James Madison at Old Dominion - 2024 Matchup Preview
James Madison logo James Madison Dukes at Old Dominion MonarchsOld Dominion logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (4:00 PM EST)
James Madison -1.5 (51.0) (-120)  Open: -4.5
James Madison 35 - Old Dominion: 32  (Sun Belt)

 
Dukes (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bob Chesney (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (31 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
ODU coming off BYE
Our Line: James Madison -4   (SP+ JMU -13.5)

Projected Score: JMU: 29 - ODU: 25 (54)
JMU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
JMU Travel: 176 miles
Monarchs (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (15 - 23)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (28 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
James Madison's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 James Madison at Charlotte-6.547.5W 30 - 7UY
Sat 9/7 James Madison vs Gardner-Webb-35.550.5W 13 - 6UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 James Madison at North Carolina+10.048.0W 70 - 50OY
Sat 9/28 James Madison vs Ball State-22.056.5W 63 - 7OY
Sat 10/5 James Madison at UL Monroe-16.548.5L 19 - 21UN
Thu 10/10 James Madison vs Coastal Carolina-7.059.0W 39 - 7UY
Sat 10/19 James Madison at Georgia Southern-9.558.5L 14 - 28UN
Sat 10/26 James Madison vs Southern Miss-24.054.0W 32 - 15UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 James Madison vs Georgia State-14.553.5W 38 - 7UY
Sat 11/16 James Madison at Old Dominion-1.551.0W 35 - 32OY
Sat 11/23 James Madison at App State-7.557.5L 20 - 34UN
Sat 11/30 James Madison vs Marshall-2.552.5L 33 - 35ON
Wed 12/18 James Madison vs Western Kentucky-7.550.5W 27 - 17UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for James Madison's Schedule
Old Dominion's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Old Dominion at South Carolina+20.549.5L 19 - 23UY
Sat 9/7 Old Dominion vs East Carolina-1.553.5L 14 - 20UN
Sat 9/14 Old Dominion vs Virginia Tech+15.547.5L 17 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Old Dominion at Bowling Green+11.051.5W 30 - 27OY
Sat 10/5 Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina+4.051.5L 37 - 45ON
Sat 10/12 Old Dominion at Georgia State+3.053.0W 21 - 14UY
Sat 10/19 Old Dominion vs Texas State+10.560.0W 24 - 14UY
Thu 10/24 Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern+1.052.0W 47 - 19OY
Sat 11/2 Old Dominion at App State-2.558.0L 20 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Old Dominion vs James Madison+1.551.0L 32 - 35ON
Sat 11/23 Old Dominion vs Marshall-3.051.0L 35 - 42ON
Sat 11/30 Old Dominion at Arkansas State-5.558.5W 40 - 32OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JMU#88 (.16)44% (61)33.347% (29)3.28 (30)19440% (87)2163.93 (66)#4 (.03)34% (1)20.534% (5)34% (3)3.64 (53)54.80.72.5
ODU#47 (.22)42% (71)2845% (55)3.24 (34)21140% (89)1934.75 (6)#71 (.17)39% (33)2838% (22)40% (64)3.64 (50)54.21.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JMU#88 (.16)44% (61)47% (29)3.28 (30)19440% (87)2163.93 (66)#4 (.03)34% (1)34% (5)34% (3)3.64 (53)54.80.72.5
ODU#47 (.22)42% (71)45% (55)3.24 (34)21140% (89)1934.75 (6)#71 (.17)39% (33)38% (22)40% (64)3.64 (50)54.21.71.4



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JMU Offense1333.331.343.6%3.930.7214101942164.952%48%47%40%14%.16
ODU Defense122827.838.8%3.641.4 - - - - - 53%46%38%40%16%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JMU Defense1320.528.733.9%3.642.5 - - - - - 46%54%34%34%20%.03
ODU Offense122828.242.4%4.751.7204042111935.455%44%45%40%16%.22

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
James Madison1331:4520.841%40%754.80.72.57.13.2632.9
Old Dominion1227:5919.743%64%6.254.21.71.46.21.9027.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JMU Offense1352% (54)47% (29)39.8193.74.920 (67).17 (45)3.28 (30)72% (82)10% (61)0.98 (58)
ODU Defense1253% (101)38% (22) - - - - .1 (61)3.01 (71)77% (94)11% (49)1.03 (91)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JMU Defense1346% (19)34% (5) - - - - (14)2.46 (5)65% (26)13% (15)1.07 (106)
ODU Offense1255% (34)45% (55)39.5211.35.427 (30).21 (30)3.24 (34)67% (108)11% (105)1.16 (8)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JMU Offense1348% (79)40% (87)17.829.3215.97.412.228 (15)4 (1).18 (99)1.5 (103)31% (61)29% (95).26 (95)4% (18)2.1 (38)
ODU Defense1246% (32)40% (64) - - - - - - 12 (39).28 (95)1.8 (126)35% (24)31% (78).4 (104)5% (98)2.3 (129)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JMU Defense1354% (116)34% (3) - - - - - - 17 (5).07 (10)1.8 (118)40% (1)26% (18).16 (11)7% (24)2.3 (125)
ODU Offense1244% (104)40% (89)16.327.8192.66.911.917 (79)9 (48).27 (61)1.6 (41)33% (107)30% (86).36 (56)5% (30)2.2 (17)

James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: -4.73 #82
James Madison's Offense Rating: 15.14 #106
James Madison's Defense Rating: 4.30 #23
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
James Madison's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
James Madison's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #41
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #49
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
James Madison: -4.73   Old Dominion: -2.42

SP+ Ratings Matchup
James Madison: 7.5   Old Dominion: -6.0




Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: -2.42 #77
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 23.31 #34
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 9.12 #66
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Old Dominion's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Old Dominion's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.0 #95
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #78
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #99

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


James Madison Scoring
Offense: 33.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.7

James Madison's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
James Madison 29
Old Dominion 25


Total Points: 54

Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Old Dominion's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Old Dominion32James Madison35James MadisonJames Madison -1.5James Madison51.0Over
202310/28James Madison30Old Dominion27James MadisonJames Madison -19.5Old Dominion48.0Over
202211/12Old Dominion3James Madison37James MadisonJames Madison -7.5James Madison48.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Old Dominion012 Overs
James Madison321 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 20 - 30 - 10 - 2
Road Teams2 - 13 - 02 - 01 - 0

(#82) James Madison Info
Power Rating: -4.73 #82
Offense Rating: 15.14 #106
Defense Rating: 4.30 #23
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #49
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 34%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

James Madison has won 2 straight
James Madison has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

James Madison Notes
(12/18) Great job by staff. Lost HC/OC/DC/portals, 9-4
(12/1) 2 str WTF L's to finish, 2 OT L to Marshall
(12/1) Rgame good, 244/4.6 ypc, QB Barnett eff. Bad L
(11/25) WTF L @ App, box score W but 2 TOs, 9 flags
(11/25) 3 L's as big favorites under 1st yr Chesney, why?
(11/18) Rgame good, QB meh in close W @ ODU
(10/22) Def stop rate 77% (#7) even after shocking GaSo L
(10/20) Barnett awful in bad L (Ga So), Rgame abysmal
(10/16) Into week 8 lead nation with 17 Def TO's
(10/10) QB Barnett has 3 games with 3 TDs in 1st half

James Madison Highlights
James Madison has Really Good Running Game (#76)
James Madison has a top Offensive Line (#36)
James Madison Defense Sacks the QB a lot

James Madison has a really good defense (#2)
James Madison has a good run defense (#5)
James Madison has a good pass defense (#5)
James Madison Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#2)
James Madison Defensive Line is very good (#3)
James Madison Front 7 is disruptive (#35)
James Madison Secondary is very good (#2)
James Madison has a great TO Margin (#82)
James Madison defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

James Madison Deficiencies
James Madison Commits a Lot of Penalties (#75)
James Madison offense is not Explosive (#105)
James Madison gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#119)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatODUJMU
OverallOver#84#19
OffenseOff#102#53
DefenseDef#63#13
Special TeamsST#93#40
PassingPass#109#73
RushingRush#10#24
Run BlockRBLK#96#18
Pass BlockPBLK#117#41
Route RunningWR Rt#89#88
TacklingTkl#104#55
Run DefenseR Def#27#16
Pass Rush DefPRush#107#22
Coverage DefCov#80#17

Rematch from Week 12
James Madison 1.5 (51.0)
James Madison won at Old Dominion this year (35-32)

Previous Matchups
James Madison beat Old Dominion last year (35-32)
James Madison beat Old Dominion in 2023 (30-27)
James Madison beat Old Dominion in 2022 (37-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Foreman Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: JMU | ODU
Depth Chart: JMU | ODU
Rosters: JMU | ODU
(#77) Old Dominion Info
Power Rating: -2.42 #77
Offense Rating: 23.31 #34
Defense Rating: 9.12 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.0 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #99
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.75 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Old Dominion has lost 1 straight
Old Dominion has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Old Dominion Notes
(11/18) Fight w/ JMU, QB awful, Rgame good, R D awful
(11/3) 4 TOs broke W streak, QB Joseph good, Def bad
(10/24) Rgame good, Run D good in big W (GaSo)
(10/20) Rgame good, Run D better in big upset (Tex St)
(10/13) Rgame good, Run Def great vs Ga St. QB meh
(10/10) Rgame 200 yds(5.4 pc) L to C.Car., Def torched
(10/10) QB Joseph a huge upgrade, JAG w/ mobility
(9/28) Rgame better (189/5.3), QBs abysmal in L to BGU
(8/26) OL gave up most sacks in CFB LY
(7/30) Year 5, won last 2 LY to go bowling.

Old Dominion Highlights
Old Dominion has Really Good Running Game (#7)
Old Dominion offense is explosive (#13)
Old Dominion offense is good in red zone (#1)
Old Dominion has a good run defense (#132)

Old Dominion Deficiencies
Old Dominion Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Old Dominion gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#4)


  
James Madison's OC Dean Kennedy
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alonza Barnett21235460%25962647.3
Billy Atkins162467%181107.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
George Pettaway (Tr)16397656.031
Alonza Barnett13545073.350
Wayne Knight7744925.859
Jobi Malary (Tr)4526926.032
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Dollison37633617.173
Yamir Knight52605411.668
Taylor Thompson33448613.636
Cameron Ross37443312.043

View James Madison's Full Roster
James Madison's DC Lyle Hemphill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Thomas738113
Khairi Manns (Tr)7014982
Jacob Dobbs (Tr)694320
Chris Shearin (Tr)582024
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric O'Neill (Tr)531813163
Khairi Manns (Tr)7014982
Jacob Dobbs (Tr)694320
Trent Hendrick549331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terrence Spence (Tr)381007
Jordan Taylor (Tr)240005
Chris Shearin (Tr)582024

Old Dominion's OC Kevin Decker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Colton Joseph13322260%16231157.3
Grant Wilson488656%507435.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Aaron Young (Tr)14976865.251
Colton Joseph114647115.739
Bryce Duke (Tr)4628506.248
Quinn Henicle3427838.292
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isiah Paige61814313.372
Pat Conroy (Tr)37523514.175
Diante Vines (Tr)36393210.940
Myles Alston23246010.730

View Old Dominion's Full Roster
Old Dominion's DC Blake Seiler
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Koa Naotala875451
Jahron Manning856103
Mario Thompson6610551
Jahleel Culbreath628020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mario Thompson6610551
Koa Naotala875451
Kris Trinidad4410453
Jeremy Mack Jr.224320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheed Reason502004
Dywan Griffin40003
Jahron Manning856103