James Madison at Georgia Southern - 2024 Matchup Preview
James Madison logo James Madison Dukes at Georgia Southern EaglesGeorgia Southern logo
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
James Madison -9.5 (58.5) (-345)  Open: -6.5
Georgia Southern 28 - James Madison: 14  (Sun Belt)

 
Dukes (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bob Chesney (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (31 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
GASO 2nd straight Home Game
JMU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: James Madison -4   (SP+ JMU -9)

Projected Score: JMU: 31 - GASO: 27 (58)
JMU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
JMU Travel: 447 miles
Eagles (8 - 5) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Clay Helton (12 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (31 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
 
James Madison's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 James Madison at Charlotte-6.547.5W 30 - 7UY
Sat 9/7 James Madison vs Gardner-Webb-35.550.5W 13 - 6UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 James Madison at North Carolina+10.048.0W 70 - 50OY
Sat 9/28 James Madison vs Ball State-22.056.5W 63 - 7OY
Sat 10/5 James Madison at UL Monroe-16.548.5L 19 - 21UN
Thu 10/10 James Madison vs Coastal Carolina-7.059.0W 39 - 7UY
Sat 10/19 James Madison at Georgia Southern-9.558.5L 14 - 28UN
Sat 10/26 James Madison vs Southern Miss-24.054.0W 32 - 15UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 James Madison vs Georgia State-14.553.5W 38 - 7UY
Sat 11/16 James Madison at Old Dominion-1.551.0W 35 - 32OY
Sat 11/23 James Madison at App State-7.557.5L 20 - 34UN
Sat 11/30 James Madison vs Marshall-2.552.5L 33 - 35ON
Wed 12/18 James Madison vs Western Kentucky-7.550.5W 27 - 17UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for James Madison's Schedule
Georgia Southern's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Georgia Southern vs Boise State+13.057.5L 45 - 56OY
Sat 9/7 Georgia Southern at Nevada+1.556.5W 20 - 17UY
Sat 9/14 Georgia Southern vs South Carolina State-27.552.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 9/21 Georgia Southern at Ole Miss+35.068.5L 13 - 52UN
Sat 9/28 Georgia Southern at Georgia State+3.557.5W 38 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Georgia Southern vs Marshall-1.058.5W 24 - 23UN
Sat 10/19 Georgia Southern vs James Madison+9.558.5W 28 - 14UY
Thu 10/24 Georgia Southern at Old Dominion-1.052.0L 19 - 47ON
Sat 11/2 Georgia Southern at South Alabama+5.560.0W 34 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Georgia Southern vs Troy-7.054.0L 20 - 28UN
Sat 11/23 Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina+2.059.5W 26 - 6UY
Sat 11/30 Georgia Southern vs App State-2.560.5W 29 - 20UY
Thu 12/19 Georgia Southern vs Sam Houston-3.548.0L 26 - 31ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JMU#88 (.16)44% (61)33.347% (29)3.28 (30)19440% (87)2163.93 (66)#4 (.03)34% (1)20.534% (5)34% (3)3.64 (53)54.80.72.5
GASO#68 (.19)43% (65)2846% (44)2.84 (101)12840% (85)2384.57 (17)#105 (.23)45% (108)27.647% (109)44% (102)3.81 (71)48.31.71.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JMU#88 (.16)44% (61)47% (29)3.28 (30)19440% (87)2163.93 (66)#4 (.03)34% (1)34% (5)34% (3)3.64 (53)54.80.72.5
GASO#68 (.19)43% (65)46% (44)2.84 (101)12840% (85)2384.57 (17)#105 (.23)45% (108)47% (109)44% (102)3.81 (71)48.31.71.5



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JMU Offense1333.331.343.6%3.930.7214101942164.952%48%47%40%14%.16
GASO Defense1327.625.845.5%3.811.5 - - - - - 47%53%47%44%14%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JMU Defense1320.528.733.9%3.642.5 - - - - - 46%54%34%34%20%.03
GASO Offense132831.342.9%4.571.7223661282383.846%53%46%40%17%.19

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
James Madison1331:4520.841%40%754.80.72.57.13.2632.9
Georgia Southern1330:0921.845%75%5.648.31.71.54.61.6127.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JMU Offense1352% (54)47% (29)39.8193.74.920 (67).17 (45)3.28 (30)72% (82)10% (61)0.98 (58)
GASO Defense1347% (27)47% (109) - - - - .18 (99)3.1 (87)72% (60)8% (106)1 (79)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JMU Defense1346% (19)34% (5) - - - - (14)2.46 (5)65% (26)13% (15)1.07 (106)
GASO Offense1346% (95)46% (44)33.8128.23.824 (45).15 (57)2.84 (101)78% (36)11% (94)0.99 (57)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JMU Offense1348% (79)40% (87)17.829.3215.97.412.228 (15)4 (1).18 (99)1.5 (103)31% (61)29% (95).26 (95)4% (18)2.1 (38)
GASO Defense1353% (108)44% (102) - - - - - - 13 (31).28 (97)1.5 (52)31% (89)32% (94).35 (89)5% (100)2 (54)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JMU Defense1354% (116)34% (3) - - - - - - 17 (5).07 (10)1.8 (118)40% (1)26% (18).16 (11)7% (24)2.3 (125)
GASO Offense1353% (39)40% (85)22.234.2237.8710.721 (51)11 (72).23 (86)1.5 (84)31% (60)33% (48).39 (43)6% (65)2 (90)

James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: -4.73 #82
James Madison's Offense Rating: 15.14 #106
James Madison's Defense Rating: 4.30 #23
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
James Madison's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
James Madison's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #41
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #49
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
James Madison: -4.73   Georgia Southern: -2.765

SP+ Ratings Matchup
James Madison: 7.5   Georgia Southern: -1.7




Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -2.765 #96
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 20.12 #66
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 14.04 #102
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Georgia Southern's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Georgia Southern's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.7 #76
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #72
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


James Madison Scoring
Offense: 33.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.7

James Madison's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
James Madison 31
Georgia Southern 27


Total Points: 58

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.8

Georgia Southern's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Georgia Southern28James Madison14Georgia SouthernJames Madison -9.5Georgia Southern58.5Under
202310/14James Madison41Georgia Southern13James MadisonJames Madison -5.5James Madison60.0Under
202210/15Georgia Southern45James Madison38Georgia SouthernJames Madison -13Georgia Southern68.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia Southern221 Overs
James Madison112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 03 - 01 - 02 - 0
Road Teams0 - 30 - 30 - 20 - 1

(#82) James Madison Info
Power Rating: -4.73 #82
Offense Rating: 15.14 #106
Defense Rating: 4.30 #23
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #49
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 34%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

James Madison has won 1 straight
James Madison has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

James Madison Notes
(12/18) Great job by staff. Lost HC/OC/DC/portals, 9-4
(12/1) 2 str WTF L's to finish, 2 OT L to Marshall
(12/1) Rgame good, 244/4.6 ypc, QB Barnett eff. Bad L
(11/25) WTF L @ App, box score W but 2 TOs, 9 flags
(11/25) 3 L's as big favorites under 1st yr Chesney, why?
(11/18) Rgame good, QB meh in close W @ ODU
(10/22) Def stop rate 77% (#7) even after shocking GaSo L
(10/20) Barnett awful in bad L (Ga So), Rgame abysmal
(10/16) Into week 8 lead nation with 17 Def TO's
(10/10) QB Barnett has 3 games with 3 TDs in 1st half

James Madison Highlights
James Madison has Really Good Running Game (#76)
James Madison has a top Offensive Line (#36)
James Madison Defense Sacks the QB a lot

James Madison has a really good defense (#2)
James Madison has a good run defense (#5)
James Madison has a good pass defense (#5)
James Madison Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#2)
James Madison Defensive Line is very good (#3)
James Madison Front 7 is disruptive (#35)
James Madison Secondary is very good (#2)
James Madison has a great TO Margin (#82)
James Madison defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

James Madison Deficiencies
James Madison Commits a Lot of Penalties (#75)
James Madison offense is not Explosive (#105)
James Madison gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#119)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatGASOJMU
OverallOver#68#19
OffenseOff#77#53
DefenseDef#70#13
Special TeamsST#62#40
PassingPass#68#73
RushingRush#58#24
Run BlockRBLK#88#18
Pass BlockPBLK#23#41
Route RunningWR Rt#72#88
TacklingTkl#56#55
Run DefenseR Def#67#16
Pass Rush DefPRush#76#22
Coverage DefCov#63#17

Rematch from Week 8
James Madison 9.5 (58.5)
Georgia Southern won vs James Madison this year (28-14)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Southern beat James Madison last year (28-14)
James Madison beat Georgia Southern in 2023 (41-13)
Georgia Southern beat James Madison in 2022 (45-38)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paulson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: JMU | GASO
Depth Chart: JMU | GASO
Rosters: JMU | GASO
(#96) Georgia Southern Info
Power Rating: -2.765 #96
Offense Rating: 20.12 #66
Defense Rating: 14.04 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.7 #76
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.57 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Georgia Southern has won 2 straight
Georgia Southern has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (4 - 1 - 1 vs Spread)

Georgia Southern Notes
(11/25) French torced CC, Rgame awful, Def 3 INTs in W
(11/18) Bad L vs Troy, Rgame awful, Pass D awful
(11/3) Big W (S. Al), Outgained (100+) but forced 2 TOs
(10/24) Killed by ODU, gave up 500+ yds, 250+ rushing
(10/20) Rgame 190 (4.8 ypc), Def great in JMU upset
(10/18) QB French (concussion) cleared for JMU game
(10/13) Rgame bad vs Marshall, 21 pt 4Q comeback W
(9/28) Rgame 261 (5.4), French good vs Ga St.
(9/1) Good fight vs Boise, QB French good. Def awful
(8/17) Big year for Helton, need progress

Georgia Southern Highlights
Georgia Southern is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Georgia Southern offense is good in red zone (#74)

Georgia Southern Deficiencies
Georgia Southern has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Georgia Southern Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Georgia Southern has a bad defense (#136)


  
James Madison's OC Dean Kennedy
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alonza Barnett21235460%25962647.3
Billy Atkins162467%181107.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
George Pettaway (Tr)16397656.031
Alonza Barnett13545073.350
Wayne Knight7744925.859
Jobi Malary (Tr)4526926.032
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Dollison37633617.173
Yamir Knight52605411.668
Taylor Thompson33448613.636
Cameron Ross37443312.043

View James Madison's Full Roster
James Madison's DC Lyle Hemphill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Thomas738113
Khairi Manns (Tr)7014982
Jacob Dobbs (Tr)694320
Chris Shearin (Tr)582024
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric O'Neill (Tr)531813163
Khairi Manns (Tr)7014982
Jacob Dobbs (Tr)694320
Trent Hendrick549331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terrence Spence (Tr)381007
Jordan Taylor (Tr)240005
Chris Shearin (Tr)582024

Georgia Southern's OC Ryan Aplin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
JC French26941066%283117116.9
Dexter Williams II (Tr)193063%248308.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen White164745144.549
OJ Arnold6231535.132
JC French11823822.019
David Mbadinga5822933.929
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Derwin Burgess Jr.59659311.248
Josh Dallas46614613.359
Dalen Cobb52599411.555
LV Bunkley-Shelton (Tr)30322010.734

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster
Georgia Southern's DC Brandon Bailey
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques Watson-Trent1188221
Davon Gilmore625341
Jusfin Meyers613111
Chance Gamble (Tr)482007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davon Gilmore625341
Davion Rhodes226310
Elhadj Fall205311
Marc Stampley II422207
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chance Gamble (Tr)482007
Marc Stampley II422207
Isaac Walker234233