Marshall at Georgia Southern - 2024 Matchup Preview

Marshall Thundering Herd at Georgia Southern Eagles

Saturday, October 12th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Georgia Southern -1 (58.5) (-112) Open: -1.0
Georgia Southern 24 - Marshall: 23 (Sun Belt)

Thundering Herd (10 - 3) (11 - 1 - 1)
Coach Charles Huff (22 - 17)
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (30 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GASO coming off BYE
MRSH is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Marshall -3 (SP+ MRSH -5)
Projected Score: MRSH: 32 - GASO: 29 (62)
GASO Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
MRSH Travel: 417 miles

Eagles (8 - 5) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Clay Helton (12 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 32 (36 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MRSH Players
GASO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Marshall's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Marshall vs Stony Brook	-32.5	56.5	W 45 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Marshall at Virginia Tech	+20.5	52.5	L 14 - 31	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Marshall at Ohio State	+40.0	57.0	L 14 - 49	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Marshall vs Western Michigan	-3.5	53.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Marshall vs App State	-3.0	56.5	W 52 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Marshall at Georgia Southern	+1.0	58.5	L 23 - 24	U	Y
Thu 10/17	Marshall vs Georgia State	-9.5	51.5	W 35 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Marshall vs UL Monroe	-10.5	48.0	W 28 - 23	O	N
Sat 11/9	Marshall at Southern Miss	-13.5	53.5	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Marshall vs Coastal Carolina	-7.5	57.0	W 31 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Marshall at Old Dominion	+3.0	51.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Marshall at James Madison	+2.5	52.5	W 35 - 33	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Marshall at Louisiana	+5.0	58.0	W 31 - 3	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule

Georgia Southern's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Georgia Southern vs Boise State	+13.0	57.5	L 45 - 56	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Georgia Southern at Nevada	+1.5	56.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Georgia Southern vs South Carolina State	-27.5	52.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Georgia Southern at Ole Miss	+35.0	68.5	L 13 - 52	U	N
Sat 9/28	Georgia Southern at Georgia State	+3.5	57.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Georgia Southern vs Marshall	-1.0	58.5	W 24 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/19	Georgia Southern vs James Madison	+9.5	58.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Thu 10/24	Georgia Southern at Old Dominion	-1.0	52.0	L 19 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/2	Georgia Southern at South Alabama	+5.5	60.0	W 34 - 30	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Georgia Southern vs Troy	-7.0	54.0	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/23	Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina	+2.0	59.5	W 26 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Georgia Southern vs App State	-2.5	60.5	W 29 - 20	U	Y
Thu 12/19	Georgia Southern vs Sam Houston	-3.5	48.0	L 26 - 31	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MRSH	#101 (.13)	39% (108)	30.8	38% (121)	2.7 (125)	133	41% (81)	226	2.7 (128)	#31 (.13)	38% (25)	30.3	37% (20)	40% (41)	3.15 (18)	58.9	2.2	1.4
GASO	#55 (.21)	45% (32)	27.9	48% (21)	3.13 (64)	117	45% (40)	302	3.64 (88)	#118 (.27)	45% (107)	32.3	45% (94)	45% (115)	4.45 (123)	51.8	2.4	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MRSH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GASO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MRSH Offense	13	30.8	30.2	38.7%	2.7	2.2	18	359	133	226	3.8	48%	50%	38%	41%	20%	.13
GASO Defense	13	32.3	33	44.9%	4.45	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	45%	45%	22%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MRSH Defense	13	30.3	35.8	37.9%	3.15	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	37%	40%	18%	.13
GASO Offense	13	27.9	36.2	45.3%	3.64	2.4	23	419	117	302	4	35%	64%	48%	45%	17%	.21

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Marshall	13	29:27	18.2	31%	24%	6.5	58.9	2.2	1.4	6.5	2.5	4	28.1
Georgia Southern	13	31:06	23.1	46%	59%	5.8	51.8	2.4	1.6	7	1.8	4	30.8

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MRSH Offense	13	48% (86)	38% (121)	34.8	132.7	3.8	21 (54)	.13 (79)	2.7 (125)	74% (62)	13% (126)	1.14 (12)
GASO Defense	13	49% (55)	45% (94)	-	-	-	-	.25 (122)	3.16 (85)	72% (59)	14% (7)	1.13 (116)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MRSH Defense	13	48% (39)	37% (20)	-	-	-	-	.11 (43)	2.81 (23)	64% (23)	11% (43)	1.2 (126)
GASO Offense	13	35% (130)	48% (21)	29	117.1	4	16 (89)	.23 (25)	3.13 (64)	78% (35)	10% (63)	1.05 (41)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MRSH Offense	13	50% (58)	41% (81)	20.6	32.7	226.2	6.9	11	12 (113)	18 (128)	.19 (97)	1.4 (126)	34% (98)	26% (105)	.23 (99)	6% (86)	2.1 (51)
GASO Defense	13	50% (81)	45% (115)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.3 (89)	1.5 (32)	31% (96)	35% (120)	.49 (127)	9% (5)	2.1 (81)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MRSH Defense	13	51% (91)	40% (41)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.2 (28)	1.6 (74)	35% (34)	30% (61)	.27 (46)	7% (26)	2.2 (107)
GASO Offense	13	64% (4)	45% (40)	28.9	44.4	302.2	6.8	10.5	26 (31)	20 (133)	.26 (74)	1.4 (131)	30% (41)	34% (35)	.41 (42)	8% (114)	2.1 (62)

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -2.33 #71
Marshall's Offense Rating: 18.46 #82
Marshall's Defense Rating: 8.48 #57
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #44
Marshall's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Marshall's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #50
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -2.33 Georgia Southern: -2.765

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Marshall: 3.1 Georgia Southern: -1.7

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -2.765 #96
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 20.12 #66
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 14.04 #102
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Georgia Southern's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Georgia Southern's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.7 #76
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #72
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Marshall Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.2
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

Marshall's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 1 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 0 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Marshall 32
Georgia Southern 29

Projected Total Points: 62

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 27.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 33

Georgia Southern's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Marshall	19	Georgia Southern	24	Marshall -10.5	Georgia Southern	61.5	Under
2024	10/12	Georgia Southern	24	Marshall	23	Georgia Southern -1	Push	58.5	Under
2023	11/11	Marshall	38	Georgia Southern	33	Georgia Southern -1.5	Marshall	56.5	Over
2022	11/19	Georgia Southern	10	Marshall	23	Marshall -6	Marshall	52.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Southern	2	1	1 Overs
Marshall	2	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0

(#71) MRSH at (#96) GASO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MRSH	GASO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#71	#96
SP+SP+	#58	#76
Perf GradeGrade	#44	#95
OffenseOff	#98	#96
DefenseDef	#21	#90
Spec TeamsST	#21	#74
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#44	#82

Marshall Notes(12/14) Opted out bowl, no players/coaches. Shameful
(12/8) Won Sun Belt, did not extend HC Huff?
(12/8) Hired HC Tony Gibson (NC St DC)
(12/1) Great 2OT W @JMU, OG'd by 120 yds, QB bad
(11/25) Off great vs ODU. Need W vs JMU & help for SBC
(11/18) Somehow winning games w/ bad Off, meh Def
(11/3) Off Eff, Def enough in W (ULM). Now 3-1 SBC
(10/17) QB Braxton (very mobile) taken over for Earle
(10/17) QB Braxton pass bad/run good vs Ga St
(10/17) Rgame 295 yds, 8 ypc vs Ga St. Nearly gagged
(10/13) QB's awful, Rgame good. 21pt 4Q total gag (Ga So)
(8/17) Huff needs a good year to show progress
Marshall Injury Report

Georgia Southern Notes(11/25) Big W @ Coastal. Beat App & help=SBC title
(11/25) French torced CC, Rgame awful, Def 3 INTs in W
(11/18) Bad L vs Troy, Rgame awful, Pass D awful
(11/3) Big W (S. Al), Outgained (100+) but forced 2 TOs
(10/24) Killed by ODU, gave up 500+ yds, 250+ rushing
(10/20) Rgame 190 (4.8 ypc), Def great in JMU upset
(10/18) QB French (concussion) cleared for JMU game
(10/13) Rgame bad vs Marshall, 21 pt 4Q comeback W
(9/28) Rgame 261 (5.4), French good vs Ga St.
(9/1) Good fight vs Boise, QB French good. Def awful
(8/17) Big year for Helton, need progress
(7/30) QB battle, Williams (IU) vs French, WR look good
Georgia Southern Injury Report

Marshall on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	GASO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#98	#90
SuccessSuc	#108	#107
ExplosiveExp	#73	#83
PPAPPA	#101	#118
PowerPwr	#82	#102
SP+SP+	#50	#90
Pts POPPO	#128	#123
HavocHav	#121	#4

Marshall Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	#64	#84
Run SuccessRSuc	#121	#94
Run ExplRExp	#12	#116
PPAExp	#79	#122
Run BlockR Blk	#93	-
OL YdsOLY	#125	#85
Stuff RateStuff	#118	#61
TackleTak	-	#64

Marshall Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	#84	#77
Pass SuccessPSuc	#81	#115
Pass ExplPExl	#126	#32
PPAExp	#97	#89
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#44	#89
F7 HavocF7	#126	#7
DB HavocDB	#86	#5

Georgia Southern on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	GASO Off	MRSH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#96	#21
SuccessSuc	#32	#25
ExplosiveExp	#95	#121
PPAPPA	#55	#31
PowerPwr	#66	#57
SP+SP+	#72	#71
Pts POPPO	#88	#18
HavocHav	#91	#27

Georgia Southern Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	GASO Off	MRSH Def
Run GameRun	#80	#74
Run SuccessRSuc	#21	#20
Run ExplRExp	#41	#126
PPAExp	#25	#43
Run BlockR Blk	#114	-
OL YdsOLY	#64	#23
Stuff RateStuff	#106	#40
TackleTak	-	#20

Georgia Southern Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	GASO Off	MRSH Def
Pass GamePass	#87	#3
Pass SuccessPSuc	#40	#41
Pass ExplPExl	#131	#74
PPAExp	#74	#28
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#23	#25
F7 HavocF7	#63	#43
DB HavocDB	#114	#26

Program Comparison
GASO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'24 Profile: Up to Top G5

MRSH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paulson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Georgia Southern -1.0 (58.5)
Georgia Southern won vs Marshall this year (24-23)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Southern beat Marshall last year (24-19)
Georgia Southern beat Marshall in 2024 (24-23)
Marshall beat Georgia Southern in 2023 (38-33)

MRSH's OC Seth Doege (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Braylon Braxton (Tr)	124	206	60%	1624	19	2	7.9
Stone Earle	65	120	54%	673	7	2	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
A.J. Turner	104	864	6	8.3	88
Braylon Braxton (Tr)	134	610	4	4.6	35
Jordan Houston (Tr)	111	592	2	5.3	45
Ethan Payne	65	323	7	5.0	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Christian Fitzpatrick (Tr)	34	576	6	16.9	69
Charles Montgomery	32	393	3	12.3	30
Carl Chester (Tr)	20	342	3	17.1	42
Elijah Metcalf (Tr)	20	194	3	9.7	28

View Marshall's Full Roster

MRSH's DC Jason Semore (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaden Yates	114	7	1	6	2
J.J. Roberts	94	5	1	3	12
Michael Green	78	21	17	15	2
Landyn Watson	66	4	0	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Green	78	21	17	15	2
D'Vion Harris	53	8	4	2	1
Jabari Ishmael	22	3	2	5	1
Chris Thomas Jr.	44	4	2	4	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J.J. Roberts	94	5	1	3	12
Jacobie Henderson	50	2	0	0	10
Josh Moten	38	0	0	0	5

GASO's OC Ryan Aplin (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
JC French	269	410	66%	2831	17	11	6.9
Dexter Williams II (Tr)	19	30	63%	248	3	0	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen White	164	745	14	4.5	49
OJ Arnold	62	315	3	5.1	32
JC French	118	238	2	2.0	19
David Mbadinga	58	229	3	3.9	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Derwin Burgess Jr.	59	659	3	11.2	48
Josh Dallas	46	614	6	13.3	59
Dalen Cobb	52	599	4	11.5	55
LV Bunkley-Shelton (Tr)	30	322	0	10.7	34

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC Brandon Bailey (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marques Watson-Trent	118	8	2	2	1
Davon Gilmore	62	5	3	4	1
Jusfin Meyers	61	3	1	1	1
Chance Gamble (Tr)	48	2	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davon Gilmore	62	5	3	4	1
Davion Rhodes	22	6	3	1	0
Elhadj Fall	20	5	3	1	1
Marc Stampley II	42	2	2	0	7

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chance Gamble (Tr)	48	2	0	0	7
Marc Stampley II	42	2	2	0	7
Isaac Walker	23	4	2	3	3