Southern Utah at UTEP - 2024 Matchup Preview
Southern Utah logo   Southern Utah Thunderbirds at UTEP Miners  UTEP logo
Saturday, September 7th 2024 (9:00 PM EDT)
UTEP -6.5 (54.5) (-230)  Open: -6.5 | 51.5
Southern Utah 27 - UTEP: 24

 
Thunderbirds (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 0 - 0 (0 - 0 on Road)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SUU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -20.5  (SP+ UTEP -23)
UTEP Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
Miners (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scotty Walden (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (24 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Southern Utah's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Southern Utah at Utah+37.555.5L 0 - 49UN
Sat 9/7 Southern Utah at UTEP+6.554.5W 27 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Utah's Schedule
UTEP's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UTEP at Nebraska+27.549.0L 7 - 40UN
Sat 9/7 UTEP vs Southern Utah-6.554.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 9/14 UTEP at Liberty+23.557.5L 10 - 28UY
Sat 9/21 UTEP at Colorado State+8.549.0L 17 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/3 UTEP vs Sam Houston+10.049.5L 21 - 41ON
Thu 10/10 UTEP at Western Kentucky+19.055.5L 17 - 44ON
Wed 10/16 UTEP vs Florida International+7.047.0W 30 - 21OY
Tue 10/22 UTEP at Louisiana Tech+6.549.0L 10 - 14UY
Sat 11/2 UTEP vs Middle Tennessee-2.048.0L 13 - 20UN
Sat 11/9 UTEP vs Kennesaw State-4.542.0W 43 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 UTEP at Tennessee+41.554.0L 0 - 56ON
Sat 11/30 UTEP at New Mexico State+3.551.5W 42 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SUU0%00%000%000%00%0%0000
UTEP#80 (.17)39% (103)23.343% (62)3.05 (83)14436% (113)2183.59 (93)#109 (.25)43% (88)30.448% (122)38% (23)4.62 (127)58.81.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SUU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UTEP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SUU Offense2000%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UTEP Defense1230.426.843.4%4.621 - - - - - 57%43%48%38%15%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SUU Defense2000%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UTEP Offense1223.32439.5%3.591.5183621442183.953%46%43%36%16%.17

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Southern Utah20:000NAN%0%0000000100
UTEP1231:2518.333%45%6.858.81.514.32126.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SUU Offense20%0%000000%0%0
UTEP Defense1257% (126)48% (122) - - - - .28 (127)3.35 (113)76% (89)9% (106)1.1 (112)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SUU Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UTEP Offense1253% (42)43% (62)37.3144.33.916 (89).09 (105)3.05 (83)76% (44)9% (51)0.89 (119)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SUU Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
UTEP Defense1243% (8)38% (23) - - - - - - 6 (120).26 (61)1.7 (104)32% (67)31% (87).48 (126)7% (50)2.3 (128)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SUU Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UTEP Offense1246% (94)36% (113)14.827.5217.77.914.713 (111)12 (85).29 (68)1.9 (6)32% (82)29% (82).34 (65)7% (104)2.1 (37)

Southern Utah's Power Ratings
Southern Utah's Power Rating: NR
Southern Utah's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Utah's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Utah's 2024 Expected Record: -
Southern Utah's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Western Athletic Talent Rating is 196.23
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Utah:    UTEP: -20.745

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Utah:    UTEP: -22.7




UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -20.745  #127
UTEP's Offense Rating: 10.45  #128
UTEP's Defense Rating: 12.53  #95
2024 Talent Rating: 195.00  #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #102
UTEP's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UTEP's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.7  #130
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7  #131
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #113

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 190
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Southern Utah Scoring
Offense: 0 PPG
Offense on Road: 0
Defense: 0 PPG
Defense on Road: 0

Southern Utah's 2024 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 2
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Utah 14
UTEP 12

Projected Total Points: 26
UTEP Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 24
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.8

UTEP's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07UTEP24Southern Utah27UTEP -6.5Southern Utah54.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTEP000 Overs
Southern Utah111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) SUU at (#127) UTEP
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSUUUTEP
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #127
SP+SP+NR #130
Perf GradeGradeNR #130
OffenseOffNR #127
DefenseDefNR #105
Spec TeamsSTNR #136
TalentTalNR #118
Blue ChipsBC%NR #102
UTEP Notes
(12/11) Joining MWC on July 1, 2026
(10/23) Locklear benched in La Tech, Fr JD Pickles no arm
(10/18) QB Locklear #1 (benched earlier) w/ McConnell out
(10/17) Def 4 TOs, 3 sacks, 7 TFL, 2 FIU QBs knocked out
(10/16) Every Defensive starter listed as SR or GR
(10/10) Better vs WKU, expl plays. Def just can't hold up
(10/3) Off a mess, TO's, flags, drops. Def plays hard
(10/2) Def better than #'s, Off is awful. WR worst
(9/8) Outrushed 268-124 by S. Utah? Run D awful
(8/3) Front 7 decimated, will be bad vs run TY
(7/30) Portal 27 in/38 out, took 11 portals from A Peay
(7/30) QB Battle Locklear(A.P.)/McConnell some PT LY
UTEP Injury Report
Southern Utah on Offense
CategoryCat
SUU OffUTEP Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #105
SuccessSucNR #88
ExplosiveExpNR #90
PPAPPANR #109
PowerPwrNR #95
SP+SP+NR #113
Pts POPPONR #127
HavocHavNR #88
Southern Utah Run Game
CategoryCat
SUU OffUTEP Def
Run GameRunNR #86
Run SuccessRSucNR #122
Run ExplRExpNR #112
PPAExpNR #127
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #113
Stuff RateStuffNR #72
TackleTak -  #51
Southern Utah Pass Game
CategoryCat
SUU OffUTEP Def
Pass GamePassNR #118
Pass SuccessPSucNR #23
Pass ExplPExlNR #104
PPAExpNR #61
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #81
F7 HavocF7NR #106
DB HavocDBNR #50
UTEP on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatUTEP OffSUU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #127NR
SuccessSuc #103NR
ExplosiveExp #49NR
PPAPPA #80NR
PowerPwr #128NR
SP+SP+ #131NR
Pts POPPO #93NR
HavocHav #72NR
UTEP Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
UTEP OffSUU Def
Run GameRun #121NR
Run SuccessRSuc #62NR
Run ExplRExp #119NR
PPAExp #105NR
Run BlockR Blk #98 -
OL YdsOLY #83NR
Stuff RateStuff #98NR
TackleTak - NR
UTEP Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatUTEP OffSUU Def
Pass GamePass #116NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #113NR
Pass ExplPExl #6NR
PPAExp #68NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #100NR
F7 HavocF7 #51NR
DB HavocDB #104NR
Program Comparison
UTEP 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Up to Poor G5

SUU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
UTEP -6.5 (54.5)
Southern Utah won at UTEP this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Southern Utah beat UTEP in 2024 (27-24)

  
SUU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Southern Utah's Full Roster

SUU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kohner Cullimore132100
Kameron Rocha111000
George Ramirez90000
LaCarea Pleasant-Johnson82101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Walker Harris82201
Talmage Brown11100
Kohner Cullimore132100
LaCarea Pleasant-Johnson82101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
LaCarea Pleasant-Johnson82101
Walker Harris82201
Lando Brown71121

UTEP's OC Jake Brown (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Skyler Locklear (Tr)14923663%15911066.7
Cade McConnell407156%540437.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)19175443.942
Ezell Jolly6424813.914
Skyler Locklear (Tr)8023723.018
JP Pickles3913313.417
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenny Odom (Tr)47761816.276
Kam Thomas (Tr)46512211.169
Trey Goodman (Tr)47469010.037
Jaden Smith (Tr)2117708.441

View UTEP's Full Roster

UTEP's DC J. J. Clark (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dorian Hopkins (Tr)878101
Nate Dyman8410234
Xavier Smith (Tr)781005
Kory Chapman (Tr)7613330
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurice Westmoreland459861
Kyran Duhon437702
Kadarion Johnson398411
Kory Chapman (Tr)7613330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Smith (Tr)781005
Josiah Allen615205
Nate Dyman8410234