UTEP at Tennessee - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (1:00 PM EST)
Tennessee -41.5 (54.0) (0) Open: -41.5
Tennessee 56 - UTEP: 0

Miners (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scotty Walden (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (20 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UTEP coming off BYE
TENN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -44.5 (SP+ TENN -45)
Projected Score: UTEP: 7 - TENN: 51 (58)
TENN Win prob: 100% | Cover: 45%
UTEP Travel: 1324 miles, 2 hrs behind

Volunteers (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (27 - 12)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (42 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UTEP Players
TENN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UTEP's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	UTEP at Nebraska	+27.5	49.0	L 7 - 40	U	N
Sat 9/7	UTEP vs Southern Utah	-6.5	54.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/14	UTEP at Liberty	+23.5	57.5	L 10 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/21	UTEP at Colorado State	+8.5	49.0	L 17 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/3	UTEP vs Sam Houston	+10.0	49.5	L 21 - 41	O	N
Thu 10/10	UTEP at Western Kentucky	+19.0	55.5	L 17 - 44	O	N
Wed 10/16	UTEP vs Florida International	+7.0	47.0	W 30 - 21	O	Y
Tue 10/22	UTEP at Louisiana Tech	+6.5	49.0	L 10 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/2	UTEP vs Middle Tennessee	-2.0	48.0	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/9	UTEP vs Kennesaw State	-4.5	42.0	W 43 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	UTEP at Tennessee	+41.5	54.0	L 0 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/30	UTEP at New Mexico State	+3.5	51.5	W 42 - 35	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule

Tennessee's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Tennessee vs Chattanooga	-38.5	56.5	W 69 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Tennessee vs NC State	-10.0	60.5	W 51 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Tennessee vs Kent State	-49.5	61.5	W 71 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Tennessee at Oklahoma	-6.0	57.0	W 25 - 15	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Tennessee at Arkansas	-14.0	57.5	L 14 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/12	Tennessee vs Florida	-13.5	54.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/19	Tennessee vs Alabama	+3.5	57.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Tennessee vs Kentucky	-17.5	45.5	W 28 - 18	O	N
Sat 11/9	Tennessee vs Mississippi State	-26.5	61.5	W 33 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/16	Tennessee at Georgia	+8.5	47.0	L 17 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/23	Tennessee vs UTEP	-41.5	54.0	W 56 - 0	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Tennessee at Vanderbilt	-9.5	45.5	W 36 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/21	Tennessee at Ohio State	+7.5	47.0	L 17 - 42	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTEP	#80 (.17)	39% (103)	23.3	43% (62)	3.05 (83)	144	36% (113)	218	3.59 (93)	#109 (.25)	43% (88)	30.4	48% (122)	38% (23)	4.62 (127)	58.8	1.5	1
TENN	#36 (.27)	46% (24)	39.8	46% (39)	3.31 (30)	187	47% (25)	232	3.56 (94)	#54 (.16)	39% (35)	28.8	37% (19)	41% (65)	3.41 (34)	65.6	0.9	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTEP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TENN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTEP Offense	12	23.3	20.2	39.5%	3.59	1.5	18	362	144	218	3.9	53%	46%	43%	36%	16%	.17
TENN Defense	13	28.8	29	38.9%	3.41	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	37%	41%	18%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTEP Defense	12	30.4	37.4	43.4%	4.62	1	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	48%	38%	15%	.25
TENN Offense	13	39.8	42.3	46.3%	3.56	0.9	20	419	187	232	5.6	51%	49%	46%	47%	13%	.27

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UTEP	12	31:25	18.3	33%	45%	6.8	58.8	1.5	1	4.3	2	1	26.1
Tennessee	13	22:32	19.9	43%	31%	7.5	65.6	0.9	1.2	7.2	2.8	4	30.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTEP Offense	12	53% (42)	43% (62)	37.3	144.3	3.9	16 (89)	.09 (105)	3.05 (83)	76% (44)	9% (51)	0.89 (119)
TENN Defense	13	48% (41)	37% (19)	-	-	-	-	.05 (21)	2.71 (15)	65% (24)	13% (11)	1.03 (85)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTEP Defense	12	57% (126)	48% (122)	-	-	-	-	.28 (127)	3.35 (113)	76% (89)	9% (106)	1.1 (112)
TENN Offense	13	51% (60)	46% (39)	33.5	186.9	5.6	20 (61)	.22 (28)	3.31 (30)	72% (80)	7% (16)	1.05 (39)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTEP Offense	12	46% (94)	36% (113)	14.8	27.5	217.7	7.9	14.7	13 (111)	12 (85)	.29 (68)	1.9 (6)	32% (82)	29% (82)	.34 (65)	7% (104)	2.1 (37)
TENN Defense	13	52% (96)	41% (65)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.29 (85)	1.6 (85)	35% (27)	31% (82)	.36 (93)	5% (100)	2 (41)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTEP Defense	12	43% (8)	38% (23)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (120)	.26 (61)	1.7 (104)	32% (67)	31% (87)	.48 (126)	7% (50)	2.3 (128)
TENN Offense	13	49% (69)	47% (25)	19.3	30.1	231.7	7.7	12	21 (65)	5 (6)	.35 (39)	1.5 (110)	30% (39)	32% (64)	.38 (54)	6% (68)	2.1 (63)

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -23.79 #127
UTEP's Offense Rating: 10.45 #128
UTEP's Defense Rating: 12.53 #95
2024 Talent Rating: 195.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
UTEP's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UTEP's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.7 #130
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 190
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -23.79 Tennessee: 21.065

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -22.7 Tennessee: 22.0

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 21.065 #14
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.60 #61
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 3.79 #16
2024 Talent Rating: 521.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 44 #12
Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.0 #9
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.5 #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 511.63
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

UTEP Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.2
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

UTEP's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Tennessee 51
UTEP 7

Projected Total Points: 58

Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Tennessee	56	UTEP	0	Tennessee -41.5	Tennessee	54.0	Over
2018	09/15	Tennessee	24	UTEP	0	Tennessee -33.5	UTEP	51.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tennessee	2	1	1 Overs
UTEP	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#127) UTEP at (#14) TENN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UTEP	TENN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#127	#14
SP+SP+	#130	#9
Perf GradeGrade	#130	#21
OffenseOff	#127	#57
DefenseDef	#105	#19
Spec TeamsST	#136	#42
TalentTal	#118	#15
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#12

UTEP Notes(12/11) Joining MWC on July 1, 2026
(10/23) Locklear benched in La Tech, Fr JD Pickles no arm
(10/18) QB Locklear #1 (benched earlier) w/ McConnell out
(10/17) Def 4 TOs, 3 sacks, 7 TFL, 2 FIU QBs knocked out
(10/16) Every Defensive starter listed as SR or GR
(10/10) Better vs WKU, expl plays. Def just can't hold up
(10/3) Off a mess, TO's, flags, drops. Def plays hard
(10/2) Def better than #'s, Off is awful. WR worst
(9/8) Outrushed 268-124 by S. Utah? Run D awful
(8/3) Front 7 decimated, will be bad vs run TY
(7/30) Portal 27 in/38 out, took 11 portals from A Peay
(7/30) QB Battle Locklear(A.P.)/McConnell some PT LY
UTEP Injury Report

Tennessee Injury Report

UTEP on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	UTEP Off	TENN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#127	#19
SuccessSuc	#103	#35
ExplosiveExp	#49	#104
PPAPPA	#80	#54
PowerPwr	#128	#16
SP+SP+	#131	#6
Pts POPPO	#93	#34
HavocHav	#72	#35

UTEP Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	UTEP Off	TENN Def
Run GameRun	#121	#14
Run SuccessRSuc	#62	#19
Run ExplRExp	#119	#85
PPAExp	#105	#21
Run BlockR Blk	#98	-
OL YdsOLY	#83	#15
Stuff RateStuff	#98	#28
TackleTak	-	#29

UTEP Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	UTEP Off	TENN Def
Pass GamePass	#116	#27
Pass SuccessPSuc	#113	#65
Pass ExplPExl	#6	#85
PPAExp	#68	#85
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#100	#13
F7 HavocF7	#51	#11
DB HavocDB	#104	#100

Tennessee on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	UTEP Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#57	#105
SuccessSuc	#24	#88
ExplosiveExp	#86	#90
PPAPPA	#36	#109
PowerPwr	#61	#95
SP+SP+	#23	#113
Pts POPPO	#94	#127
HavocHav	#21	#88

Tennessee Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	UTEP Def
Run GameRun	#25	#86
Run SuccessRSuc	#39	#122
Run ExplRExp	#39	#112
PPAExp	#28	#127
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	#30	#113
Stuff RateStuff	#10	#72
TackleTak	-	#51

Tennessee Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	UTEP Def
Pass GamePass	#21	#118
Pass SuccessPSuc	#25	#23
Pass ExplPExl	#110	#104
PPAExp	#39	#61
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#75	#81
F7 HavocF7	#16	#106
DB HavocDB	#68	#50

Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'24 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

UTEP 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Tennessee -41.5 (54.0)
Tennessee won vs UTEP this year (56-0)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat UTEP in 2024 (56-0)

UTEP's OC Jake Brown (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Skyler Locklear (Tr)	149	236	63%	1591	10	6	6.7
Cade McConnell	40	71	56%	540	4	3	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)	191	754	4	3.9	42
Ezell Jolly	64	248	1	3.9	14
Skyler Locklear (Tr)	80	237	2	3.0	18
JP Pickles	39	133	1	3.4	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kenny Odom (Tr)	47	761	8	16.2	76
Kam Thomas (Tr)	46	512	2	11.1	69
Trey Goodman (Tr)	47	469	0	10.0	37
Jaden Smith (Tr)	21	177	0	8.4	41

View UTEP's Full Roster

UTEP's DC J. J. Clark (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dorian Hopkins (Tr)	87	8	1	0	1
Nate Dyman	84	10	2	3	4
Xavier Smith (Tr)	78	1	0	0	5
Kory Chapman (Tr)	76	13	3	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Maurice Westmoreland	45	9	8	6	1
Kyran Duhon	43	7	7	0	2
Kadarion Johnson	39	8	4	1	1
Kory Chapman (Tr)	76	13	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Smith (Tr)	78	1	0	0	5
Josiah Allen	61	5	2	0	5
Nate Dyman	84	10	2	3	4

TENN's OC Joey Halzle (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nico Iamaleava	213	334	64%	2616	19	5	7.8
Gaston Moore	16	27	59%	201	2	2	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dylan Sampson	258	1491	22	5.8	56
DeSean Bishop	74	455	3	6.1	53
Nico Iamaleava	109	364	3	3.3	31
Peyton Lewis	64	339	3	5.3	35

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dont'E Thornton	26	661	6	25.4	86
Bru McCoy	39	472	2	12.1	42
Squirrel White	34	381	2	11.2	45
Chris Brazzell II (Tr)	29	333	2	11.5	53

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Arion Carter	68	7	0	3	6
Will Brooks	59	4	1	1	5
Jermod McCoy (Tr)	44	1	0	0	7
Jeremiah Telander	43	4	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Pearce Jr.	38	13	8	10	1
Omarr Norman-Lott	18	4	4	3	0
Jaxson Moi (Tr)	16	5	2	0	1
Tyre West	16	5	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jermod McCoy (Tr)	44	1	0	0	7
Arion Carter	68	7	0	3	6
Will Brooks	59	4	1	1	5