James Madison at Georgia Southern - 2024 Matchup Preview

James Madison Dukes at Georgia Southern Eagles

Saturday, October 19th 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
James Madison -9.5 (58.5) (-345) Open: -6.5
Georgia Southern 28 - James Madison: 14 (Sun Belt)

Dukes (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bob Chesney (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (31 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GASO 2nd straight Home Game
JMU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: James Madison -4 (SP+ JMU -9)
Projected Score: JMU: 32 - GASO: 28 (59)
JMU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
JMU Travel: 447 miles

Eagles (8 - 5) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Clay Helton (12 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (31 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
JMU Players
GASO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

James Madison's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	James Madison at Charlotte	-6.5	47.5	W 30 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/7	James Madison vs Gardner-Webb	-35.5	50.5	W 13 - 6	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	James Madison at North Carolina	+10.0	48.0	W 70 - 50	O	Y
Sat 9/28	James Madison vs Ball State	-22.0	56.5	W 63 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/5	James Madison at UL Monroe	-16.5	48.5	L 19 - 21	U	N
Thu 10/10	James Madison vs Coastal Carolina	-7.0	59.0	W 39 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/19	James Madison at Georgia Southern	-9.5	58.5	L 14 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/26	James Madison vs Southern Miss	-24.0	54.0	W 32 - 15	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	James Madison vs Georgia State	-14.5	53.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/16	James Madison at Old Dominion	-1.5	51.0	W 35 - 32	O	Y
Sat 11/23	James Madison at App State	-7.5	57.5	L 20 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/30	James Madison vs Marshall	-2.5	52.5	L 33 - 35	O	N
Wed 12/18	James Madison vs Western Kentucky	-7.5	50.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for James Madison's Schedule

Georgia Southern's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Georgia Southern vs Boise State	+13.0	57.5	L 45 - 56	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Georgia Southern at Nevada	+1.5	56.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Georgia Southern vs South Carolina State	-27.5	52.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Georgia Southern at Ole Miss	+35.0	68.5	L 13 - 52	U	N
Sat 9/28	Georgia Southern at Georgia State	+3.5	57.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Georgia Southern vs Marshall	-1.0	58.5	W 24 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/19	Georgia Southern vs James Madison	+9.5	58.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Thu 10/24	Georgia Southern at Old Dominion	-1.0	52.0	L 19 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/2	Georgia Southern at South Alabama	+5.5	60.0	W 34 - 30	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Georgia Southern vs Troy	-7.0	54.0	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/23	Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina	+2.0	59.5	W 26 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Georgia Southern vs App State	-2.5	60.5	W 29 - 20	U	Y
Thu 12/19	Georgia Southern vs Sam Houston	-3.5	48.0	L 26 - 31	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JMU	#88 (.16)	44% (61)	33.3	47% (29)	3.28 (30)	194	40% (87)	216	3.93 (66)	#4 (.03)	34% (1)	20.5	34% (5)	34% (3)	3.64 (53)	54.8	0.7	2.5
GASO	#68 (.19)	43% (65)	28	46% (44)	2.84 (101)	128	40% (85)	238	4.57 (17)	#105 (.23)	45% (108)	27.6	47% (109)	44% (102)	3.81 (71)	48.3	1.7	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JMU	#88 (.16)	44% (61)		47% (29)	3.28 (30)	194	40% (87)	216	3.93 (66)	#4 (.03)	34% (1)		34% (5)	34% (3)	3.64 (53)	54.8	0.7	2.5
GASO	#68 (.19)	43% (65)		46% (44)	2.84 (101)	128	40% (85)	238	4.57 (17)	#105 (.23)	45% (108)		47% (109)	44% (102)	3.81 (71)	48.3	1.7	1.5

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JMU Offense	13	33.3	31.3	43.6%	3.93	0.7	21	410	194	216	4.9	52%	48%	47%	40%	14%	.16
GASO Defense	13	27.6	25.8	45.5%	3.81	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	47%	44%	14%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JMU Defense	13	20.5	28.7	33.9%	3.64	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	34%	34%	20%	.03
GASO Offense	13	28	31.3	42.9%	4.57	1.7	22	366	128	238	3.8	46%	53%	46%	40%	17%	.19

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
James Madison	13	31:45	20.8	41%	40%	7	54.8	0.7	2.5	7.1	3.2	6	32.9
Georgia Southern	13	30:09	21.8	45%	75%	5.6	48.3	1.7	1.5	4.6	1.6	1	27.7

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JMU Offense	13	52% (54)	47% (29)	39.8	193.7	4.9	20 (67)	.17 (45)	3.28 (30)	72% (82)	10% (61)	0.98 (58)
GASO Defense	13	47% (27)	47% (109)	-	-	-	-	.18 (99)	3.1 (87)	72% (60)	8% (106)	1 (79)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JMU Defense	13	46% (19)	34% (5)	-	-	-	-	(14)	2.46 (5)	65% (26)	13% (15)	1.07 (106)
GASO Offense	13	46% (95)	46% (44)	33.8	128.2	3.8	24 (45)	.15 (57)	2.84 (101)	78% (36)	11% (94)	0.99 (57)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JMU Offense	13	48% (79)	40% (87)	17.8	29.3	215.9	7.4	12.2	28 (15)	4 (1)	.18 (99)	1.5 (103)	31% (61)	29% (95)	.26 (95)	4% (18)	2.1 (38)
GASO Defense	13	53% (108)	44% (102)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (31)	.28 (97)	1.5 (52)	31% (89)	32% (94)	.35 (89)	5% (100)	2 (54)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JMU Defense	13	54% (116)	34% (3)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (5)	.07 (10)	1.8 (118)	40% (1)	26% (18)	.16 (11)	7% (24)	2.3 (125)
GASO Offense	13	53% (39)	40% (85)	22.2	34.2	237.8	7	10.7	21 (51)	11 (72)	.23 (86)	1.5 (84)	31% (60)	33% (48)	.39 (43)	6% (65)	2 (90)

James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: -4.73 #82
James Madison's Offense Rating: 15.14 #106
James Madison's Defense Rating: 4.30 #23
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
James Madison's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
James Madison's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #41
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #49
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
James Madison: -4.73 Georgia Southern: -2.765

SP+ Ratings Matchup
James Madison: 7.5 Georgia Southern: -1.7

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -2.765 #96
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 20.12 #66
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 14.04 #102
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Georgia Southern's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Georgia Southern's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.7 #76
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #72
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

James Madison Scoring
Offense: 33.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.7

James Madison's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
James Madison 32
Georgia Southern 28

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
James Madison 35
Georgia Southern 30

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
James Madison 30
Georgia Southern 27

Total Points: 57

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.8

Georgia Southern's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	James Madison	35	Georgia Southern	10	James Madison -14.5	James Madison	54.5	Under
2024	10/19	Georgia Southern	28	James Madison	14	James Madison -9.5	Georgia Southern	58.5	Under
2023	10/14	James Madison	41	Georgia Southern	13	James Madison -5.5	James Madison	60.0	Under
2022	10/15	Georgia Southern	45	James Madison	38	James Madison -13	Georgia Southern	68.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Southern	2	2	1 Overs
James Madison	2	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 0	4 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 4	0 - 4	0 - 2	0 - 2

(#82) JMU at (#96) GASO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	JMU	GASO
Power RatePwr	#82	#96
SP+SP+	#41	#76
Perf GradeGrade	#26	#95
OffenseOff	#63	#96
DefenseDef	#18	#90
Spec TeamsST	#46	#74
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#82	#82

James Madison Notes(12/18) DL v good, DE O'Neill is elite, #2 good as well
(12/18) Great job by staff. Lost HC/OC/DC/portals, 9-4
(12/1) 2 str WTF L's to finish, 2 OT L to Marshall
(12/1) Rgame good, 244/4.6 ypc, QB Barnett eff. Bad L
(11/25) WTF L @ App, box score W but 2 TOs, 9 flags
(11/25) 3 L's as big favorites under 1st yr Chesney, why?
(11/18) Rgame good, QB meh in close W @ ODU
(10/22) Def stop rate 77% (#7) even after shocking GaSo L
(10/20) Barnett awful in bad L (Ga So), Rgame abysmal
(10/16) Into week 8 lead nation with 17 Def TO's
(10/10) QB Barnett has 3 games with 3 TDs in 1st half
(10/10) Rgame dominates. QB Barnett good. Tough team
James Madison Injury Report

Georgia Southern Notes(11/25) Big W @ Coastal. Beat App & help=SBC title
(11/25) French torced CC, Rgame awful, Def 3 INTs in W
(11/18) Bad L vs Troy, Rgame awful, Pass D awful
(11/3) Big W (S. Al), Outgained (100+) but forced 2 TOs
(10/24) Killed by ODU, gave up 500+ yds, 250+ rushing
(10/20) Rgame 190 (4.8 ypc), Def great in JMU upset
(10/18) QB French (concussion) cleared for JMU game
(10/13) Rgame bad vs Marshall, 21 pt 4Q comeback W
(9/28) Rgame 261 (5.4), French good vs Ga St.
(9/1) Good fight vs Boise, QB French good. Def awful
(8/17) Big year for Helton, need progress
(7/30) QB battle, Williams (IU) vs French, WR look good
Georgia Southern Injury Report

James Madison on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	JMU Off	GASO Def
Perf GradePerf	#63	#90
SuccessSuc	#61	#108
ExplosiveExp	#104	#70
PPAPPA	#88	#105
PowerPwr	#106	#102
SP+SP+	#49	#90
Pts POPPO	#66	#71
HavocHav	#35	#110

James Madison Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	JMU Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	#35	#84
Run SuccessRSuc	#29	#109
Run ExplRExp	#58	#79
PPAExp	#45	#99
Run BlockR Blk	#20	-
OL YdsOLY	#30	#87
Stuff RateStuff	#33	#52
TackleTak	-	#64

James Madison Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	JMU Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#77
Pass SuccessPSuc	#87	#102
Pass ExplPExl	#103	#52
PPAExp	#99	#97
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#41	#89
F7 HavocF7	#61	#106
DB HavocDB	#18	#100

Georgia Southern on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	GASO Off	JMU Def
Perf GradePerf	#96	#18
SuccessSuc	#65	#1
ExplosiveExp	#77	#125
PPAPPA	#68	#4
PowerPwr	#66	#23
SP+SP+	#72	#40
Pts POPPO	#17	#53
HavocHav	#87	#8

Georgia Southern Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	GASO Off	JMU Def
Run GameRun	#80	#20
Run SuccessRSuc	#44	#5
Run ExplRExp	#57	#106
PPAExp	#57	#14
Run BlockR Blk	#114	-
OL YdsOLY	#101	#5
Stuff RateStuff	#98	#9
TackleTak	-	#62

Georgia Southern Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	GASO Off	JMU Def
Pass GamePass	#87	#25
Pass SuccessPSuc	#85	#3
Pass ExplPExl	#84	#118
PPAExp	#86	#10
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#23	#24
F7 HavocF7	#94	#15
DB HavocDB	#65	#24

Program Comparison
GASO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

JMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paulson Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 73° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 8
James Madison 9.5 (58.5)
Georgia Southern won vs James Madison this year (28-14)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Southern beat James Madison last year (28-14)
James Madison beat Georgia Southern in 2023 (41-13)
Georgia Southern beat James Madison in 2022 (45-38)

JMU's OC Dean Kennedy (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Alonza Barnett	212	354	60%	2596	26	4	7.3
Billy Atkins	16	24	67%	181	1	0	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
George Pettaway (Tr)	163	976	5	6.0	31
Alonza Barnett	135	450	7	3.3	50
Wayne Knight	77	449	2	5.8	59
Jobi Malary (Tr)	45	269	2	6.0	32

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omarion Dollison	37	633	6	17.1	73
Yamir Knight	52	605	4	11.6	68
Taylor Thompson	33	448	6	13.6	36
Cameron Ross	37	443	3	12.0	43

View James Madison's Full Roster

JMU's DC Lyle Hemphill (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Thomas	73	8	1	1	3
Khairi Manns (Tr)	70	14	9	8	2
Jacob Dobbs (Tr)	69	4	3	2	0
Chris Shearin (Tr)	58	2	0	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eric O'Neill (Tr)	53	18	13	16	3
Khairi Manns (Tr)	70	14	9	8	2
Jacob Dobbs (Tr)	69	4	3	2	0
Trent Hendrick	54	9	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Terrence Spence (Tr)	38	1	0	7
Jordan Taylor (Tr)	24	0	0	5
Chris Shearin (Tr)	58	2	2	4

GASO's OC Ryan Aplin (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
JC French	269	410	66%	2831	17	11	6.9
Dexter Williams II (Tr)	19	30	63%	248	3	0	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen White	164	745	14	4.5	49
OJ Arnold	62	315	3	5.1	32
JC French	118	238	2	2.0	19
David Mbadinga	58	229	3	3.9	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Derwin Burgess Jr.	59	659	3	11.2	48
Josh Dallas	46	614	6	13.3	59
Dalen Cobb	52	599	4	11.5	55
LV Bunkley-Shelton (Tr)	30	322	0	10.7	34

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC Brandon Bailey (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marques Watson-Trent	118	8	2	2	1
Davon Gilmore	62	5	3	4	1
Jusfin Meyers	61	3	1	1	1
Chance Gamble (Tr)	48	2	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davon Gilmore	62	5	3	4	1
Davion Rhodes	22	6	3	1	0
Elhadj Fall	20	5	3	1	1
Marc Stampley II	42	2	2	0	7

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chance Gamble (Tr)	48	2	0	0	7
Marc Stampley II	42	2	2	0	7
Isaac Walker	23	4	2	3	3