James Madison at Old Dominion - 2024 Matchup Preview

James Madison Dukes at Old Dominion Monarchs

Saturday, November 16th 2024 (4:00 PM EST)
James Madison -1.5 (51.0) (-120) Open: -4.5
James Madison 35 - Old Dominion: 32 (Sun Belt)

Dukes (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bob Chesney (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (34 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ODU coming off BYE
Our Line: James Madison -4 (SP+ JMU -13.5)
Projected Score: JMU: 28 - ODU: 24 (52)
JMU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
JMU Travel: 176 miles

Monarchs (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (15 - 23)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (34 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
JMU Players
ODU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

James Madison's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	James Madison at Charlotte	-6.5	47.5	W 30 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/7	James Madison vs Gardner-Webb	-35.5	50.5	W 13 - 6	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	James Madison at North Carolina	+10.0	48.0	W 70 - 50	O	Y
Sat 9/28	James Madison vs Ball State	-22.0	56.5	W 63 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/5	James Madison at UL Monroe	-16.5	48.5	L 19 - 21	U	N
Thu 10/10	James Madison vs Coastal Carolina	-7.0	59.0	W 39 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/19	James Madison at Georgia Southern	-9.5	58.5	L 14 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/26	James Madison vs Southern Miss	-24.0	54.0	W 32 - 15	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	James Madison vs Georgia State	-14.5	53.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/16	James Madison at Old Dominion	-1.5	51.0	W 35 - 32	O	Y
Sat 11/23	James Madison at App State	-7.5	57.5	L 20 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/30	James Madison vs Marshall	-2.5	52.5	L 33 - 35	O	N
Wed 12/18	James Madison vs Western Kentucky	-7.5	50.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for James Madison's Schedule

Old Dominion's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Old Dominion at South Carolina	+20.5	49.5	L 19 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Old Dominion vs East Carolina	-1.5	53.5	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/14	Old Dominion vs Virginia Tech	+15.5	47.5	L 17 - 37	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Old Dominion at Bowling Green	+11.0	51.5	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina	+4.0	51.5	L 37 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/12	Old Dominion at Georgia State	+3.0	53.0	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Old Dominion vs Texas State	+10.5	60.0	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Thu 10/24	Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern	+1.0	52.0	W 47 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Old Dominion at App State	-2.5	58.0	L 20 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Old Dominion vs James Madison	+1.5	51.0	L 32 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/23	Old Dominion vs Marshall	-3.0	51.0	L 35 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/30	Old Dominion at Arkansas State	-5.5	58.5	W 40 - 32	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JMU	#44 (.24)	46% (27)	37.1	40% (102)	2.75 (121)	133	52% (7)	286	3.92 (64)	#14 (.09)	33% (4)	18.4	29% (1)	37% (19)	2.86 (9)	40.1	1.2	1.6
ODU	#102 (.13)	38% (109)	32	41% (92)	3.08 (76)	154	37% (107)	195	3.14 (117)	#30 (.13)	44% (100)	18.5	42% (60)	47% (124)	3.49 (46)	60.6	1.4	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ODU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JMU Offense	13	37.1	34.1	45.6%	3.92	1.2	21	419	133	286	3.9	47%	52%	40%	52%	17%	.24
ODU Defense	13	18.5	8.5	44.1%	3.49	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	42%	47%	17%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JMU Defense	13	18.4	21.7	33.2%	2.86	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	29%	37%	24%	.09
ODU Offense	13	32	34.3	38.5%	3.14	1.4	17	348	154	195	4.2	50%	49%	41%	37%	20%	.13

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
James Madison	13	31:15	21.2	37%	50%	5.5	40.1	1.2	1.6	8.5	3.4	3	33.4
Old Dominion	13	24:49	16.5	37%	27%	6.5	60.6	1.4	1.6	6.1	1.5	2	29.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JMU Offense	13	47% (94)	40% (102)	34.2	133.2	3.9	17 (81)	.03 (121)	2.75 (121)	57% (131)	10% (69)	0.89 (114)
ODU Defense	13	52% (98)	42% (60)	-	-	-	-	-.01 (11)	2.81 (22)	70% (50)	11% (56)	0.73 (2)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JMU Defense	13	42% (6)	29% (1)	-	-	-	-	-.04 (8)	2.18 (1)	61% (10)	15% (2)	1.13 (117)
ODU Offense	13	50% (70)	41% (92)	36.5	153.5	4.2	15 (100)	.17 (58)	3.08 (76)	62% (127)	15% (131)	1.18 (4)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JMU Offense	13	52% (43)	52% (7)	22.2	33	285.8	8.7	12.9	36 (5)	11 (68)	.48 (13)	1.5 (90)	29% (25)	33% (51)	.38 (51)	7% (98)	2 (74)
ODU Defense	13	47% (38)	47% (124)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.31 (93)	1.5 (39)	28% (126)	30% (71)	.24 (36)	6% (70)	2.1 (76)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JMU Defense	13	57% (127)	37% (19)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.24 (51)	1.7 (115)	38% (5)	27% (24)	.28 (48)	9% (4)	2.1 (77)
ODU Offense	13	49% (68)	37% (107)	15.7	27.8	194.8	7	12.4	20 (70)	11 (68)	.15 (112)	1.7 (39)	35% (119)	31% (70)	.3 (79)	5% (37)	2.2 (33)

James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: -4.73 #82
James Madison's Offense Rating: 15.14 #106
James Madison's Defense Rating: 4.30 #23
2024 Talent Rating: 172.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
James Madison's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
James Madison's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #41
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #49
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
James Madison: -4.73 Old Dominion: -2.42

SP+ Ratings Matchup
James Madison: 7.5 Old Dominion: -6.0

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: -2.42 #77
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 23.31 #34
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 9.12 #66
2024 Talent Rating: 154.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Old Dominion's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Old Dominion's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.0 #95
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #78
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #99

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

James Madison Scoring
Offense: 37.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.1
Defense: 18.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

James Madison's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
James Madison 28
Old Dominion 24

Projected Total Points: 52

Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.3
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5

Old Dominion's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	James Madison	63	Old Dominion	27	James Madison -3	James Madison	47.5	Over
2024	11/16	Old Dominion	32	James Madison	35	James Madison -1.5	James Madison	51.0	Over
2023	10/28	James Madison	30	Old Dominion	27	James Madison -19.5	Old Dominion	48.0	Over
2022	11/12	Old Dominion	3	James Madison	37	James Madison -7.5	James Madison	48.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Old Dominion	0	1	3 Overs
James Madison	4	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	1 - 3	1 - 1	0 - 2
Road Teams	2 - 2	3 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 1

(#82) JMU at (#77) ODU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	JMU	ODU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#82	#77
SP+SP+	#41	#95
Perf GradeGrade	#26	#117
OffenseOff	#63	#126
DefenseDef	#18	#82
Spec TeamsST	#46	#114
TalentTal	#124	#126
Blue ChipsBC%	#82	#102

James Madison Notes(12/18) DL v good, DE O'Neill is elite, #2 good as well
(12/18) Great job by staff. Lost HC/OC/DC/portals, 9-4
(12/1) 2 str WTF L's to finish, 2 OT L to Marshall
(12/1) Rgame good, 244/4.6 ypc, QB Barnett eff. Bad L
(11/25) WTF L @ App, box score W but 2 TOs, 9 flags
(11/25) 3 L's as big favorites under 1st yr Chesney, why?
(11/18) Rgame good, QB meh in close W @ ODU
(10/22) Def stop rate 77% (#7) even after shocking GaSo L
(10/20) Barnett awful in bad L (Ga So), Rgame abysmal
(10/16) Into week 8 lead nation with 17 Def TO's
(10/10) QB Barnett has 3 games with 3 TDs in 1st half
(10/10) Rgame dominates. QB Barnett good. Tough team
James Madison Injury Report

Old Dominion Notes(11/25) Fight w/ Marshall, Off great but 2 TOs cost em
(11/18) Fight w/ JMU, QB awful, Rgame good, R D awful
(11/3) 4 TOs broke W streak, QB Joseph good, Def bad
(10/24) Rgame good, Run D good in big W (GaSo)
(10/20) Rgame good, Run D better in big upset (Tex St)
(10/13) Rgame good, Run Def great vs Ga St. QB meh
(10/10) Rgame 200 yds(5.4 pc) L to C.Car., Def torched
(10/10) QB Joseph a huge upgrade, JAG w/ mobility
(9/28) Rgame better (189/5.3), QBs abysmal in L to BGU
(8/26) OL gave up most sacks in CFB LY
(7/30) Year 5, won last 2 LY to go bowling.
(7/30) OC Decker's off is unique, but roster is limiting
Old Dominion Injury Report

James Madison on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	JMU Off	ODU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#63	#82
SuccessSuc	#27	#100
ExplosiveExp	#82	#4
PPAPPA	#44	#30
PowerPwr	#106	#66
SP+SP+	#49	#99
Pts POPPO	#64	#46
HavocHav	#84	#56

James Madison Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	JMU Off	ODU Def
Run GameRun	#35	#34
Run SuccessRSuc	#102	#60
Run ExplRExp	#114	#2
PPAExp	#121	#11
Run BlockR Blk	#20	-
OL YdsOLY	#121	#22
Stuff RateStuff	#132	#42
TackleTak	-	#120

James Madison Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	JMU Off	ODU Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#99
Pass SuccessPSuc	#7	#124
Pass ExplPExl	#90	#39
PPAExp	#13	#93
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#41	#128
F7 HavocF7	#69	#56
DB HavocDB	#98	#70

Old Dominion on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	ODU Off	JMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#126	#18
SuccessSuc	#109	#4
ExplosiveExp	#9	#128
PPAPPA	#102	#14
PowerPwr	#34	#23
SP+SP+	#78	#40
Pts POPPO	#117	#9
HavocHav	#122	#1

Old Dominion Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	ODU Off	JMU Def
Run GameRun	#10	#20
Run SuccessRSuc	#92	#1
Run ExplRExp	#4	#117
PPAExp	#58	#8
Run BlockR Blk	#124	-
OL YdsOLY	#76	#1
Stuff RateStuff	#105	#2
TackleTak	-	#62

Old Dominion Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	ODU Off	JMU Def
Pass GamePass	#134	#25
Pass SuccessPSuc	#107	#19
Pass ExplPExl	#39	#115
PPAExp	#112	#51
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#134	#24
F7 HavocF7	#131	#2
DB HavocDB	#37	#4

Program Comparison
ODU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Up to Average G5

JMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Foreman Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
James Madison 1.5 (51.0)
James Madison won at Old Dominion this year (35-32)

Previous Matchups
James Madison beat Old Dominion last year (63-27)
James Madison beat Old Dominion in 2024 (35-32)
James Madison beat Old Dominion in 2023 (30-27)

JMU's OC Dean Kennedy (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Alonza Barnett	212	354	60%	2596	26	4	7.3
Billy Atkins	16	24	67%	181	1	0	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
George Pettaway (Tr)	163	976	5	6.0	31
Alonza Barnett	135	450	7	3.3	50
Wayne Knight	77	449	2	5.8	59
Jobi Malary (Tr)	45	269	2	6.0	32

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omarion Dollison	37	633	6	17.1	73
Yamir Knight	52	605	4	11.6	68
Taylor Thompson	33	448	6	13.6	36
Cameron Ross	37	443	3	12.0	43

View James Madison's Full Roster

JMU's DC Lyle Hemphill (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Thomas	73	8	1	1	3
Khairi Manns (Tr)	70	14	9	8	2
Jacob Dobbs (Tr)	69	4	3	2	0
Chris Shearin (Tr)	58	2	0	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eric O'Neill (Tr)	53	18	13	16	3
Khairi Manns (Tr)	70	14	9	8	2
Jacob Dobbs (Tr)	69	4	3	2	0
Trent Hendrick	54	9	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Terrence Spence (Tr)	38	1	0	7
Jordan Taylor (Tr)	24	0	0	5
Chris Shearin (Tr)	58	2	2	4

ODU's OC Kevin Decker (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Colton Joseph	133	222	60%	1623	11	5	7.3
Grant Wilson	48	86	56%	507	4	3	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Aaron Young (Tr)	149	768	6	5.2	51
Colton Joseph	114	647	11	5.7	39
Bryce Duke (Tr)	46	285	0	6.2	48
Quinn Henicle	34	278	3	8.2	92

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isiah Paige	61	814	3	13.3	72
Pat Conroy (Tr)	37	523	5	14.1	75
Diante Vines (Tr)	36	393	2	10.9	40
Myles Alston	23	246	0	10.7	30

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

ODU's DC Blake Seiler (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Koa Naotala	87	5	4	5	1
Jahron Manning	85	6	1	0	3
Mario Thompson	66	10	5	5	1
Jahleel Culbreath	62	8	0	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mario Thompson	66	10	5	5	1
Koa Naotala	87	5	4	5	1
Kris Trinidad	44	10	4	5	3
Jeremy Mack Jr.	22	4	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Rasheed Reason	50	2	0	4
Dywan Griffin	4	0	0	3
Jahron Manning	85	6	1	3