UTSA at Texas Game Matchup

Saturday, September 14th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Texas -36.5 (56.5) (-20000) Open: -33.5 | 53.5
Texas 56 - UTSA: 7

Roadrunners (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (39 - 14)
Avg Score : 33 - 30 (22 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 95.5° (39% Hum)
UTSA 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Texas -28.5 (SP+ TEX -22)
Projected Score: UTSA: 14 - TEX: 43 (56)
TEX Win prob: 94% | Cover: 38%
UTSA Travel: 75 miles

Longhorns (13 - 3) (8 - 8 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 33 - 15 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 13 - 3 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UTSA Players
TEX Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UTSA's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	UTSA vs Kennesaw State	-24.0	49.5	W 28 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/7	UTSA at Texas State	+2.5	58.5	L 10 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/14	UTSA at Texas	+36.5	56.5	L 7 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/21	UTSA vs Houston Christian	-35.5	54.5	W 45 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/28	UTSA at East Carolina	+2.0	53.5	L 20 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	UTSA at Rice	-3.5	51.0	L 27 - 29	O	N
Sat 10/19	UTSA vs Florida Atlantic	-4.0	52.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/26	UTSA at Tulsa	-9.5	52.5	L 45 - 46	O	N
Sat 11/2	UTSA vs Memphis	+7.0	62.0	W 44 - 36	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15	UTSA vs North Texas	-1.0	73.0	W 48 - 27	O	Y
Fri 11/22	UTSA vs Temple	-16.5	56.0	W 51 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/30	UTSA at Army	+6.5	53.5	L 24 - 29	U	Y
Mon 12/23	UTSA vs Coastal Carolina	-12.5	56.5	W 44 - 15	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule

Texas's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Texas vs Colorado State	-35.5	59.0	W 52 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Texas at Michigan	-7.0	42.0	W 31 - 12	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Texas vs UTSA	-36.5	56.5	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Texas vs UL Monroe	-43.5	54.5	W 51 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Texas vs Mississippi State	-37.0	58.5	W 35 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Texas vs Oklahoma	-16.5	48.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Texas vs Georgia	-4.0	57.0	L 15 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/26	Texas at Vanderbilt	-17.0	50.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Texas vs Florida	-24.5	48.5	W 49 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Texas at Arkansas	-13.0	57.5	W 20 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/23	Texas vs Kentucky	-18.5	47.0	W 31 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/30	Texas at Texas A&M	-4.5	49.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 12/7	Texas vs Georgia	-2.5	50.5	L 19 - 22	U	N
Sat 12/21	Texas vs Clemson	-13.5	49.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y
Wed 1/1	Texas vs Arizona State	-13.5	52.5	W 39 - 31	O	N
Fri 1/10	Texas vs Ohio State	+6.5	51.5	L 14 - 28	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA	#45 (.23)	42% (66)	33.2	41% (89)	3 (88)	172	44% (49)	250	4.45 (24)	#35 (.14)	37% (21)	30.1	38% (26)	38% (25)	3.77 (65)	51.2	1.7	1.3
TEX	#33 (.28)	45% (43)	33	42% (81)	3.19 (54)	176	48% (16)	266	3.84 (75)	#15 (.1)	36% (14)	15.3	33% (5)	38% (26)	3.43 (38)	47.5	1.1	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TEX		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Offense	13	33.2	22.2	42.2%	4.45	1.7	23	422	172	250	4.3	51%	49%	41%	44%	15%	.23
TEX Defense	14	15.3	13.5	35.9%	3.43	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	33%	38%	19%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Defense	13	30.1	39.8	37.4%	3.77	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	38%	38%	20%	.14
TEX Offense	14	33	40.9	44.7%	3.84	1.1	21	442	176	266	4.9	49%	51%	42%	48%	14%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UTSA	13	30:08	22.6	47%	58%	5.6	51.2	1.7	1.3	7.6	3.5	1	29
Texas	14	29:31	21.4	39%	63%	5.9	47.5	1.1	1.6	5.4	2.1	5	31

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense	13	51% (62)	41% (89)	39.7	171.8	4.3	27 (29)	.18 (48)	3 (88)	81% (14)	9% (45)	1.13 (13)
TEX Defense	14	41% (4)	33% (5)	-	-	-	-	-.06 (4)	2.45 (5)	54% (2)	11% (37)	0.79 (5)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense	13	47% (27)	38% (26)	-	-	-	-	.12 (52)	2.86 (27)	83% (114)	12% (14)	1.14 (118)
TEX Offense	14	49% (80)	42% (81)	35.6	175.6	4.9	26 (30)	.21 (35)	3.19 (54)	64% (121)	8% (33)	1.13 (14)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense	13	49% (72)	44% (49)	22.3	34.3	249.8	7.3	11.2	25 (37)	14 (107)	.31 (58)	1.6 (60)	32% (71)	35% (27)	.46 (28)	6% (64)	2.2 (35)
TEX Defense	14	58% (131)	38% (26)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.24 (52)	1.7 (92)	36% (20)	28% (31)	.27 (42)	8% (15)	2.1 (87)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense	13	52% (101)	38% (25)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.23 (44)	1.6 (70)	35% (28)	24% (6)	.18 (13)	8% (11)	2.4 (130)
TEX Offense	14	51% (50)	48% (16)	20.9	30.9	266.4	8.6	12.7	24 (41)	9 (40)	.35 (38)	1.5 (102)	30% (32)	34% (32)	.45 (32)	5% (46)	2.1 (52)

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: -4.61 #81
UTSA's Offense Rating: 17.26 #91
UTSA's Defense Rating: 6.84 #41
2024 Talent Rating: 580.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
UTSA's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
UTSA's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.2 #64
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #34
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #101

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -4.61 Texas: 27.23

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 2.2 Texas: 24.1

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 27.23 #3
Texas's Offense Rating: 23.63 #31
Texas's Defense Rating: -0.40 #3
2024 Talent Rating: 1014.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 66 #4
Texas's 2024 Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0
Texas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.1 #7
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #13
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

UTSA Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 30.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.8

UTSA's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Texas 43
UTSA 14

Projected Total Points: 56

Texas Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.9
Defense: 15.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.5

Texas's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/14	Texas	56	UTSA	7	Texas	Texas -36.5	Texas	56.5	Over
2022	09/17	Texas	41	UTSA	20	Texas	Texas -13	Texas	57.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas	2	2	2 Overs
UTSA	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#81) UTSA Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.61 #81
Offense Rating: 17.26 #91
Defense Rating: 6.84 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.2 #64
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #34
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #101
Talent Rating: 580.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 34%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

UTSA Notes
(11/3) Huge W (Mem), McCown good, forced 2 TOs to W
(10/28) Blew 35-7 halftime lead vs Tulsa. Season killer?
(10/20) Even w/ FAU. McCown good, Def played well
(10/12) Bad L (Rice). Pass D torched, Rgame bad
(9/28) Rgame 170 (4.5)better but Pass D awful vs ECU
(9/15) Off has been really bad. Rgame awful, QB ?
(9/8) Killed by Tex St? Pulled McCown? Rgame just awful
(8/13) Lost DPY DE to Texas, another DE kicked out
(8/13) Starting MLB French suspended indefinitely
(8/13) Lost 3/4 top WR's, new QB, Def suspensions?

UTSA Ratings Matchup Texas

Power #81

Off #91

#31

Def #41

Talent #80

SP+ #64

SP+ Off #34

#13

SP+ Def #101

Rematch from Week 3
Texas -36.5 (56.5)
Texas won vs UTSA this year (56-7)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat UTSA last year (56-7)
Texas beat UTSA in 2022 (41-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 96°

Team Information
Injuries: UTSA | TEX
Depth Chart: UTSA | TEX
Rosters: UTSA | TEX

(#3) Texas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 27.23 #3
Offense Rating: 23.63 #31
Defense Rating: -0.40 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.1 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2
Talent Rating: 1014.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 66 #4
Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Good Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

UTSA's OC Justin Burke

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Owen McCown	294	467	63%	3424	25	10	7.3
David Amador	1	1	100%	27	0	0	27.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Robert Henry	130	706	7	5.4	88
Brandon High	93	495	8	5.3	66
Owen McCown	86	340	3	4.0	75
Kevorian Barnes	78	221	2	2.8	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Willie McCoy	28	536	4	19.1	66
Houston Thomas	34	470	3	13.8	44
Devin Mccuin	45	424	5	9.4	54
David Amador	31	376	1	12.1	51

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Martavius French	80	17	1	4	3
Brevin Randle (Tr)	48	3	1	4	4
Jimmori Robinson	44	18	11	8	1
Owen Pewee	42	7	2	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jimmori Robinson	44	18	11	8	1
Ronald Triplette	23	5	4	2	0
Vic Shaw	21	4	3	2	1
Owen Pewee	42	7	2	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zah Frazier	24	1	0	1	9
Tyan Milton	18	2	1	1	5
Brevin Randle (Tr)	48	3	1	4	4

Texas's OC Kyle Flood

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Arch Manning	61	90	68%	938	9	2	10.4
Trey Owens	2	4	50%	19	0	0	4.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Wisner	226	1064	5	4.7	43
Jerrick Gibson	78	377	4	4.8	25
Arch Manning	25	108	4	4.3	67
Ryan Wingo	5	100	0	20.0	55

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Matthew Golden (Tr)	58	987	9	17.0	54
Isaiah Bond (Tr)	34	540	5	15.9	56
DeAndre Moore Jr.	39	455	7	11.7	49
Ryan Wingo	27	423	2	15.7	75

View Texas's Full Roster

Texas's DC Pete Kwiatkowski

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Hill Jr.	113	17	8	4	1
Michael Taaffe	78	6	2	1	10
Andrew Mukuba (Tr)	69	4	0	1	6
Liona Lefau	63	5	2	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Colin Simmons	48	14	9	9	2
Anthony Hill Jr.	113	17	8	4	1
Trey Moore (Tr)	36	11	7	6	1
Michael Taaffe	78	6	2	1	10

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Taaffe	78	6	2	1	10
Malik Muhammad	36	1	0	0	8
Andrew Mukuba (Tr)	69	4	0	1	6