Northern Illinois at Massachusetts - 2025 Matchup Preview
Northern Illinois logo Northern Illinois Huskies at Massachusetts MinutemenMassachusetts logo
Wednesday, November 12th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium - Hadley, MA

 
Huskies (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (31 - 38)
Avg Score : 14 - 19 (9 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#60)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
NIU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Northern Illinois -14.5   (SP+ NIU -18.5)

Projected Score: NIU: 28 - UMASS: 14 (42)
NIU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
NIU Travel: 831 miles, 1 hrs behind
Minutemen (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Joe Harasymiak (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 39 (18 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#135)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
 
Northern Illinois's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Northern Illinois vs Holy Cross-13.548.5W 19 - 17UN
Fri 9/5 Northern Illinois at Maryland+17.044.5L 9 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Northern Illinois at Mississippi State+21.549.5
Sat 9/27 Northern Illinois vs San Diego State-1
Sat 10/4 Northern Illinois vs Miami (OH)-8
Sat 10/11 Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan-9
Sat 10/18 Northern Illinois at Ohio+3.5
Sat 10/25 Northern Illinois vs Ball State-18
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Northern Illinois at Toledo+17
Wed 11/12 Northern Illinois at Massachusetts-14.5
Tue 11/18 Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan-13.5
Fri 11/28 Northern Illinois vs Kent State-15.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Massachusetts's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Massachusetts vs Temple+3.051.5L 10 - 42ON
Sat 9/6 Massachusetts vs Bryant-14.552.0L 26 - 27ON
Sat 9/13 Massachusetts at Iowa+35.544.5L 7 - 47ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Massachusetts at Missouri+50.5
Sat 10/4 Massachusetts vs Western Michigan+4
Sat 10/11 Massachusetts at Kent State+6.5
Sat 10/18 Massachusetts vs Buffalo+16.5
Sat 10/25 Massachusetts at Central Michigan+5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Massachusetts at Akron+7
Wed 11/12 Massachusetts vs Northern Illinois+14.5
Tue 11/18 Massachusetts at Ohio+20.5
Tue 11/25 Massachusetts vs Bowling Green+10

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU#112 (.07)32% (131)1433% (125)2.73 (92)18031% (127)1003.2 (110)#10 (-.1)36% (46)18.535% (39)37% (52)2.09 (16)51.50.51
UMASS#120 (.06)41% (92)14.335% (119)2.25 (124)7746% (50)1832.73 (121)#113 (.25)42% (87)38.738% (64)46% (106)4.24 (98)4510.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU#86 (.16)42% (79)44% (72)3.25 (33)20440% (86)1793.39 (113)#11 (.06)38% (19)41% (52)35% (9)3.08 (12)42.81.21.1
UMASS#69 (.19)41% (94)43% (78)3.1 (50)16438% (110)1823.73 (89)#114 (.26)46% (116)51% (128)40% (71)4.66 (129)63.20.80.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Offense214931.7%3.20.5152801801003.865%35%33%31%13%.07
UMASS Defense338.734.542.5%4.240.7 - - - - - 40%59%38%46%9%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Defense218.52036.1%2.091 - - - - - 43%56%35%37%16%-.1
UMASS Offense314.31840.7%2.73116260771832.746%53%35%46%19%.06

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northern Illinois233:301532%67%6.551.50.5151127
Massachusetts330:0515.728%20%54510.72.71.3127.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Offense265% (8)33% (125)471803.82 (109).11 (81)2.73 (92)89% (16)10% (91)1.24 (25)
UMASS Defense340% (9)38% (64) - - - - .1 (90)3.39 (126)75% (80)4% (134)0.81 (35)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Defense243% (23)35% (39) - - - - -.27 (3)2.11 (17)75% (80)9% (80)0.55 (3)
UMASS Offense346% (93)35% (119)2876.72.74 (79)-.04 (120)2.25 (124)60% (103)13% (121)1.14 (35)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Offense235% (129)31% (127)14231004.47.10 (133)1 (23).08 (120)1.5 (69)39% (124)22% (119).29 (81)3% (23)2.5 (16)
UMASS Defense359% (126)46% (106) - - - - - - 2 (56).4 (115)1.6 (94)30% (103)25% (42).11 (33)4% (100)1.8 (46)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Defense256% (114)37% (52) - - - - - - 1 (87).08 (32)1.5 (75)29% (112)35% (108).58 (122)7% (51)2.5 (126)
UMASS Offense353% (48)46% (50)19.331.31835.89.50 (133)2 (60).22 (82)1.1 (133)34% (103)32% (67).32 (74)6% (96)2 (74)

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -3.02 #86
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 1.78 #125
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 4.80 #54
2025 Talent Rating: 526.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Northern Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8
Northern Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #130
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -3.02   Massachusetts: -21.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -10.4   Massachusetts: -28.8




Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -21.4 #127
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 20.39 #121
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Massachusetts's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Massachusetts's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -28.8 #136
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #129
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 44.9 #136

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense on Road: 9
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 20

Northern Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Northern Illinois 28
Massachusetts 14


Total Points: 42

Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 18
Defense: 38.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.5

Massachusetts's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Northern Illinois34Massachusetts20Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -14Push41.0Over
201311/02Massachusetts19Northern Illinois63Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -24Northern Illinois0
201211/03Northern Illinois63Massachusetts0Northern Illinois
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Massachusetts001 Overs
Northern Illinois310 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 21 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#86) Northern Illinois Info
Power Rating: -3.02 #86
Offense Rating: 1.78 #125
Defense Rating: 4.80 #54
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Talent Rating: 526.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 35%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 32%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.2 PPO
Awful Run Success 33%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 2.09 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Northern Illinois has lost 8 straight
Northern Illinois has lost 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Northern Illinois Notes
(8/30) Slog W over Holy Cross. 3.7 ypc, 4.5 ypp. Woof
(5/5) Portal QB Proctor (Dart) exciting, joins in summer
(5/5) QB1 Holst won spring, started 3 games LY
(5/5) WR Bryant, Pardridge and Givens top 3 spring
(5/5) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 2 more w/ exp. Lost 5 Srs
(4/27) Staff high on Fr QB Brady Davidson, best croot
(3/26) RB rebuild, Johnson/Poe have exp, some depth
(3/26) Def good LY, replacing all. Only 2 portals, CBs
(3/26) Hammock good, but lost most exp in CFB

Northern Illinois Highlights
Northern Illinois defense is really good in red zone (#16)
Northern Illinois Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#12)
Northern Illinois Defensive Line is very good (#17)
Northern Illinois has a great TO Margin (#11)
Northern Illinois commits very few Penalties (#30)

Northern Illinois Deficiencies
Northern Illinois has a really bad Offense
Northern Illinois Can Not Run the Ball (#106)
Northern Illinois offense is really bad (#131)
Northern Illinois Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#106)
Northern Illinois offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#110)
Northern Illinois run game is really bad (#125)
Northern Illinois pass game is really bad (#127)
Northern Illinois offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Northern Illinois does not Sack the QB (#122)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUMASSNIU
OverallOver#91#102
OffenseOff#106#105
DefenseDef#69#82
Special TeamsST#87#94
PassingPass#96#102
RushingRush#101#63
Run BlockRBLK#85#111
Pass BlockPBLK#113#108
Route RunningWR Rt#88#98
TacklingTkl#4#50
Run DefenseR Def#42#67
Pass Rush DefPRush#21#67
Coverage DefCov#106#93

Previous Matchups
Northern Illinois beat Massachusetts last year (34-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NIU | UMASS
Depth Chart: NIU | UMASS
Rosters: NIU | UMASS
(#127) Massachusetts Info
Power Rating: -21.4 #127
Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Defense Rating: 20.39 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -28.8 #136
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #129
Defense SP+ Rating: 44.9 #136
Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.73 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Massachusetts has lost 9 straight
Massachusetts has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Massachusetts Notes
(9/9) Long list of injuries pre Iowa, check report
(8/30) Killed by Temple? Barely 300 yds, gave up 450+
(8/30) Def could be bottom 10, allowed 6 TD passes
(3/21) QB G. Jordan (Yale) or Rose (Utah)?
(3/21) RBs meh. Hester has exp. Campbell top rated
(3/21) WR rebuild. JAGs,not much size
(3/21) OL 5/5 back. Not bad, could be good TY
(3/21) Def near worst LY. 12 portals. Any ballers?
(3/21) New HC Harasymiak was 'Gers DC. Tough job
(3/21) New OC Bajakian all over, NFL, Utah, NW

Massachusetts Highlights

Massachusetts Deficiencies
Massachusetts has a really bad Offense
Massachusetts has a really bad Offense at Home
Massachusetts Can Not Run the Ball (#126)
Massachusetts offense is not Explosive (#108)
Massachusetts Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#124)
Massachusetts offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#121)
Massachusetts run game is really bad (#119)
Massachusetts offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Massachusetts Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Massachusetts Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Massachusetts Does Not Stuff Runs (#133)
Massachusetts has a bad defensive line (#126)


  
Northern Illinois's OC Wesley Beschorner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Holst264065%192014.8
Jackson Proctor (Tr)2633%8001.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Chavon Wright3816714.445
Telly Johnson Jr.3115314.974
Jaylen Poe222011.021
DeAree Rogers122022.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
DeAree Rogers108908.925
Gary Givens III226013.015
Jaylen Poe52404.89
Telly Johnson Jr.31906.317

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster
Northern Illinois's DC Nick Benedetto
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quinton Urwiler201100
Muhammed Jammeh110001
Filip Maciorowski111001
Ty Myles82000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Roy Williams61120
Quinton Urwiler201100
Marc Pretto51100
Trey Porter30000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Muhammed Jammeh110001
Alvin Gulley Jr.00001
Donte Harrison62001

Massachusetts's OC Mike Bajakian
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brandon Rose (Tr)274461%217014.9
Grant Jordan (Tr)243863%248016.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rocko Griffin (Tr)3014214.741
Brandon Hood (Tr)164212.618
Jacquon Gibson31103.713
Grant Jordan (Tr)171020.619
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacquon Gibson24258010.850
Donnie Gray (Tr)587017.441
Tyree Kelly (Tr)552010.415
Max Dowling (Tr)54208.419

View Massachusetts's Full Roster
Massachusetts's DC Jared Keyte
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)242101
Derrieon Craig230001
Tyler Martin190001
Kendall Bournes151000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques White64211
Tim Grant-Randall92111
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)242101
Donovan Dyson20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Magee (Tr)90002
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)242101
Tyler Martin190001