Texas at Oklahoma - 2024 Matchup Preview
Texas logo (#8)Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners(#11)Oklahoma logo
Saturday, October 12th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Texas -16.5 (48.5) (-900)  Open: -14.0 | 51.5
Texas 34 - Oklahoma: 3  (Allstate Red River Rivalry)

 
Longhorns (13 - 3) (8 - 8 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 33 - 15 (24 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 13 - 3 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
TEX coming off BYE
OKLA coming off BYE
Our Line: Texas -15   (SP+ TEX -14.5)

Projected Score: TEX: 31 - OKLA: 16 (46)
TEX Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
TEX Travel: 341 miles
Sooners (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brent Venables (16 - 10)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (30 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Texas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Texas vs Colorado State-35.559.0W 52 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Texas at Michigan-7.042.0W 31 - 12OY
Sat 9/14 Texas vs UTSA-36.556.5W 56 - 7OY
Sat 9/21 Texas vs UL Monroe-43.554.5W 51 - 3UY
Sat 9/28 Texas vs Mississippi State-37.058.5W 35 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Texas vs Oklahoma-16.548.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 10/19 Texas vs Georgia-4.057.0L 15 - 30UN
Sat 10/26 Texas at Vanderbilt-17.050.5W 27 - 24ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Texas vs Florida-24.548.5W 49 - 17OY
Sat 11/16 Texas at Arkansas-13.057.5W 20 - 10UN
Sat 11/23 Texas vs Kentucky-18.547.0W 31 - 14UN
Sat 11/30 Texas at Texas A&M-4.549.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 12/7 Texas vs Georgia-2.550.5L 19 - 22UN
Sat 12/21 Texas vs Clemson-13.549.5W 38 - 24OY
Wed 1/1 Texas vs Arizona State-13.552.5W 39 - 31ON
Fri 1/10 Texas vs Ohio State+6.551.5L 14 - 28UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Oklahoma's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Oklahoma vs Temple-42.559.5W 51 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Oklahoma vs Houston-27.548.5W 16 - 12UN
Sat 9/14 Oklahoma vs Tulane-13.548.5W 34 - 19OY
Sat 9/21 Oklahoma vs Tennessee+6.057.0L 15 - 25UN
Sat 9/28 Oklahoma at Auburn+2.043.0W 27 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Oklahoma vs Texas+16.548.5L 3 - 34UN
Sat 10/19 Oklahoma vs South Carolina+1.040.5L 9 - 35ON
Sat 10/26 Oklahoma at Ole Miss+19.050.0L 14 - 26UY
Sat 11/2 Oklahoma vs Maine-37.548.5W 59 - 14OY
Sat 11/9 Oklahoma at Missouri-3.541.5L 23 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Oklahoma vs Alabama+14.047.0W 24 - 3UY
Sat 11/30 Oklahoma at LSU+4.547.5L 17 - 37ON
Fri 12/27 Oklahoma vs Navy+1.044.0L 20 - 21UY

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)3349% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)15.342% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8
OKLA#123 (.06)39% (113)2443% (85)2.99 (81)14435% (122)1553.39 (112)#12 (.07)36% (5)21.533% (2)39% (55)3.47 (34)421.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)49% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)42% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8
OKLA#123 (.06)39% (113)43% (85)2.99 (81)14435% (122)1553.39 (112)#12 (.07)36% (5)33% (2)39% (55)3.47 (34)421.51.6



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Offense163323.846.3%4.031.4203931522414.746%54%49%44%16%.24
OKLA Defense1321.515.935.7%3.471.6 - - - - - 53%46%33%39%18%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Defense1615.313.338%2.571.8 - - - - - 50%50%42%34%21%-.01
OKLA Offense132429.739%3.391.5172981441553.953%46%43%35%18%.06

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas1626:4219.843%54%5.444.31.41.86.22.5131.4
Oklahoma1326:4016.935%52%4.8421.51.67.12.7229.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Offense1646% (98)49% (16)32.6152.24.725 (41).13 (69)2.95 (84)67% (106)11% (97)0.91 (96)
OKLA Defense1353% (100)33% (2) - - - - -.05 (1)2.56 (11)69% (43)13% (12)0.88 (25)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Defense1650% (59)42% (61) - - - - -.04 (3)2.79 (33)55% (2)14% (8)0.72 (3)
OKLA Offense1353% (45)43% (85)36.8143.63.916 (90).07 (100)2.99 (81)75% (58)14% (129)0.98 (63)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Offense1654% (34)44% (43)19.629.5240.98.212.335 (3)12 (85).33 (34)1.7 (28)32% (71)38% (9).51 (7)5% (41)2.1 (57)
OKLA Defense1346% (34)39% (55) - - - - - - 9 (76).22 (61)1.6 (83)37% (6)28% (33).25 (43)5% (114)1.9 (36)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Defense1650% (79)34% (7) - - - - - - 20 (2).04 (3)1.4 (14)33% (53)28% (35).14 (7)8% (17)1.6 (3)
OKLA Offense1346% (94)35% (122)15.825.3154.76.19.814 (108)6 (10).07 (127)1.5 (105)33% (102)27% (109).25 (99)4% (9)2.2 (24)

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 25.36 #3
Texas's Offense Rating: 23.63 #31
Texas's Defense Rating: -0.40 #3
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 66% #4
Texas's 2024 Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0
Texas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.1 #7
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #13
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: 25.36   Oklahoma: 9.545

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 24.1   Oklahoma: 9.5




Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 9.545 #33
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 12.20 #119
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 1.17 #6
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #10
Oklahoma's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Oklahoma's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #75
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Texas Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 15.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.3

Texas's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 31
Oklahoma 16


Total Points: 46

Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.9

Oklahoma's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Oklahoma3Texas34TexasTexas -16.5Texas48.5Under
202310/07Texas30Oklahoma34OklahomaTexas -4Oklahoma62.0Over
202210/08Oklahoma0Texas49TexasTexas -7.5Texas65.0Under
202110/09Texas48Oklahoma55OklahomaOklahoma -4Oklahoma65.5Over
202010/10Oklahoma53Texas45OklahomaOklahoma -3Oklahoma74.5Over
201910/12Texas27Oklahoma34OklahomaOklahoma -11.5Texas77.5Under
201810/06Oklahoma45Texas48TexasOklahoma -7Texas59.0Over
201812/01Oklahoma39Texas27OklahomaOklahoma -9.5Oklahoma79.5Under
201710/14Texas24Oklahoma29OklahomaOklahoma -9Texas62.0Under
201610/08Oklahoma45Texas40OklahomaOklahoma -6.5Texas72.5Over
201510/10Texas24Oklahoma17TexasOklahoma -13.5Texas59.5Under
201410/11Oklahoma31Texas26OklahomaOklahoma -14.5Texas0
201310/12Texas36Oklahoma20TexasOklahoma -13Texas0
201210/13Oklahoma63Texas21Oklahoma
201110/08Texas17Oklahoma55Oklahoma
201010/02Oklahoma28Texas20Oklahoma
200910/17Texas16Oklahoma13Texas
200810/11Oklahoma35Texas45Texas
200710/06Texas21Oklahoma28Oklahoma
200610/07Oklahoma10Texas28Texas
200510/08Texas45Oklahoma12Texas
200410/09Oklahoma12Texas0Oklahoma
200310/11Texas13Oklahoma65Oklahoma
200210/12Oklahoma35Texas24Oklahoma
200110/06Texas3Oklahoma14Oklahoma
200010/06Oklahoma63Texas14Oklahoma
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma1745 Overs
Texas996 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 136 - 72 - 44 - 3
Road Teams13 - 137 - 63 - 44 - 2

(#3) Texas Info
Power Rating: 25.36 #3
Offense Rating: 23.63 #31
Defense Rating: -0.40 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.1 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 66% #4
Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Good Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Texas has won 5 straight
Texas has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 6 - 0 (2 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Texas Highlights
Texas is Undefeated away from Home

Texas has Really Good Running Game (#47)
Texas offense is efficent (#86)
Texas Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Texas has a really good defense (#25)
Texas defense does not give up big plays (#2)
Texas defense is really good in red zone (#38)
Texas has a good pass defense (#24)
Texas Front 7 is disruptive (#110)
Texas Secondary is very good (#26)
Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Texas Deficiencies
Texas has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Texas Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Texas Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Texas Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#44)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatOKLATEX
OverallOver#64#5
OffenseOff#109#17
DefenseDef#9#1
Special TeamsST#43#29
PassingPass#101#48
RushingRush#100#18
Run BlockRBLK#85#27
Pass BlockPBLK#94#1
Route RunningWR Rt#106#18
TacklingTkl#40#32
Run DefenseR Def#4#14
Pass Rush DefPRush#9#5
Coverage DefCov#66#1

Rematch from Week 7
Texas 16.5 (48.5)
Texas won at Oklahoma this year (34-3)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Oklahoma last year (34-3)
Oklahoma beat Texas in 2023 (34-30)
Texas beat Oklahoma in 2022 (49-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cotton Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TEX | OKLA
Depth Chart: TEX | OKLA
Rosters: TEX | OKLA
(#33) Oklahoma Info
Power Rating: 9.545 #33
Offense Rating: 12.20 #119
Defense Rating: 1.17 #6
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #10
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.39 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 36%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 33%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Oklahoma has won 1 straight
Oklahoma has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 2 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Oklahoma Notes
(12/18) QB Arnold left via portal (Auburn)
(12/2) Hired Wazzu OC Arbuckle, top 25 pass off 4 yrs
(12/2) Rgame meh, Arnold bad, Pass D torched in LSU L
(11/24) Huge W vs Bama. Rgame 251, 5.1 ypc. Def great
(11/13) Arnold awful, Rgame bad, Def choked vs Mizzu
(10/28) OL allowed 19 sacks in past 2 gms (SC/Miss)
(10/20) OC Littrell fired, Co-OC Finley taking over
(10/12) Have no answers on Off. Def cannot hold 4ever
(10/10) Top 5 WR are out vs Texas w/ injuries
(10/4) Gutty W @ Aub. OG'd by 200 yds, Hawkins meh

Oklahoma Highlights
Oklahoma Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Oklahoma has a really good defense (#4)
Oklahoma has a good run defense (#25)
Oklahoma Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#85)
Oklahoma Defensive Line is very good (#55)
Oklahoma Front 7 is disruptive (#36)
Oklahoma commits very few Penalties (#38)

Oklahoma Deficiencies
Oklahoma Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Oklahoma offense is really bad (#36)
Oklahoma offense is not Explosive (#61)
Oklahoma offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#19)
Oklahoma pass game is really bad (#41)


  
Texas's OC Kyle Flood
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Quinn Ewers29344566%347231127.8
Arch Manning619068%9389210.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Wisner226106454.743
Jaydon Blue13473085.477
Jerrick Gibson7837744.825
Arch Manning2510844.367
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Matthew Golden (Tr)58987917.054
Gunnar Helm60786713.149
Isaiah Bond (Tr)34540515.956
DeAndre Moore Jr.39455711.749

View Texas's Full Roster
Texas's DC Pete Kwiatkowski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Hill Jr.11317841
Michael Taaffe7862110
Andrew Mukuba (Tr)694016
Jahdae Barron6731210
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Simmons4814992
Anthony Hill Jr.11317841
Trey Moore (Tr)3611761
Barryn Sorrell43116121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jahdae Barron6731210
Michael Taaffe7862110
Malik Muhammad361008

Oklahoma's OC Joe Jon Finley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jackson Arnold15424663%14211235.8
Michael Hawkins Jr.7612063%783326.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jovantae Barnes12257754.774
Jackson Arnold15044433.047
Taylor Tatum5627835.035
Xavier Robinson4923344.840
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Bauer Sharp (Tr)4232427.743
Javian Hester14315122.590
Deion Burks (Tr)3124537.920
Jacob Jordan2723418.727

View Oklahoma's Full Roster
Oklahoma's DC Zac Alley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Danny Stutsman1108130
Robert Spears-Jennings665301
Kip Lewis634011
Billy Bowman553013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
R Mason Thomas23139111
Gracen Halton306530
Ethan Downs299322
Robert Spears-Jennings665301
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kani Walker242006
Eli Bowen292004
Billy Bowman553013