UL Monroe at Auburn - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 16th 2024 (12:45 PM EST)
Auburn -24.5 (46.0) (-3200) Open: -25.5
Auburn 48 - UL Monroe: 14

Warhawks (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 29 (15 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AUB coming off BYE
ULM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Auburn -32 (SP+ AUB -26)
Projected Score: ULM: 7 - AUB: 39 (47)
AUB Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
ULM Travel: 383 miles

Tigers (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (33 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULM Players
AUB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UL Monroe's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	UL Monroe vs Jackson State	-4.5	45.5	W 30 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/7	UL Monroe vs UAB	+10.5	55.5	W 32 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	UL Monroe at Texas	+43.5	54.5	L 3 - 51	U	N
Sat 9/28	UL Monroe at Troy	+6.0	46.0	W 13 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/5	UL Monroe vs James Madison	+16.5	48.5	W 21 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/12	UL Monroe vs Southern Miss	-4.5	41.0	W 38 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	UL Monroe at South Alabama	+7.0	45.0	L 17 - 46	O	N
Sat 11/2	UL Monroe at Marshall	+10.5	48.0	L 23 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/9	UL Monroe vs Texas State	+9.5	50.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/16	UL Monroe at Auburn	+24.5	46.0	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/23	UL Monroe at Arkansas State	+3.0	51.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/30	UL Monroe vs Louisiana	+8.5	50.5	L 23 - 37	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule

Auburn's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Auburn vs Alabama A&M	-48.5	58.5	W 73 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Auburn vs California	-11.5	52.5	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/14	Auburn vs New Mexico	-25.5	58.5	W 45 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Auburn vs Arkansas	-2.5	53.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/28	Auburn vs Oklahoma	-2.0	43.0	L 21 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/5	Auburn at Georgia	+21.0	50.0	L 13 - 31	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Auburn at Missouri	+3.5	49.5	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/26	Auburn at Kentucky	+2.0	43.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Auburn vs Vanderbilt	-7.5	48.0	L 7 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Auburn vs UL Monroe	-24.5	46.0	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Auburn vs Texas A&M	+2.5	47.0	W 43 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Auburn at Alabama	+10.5	50.5	L 14 - 28	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM	#94 (.15)	37% (121)	21	40% (102)	2.93 (87)	173	33% (128)	135	3.33 (117)	#89 (.2)	47% (120)	28.8	53% (134)	39% (53)	4.12 (99)	43.3	1.3	1.1
AUB	#42 (.24)	45% (40)	27.8	48% (21)	3.32 (23)	166	42% (67)	264	3.42 (110)	#21 (.09)	38% (20)	21.3	38% (19)	38% (34)	3.35 (25)	49.3	1.8	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM	#94 (.15)	37% (121)		40% (102)	2.93 (87)	173	33% (128)	135	3.33 (117)	#89 (.2)	47% (120)		53% (134)	39% (53)	4.12 (99)	43.3	1.3	1.1
AUB	#42 (.24)	45% (40)		48% (21)	3.32 (23)	166	42% (67)	264	3.42 (110)	#21 (.09)	38% (20)		38% (19)	38% (34)	3.35 (25)	49.3	1.8	1.1

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Offense	12	21	15.2	37.4%	3.33	1.3	15	308	173	135	4.6	62%	37%	40%	33%	15%	.15
AUB Defense	12	21.3	20.8	37.8%	3.35	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	38%	38%	15%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Defense	12	28.8	35	46.9%	4.12	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	53%	39%	13%	.2
AUB Offense	12	27.8	33.1	44.9%	3.42	1.8	21	430	166	264	5	48%	52%	48%	42%	17%	.24

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UL Monroe	12	30:46	15.3	33%	67%	5.9	43.3	1.3	1.1	4.2	1.5	1	30.3
Auburn	12	27:13	20.9	41%	47%	5.8	49.3	1.8	1.1	5.7	2.3	1	27.9

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Offense	12	62% (6)	40% (102)	37.8	172.8	4.6	17 (84)	.16 (54)	2.93 (87)	74% (64)	10% (75)	1.12 (15)
AUB Defense	12	53% (98)	38% (19)	-	-	-	-	-.02 (7)	2.49 (6)	80% (108)	10% (81)	0.93 (44)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Defense	12	57% (127)	53% (134)	-	-	-	-	.24 (122)	3.48 (129)	89% (133)	8% (117)	0.89 (26)
AUB Offense	12	48% (85)	48% (21)	33.4	165.7	5	13 (105)	.16 (55)	3.32 (23)	69% (95)	10% (67)	0.92 (89)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Offense	12	37% (128)	33% (128)	11.2	20.5	134.8	6.6	12.1	11 (122)	12 (85)	.14 (110)	1.9 (8)	34% (118)	28% (106)	.27 (92)	5% (26)	2 (87)
AUB Defense	12	47% (42)	38% (34)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.22 (63)	1.7 (104)	35% (19)	28% (34)	.21 (31)	6% (77)	2.1 (85)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Defense	12	42% (6)	39% (53)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (109)	.17 (38)	1.5 (20)	29% (110)	30% (53)	.27 (50)	5% (111)	1.8 (17)
AUB Offense	12	52% (47)	42% (67)	19.2	30.8	263.9	8.6	13.8	27 (20)	13 (103)	.31 (45)	1.6 (39)	31% (55)	32% (69)	.41 (34)	7% (113)	1.9 (101)

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -22.07 #123
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 11.51 #124
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
UL Monroe's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
UL Monroe's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #122
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #106

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -22.07 Auburn: 12.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -16.7 Auburn: 9.5

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 12.735 #27
Auburn's Offense Rating: 23.04 #40
Auburn's Defense Rating: 5.80 #32
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
Auburn's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Auburn's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #63
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.2
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

UL Monroe's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Auburn 39
UL Monroe 7

Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Auburn 23
UL Monroe 20

Total Points: 43

Based on Entire Season
Auburn 31
UL Monroe 20

Total Points: 51

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Auburn's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/16	Auburn	48	UL Monroe	14	Auburn -24.5	Auburn	46.0	Over
2017	11/18	Auburn	42	UL Monroe	14	Auburn -38	UL Monroe	68.0	Under
2016	10/01	Auburn	58	UL Monroe	7	Auburn -34	Auburn	57.5	Over
2012	09/15	Auburn	31	UL Monroe	28
2010	10/02	Auburn	52	UL Monroe	3
2008	08/30	Auburn	34	UL Monroe	0
2004	09/04	Auburn	31	UL Monroe	0
2003	11/01	Auburn	73	UL Monroe	7
2002	11/09	Auburn	52	UL Monroe	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Auburn	9	2	2 Overs
UL Monroe	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 0	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 9	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 2

(#123) ULM at (#27) AUB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULM	AUB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#123	#27
SP+SP+	#122	#33
Perf GradeGrade	#118	#28
OffenseOff	#112	#48
DefenseDef	#112	#20
Spec TeamsST	#118	#55
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#74	#18

UL Monroe Notes(12/1) 0-6 finish. Off was awful, Def couldn't hold. TO's
(11/3) Run D bad vs Marshall, 2 straight L's now
(11/3) OL coach is unhinged and under investigation
(10/27) Run D abused (S Al), 358 yds, 7.8 ypc, QBs awful
(10/12) Rushed 246 yds (5.9 ypc), D held SMiss 1-13 3rds
(10/8) Off very slow pace. Limited possessions.
(10/8) Great W over JMU. OG'd but timely Def, pass D
(10/8) Incredible job by Vincent so far. UAB's mistake
(10/4) Off near worst, Def v good so far. Somehow 3-1
(7/30) New QB Booty (OU) leads a roster full of Transfers
(7/30) RB Smith decent, top 6 WR gone, OL has 1/5 back
(7/30) Def was poor LY does have some exp.
UL Monroe Injury Report

Auburn Injury Report

UL Monroe on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	ULM Off	AUB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#112	#20
SuccessSuc	#121	#20
ExplosiveExp	#15	#74
PPAPPA	#94	#21
PowerPwr	#124	#32
SP+SP+	#126	#17
Pts POPPO	#117	#25
HavocHav	#48	#79

UL Monroe Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	ULM Off	AUB Def
Run GameRun	#15	#11
Run SuccessRSuc	#102	#19
Run ExplRExp	#15	#44
PPAExp	#54	#7
Run BlockR Blk	#130	-
OL YdsOLY	#87	#6
Stuff RateStuff	#63	#20
TackleTak	-	#43

UL Monroe Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	ULM Off	AUB Def
Pass GamePass	#109	#73
Pass SuccessPSuc	#128	#34
Pass ExplPExl	#8	#104
PPAExp	#110	#63
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#88	#29
F7 HavocF7	#75	#81
DB HavocDB	#26	#77

Auburn on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	AUB Off	ULM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#48	#112
SuccessSuc	#40	#120
ExplosiveExp	#71	#6
PPAPPA	#42	#89
PowerPwr	#40	#115
SP+SP+	#63	#106
Pts POPPO	#110	#99
HavocHav	#94	#120

Auburn Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	AUB Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	#73	#134
Run SuccessRSuc	#21	#134
Run ExplRExp	#89	#26
PPAExp	#55	#122
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	#23	#129
Stuff RateStuff	#60	#127
TackleTak	-	#91

Auburn Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	AUB Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	#70	#35
Pass SuccessPSuc	#67	#53
Pass ExplPExl	#39	#20
PPAExp	#45	#38
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#61	#100
F7 HavocF7	#67	#117
DB HavocDB	#113	#111

Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'24 Profile: Remains Average P4

ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 69° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 12
Auburn -24.5 (46.0)
Auburn won vs UL Monroe this year (48-14)

Previous Matchups
Auburn beat UL Monroe last year (48-14)

ULM's OC Bryant Vincent (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Aidan Armenta	102	188	54%	1294	9	10	6.9
General Booty (Tr)	29	54	54%	306	2	2	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ahmad Hardy	237	1352	13	5.7	80
James Jones	79	336	1	4.3	24
Taven Curry (Tr)	32	153	0	4.8	15
Hunter Herring	16	116	2	7.3	44

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacob Godfrey	24	265	2	11.0	57
Davon Wells	29	262	2	9.0	51
Tyler Griffin (Tr)	8	193	1	24.1	40
Javon Campbell	8	176	1	22.0	44

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Earnest Hill (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Wydett Williams	90	4	1	1	4
Carl Glass Jr.	78	4	2	2	0
Travor Randle	63	4	1	2	8
Carl Fauntroy Jr.	49	1	0	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Billy Pullen	41	6	4	5	1
Tristan Shorter	16	4	3	3	1
Kevontay Wells	46	10	3	5	0
Carl Glass Jr.	78	4	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Travor Randle	63	4	1	2	8
Wydett Williams	90	4	1	1	4
Carl Fauntroy Jr.	49	1	0	1	4

AUB's OC Derrick Nix (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Payton Thorne	199	317	63%	2713	21	9	8.6
Hank Brown	27	43	63%	403	6	3	9.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jarquez Hunter	187	1201	8	6.4	50
Payton Thorne	112	283	2	2.5	31
Damari Alston	52	276	3	5.3	36
Jeremiah Cobb	29	142	0	4.9	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keandre Lambert	50	981	8	19.6	67
Cam Coleman	37	598	8	16.2	63
Malcolm Simmons	40	451	3	11.3	57
Rivaldo Fairweather	31	372	2	12.0	43

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC D. J. Durkin (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dorian Mausi Jr. (Tr)	81	9	3	1	2
Jerrin Thompson (Tr)	65	2	1	0	5
Jalen McLeod	56	14	8	2	1
Keldric Faulk	45	11	7	7	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen McLeod	56	14	8	2	1
Keldric Faulk	45	11	7	7	1
Demarcus Riddick	27	5	3	2	1
Dorian Mausi Jr. (Tr)	81	9	3	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Kayin Lee	32	0	0	7
Jay Crawford	15	0	0	7
Jerrin Thompson (Tr)	65	2	1	5