Wagner at Massachusetts - 2024 Matchup Preview
Wagner logo Wagner Seahawks at Massachusetts MinutemenMassachusetts logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Massachusetts -23 (48.0) (-1650)  Open: -23.0
Massachusetts 35 - Wagner: 7

 
Seahawks (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 9 - 38 (9 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 19.9 MPH
WAG coming off BYE
UMASS coming off BYE
Our Line: -16.5  (SP+ UMASS -22)
UMASS Win prob: 95% | Cover: 56%
Minutemen (2 - 10) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Shane Montgomery (Int) (4 - 20)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (27 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Wagner's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Wagner at Florida Atlantic+34.552.5L 10 - 41UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Wagner at Massachusetts+23.048.0L 7 - 35UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wagner's Schedule
Massachusetts's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Massachusetts vs Eastern Michigan-2.549.0L 14 - 28UN
Sat 9/7 Massachusetts at Toledo+17.550.5L 23 - 38OY
Sat 9/14 Massachusetts at Buffalo+3.545.5L 3 - 34UN
Sat 9/21 Massachusetts vs Central Connecticut-19.552.0W 35 - 31ON
Sat 9/28 Massachusetts at Miami (OH)+15.544.5L 20 - 23UY
Sat 10/5 Massachusetts at Northern Illinois+14.041.0L 20 - 34OY
Sat 10/12 Massachusetts vs Missouri+27.054.0L 3 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Massachusetts vs Wagner-23.048.0W 35 - 7UY
Sat 11/2 Massachusetts at Mississippi State+19.559.5L 20 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Massachusetts vs Liberty+17.053.0L 34 - 35OY
Sat 11/23 Massachusetts at Georgia+42.555.5L 21 - 59OY
Sat 11/30 Massachusetts vs UConn+9.549.5L 42 - 47OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAG0%8.50%000%000%380%0%0000
UMASS#69 (.19)41% (94)22.543% (78)3.1 (50)16438% (110)1823.73 (89)#114 (.26)46% (116)35.551% (128)40% (71)4.66 (129)63.20.80.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAG0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UMASS#69 (.19)41% (94)43% (78)3.1 (50)16438% (110)1823.73 (89)#114 (.26)46% (116)51% (128)40% (71)4.66 (129)63.20.80.8



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAG Offense28.58.50%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UMASS Defense1235.532.246.3%4.660.8 - - - - - 60%39%51%40%14%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAG Defense238380%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UMASS Offense1222.527.240.8%3.730.8203461641824.156%44%43%38%17%.19

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wagner20:000NAN%0%0000000100
Massachusetts1232:1919.738%58%7.363.20.80.84.11.3125.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAG Offense20%0%000000%0%0
UMASS Defense1260% (133)51% (128) - - - - .25 (125)3.51 (131)87% (131)8% (113)0.95 (52)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAG Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UMASS Offense1256% (27)43% (78)40.21644.118 (78).16 (53)3.1 (50)74% (62)11% (95)0.96 (68)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAG Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
UMASS Defense1239% (2)40% (71) - - - - - - 6 (109).29 (100)1.7 (112)28% (118)28% (29).27 (51)6% (72)2.1 (89)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAG Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UMASS Offense1244% (109)38% (110)15.627.3181.86.711.714 (108)6 (10).23 (81)1.7 (22)33% (87)32% (57).34 (69)6% (80)2 (98)

Wagner's Power Ratings
Wagner's Power Rating: NR
Wagner's Offense Rating: NR
Wagner's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wagner's 2024 Expected Record: -
Wagner's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Wagner's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Wagner's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average NEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Wagner:    Massachusetts: -16.56

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wagner:    Massachusetts: -21.9




Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -16.56  #115
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 19.80  #69
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 17.13  #122
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #82
Massachusetts's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Massachusetts's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9  #129
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #110
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3  #129

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Wagner Scoring
Offense: 8.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.5
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Wagner's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 2
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Massachusetts 31
Wagner 20

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Massachusetts 32
Wagner 19

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Massachusetts 31
Wagner 21

Total Points: 52
Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.2

Massachusetts's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Massachusetts35Wagner7Massachusetts -23Massachusetts48.0Under
201610/29Massachusetts34Wagner10UMass -21Massachusetts0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Massachusetts220 Overs
Wagner001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#NR) WAG at (#115) UMASS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWAGUMASS
Power RatePwrNR #115
SP+SP+NR #129
Perf GradeGradeNR #128
OffenseOffNR #114
DefenseDefNR #117
Spec TeamsSTNR #126
TalentTalNR #1
Blue ChipsBC%NR #82
Massachusetts Notes
(12/18) Hired HC Joe Harasymiak (Rutgers DC)
(11/18) HC Brown fired, OC Montgomery interim
(11/18) 1-5 stretch, fight w/ Liberty, Rgame good
(9/14) Very competitive 0-2. Outgained Toledo by 100 yds
(8/11) Play Clanga/Mizzu/Liberty/UGA weeks 7-13
(7/30) Lost a ton via portal, did add some. Depth issues.
(7/30) HC Brown improving each year, could they bowl?
(7/30) OL portal rebuild, top 2 RB's portaled out
(7/30) QB Phommachanh bad, WR mostly portal adds
(7/30) Run D nearly last in CFB LY, doesn't look much better
Massachusetts Injury Report
Wagner on Offense
CategoryCat
WAG OffUMASS Def
Perf GradePerfNR #117
SuccessSucNR #116
ExplosiveExpNR #41
PPAPPANR #114
PowerPwrNR #122
SP+SP+NR #129
Pts POPPONR #129
HavocHavNR #106
Wagner Run Game
CategoryCat
WAG OffUMASS Def
Run GameRunNR #119
Run SuccessRSucNR #128
Run ExplRExpNR #52
PPAExpNR #125
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #131
Stuff RateStuffNR #131
TackleTak -  #14
Wagner Pass Game
CategoryCat
WAG OffUMASS Def
Pass GamePassNR #104
Pass SuccessPSucNR #71
Pass ExplPExlNR #112
PPAExpNR #100
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #86
F7 HavocF7NR #113
DB HavocDBNR #72
Massachusetts on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatUMASS OffWAG Def
Perf GradePerf #114NR
SuccessSuc #94NR
ExplosiveExp #72NR
PPAPPA #69NR
PowerPwr #69NR
SP+SP+ #110NR
Pts POPPO #89NR
HavocHav #95NR
Massachusetts Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
UMASS OffWAG Def
Run GameRun #119NR
Run SuccessRSuc #78NR
Run ExplRExp #68NR
PPAExp #53NR
Run BlockR Blk #94 -
OL YdsOLY #50NR
Stuff RateStuff #38NR
TackleTak - NR
Massachusetts Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatUMASS OffWAG Def
Pass GamePass #115NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #110NR
Pass ExplPExl #22NR
PPAExp #81NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #57NR
F7 HavocF7 #95NR
DB HavocDB #80NR
Program Comparison
UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

WAG 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 60° - Wind: 20 mph
Rematch from Week 9
Massachusetts -23.0 (48.0)
Massachusetts won vs Wagner this year (35-7)

Previous Matchups
Massachusetts beat Wagner last year (35-7)

  
WAG's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Wagner's Full Roster

WAG's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Johnson101000
Jalin Justice101020
Jouvenson Romulus90000
Jayden Brown80000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Logan Barnes61101
Franklin Simms10000
Abdoul Idriss20000
Armani Itote20001
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Logan Barnes61101
Armani Itote20001
Franklin Simms10000

UMASS's OC Shane Montgomery (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taisun Phommachanh13223456%1590866.8
AJ Hairston407355%480506.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen John11158355.368
C.J. Hester (Tr)11952944.424
Taisun Phommachanh10731733.033
Brandon Campbell (Tr)6123333.821
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jakobie Keeney-James (Tr)51870617.175
Ty Harding18303516.858
Jacquon Gibson23270111.739
Sterling Galban (Tr)2521008.421

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC Keith Dudzinski (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Stewart773312
Gerrell Johnson743122
Tyler Rudolph612003
Te'Rai Powell522001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Louce Julien437411
Kofi Asare306311
Jalen Stewart773312
Christian Lebrun222200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lake Ellis (Tr)293005
Isaiah Rutherford81004
Tim Grant-Randall (Tr)272003