UL Monroe at Marshall - 2024 Matchup Preview

UL Monroe Warhawks at Marshall Thundering Herd

Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Marshall -10.5 (48.0) (-395) Open: -10.5
Marshall 28 - UL Monroe: 23 (Sun Belt)

Warhawks (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (15 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ULM 2nd straight Road Game
MRSH coming off BYE
Our Line: Marshall -22.5 (SP+ MRSH -20)
Projected Score: ULM: 15 - MRSH: 37 (52)
MRSH Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
ULM Travel: 678 miles, 1 hrs behind

Thundering Herd (10 - 3) (11 - 1 - 1)
Coach Charles Huff (22 - 17)
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULM Players
MRSH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UL Monroe's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	UL Monroe vs Jackson State	-4.5	45.5	W 30 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/7	UL Monroe vs UAB	+10.5	55.5	W 32 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	UL Monroe at Texas	+43.5	54.5	L 3 - 51	U	N
Sat 9/28	UL Monroe at Troy	+6.0	46.0	W 13 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/5	UL Monroe vs James Madison	+16.5	48.5	W 21 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/12	UL Monroe vs Southern Miss	-4.5	41.0	W 38 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	UL Monroe at South Alabama	+7.0	45.0	L 17 - 46	O	N
Sat 11/2	UL Monroe at Marshall	+10.5	48.0	L 23 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/9	UL Monroe vs Texas State	+9.5	50.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/16	UL Monroe at Auburn	+24.5	46.0	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/23	UL Monroe at Arkansas State	+3.0	51.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/30	UL Monroe vs Louisiana	+8.5	50.5	L 23 - 37	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule

Marshall's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Marshall vs Stony Brook	-32.5	56.5	W 45 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Marshall at Virginia Tech	+20.5	52.5	L 14 - 31	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Marshall at Ohio State	+40.0	57.0	L 14 - 49	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Marshall vs Western Michigan	-3.5	53.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Marshall vs App State	-3.0	56.5	W 52 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Marshall at Georgia Southern	+1.0	58.5	L 23 - 24	U	Y
Thu 10/17	Marshall vs Georgia State	-9.5	51.5	W 35 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Marshall vs UL Monroe	-10.5	48.0	W 28 - 23	O	N
Sat 11/9	Marshall at Southern Miss	-13.5	53.5	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Marshall vs Coastal Carolina	-7.5	57.0	W 31 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Marshall at Old Dominion	+3.0	51.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Marshall at James Madison	+2.5	52.5	W 35 - 33	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Marshall at Louisiana	+5.0	58.0	W 31 - 3	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM	#124 (.06)	36% (128)	16.6	40% (97)	3.18 (56)	146	32% (133)	175	2.61 (130)	#107 (.24)	46% (117)	31.9	44% (78)	49% (132)	4.1 (97)	53.6	1.5	1.6
MRSH	#101 (.13)	39% (108)	30.8	38% (121)	2.7 (125)	133	41% (81)	226	2.7 (128)	#31 (.13)	38% (25)	30.3	37% (20)	40% (41)	3.15 (18)	58.9	2.2	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MRSH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Offense	12	16.6	15.4	35.6%	2.61	1.5	16	321	146	175	4.2	49%	50%	40%	32%	19%	.06
MRSH Defense	13	30.3	24.7	37.9%	3.15	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	37%	40%	18%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Defense	12	31.9	39	45.6%	4.1	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	44%	49%	15%	.24
MRSH Offense	13	30.8	31.3	38.7%	2.7	2.2	18	359	133	226	3.8	48%	50%	38%	41%	20%	.13

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UL Monroe	12	27:02	15.8	32%	35%	5.9	53.6	1.5	1.6	6.1	2	2	31
Marshall	13	29:27	18.2	31%	24%	6.5	58.9	2.2	1.4	6.5	2.5	4	28.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Offense	12	49% (78)	40% (97)	34.6	146.3	4.2	7 (131)	.11 (89)	3.18 (56)	74% (63)	12% (100)	0.92 (102)
MRSH Defense	13	48% (39)	37% (20)	-	-	-	-	.11 (43)	2.81 (23)	64% (23)	11% (43)	1.2 (126)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Defense	12	53% (107)	44% (78)	-	-	-	-	.11 (42)	3.06 (58)	75% (78)	11% (55)	0.9 (26)
MRSH Offense	13	48% (86)	38% (121)	34.8	132.7	3.8	21 (54)	.13 (79)	2.7 (125)	74% (62)	13% (126)	1.14 (12)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Offense	12	50% (59)	32% (133)	14.8	28.8	174.8	6.1	11.9	15 (96)	13 (97)	.03 (131)	1.7 (22)	36% (124)	21% (133)	.12 (124)	7% (111)	2.3 (9)
MRSH Defense	13	51% (91)	40% (41)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.2 (28)	1.6 (74)	35% (34)	30% (61)	.27 (46)	7% (26)	2.2 (107)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Defense	12	46% (25)	49% (132)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.48 (132)	1.7 (97)	32% (68)	39% (130)	.52 (129)	5% (121)	2 (48)
MRSH Offense	13	50% (58)	41% (81)	20.6	32.7	226.2	6.9	11	12 (113)	18 (128)	.19 (97)	1.4 (126)	34% (98)	26% (105)	.23 (99)	6% (86)	2.1 (51)

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -22.07 #123
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 11.51 #124
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 126.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
UL Monroe's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
UL Monroe's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #122
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #106

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -22.07 Marshall: 2.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -16.7 Marshall: 3.1

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: 2.885 #71
Marshall's Offense Rating: 18.46 #82
Marshall's Defense Rating: 8.48 #57
2024 Talent Rating: 256.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Marshall's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Marshall's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #50
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.4
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

UL Monroe's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Marshall 37
UL Monroe 15

Projected Total Points: 52

Marshall Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

Marshall's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 1 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	Marshall	28	UL Monroe	23	Marshall -10.5	UL Monroe	48.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Marshall	1	0	1 Overs
UL Monroe	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#123) ULM at (#71) MRSH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULM	MRSH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#123	#71
SP+SP+	#122	#58
Perf GradeGrade	#118	#44
OffenseOff	#112	#98
DefenseDef	#112	#21
Spec TeamsST	#118	#21
TalentTal	#129	#92
Blue ChipsBC%	#74	#44

UL Monroe Notes(12/1) 0-6 finish. Off was awful, Def couldn't hold. TO's
(11/3) Run D bad vs Marshall, 2 straight L's now
(11/3) OL coach is unhinged and under investigation
(10/27) Run D abused (S Al), 358 yds, 7.8 ypc, QBs awful
(10/12) Rushed 246 yds (5.9 ypc), D held SMiss 1-13 3rds
(10/8) Off very slow pace. Limited possessions.
(10/8) Great W over JMU. OG'd but timely Def, pass D
(10/8) Incredible job by Vincent so far. UAB's mistake
(10/4) Off near worst, Def v good so far. Somehow 3-1
(7/30) New QB Booty (OU) leads a roster full of Transfers
(7/30) RB Smith decent, top 6 WR gone, OL has 1/5 back
(7/30) Def was poor LY does have some exp.
UL Monroe Injury Report

Marshall Notes(12/14) Opted out bowl, no players/coaches. Shameful
(12/8) Won Sun Belt, did not extend HC Huff?
(12/8) Hired HC Tony Gibson (NC St DC)
(12/1) Great 2OT W @JMU, OG'd by 120 yds, QB bad
(11/25) Off great vs ODU. Need W vs JMU & help for SBC
(11/18) Somehow winning games w/ bad Off, meh Def
(11/3) Off Eff, Def enough in W (ULM). Now 3-1 SBC
(10/17) QB Braxton (very mobile) taken over for Earle
(10/17) QB Braxton pass bad/run good vs Ga St
(10/17) Rgame 295 yds, 8 ypc vs Ga St. Nearly gagged
(10/13) QB's awful, Rgame good. 21pt 4Q total gag (Ga So)
(8/17) Huff needs a good year to show progress
Marshall Injury Report

UL Monroe on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	ULM Off	MRSH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#112	#21
SuccessSuc	#128	#25
ExplosiveExp	#71	#121
PPAPPA	#124	#31
PowerPwr	#124	#57
SP+SP+	#126	#71
Pts POPPO	#130	#18
HavocHav	#110	#27

UL Monroe Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	ULM Off	MRSH Def
Run GameRun	#15	#74
Run SuccessRSuc	#97	#20
Run ExplRExp	#102	#126
PPAExp	#89	#43
Run BlockR Blk	#130	-
OL YdsOLY	#56	#23
Stuff RateStuff	#28	#40
TackleTak	-	#20

UL Monroe Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	ULM Off	MRSH Def
Pass GamePass	#109	#3
Pass SuccessPSuc	#133	#41
Pass ExplPExl	#22	#74
PPAExp	#131	#28
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#88	#25
F7 HavocF7	#100	#43
DB HavocDB	#111	#26

Marshall on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	ULM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#98	#112
SuccessSuc	#108	#117
ExplosiveExp	#73	#61
PPAPPA	#101	#107
PowerPwr	#82	#115
SP+SP+	#50	#106
Pts POPPO	#128	#97
HavocHav	#121	#90

Marshall Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	#64	#134
Run SuccessRSuc	#121	#78
Run ExplRExp	#12	#26
PPAExp	#79	#42
Run BlockR Blk	#93	-
OL YdsOLY	#125	#58
Stuff RateStuff	#118	#38
TackleTak	-	#91

Marshall Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	#84	#35
Pass SuccessPSuc	#81	#132
Pass ExplPExl	#126	#97
PPAExp	#97	#132
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#44	#100
F7 HavocF7	#126	#55
DB HavocDB	#86	#121

Program Comparison
MRSH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Marshall -10.5 (48.0)
Marshall won vs UL Monroe this year (28-23)

Previous Matchups
Marshall beat UL Monroe in 2024 (28-23)

ULM's OC Bryant Vincent (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Aidan Armenta	102	188	54%	1294	9	10	6.9
General Booty (Tr)	29	54	54%	306	2	2	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ahmad Hardy	237	1352	13	5.7	80
James Jones	79	336	1	4.3	24
Taven Curry (Tr)	32	153	0	4.8	15
Hunter Herring	16	116	2	7.3	44

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacob Godfrey	24	265	2	11.0	57
Davon Wells	29	262	2	9.0	51
Tyler Griffin (Tr)	8	193	1	24.1	40
Javon Campbell	8	176	1	22.0	44

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Earnest Hill (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Wydett Williams	90	4	1	1	4
Carl Glass Jr.	78	4	2	2	0
Travor Randle	63	4	1	2	8
Carl Fauntroy Jr.	49	1	0	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Billy Pullen	41	6	4	5	1
Tristan Shorter	16	4	3	3	1
Kevontay Wells	46	10	3	5	0
Carl Glass Jr.	78	4	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Travor Randle	63	4	1	2	8
Wydett Williams	90	4	1	1	4
Carl Fauntroy Jr.	49	1	0	1	4

MRSH's OC Seth Doege (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Braylon Braxton (Tr)	124	206	60%	1624	19	2	7.9
Stone Earle	65	120	54%	673	7	2	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
A.J. Turner	104	864	6	8.3	88
Braylon Braxton (Tr)	134	610	4	4.6	35
Jordan Houston (Tr)	111	592	2	5.3	45
Ethan Payne	65	323	7	5.0	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Christian Fitzpatrick (Tr)	34	576	6	16.9	69
Charles Montgomery	32	393	3	12.3	30
Carl Chester (Tr)	20	342	3	17.1	42
Elijah Metcalf (Tr)	20	194	3	9.7	28

View Marshall's Full Roster

MRSH's DC Jason Semore (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaden Yates	114	7	1	6	2
J.J. Roberts	94	5	1	3	12
Michael Green	78	21	17	15	2
Landyn Watson	66	4	0	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Green	78	21	17	15	2
D'Vion Harris	53	8	4	2	1
Jabari Ishmael	22	3	2	5	1
Chris Thomas Jr.	44	4	2	4	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J.J. Roberts	94	5	1	3	12
Jacobie Henderson	50	2	0	0	10
Josh Moten	38	0	0	0	5