UTEP at Louisiana Tech - 2024 Matchup Preview
UTEP logo UTEP Miners at Louisiana Tech BulldogsLouisiana Tech logo
Tuesday, October 22nd 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Louisiana Tech -6.5 (49.0) (-280)  Open: -7.5 | 49.5
Louisiana Tech 14 - UTEP: 10  (Conference USA)

 
Miners (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scotty Walden (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (15 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
UTEP is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Louisiana Tech -11   (SP+ LT -11)

Projected Score: UTEP: 19 - LT: 30 (49)
LT Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
UTEP Travel: 811 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bulldogs (5 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (6 - 18)
Avg Score : 21 - 21 (30 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 8 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
UTEP's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UTEP at Nebraska+27.549.0L 7 - 40UN
Sat 9/7 UTEP vs Southern Utah-6.554.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 9/14 UTEP at Liberty+23.557.5L 10 - 28UY
Sat 9/21 UTEP at Colorado State+8.549.0L 17 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/3 UTEP vs Sam Houston+10.049.5L 21 - 41ON
Thu 10/10 UTEP at Western Kentucky+19.055.5L 17 - 44ON
Wed 10/16 UTEP vs Florida International+7.047.0W 30 - 21OY
Tue 10/22 UTEP at Louisiana Tech+6.549.0L 10 - 14UY
Sat 11/2 UTEP vs Middle Tennessee-2.048.0L 13 - 20UN
Sat 11/9 UTEP vs Kennesaw State-4.542.0W 43 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 UTEP at Tennessee+41.554.0L 0 - 56ON
Sat 11/30 UTEP at New Mexico State+3.551.5W 42 - 35OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Louisiana Tech vs Nicholls-17.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Louisiana Tech at NC State+20.547.5L 20 - 30OY
Sat 9/21 Louisiana Tech vs Tulsa-3.056.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/28 Louisiana Tech vs Florida International-2.049.0L 10 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10 Louisiana Tech vs Middle Tennessee-5.048.0W 48 - 21OY
Tue 10/15 Louisiana Tech at New Mexico State-12.549.0L 30 - 33ON
Tue 10/22 Louisiana Tech vs UTEP-6.549.0W 14 - 10UN
Tue 10/29 Louisiana Tech at Sam Houston+10.545.5L 3 - 9UY
Sat 11/9 Louisiana Tech vs Jacksonville State+10.055.5L 37 - 44OY
Sat 11/16 Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky+11.552.5W 12 - 7UY
Sat 11/23 Louisiana Tech at Arkansas+23.548.5L 14 - 35OY
Sat 11/30 Louisiana Tech vs Kennesaw State-13.541.5W 33 - 0UY
Sat 12/28 Louisiana Tech vs Army+15.044.5L 6 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTEP#121 (.07)37% (124)19.538% (118)2.8 (106)12136% (117)2002.81 (132)#46 (.13)40% (42)32.340% (42)39% (46)3.85 (78)50.91.61.5
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)20.937% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)2139% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTEP#121 (.07)37% (124)38% (118)2.8 (106)12136% (117)2002.81 (132)#46 (.13)40% (42)40% (42)39% (46)3.85 (78)50.91.61.5
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)37% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)39% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTEP Offense1219.514.737%2.811.6173211212003.352%47%38%36%20%.07
LT Defense132119.237.2%3.721.2 - - - - - 56%43%39%35%15%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTEP Defense1232.334.939.7%3.851.5 - - - - - 54%46%40%39%18%.13
LT Offense1320.929.537.5%3.091.5173191092113.149%51%37%38%17%.02

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTEP1227:5716.733%30%5.750.91.61.57.12.9227.1
Louisiana Tech1329:3417.240%35%4.946.71.51.25.21.6033.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTEP Offense1252% (56)38% (118)36.4120.83.39 (125).02 (118)2.8 (106)59% (127)13% (125)0.88 (114)
LT Defense1356% (121)39% (36) - - - - .09 (54)2.9 (50)70% (48)11% (52)1.01 (82)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTEP Defense1254% (103)40% (42) - - - - .07 (40)2.85 (44)59% (7)12% (18)1.07 (102)
LT Offense1349% (78)37% (122)35.2108.53.114 (98)-.09 (134)2.62 (125)66% (114)12% (116)0.69 (134)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTEP Offense1247% (81)36% (117)18.630.42006.610.815 (98)12 (85).15 (108)1.5 (112)34% (111)23% (128).23 (104)7% (110)2.2 (20)
LT Defense1343% (9)35% (11) - - - - - - 5 (117).15 (26)1.6 (72)35% (20)29% (46).28 (56)5% (112)1.9 (30)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTEP Defense1246% (36)39% (46) - - - - - - 11 (52).21 (54)1.7 (115)34% (34)30% (56).28 (59)6% (66)2.1 (75)
LT Offense1351% (56)38% (111)18.829.8210.97.111.218 (68)7 (26).13 (115)1.7 (35)33% (103)26% (117).15 (127)5% (22)2.1 (27)

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -23.79 #127
UTEP's Offense Rating: 10.45 #128
UTEP's Defense Rating: 12.53 #95
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
UTEP's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UTEP's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.7 #130
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -23.79   Louisiana Tech: -12.38

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -22.7   Louisiana Tech: -11.6




Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -12.38 #119
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 7.48 #133
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 7.55 #49
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 8.0
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6 #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.9 #128
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


UTEP Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.7
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.9

UTEP's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Louisiana Tech 30
UTEP 19


Total Points: 49

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

Louisiana Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/22Louisiana Tech14UTEP10Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech -6.5UTEP49.0Under
202309/29UTEP10Louisiana Tech24Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech -2Louisiana Tech49.5Under
202210/08Louisiana Tech41UTEP31Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech -2Louisiana Tech52.0Over
202110/16UTEP19Louisiana Tech3UTEPLouisiana Tech -6.5UTEP55.5Under
202010/10Louisiana Tech21UTEP17Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech -14.5UTEP56.0Under
201910/26UTEP21Louisiana Tech42Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech -18.5Louisiana Tech50.0Over
201810/20Louisiana Tech31UTEP24Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech -21UTEP50.5Over
201711/18UTEP21Louisiana Tech42Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech -16.5Louisiana Tech48.5Over
201610/01Louisiana Tech28UTEP7Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech -21Push57.5Under
201511/21UTEP15Louisiana Tech17Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech -21.5UTEP54.0Under
201410/04Louisiana Tech55UTEP3Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech -13Louisiana Tech0
201310/05UTEP35Louisiana Tech38Louisiana TechUTEP -1.5Louisiana Tech0
200410/23Louisiana Tech27UTEP44UTEP
200310/11UTEP35Louisiana Tech38Louisiana Tech
200111/10UTEP30Louisiana Tech53Louisiana Tech
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana Tech1364 Overs
UTEP256 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 84 - 72 - 42 - 3
Road Teams8 - 77 - 43 - 24 - 2

(#127) UTEP Info
Power Rating: -23.79 #127
Offense Rating: 10.45 #128
Defense Rating: 12.53 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.7 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.81 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UTEP has won 1 straight
UTEP has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 6 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

UTEP Notes
(10/23) Locklear benched in La Tech, Fr JD Pickles no arm
(10/18) QB Locklear #1 (benched earlier) w/ McConnell out
(10/17) Def 4 TOs, 3 sacks, 7 TFL, 2 FIU QBs knocked out
(10/16) Every Defensive starter listed as SR or GR
(10/10) Better vs WKU, expl plays. Def just can't hold up
(10/3) Off a mess, TO's, flags, drops. Def plays hard
(10/2) Def better than #'s, Off is awful. WR worst
(9/8) Outrushed 268-124 by S. Utah? Run D awful
(8/3) Front 7 decimated, will be bad vs run TY
(7/30) Portal 27 in/38 out, took 11 portals from A Peay

UTEP Highlights
UTEP Defense Sacks the QB a lot

UTEP Front 7 is disruptive (#32)

UTEP Deficiencies
UTEP has a really bad Offense
UTEP Can Not Run the Ball (#112)
UTEP offense is really bad (#115)
UTEP offense is not Explosive (#35)
UTEP Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#123)
UTEP offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#49)
UTEP run game is really bad (#100)
UTEP pass game is really bad (#112)
UTEP offense is bad on 3rd Downs
UTEP Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UTEP gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#40)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatLTUTEP
OverallOver#81#95
OffenseOff#90#103
DefenseDef#74#85
Special TeamsST#78#113
PassingPass#72#93
RushingRush#77#89
Run BlockRBLK#101#76
Pass BlockPBLK#50#84
Route RunningWR Rt#75#103
TacklingTkl#83#46
Run DefenseR Def#45#69
Pass Rush DefPRush#100#68
Coverage DefCov#78#96

Rematch from Week 9
Louisiana Tech -6.5 (49.0)
Louisiana Tech won vs UTEP this year (14-10)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana Tech beat UTEP last year (14-10)
Louisiana Tech beat UTEP in 2023 (24-10)
Louisiana Tech beat UTEP in 2022 (41-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UTEP | LT
Depth Chart: UTEP | LT
Rosters: UTEP | LT
(#119) Louisiana Tech Info
Power Rating: -12.38 #119
Offense Rating: 7.48 #133
Defense Rating: 7.55 #49
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6 #110
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.9 #128
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 5.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.09 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Awful Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Louisiana Tech has lost 1 straight
Louisiana Tech has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Louisiana Tech Notes
(10/23) Lucky W (UTEP), Rgame abysmal, QB Bullock OK
(10/16) Horrible loss @ NMSU. Rgame awful, QB bad TW
(10/10) Cumbie taking over playcalling duties (10/10)
(10/10) QB Bullock/Run game better-Cumbie playcalling
(10/4) Bottom 10 Off both Pass/Run. Def shockingly good
(10/4) Avg nearly 3 TO's per game, & can't move the ball
(9/25) Even w/ Tulsa, but 3 TOs cost them in OT loss
(9/15) Played w/ NC St. Off succ #130, near worst
(9/1) Dog fight W over Nicholls? Rgame awful, QBs meh
(8/17) Cumbie-reporter incident LY says all about him

Louisiana Tech Highlights
Louisiana Tech has a really good defense (#67)
Louisiana Tech has a good pass defense (#93)

Louisiana Tech Deficiencies
Louisiana Tech has a really bad Offense
Louisiana Tech Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Louisiana Tech Can Not Run the Ball (#48)
Louisiana Tech offense is really bad (#109)
Louisiana Tech offense is not Explosive (#133)
Louisiana Tech Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#54)
Louisiana Tech offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#99)
Louisiana Tech run game is really bad (#66)
Louisiana Tech pass game is really bad (#128)


  
UTEP's OC Jake Brown
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Skyler Locklear (Tr)14923663%15911066.7
Cade McConnell407156%540437.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)19175443.942
Ezell Jolly6424813.914
Skyler Locklear (Tr)8023723.018
JP Pickles3913313.417
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenny Odom (Tr)47761816.276
Kam Thomas (Tr)46512211.169
Trey Goodman (Tr)47469010.037
Jaden Smith (Tr)2117708.441

View UTEP's Full Roster
UTEP's DC J. J. Clark
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dorian Hopkins (Tr)878101
Nate Dyman8410234
Xavier Smith (Tr)781005
Kory Chapman (Tr)7613330
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurice Westmoreland459861
Kyran Duhon437702
Kadarion Johnson398411
Kory Chapman (Tr)7613330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Smith (Tr)781005
Josiah Allen615205
Nate Dyman8410234

Louisiana Tech's OC Scott Parr
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Evan Bullock19930266%21071437.0
Jack Turner407653%471226.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Omiri Wiggins11152744.735
Amani Givens7531924.320
Marquis Crosby5722413.931
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)4818243.829
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tru Edwards85989611.686
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)39476212.232
Eli Finley25314212.653
Jay Wilkerson13262220.255

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster
Louisiana Tech's DC Jeremiah Johnson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zach Zimos846151
Kolbe Fields719231
Blake Thompson (Tr)603003
Jacob Fields546004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Blay4510620
Sifa Leota (Tr)426411
Jessie Evans406340
J'Dan Burnett213321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cedric Woods300005
Demarcus Griffin-Taylor532005
Jacob Fields546004