Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts - 2024 Matchup Preview

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Massachusetts Minutemen

Saturday, August 31st 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Massachusetts -2.5 (49.0) (-130) Open: -1.0 | 49.0
Eastern Michigan 28 - Massachusetts: 14

Eagles (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (52 - 68)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (23 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Eastern Michigan -1.5 (SP+ EMU -8.5)
Projected Score: EMU: 27 - UMASS: 25 (52)
UMASS Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
EMU Travel: 567 miles

Minutemen (2 - 10) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Shane Montgomery (Int) (4 - 20)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (27 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
EMU Players
UMASS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Eastern Michigan's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts	+2.5	49.0	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Eastern Michigan at Washington	+25.0	48.5	L 9 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Eastern Michigan vs Jacksonville State	+2.5	53.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Eastern Michigan vs St. Francis (PA)	-25.5	45.5	W 36 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Eastern Michigan at Kent State	-14.0	46.0	W 52 - 33	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Eastern Michigan vs Miami (OH)	+3.0	45.5	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/19	Eastern Michigan vs Central Michigan	-3.5	52.5	W 38 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Eastern Michigan at Akron	-2.5	50.5	L 21 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/2	Eastern Michigan vs Toledo	+10.0	54.5	L 28 - 29	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/13	Eastern Michigan at Ohio	+10.5	51.5	L 10 - 35	U	N
Wed 11/20	Eastern Michigan vs Buffalo	-1.0	53.5	L 20 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/30	Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan	+6.5	56.5	L 18 - 26	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule

Massachusetts's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Massachusetts vs Eastern Michigan	-2.5	49.0	L 14 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/7	Massachusetts at Toledo	+17.5	50.5	L 23 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Massachusetts at Buffalo	+3.5	45.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/21	Massachusetts vs Central Connecticut	-19.5	52.0	W 35 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/28	Massachusetts at Miami (OH)	+15.5	44.5	L 20 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Massachusetts at Northern Illinois	+14.0	41.0	L 20 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Massachusetts vs Missouri	+27.0	54.0	L 3 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Massachusetts vs Wagner	-23.0	48.0	W 35 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Massachusetts at Mississippi State	+19.5	59.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Massachusetts vs Liberty	+17.0	53.0	L 34 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Massachusetts at Georgia	+42.5	55.5	L 21 - 59	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Massachusetts vs UConn	+9.5	49.5	L 42 - 47	O	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
EMU	#117 (.09)	42% (74)	25.9	43% (87)	2.98 (82)	142	42% (66)	235	3.47 (105)	#83 (.19)	45% (105)	27.9	45% (84)	46% (116)	3.49 (38)	62.4	1.4	1.3
UMASS	#69 (.19)	41% (94)	22.5	43% (78)	3.1 (50)	164	38% (110)	182	3.73 (89)	#114 (.26)	46% (116)	35.5	51% (128)	40% (71)	4.66 (129)	63.2	0.8	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
EMU	#117 (.09)	42% (74)		43% (87)	2.98 (82)	142	42% (66)	235	3.47 (105)	#83 (.19)	45% (105)		45% (84)	46% (116)	3.49 (38)	62.4	1.4	1.3
UMASS	#69 (.19)	41% (94)		43% (78)	3.1 (50)	164	38% (110)	182	3.73 (89)	#114 (.26)	46% (116)		51% (128)	40% (71)	4.66 (129)	63.2	0.8	0.8

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
EMU Offense	12	25.9	23	42.2%	3.47	1.4	21	378	142	235	3.6	47%	53%	43%	42%	19%	.09
UMASS Defense	12	35.5	32.2	46.3%	4.66	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	51%	40%	14%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
EMU Defense	12	27.9	27.2	45%	3.49	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	45%	46%	19%	.19
UMASS Offense	12	22.5	27.2	40.8%	3.73	0.8	20	346	164	182	4.1	56%	44%	43%	38%	17%	.19

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Eastern Michigan	12	31:06	21.3	41%	55%	6.5	62.4	1.4	1.3	5.9	2.1	1	29.2
Massachusetts	12	32:19	19.7	38%	58%	7.3	63.2	0.8	0.8	4.1	1.3	1	25.4

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
EMU Offense	12	47% (90)	43% (87)	39.3	142.3	3.6	17 (84)	.01 (119)	2.98 (82)	57% (131)	11% (91)	0.85 (122)
UMASS Defense	12	60% (133)	51% (128)	-	-	-	-	.25 (125)	3.51 (131)	87% (131)	8% (113)	0.95 (52)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
EMU Defense	12	53% (102)	45% (84)	-	-	-	-	.09 (51)	3.07 (82)	60% (10)	14% (6)	0.9 (34)
UMASS Offense	12	56% (27)	43% (78)	40.2	164	4.1	18 (78)	.16 (53)	3.1 (50)	74% (62)	11% (95)	0.96 (68)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
EMU Offense	12	53% (44)	42% (66)	20.7	34.6	235.3	6.8	11.4	17 (79)	10 (63)	.16 (105)	1.5 (116)	32% (70)	34% (36)	.36 (59)	8% (124)	2 (88)
UMASS Defense	12	39% (2)	40% (71)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (109)	.29 (100)	1.7 (112)	28% (118)	28% (29)	.27 (51)	6% (72)	2.1 (89)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
EMU Defense	12	46% (31)	46% (116)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.36 (117)	1.7 (100)	28% (119)	34% (112)	.32 (77)	5% (107)	1.8 (23)
UMASS Offense	12	44% (109)	38% (110)	15.6	27.3	181.8	6.7	11.7	14 (108)	6 (10)	.23 (81)	1.7 (22)	33% (87)	32% (57)	.34 (69)	6% (80)	2 (98)

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -17.08 #116
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 13.59 #114
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 13.76 #100
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Eastern Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Eastern Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #114
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -17.08 Massachusetts: -16.56

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -13.3 Massachusetts: -21.9

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -16.56 #115
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 19.80 #69
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 17.13 #122
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Massachusetts's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Massachusetts's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 27.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.2

Eastern Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Eastern Michigan 27
Massachusetts 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Massachusetts 28
Eastern Michigan 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Eastern Michigan 29
Massachusetts 26

Total Points: 55

Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.2

Massachusetts's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	Massachusetts	14	Eastern Michigan	28	Massachusetts -2.5	Eastern Michigan	49.0	Under
2023	09/16	Eastern Michigan	19	Massachusetts	17	Eastern Michigan -7	Massachusetts	50.0	Under
2022	10/01	Eastern Michigan	20	Massachusetts	13	Eastern Michigan -20	Massachusetts	53.0	Under
2021	09/18	Massachusetts	28	Eastern Michigan	42	Eastern Michigan -22	Massachusetts	56.5	Over
2015	11/14	Eastern Michigan	17	Massachusetts	28	UMass -7.5	Massachusetts	68.5	Under
2014	10/18	Massachusetts	36	Eastern Michigan	14	UMass -11.5	Massachusetts	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Massachusetts	2	5	1 Overs
Eastern Michigan	4	1	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	2 - 4	1 - 3	1 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 3	4 - 2	1 - 1	3 - 1

(#116) EMU at (#115) UMASS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	EMU	UMASS
Power RatePwr	#116	#115
SP+SP+	#114	#129
Perf GradeGrade	#86	#128
OffenseOff	#87	#114
DefenseDef	#72	#117
Spec TeamsST	#114	#126
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#82

Eastern Michigan Notes(11/25) 4 str L's, Rgame awful vs Buff. Vs WMU for bowl
(11/18) Off was awful & Def all. 21 pts in 2H in Ohio L
(11/2) Def 22 pt 4th Q collapse cost them vs Toledo
(10/20) Synder 17-38, 300, 3 TDs, Run Def all 285 yds
(10/13) Def awful vs M-Oh. Snyder bad, Rgame bad
(10/4) Off good, Def v bad. QB Synder best in MAC?
(9/14) 52 car/152 yds vs Jax St? QB Snyder good
(9/1) Good W @ UMass. Off Ok, Def good wk 1
(8/15) Called the dirtiest team in the MAC.
(8/9) QB Snyder has 25 starts at Buffalo
(8/7) Stats LY are more like a 3-4 win team, bravo
(7/30) MAC Dean Creighton great job, W last 2 to bowl
Eastern Michigan Injury Report

Massachusetts Notes(12/18) Hired HC Joe Harasymiak (Rutgers DC)
(11/18) HC Brown fired, OC Montgomery interim
(11/18) 1-5 stretch, fight w/ Liberty, Rgame good
(9/14) Very competitive 0-2. Outgained Toledo by 100 yds
(8/11) Play Clanga/Mizzu/Liberty/UGA weeks 7-13
(7/30) Lost a ton via portal, did add some. Depth issues.
(7/30) HC Brown improving each year, could they bowl?
(7/30) OL portal rebuild, top 2 RB's portaled out
(7/30) QB Phommachanh bad, WR mostly portal adds
(7/30) Run D nearly last in CFB LY, doesn't look much better
Massachusetts Injury Report

Eastern Michigan on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	EMU Off	UMASS Def
Perf GradePerf	#87	#117
SuccessSuc	#74	#116
ExplosiveExp	#121	#41
PPAPPA	#117	#114
PowerPwr	#114	#122
SP+SP+	#110	#129
Pts POPPO	#105	#129
HavocHav	#116	#106

Eastern Michigan Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	EMU Off	UMASS Def
Run GameRun	#126	#119
Run SuccessRSuc	#87	#128
Run ExplRExp	#122	#52
PPAExp	#119	#125
Run BlockR Blk	#59	-
OL YdsOLY	#82	#131
Stuff RateStuff	#69	#131
TackleTak	-	#14

Eastern Michigan Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	EMU Off	UMASS Def
Pass GamePass	#55	#104
Pass SuccessPSuc	#66	#71
Pass ExplPExl	#116	#112
PPAExp	#105	#100
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#67	#86
F7 HavocF7	#91	#113
DB HavocDB	#124	#72

Massachusetts on Offense

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	UMASS Off	EMU Def
Perf GradePerf	#114	#72
SuccessSuc	#94	#105
ExplosiveExp	#72	#61
PPAPPA	#69	#83
PowerPwr	#69	#100
SP+SP+	#110	#115
Pts POPPO	#89	#38
HavocHav	#95	#24

Massachusetts Run Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	UMASS Off	EMU Def
Run GameRun	#119	#25
Run SuccessRSuc	#78	#84
Run ExplRExp	#68	#34
PPAExp	#53	#51
Run BlockR Blk	#94	-
OL YdsOLY	#50	#82
Stuff RateStuff	#38	#70
TackleTak	-	#26

Massachusetts Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	UMASS Off	EMU Def
Pass GamePass	#115	#129
Pass SuccessPSuc	#110	#116
Pass ExplPExl	#22	#100
PPAExp	#81	#117
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#57	#19
F7 HavocF7	#95	#6
DB HavocDB	#80	#107

Program Comparison
UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

EMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 74°

Rematch from Week 1
Massachusetts -2.5 (49.0)
Eastern Michigan won at Massachusetts this year (28-14)

Previous Matchups
Eastern Michigan beat Massachusetts last year (28-14)
Eastern Michigan beat Massachusetts in 2023 (19-17)
Eastern Michigan beat Massachusetts in 2022 (20-13)

EMU's OC Mike Piatkowski (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cole Snyder (Tr)	239	402	60%	2676	15	9	6.7
Jeremiah Salem	8	11	73%	126	1	1	11.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Delbert Mimms III (Tr)	182	799	9	4.4	41
Cole Snyder (Tr)	136	322	4	2.4	29
Elijah Jackson-Anderson	54	218	2	4.0	40
Joey Mattord	29	118	1	4.1	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terry Lockett	46	660	5	14.3	79
Oran Singleton Jr.	64	644	2	10.1	44
Markus Allen	42	636	3	15.1	78
Max Reese	27	232	2	8.6	34

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

EMU's DC Ben Needham (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Djonkam (Tr)	98	12	3	4	3
Luke Murphy (Tr)	94	5	0	4	0
Quentavius Scandrett	54	0	0	1	2
Peyton Price	51	9	4	6	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jefferson Adam (Tr)	26	7	5	0	0
Justin Jefferson	34	5	4	9	0
Peyton Price	51	9	4	6	0
James Djonkam (Tr)	98	12	3	4	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daiquan White	31	1	0	0	7
James Djonkam (Tr)	98	12	3	4	3
Bryce Llewellyn (Tr)	8	0	0	0	2

UMASS's OC Shane Montgomery (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taisun Phommachanh	132	234	56%	1590	8	6	6.8
AJ Hairston	40	73	55%	480	5	0	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen John	111	583	5	5.3	68
C.J. Hester (Tr)	119	529	4	4.4	24
Taisun Phommachanh	107	317	3	3.0	33
Brandon Campbell (Tr)	61	233	3	3.8	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jakobie Keeney-James (Tr)	51	870	6	17.1	75
Ty Harding	18	303	5	16.8	58
Jacquon Gibson	23	270	1	11.7	39
Sterling Galban (Tr)	25	210	0	8.4	21

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC Keith Dudzinski (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen Stewart	77	3	3	1	2
Gerrell Johnson	74	3	1	2	2
Tyler Rudolph	61	2	0	0	3
Te'Rai Powell	52	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Louce Julien	43	7	4	1	1
Kofi Asare	30	6	3	1	1
Jalen Stewart	77	3	3	1	2
Christian Lebrun	22	2	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Lake Ellis (Tr)	29	3	5
Isaiah Rutherford	8	1	4
Tim Grant-Randall (Tr)	27	2	3