UL Monroe at Auburn Game Matchup
UL Monroe logo UL Monroe Warhawks at Auburn TigersAuburn logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (12:45 PM EST)
Auburn -24.5 (46.0) (-3200)  Open: -25.5
Auburn 48 - UL Monroe: 14

 
Warhawks (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 29 (15 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
AUB coming off BYE
ULM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Auburn -32   (SP+ AUB -26)

Projected Score: ULM: 8 - AUB: 40 (49)
AUB Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
ULM Travel: 383 miles
Tigers (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (33 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
UL Monroe's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 UL Monroe vs Jackson State-4.545.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 9/7 UL Monroe vs UAB+10.555.5W 32 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 UL Monroe at Texas+43.554.5L 3 - 51UN
Sat 9/28 UL Monroe at Troy+6.046.0W 13 - 9UY
Sat 10/5 UL Monroe vs James Madison+16.548.5W 21 - 19UY
Sat 10/12 UL Monroe vs Southern Miss-4.541.0W 38 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 UL Monroe at South Alabama+7.045.0L 17 - 46ON
Sat 11/2 UL Monroe at Marshall+10.548.0L 23 - 28OY
Sat 11/9 UL Monroe vs Texas State+9.550.0L 17 - 38ON
Sat 11/16 UL Monroe at Auburn+24.546.0L 14 - 48ON
Sat 11/23 UL Monroe at Arkansas State+3.051.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/30 UL Monroe vs Louisiana+8.550.5L 23 - 37ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule
Auburn's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Auburn vs Alabama A&M-48.558.5W 73 - 3OY
Sat 9/7 Auburn vs California-11.552.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 9/14 Auburn vs New Mexico-25.558.5W 45 - 19OY
Sat 9/21 Auburn vs Arkansas-2.553.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 9/28 Auburn vs Oklahoma-2.043.0L 21 - 27ON
Sat 10/5 Auburn at Georgia+21.050.0L 13 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Auburn at Missouri+3.549.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/26 Auburn at Kentucky+2.043.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/2 Auburn vs Vanderbilt-7.548.0L 7 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Auburn vs UL Monroe-24.546.0W 48 - 14OY
Sat 11/23 Auburn vs Texas A&M+2.547.0W 43 - 41OY
Sat 11/30 Auburn at Alabama+10.550.5L 14 - 28UN

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM#124 (.06)36% (128)2140% (97)3.18 (56)14632% (133)1752.61 (130)#107 (.24)46% (117)28.844% (78)49% (132)4.1 (97)53.61.51.6
AUB#93 (.14)41% (80)27.845% (44)3.01 (86)18937% (110)1623.99 (58)#48 (.15)40% (42)21.343% (72)37% (20)3.65 (56)43.81.51.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AUB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Offense122115.235.6%2.611.5163211461754.249%50%40%32%19%.06
AUB Defense1321.320.840%3.651.4 - - - - - 52%47%43%37%17%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULM Defense1228.83545.6%4.11.6 - - - - - 53%46%44%49%15%.24
AUB Offense1327.833.141.3%3.991.5193511891624.856%43%45%37%16%.14

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UL Monroe1227:0215.832%35%5.953.61.51.66.12231
Auburn1329:0318.533%50%5.543.81.51.45.52.1229.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Offense1249% (78)40% (97)34.6146.34.27 (131).11 (89)3.18 (56)74% (63)12% (100)0.92 (102)
AUB Defense1352% (103)43% (72) - - - - .13 (63)2.95 (40)86% (126)10% (57)0.94 (39)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULM Defense1253% (107)44% (78) - - - - .11 (42)3.06 (58)75% (78)11% (55)0.9 (26)
AUB Offense1356% (20)45% (44)39.51894.822 (51).19 (47)3.01 (86)74% (69)11% (85)1.02 (58)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Offense1250% (59)32% (133)14.828.8174.86.111.915 (96)13 (97).03 (131)1.7 (22)36% (124)21% (133).12 (124)7% (111)2.3 (9)
AUB Defense1347% (30)37% (20) - - - - - - 12 (37).2 (33)1.8 (125)35% (22)31% (79).29 (57)7% (49)2.2 (97)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULM Defense1246% (25)49% (132) - - - - - - 11 (53).48 (132)1.7 (97)32% (68)39% (130).52 (129)5% (121)2 (48)
AUB Offense1343% (114)37% (110)14.524.4162.26.711.218 (81)13 (97).12 (120)1.6 (74)32% (76)25% (117).14 (121)5% (41)1.9 (112)

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -22.07 #123
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 11.51 #124
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 254.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
UL Monroe's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
UL Monroe's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #122
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #106

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -22.07   Auburn: 12.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -16.7   Auburn: 9.5




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 12.735 #27
Auburn's Offense Rating: 23.04 #40
Auburn's Defense Rating: 5.80 #32
2024 Talent Rating: 792.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
Auburn's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Auburn's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #63
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.2
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

UL Monroe's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 40
UL Monroe 8


Projected Total Points: 49
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Auburn's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Auburn48UL Monroe14AuburnAuburn -24.5Auburn46.0Over
201711/18Auburn42UL Monroe14AuburnAuburn -38UL Monroe68.0Under
201610/01Auburn58UL Monroe7AuburnAuburn -34Auburn57.5Over
201209/15Auburn31UL Monroe28Auburn
201010/02Auburn52UL Monroe3Auburn
200808/30Auburn34UL Monroe0Auburn
200409/04Auburn31UL Monroe0Auburn
200311/01Auburn73UL Monroe7Auburn
200211/09Auburn52UL Monroe14Auburn
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn922 Overs
UL Monroe011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 02 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 91 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#123) UL Monroe Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -22.07 #123
Offense Rating: 11.51 #124
Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #106
Talent Rating: 254.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


UL Monroe Notes
(11/3) Run D bad vs Marshall, 2 straight L's now
(11/3) OL coach is unhinged and under investigation
(10/27) Run D abused (S Al), 358 yds, 7.8 ypc, QBs awful
(10/12) Rushed 246 yds (5.9 ypc), D held SMiss 1-13 3rds
(10/8) Off very slow pace. Limited possessions.
(10/8) Great W over JMU. OG'd but timely Def, pass D
(10/8) Incredible job by Vincent so far. UAB's mistake
(10/4) Off near worst, Def v good so far. Somehow 3-1
(7/30) New QB Booty (OU) leads a roster full of Transfers
(7/30) RB Smith decent, top 6 WR gone, OL has 1/5 back
UL Monroe     Ratings Matchup     Auburn
Power #123
#27
Off #124
#40
Def #115
#32
Talent #130
#33
SP+ #122
#33
SP+ Off #126
#63
SP+ Def #106
#17

Rematch from Week 12
Auburn -24.5 (46.0)
Auburn won vs UL Monroe this year (48-14)

Previous Matchups
Auburn beat UL Monroe last year (48-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 69° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: ULM | AUB
Depth Chart: ULM | AUB
Rosters: ULM | AUB
(#27) Auburn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.735 #27
Offense Rating: 23.04 #40
Defense Rating: 5.80 #32
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17
Talent Rating: 792.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.42 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.35 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position



  
UL Monroe's OC Bryant Vincent
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Armenta10218854%12949106.9
General Booty (Tr)295454%306225.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Hardy2371352135.780
James Jones7933614.324
Taven Curry (Tr)3215304.815
Hunter Herring1611627.344
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Godfrey24265211.057
Davon Wells2926229.051
Tyler Griffin (Tr)8193124.140
Javon Campbell8176122.044

View UL Monroe's Full Roster
UL Monroe's DC Earnest Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wydett Williams904114
Carl Glass Jr.784220
Travor Randle634128
Carl Fauntroy Jr.491014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Billy Pullen416451
Tristan Shorter164331
Kevontay Wells4610350
Carl Glass Jr.784220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travor Randle634128
Wydett Williams904114
Carl Fauntroy Jr.491014

Auburn's OC Derrick Nix
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hank Brown274363%403639.4
Walker White2540%18003.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damari Alston5227635.336
Jeremiah Cobb2914204.927
Walker White41804.58
Malcolm Simmons41303.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keandre Lambert50981819.667
Cam Coleman37598816.263
Malcolm Simmons40451311.357
Robert Lewis (Tr)1615509.718

View Auburn's Full Roster
Auburn's DC D. J. Durkin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dorian Mausi Jr. (Tr)819312
Jerrin Thompson (Tr)652105
Keldric Faulk4511771
Kaleb Harris441003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keldric Faulk4511771
Demarcus Riddick275321
Dorian Mausi Jr. (Tr)819312
Malik Blocton154210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay Crawford150007
Kayin Lee320007
Jerrin Thompson (Tr)652105