB in Success Rate, Off Avg
(10/9) French 3 INT, team 12 flags, comeback short vs USM
(8/25) Will stay out West between @ Fresno & USC
(8/1) Two West coast games to open. Impact?
(8/1) QB French way to many TOs under pressure LY
(8/1) QB/RB/WR combo great potential as tops in SBC
(8/1) DBs could be strong TY but F7 has lots of ?
(7/12) Helton QBs are historically TO prone
(4/7) WR Brown (Aub) impressive. QB as good depth
(3/24) QB French back. Helton (WKU) added
(3/24) RB Arnold, Mbadinga exp'd. Gibbs big croot
Georgia Southern Injury Report

Marshall Notes(10/19) Avg 44 PPG in last 5, won last 2 as underdogs
(10/12) Off scorching hot, killed ODU, pass/run 220+
(9/21) Killed M Tenn, QB Del Rio-Wilson good/efficient
(8/30) Turner/Long/Rio-Wilson all played vs UGA
(8/26) QB1 Del Rio-Wilson, J. Long, Z. Turner listed OR
(8/1) Year 0 for Gibson & staff, 62 new players
(8/1) WR added 11 portals! Scattered not great
(8/1) Def complete rebuild. 30 portal adds (of 59!)
(8/1) HC Huff pushed out, opted out of bowl
(8/1) New OC Smith was RichRod's OC @ Jax St
(3/22) 3/4 of roster is new, along with staff
(3/22) QB Rio-Wilson(SU), Turner(JS), Shockey(NC St)
Marshall Injury Report

Georgia Southern on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	GASO Off	MRSH Def
Perf GradePerf	#61	#31
SuccessSuc	#41	#33
ExplosiveExp	#67	#129
PPAPPA	#39	#65
PowerPwr	#53	#93
SP+SP+	#66	#121
Pts POPPO	#40	#64
HavocHav	#44	#67

Georgia Southern Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	GASO Off	MRSH Def
Run GameRun	#71	#6
Run SuccessRSuc	#43	#12
Run ExplRExp	#87	#88
PPAExp	#45	#28
Run BlockR Blk	#61	-
OL YdsOLY	#22	#16
Stuff RateStuff	#45	#25
TackleTak	-	#35

Georgia Southern Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	GASO Off	MRSH Def
Pass GamePass	#75	#61
Pass SuccessPSuc	#36	#73
Pass ExplPExl	#64	#133
PPAExp	#48	#109
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#20	#87
F7 HavocF7	#54	#53
DB HavocDB	#30	#81

Marshall on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	GASO Def
Perf GradePerf	#80	#134
SuccessSuc	#37	#133
ExplosiveExp	#120	#82
PPAPPA	#58	#133
PowerPwr	#94	#135
SP+SP+	#54	#131
Pts POPPO	#53	#130
HavocHav	#30	#84

Marshall Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	#94	#136
Run SuccessRSuc	#68	#134
Run ExplRExp	#119	#116
PPAExp	#100	#135
Run BlockR Blk	#103	-
OL YdsOLY	#47	#134
Stuff RateStuff	#47	#116
TackleTak	-	#79

Marshall Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	#66	#81
Pass SuccessPSuc	#17	#125
Pass ExplPExl	#84	#54
PPAExp	#28	#117
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#69	#133
F7 HavocF7	#38	#83
DB HavocDB	#25	#73

Program Comparison
MRSH 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

GASO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 44° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 14
Marshall -10.5 (61.5)
Georgia Southern won at Marshall this year (24-19)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Southern beat Marshall last year (24-23)
Marshall beat Georgia Southern in 2023 (38-33)
Marshall beat Georgia Southern in 2022 (23-10)

GASO's OC Ryan Aplin (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
JC French	231	365	63%	2753	19	8	7.5
Turner Helton (Tr)	14	26	54%	74	1	0	2.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
OJ Arnold	133	885	5	6.7	62
JC French	121	277	6	2.3	21
David Mbadinga	49	196	1	4.0	16
Taeo Todd	26	102	0	3.9	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Camden Brown (Tr)	63	1049	14	16.7	73
Marcus Sanders Jr.	45	725	4	16.1	52
Dalen Cobb	52	471	3	9.1	43
OJ Arnold	17	201	1	11.8	41

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC Brandon Bailey (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jusfin Meyers	82	1	1	5
Brandon Tyson (Tr)	79	2	6	2
Brendan Harrington (Tr)	77	2	0	3
Ayden Jackson	71	4	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
MJ Stroud	31	15	7	6	2
Caleb Moore (Tr)	21	3	2	2	1
CJ Allen	16	2	1	1	0
Devin Collier	20	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tracy Hill Jr.	39	4	1	0	6
Jusfin Meyers	82	1	0	1	5
Elijah McDowell	8	0	0	0	4

MRSH's OC Rod Smith (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson (Tr)	171	256	67%	2043	17	5	8.0
Zion Turner (Tr)	40	59	68%	409	1	1	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson (Tr)	159	658	6	4.1	24
Antwan Roberts	90	512	4	5.7	54
Michael Allen (Tr)	77	385	4	5.0	68
Joshon Barbie	56	249	5	4.4	28

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Demarcus Lacey (Tr)	65	769	5	11.8	68
De'Andre Tamarez (Tr)	32	395	2	12.3	44
Toby Payne	36	387	3	10.8	48
Adrian Norton (Tr)	28	383	5	13.7	41

View Marshall's Full Roster

MRSH's DC Shannon Morrison (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Boogie Trotter	73	3	1	3	5
Kerion Martin (Tr)	67	6	2	7	1
Cameron Smith (Tr)	66	5	2	3	8
Javae Gilmore (Tr)	56	10	2	8	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Braydin Ward	18	6	5	4	2
Paul Hutson III (Tr)	37	6	3	3	0
Jibreel Al-Amin (Tr)	51	6	3	4	2
Jamaal Whyce (Tr)	29	5	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Smith (Tr)	66	5	2	3	8
Boogie Trotter	73	3	1	3	5
Daytione Smith	50	2	0	0	4