Texas at Oklahoma - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 12th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Texas -16.5 (48.5) (-900) Open: -14.0 | 51.5
Texas 34 - Oklahoma: 3 (Allstate Red River Rivalry)

Longhorns (13 - 3) (8 - 8 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (20 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 13 - 3 (#3)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TEX coming off BYE
OKLA coming off BYE
Our Line: Texas -15 (SP+ TEX -14.5)
Projected Score: TEX: 31 - OKLA: 16 (47)
TEX Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
TEX Travel: 182 miles

Sooners (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brent Venables (16 - 10)
Avg Score : 26 - 16 (26 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TEX Players
OKLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Texas vs Colorado State	-35.5	59.0	W 52 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Texas at Michigan	-7.0	42.0	W 31 - 12	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Texas vs UTSA	-36.5	56.5	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Texas vs UL Monroe	-43.5	54.5	W 51 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Texas vs Mississippi State	-37.0	58.5	W 35 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Texas vs Oklahoma	-16.5	48.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Texas vs Georgia	-4.0	57.0	L 15 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/26	Texas at Vanderbilt	-17.0	50.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Texas vs Florida	-24.5	48.5	W 49 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Texas at Arkansas	-13.0	57.5	W 20 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/23	Texas vs Kentucky	-18.5	47.0	W 31 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/30	Texas at Texas A&M	-4.5	49.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 12/7	Texas vs Georgia	-2.5	50.5	L 19 - 22	U	N
Sat 12/21	Texas vs Clemson	-13.5	49.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y
Wed 1/1	Texas vs Arizona State	-13.5	52.5	W 39 - 31	O	N
Fri 1/10	Texas vs Ohio State	+6.5	51.5	L 14 - 28	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule

Oklahoma's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Oklahoma vs Temple	-42.5	59.5	W 51 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Oklahoma vs Houston	-27.5	48.5	W 16 - 12	U	N
Sat 9/14	Oklahoma vs Tulane	-13.5	48.5	W 34 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Oklahoma vs Tennessee	+6.0	57.0	L 15 - 25	U	N
Sat 9/28	Oklahoma at Auburn	+2.0	43.0	W 27 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Oklahoma vs Texas	+16.5	48.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/19	Oklahoma vs South Carolina	+1.0	40.5	L 9 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/26	Oklahoma at Ole Miss	+19.0	50.0	L 14 - 26	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Oklahoma vs Maine	-37.5	48.5	W 59 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Oklahoma at Missouri	-3.5	41.5	L 23 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Oklahoma vs Alabama	+14.0	47.0	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Oklahoma at LSU	+4.5	47.5	L 17 - 37	O	N
Fri 12/27	Oklahoma vs Navy	+1.0	44.0	L 20 - 21	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEX	#33 (.28)	45% (43)	30.5	42% (81)	3.19 (54)	176	48% (16)	266	3.84 (75)	#15 (.1)	36% (14)	20.3	33% (5)	38% (26)	3.43 (38)	47.5	1.1	1.6
OKLA	#9 (.34)	50% (8)	26.2	48% (22)	3.11 (67)	182	52% (6)	325	4.56 (18)	#27 (.12)	39% (32)	15.5	39% (31)	39% (36)	3.36 (28)	58.2	1.5	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEX		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEX Offense	14	30.5	19.8	44.7%	3.84	1.1	21	442	176	266	4.9	49%	51%	42%	48%	14%	.28
OKLA Defense	13	15.5	15	38.5%	3.36	2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	39%	39%	17%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEX Defense	14	20.3	25.8	35.9%	3.43	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	33%	38%	19%	.1
OKLA Offense	13	26.2	26.4	50.1%	4.56	1.5	25	507	182	325	4.6	49%	51%	48%	52%	13%	.34

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas	14	29:31	21.4	39%	63%	5.9	47.5	1.1	1.6	5.4	2.1	5	31
Oklahoma	13	29:03	25.5	49%	68%	6.8	58.2	1.5	2	6.4	1.4	5	29.4

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEX Offense	14	49% (80)	42% (81)	35.6	175.6	4.9	26 (30)	.21 (35)	3.19 (54)	64% (121)	8% (33)	1.13 (14)
OKLA Defense	13	45% (15)	39% (31)	-	-	-	-	.05 (22)	2.65 (11)	47% (1)	10% (59)	1.06 (98)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEX Defense	14	41% (4)	33% (5)	-	-	-	-	-.06 (4)	2.45 (5)	54% (2)	11% (37)	0.79 (5)
OKLA Offense	13	49% (73)	48% (22)	40.1	182.2	4.6	32 (10)	.16 (62)	3.11 (67)	85% (3)	8% (27)	0.95 (95)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEX Offense	14	51% (50)	48% (16)	20.9	30.9	266.4	8.6	12.7	24 (41)	9 (40)	.35 (38)	1.5 (102)	30% (32)	34% (32)	.45 (32)	5% (46)	2.1 (52)
OKLA Defense	13	54% (120)	39% (36)	-	-	-	-	-	-	20 (2)	.2 (26)	1.7 (114)	36% (13)	31% (86)	.33 (75)	7% (41)	2.3 (124)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEX Defense	14	58% (131)	38% (26)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.24 (52)	1.7 (92)	36% (20)	28% (31)	.27 (42)	8% (15)	2.1 (87)
OKLA Offense	13	51% (54)	52% (6)	23.8	34.8	324.8	9.3	13.6	34 (9)	9 (40)	.55 (6)	1.6 (47)	29% (27)	38% (12)	.46 (27)	5% (34)	2.1 (39)

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 25.36 #3
Texas's Offense Rating: 23.63 #31
Texas's Defense Rating: -0.40 #3
2024 Talent Rating: 617.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 66% #4
Texas's 2024 Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0
Texas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.1 #7
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #13
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 511.63
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: 25.36 Oklahoma: 9.545

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 24.1 Oklahoma: 9.5

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 9.545 #33
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 12.20 #119
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 1.17 #6
2024 Talent Rating: 626.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #10
Oklahoma's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Oklahoma's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #75
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 511.63
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Texas's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 10
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Texas 31
Oklahoma 16

Projected Total Points: 47

Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Oklahoma's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Texas	23	Oklahoma	6	Texas -2.5	Texas	44.5	Under
2024	10/12	Oklahoma	3	Texas	34	Texas -16.5	Texas	48.5	Under
2023	10/07	Texas	30	Oklahoma	34	Texas -4	Oklahoma	62.0	Over
2022	10/08	Oklahoma	0	Texas	49	Texas -7.5	Texas	65.0	Under
2021	10/09	Texas	48	Oklahoma	55	Oklahoma -4	Oklahoma	65.5	Over
2020	10/10	Oklahoma	53	Texas	45	Oklahoma -3	Oklahoma	74.5	Over
2019	10/12	Texas	27	Oklahoma	34	Oklahoma -11.5	Texas	77.5	Under
2018	10/06	Oklahoma	45	Texas	48	Oklahoma -7	Texas	59.0	Over
2018	12/01	Oklahoma	39	Texas	27	Oklahoma -9.5	Oklahoma	79.5	Under
2017	10/14	Texas	24	Oklahoma	29	Oklahoma -9	Texas	62.0	Under
2016	10/08	Oklahoma	45	Texas	40	Oklahoma -6.5	Texas	72.5	Over
2015	10/10	Texas	24	Oklahoma	17	Oklahoma -13.5	Texas	59.5	Under
2014	10/11	Oklahoma	31	Texas	26	Oklahoma -14.5	Texas	0
2013	10/12	Texas	36	Oklahoma	20	Oklahoma -13	Texas	0
2012	10/13	Oklahoma	63	Texas	21
2011	10/08	Texas	17	Oklahoma	55
2010	10/02	Oklahoma	28	Texas	20
2009	10/17	Texas	16	Oklahoma	13
2008	10/11	Oklahoma	35	Texas	45
2007	10/06	Texas	21	Oklahoma	28
2006	10/07	Oklahoma	10	Texas	28
2005	10/08	Texas	45	Oklahoma	12
2004	10/09	Oklahoma	12	Texas	0
2003	10/11	Texas	13	Oklahoma	65
2002	10/12	Oklahoma	35	Texas	24
2001	10/06	Texas	3	Oklahoma	14
2000	10/06	Oklahoma	63	Texas	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma	17	4	5 Overs
Texas	10	10	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 13	7 - 7	3 - 4	4 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 14	7 - 7	3 - 4	4 - 3

(#3) TEX at (#33) OKLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TEX	OKLA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#3	#33
SP+SP+	#7	#33
Perf GradeGrade	#5	#90
OffenseOff	#18	#133
DefenseDef	#1	#12
Spec TeamsST	#33	#50
TalentTal	#6	#4
Blue ChipsBC%	#4	#10

Texas Injury Report

Oklahoma Notes(12/18) Signed QB Mateer (Wazzu)
(12/18) QB Arnold left via portal (Auburn)
(12/2) Hired Wazzu OC Arbuckle, top 25 pass off 4 yrs
(12/2) Rgame meh, Arnold bad, Pass D torched in LSU L
(11/24) Huge W vs Bama. Rgame 251, 5.1 ypc. Def great
(11/13) Arnold awful, Rgame bad, Def choked vs Mizzu
(10/28) OL allowed 19 sacks in past 2 gms (SC/Miss)
(10/20) OC Littrell fired, Co-OC Finley taking over
(10/12) Have no answers on Off. Def cannot hold 4ever
(10/10) Top 5 WR are out vs Texas w/ injuries
(10/4) Gutty W @ Aub. OG'd by 200 yds, Hawkins meh
(9/23) Hawkins must be QB going forward. Arnold done
Oklahoma Injury Report

Texas on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	OKLA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#18	#12
SuccessSuc	#43	#32
ExplosiveExp	#40	#124
PPAPPA	#33	#27
PowerPwr	#31	#6
SP+SP+	#13	#17
Pts POPPO	#75	#28
HavocHav	#27	#46

Texas Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	OKLA Def
Run GameRun	#25	#5
Run SuccessRSuc	#81	#31
Run ExplRExp	#14	#98
PPAExp	#35	#22
Run BlockR Blk	#33	-
OL YdsOLY	#54	#11
Stuff RateStuff	#79	#1
TackleTak	-	#45

Texas Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	OKLA Def
Pass GamePass	#61	#81
Pass SuccessPSuc	#16	#36
Pass ExplPExl	#102	#114
PPAExp	#38	#26
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#1	#9
F7 HavocF7	#33	#59
DB HavocDB	#46	#41

Oklahoma on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	TEX Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#133	#1
SuccessSuc	#8	#14
ExplosiveExp	#55	#94
PPAPPA	#9	#15
PowerPwr	#119	#3
SP+SP+	#75	#2
Pts POPPO	#18	#38
HavocHav	#18	#21

Oklahoma Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	TEX Def
Run GameRun	#133	#15
Run SuccessRSuc	#22	#5
Run ExplRExp	#95	#5
PPAExp	#62	#4
Run BlockR Blk	#109	-
OL YdsOLY	#67	#5
Stuff RateStuff	#90	#11
TackleTak	-	#35

Oklahoma Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	TEX Def
Pass GamePass	#126	#1
Pass SuccessPSuc	#6	#26
Pass ExplPExl	#47	#92
PPAExp	#6	#52
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#110	#5
F7 HavocF7	#27	#37
DB HavocDB	#34	#15

Program Comparison
OKLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'24 Profile: Down to Average P4

TEX 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'24 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cotton Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Texas 16.5 (48.5)
Texas won at Oklahoma this year (34-3)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Oklahoma last year (23-6)
Texas beat Oklahoma in 2024 (34-3)
Oklahoma beat Texas in 2023 (34-30)

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Quinn Ewers	293	445	66%	3472	31	12	7.8
Arch Manning	61	90	68%	938	9	2	10.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Wisner	226	1064	5	4.7	43
Jaydon Blue	134	730	8	5.4	77
Jerrick Gibson	78	377	4	4.8	25
Arch Manning	25	108	4	4.3	67

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Matthew Golden (Tr)	58	987	9	17.0	54
Gunnar Helm	60	786	7	13.1	49
Isaiah Bond (Tr)	34	540	5	15.9	56
DeAndre Moore Jr.	39	455	7	11.7	49

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Pete Kwiatkowski (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Hill Jr.	113	17	8	4	1
Michael Taaffe	78	6	2	1	10
Andrew Mukuba (Tr)	69	4	0	1	6
Jahdae Barron	67	3	1	2	10

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Colin Simmons	48	14	9	9	2
Anthony Hill Jr.	113	17	8	4	1
Trey Moore (Tr)	36	11	7	6	1
Barryn Sorrell	43	11	6	12	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jahdae Barron	67	3	1	2	10
Michael Taaffe	78	6	2	1	10
Malik Muhammad	36	1	0	0	8

OKLA's OC Seth Littrell (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jackson Arnold	154	246	63%	1421	12	3	5.8
Michael Hawkins Jr.	76	120	63%	783	3	2	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jovantae Barnes	122	577	5	4.7	74
Jackson Arnold	150	444	3	3.0	47
Taylor Tatum	56	278	3	5.0	35
Xavier Robinson	49	233	4	4.8	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bauer Sharp (Tr)	42	324	2	7.7	43
Javian Hester	14	315	1	22.5	90
Deion Burks (Tr)	31	245	3	7.9	20
Jacob Jordan	27	234	1	8.7	27

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Zac Alley (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Danny Stutsman	110	8	1	3	0
Robert Spears-Jennings	66	5	3	0	1
Kip Lewis	63	4	0	1	1
Billy Bowman	55	3	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
R Mason Thomas	23	13	9	11	1
Gracen Halton	30	6	5	3	0
Ethan Downs	29	9	3	2	2
Robert Spears-Jennings	66	5	3	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Kani Walker	24	2	0	6
Eli Bowen	29	2	0	4
Billy Bowman	55	3	1	3