Wagner at Massachusetts Game Matchup
Wagner logo Wagner Seahawks at Massachusetts MinutemenMassachusetts logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Massachusetts -23 (48.0) (-1650)  Open: -23.0
Massachusetts 35 - Wagner: 7

 
Seahawks (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 9 - 38 (9 - 38 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 19.9 MPH
WAG coming off BYE
UMASS coming off BYE
Our Line: -16.5   (SP+ UMASS -22)

UMASS Win prob: 95% | Cover: 56%
Minutemen (2 - 10) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Shane Montgomery (Int) (4 - 20)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (27 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
Wagner's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Wagner at Florida Atlantic+34.552.5L 10 - 41UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Wagner at Massachusetts+23.048.0L 7 - 35UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wagner's Schedule
Massachusetts's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Massachusetts vs Eastern Michigan-2.549.0L 14 - 28UN
Sat 9/7 Massachusetts at Toledo+17.550.5L 23 - 38OY
Sat 9/14 Massachusetts at Buffalo+3.545.5L 3 - 34UN
Sat 9/21 Massachusetts vs Central Connecticut-19.552.0W 35 - 31ON
Sat 9/28 Massachusetts at Miami (OH)+15.544.5L 20 - 23UY
Sat 10/5 Massachusetts at Northern Illinois+14.041.0L 20 - 34OY
Sat 10/12 Massachusetts vs Missouri+27.054.0L 3 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Massachusetts vs Wagner-23.048.0W 35 - 7UY
Sat 11/2 Massachusetts at Mississippi State+19.559.5L 20 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Massachusetts vs Liberty+17.053.0L 34 - 35OY
Sat 11/23 Massachusetts at Georgia+42.555.5L 21 - 59OY
Sat 11/30 Massachusetts vs UConn+9.549.5L 42 - 47OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAG0%8.50%000%000%380%0%0000
UMASS#72 (.18)42% (68)22.545% (47)3.35 (21)14240% (86)2143.73 (82)#124 (.31)49% (132)35.553% (131)43% (92)4.31 (114)70.91.41.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAG0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAG Offense28.58.50%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UMASS Defense1235.532.248.5%4.311.2 - - - - - 58%42%53%43%15%.31
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAG Defense238380%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UMASS Offense1222.527.242%3.731.4183561422144.451%48%45%40%21%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wagner20:000NAN%0%0000000100
Massachusetts1229:4517.836%23%870.91.41.24.51.5226.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAG Offense20%0%000000%0%0
UMASS Defense1258% (130)53% (131) - - - - .34 (131)3.83 (133)85% (123)9% (89)1 (69)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAG Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UMASS Offense1251% (59)45% (47)32.5142.24.419 (69).25 (18)3.35 (21)62% (125)14% (127)1.14 (11)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAG Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
UMASS Defense1242% (4)43% (92) - - - - - - 8 (100).31 (94)1.8 (122)29% (121)37% (125).47 (124)6% (90)1.9 (30)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAG Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UMASS Offense1248% (76)40% (86)17.729214.17.412.114 (106)11 (68).18 (99)1.5 (85)32% (62)33% (50).43 (35)7% (109)2.2 (36)

Wagner's Power Ratings
Wagner's Power Rating: #NR
Wagner's Offense Rating: #NR
Wagner's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Wagner's 2024 Expected Record: -
Wagner's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Wagner's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Wagner's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average NEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Wagner:    Massachusetts: -16.56

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wagner:    Massachusetts: -21.9




Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -16.56 #115
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 19.80 #69
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 17.13 #122
2024 Talent Rating: 496.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Massachusetts's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Massachusetts's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Wagner Scoring
Offense: 8.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.5
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Wagner's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Massachusetts 31
Wagner 21


Projected Total Points: 52
Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.2

Massachusetts's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Massachusetts35Wagner7MassachusettsMassachusetts -23Massachusetts48.0Under
201610/29Massachusetts34Wagner10MassachusettsUMass -21Massachusetts0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Massachusetts220 Overs
Wagner001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#NR) Wagner Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Team Profile






,
,







Wagner     Ratings Matchup     Massachusetts
Power #NR
#115
Off #NR
#69
Def #NR
#122
Talent #
#100
SP+ #N/A
#129
SP+ Off #N/A
#110
SP+ Def #N/A
#129

Rematch from Week 9
Massachusetts -23.0 (48.0)
Massachusetts won vs Wagner this year (35-7)

Previous Matchups
Massachusetts beat Wagner last year (35-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 60° - Wind: 20 mph


Team Information
Injuries: WAG | UMASS
Depth Chart: WAG | UMASS
Rosters: WAG | UMASS
(#115) Massachusetts Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -16.56 #115
Offense Rating: 19.80 #69
Defense Rating: 17.13 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 496.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Massachusetts Notes
(12/18) Hired HC Joe Harasymiak (Rutgers DC)
(11/18) HC Brown fired, OC Montgomery interim
(11/18) 1-5 stretch, fight w/ Liberty, Rgame good
(9/14) Very competitive 0-2. Outgained Toledo by 100 yds
(8/11) Play Clanga/Mizzu/Liberty/UGA weeks 7-13
(7/30) Lost a ton via portal, did add some. Depth issues.
(7/30) HC Brown improving each year, could they bowl?
(7/30) OL portal rebuild, top 2 RB's portaled out
(7/30) QB Phommachanh bad, WR mostly portal adds
(7/30) Run D nearly last in CFB LY, doesn't look much better


  
Wagner's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Wagner's Full Roster
Wagner's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

Massachusetts's OC Shane Montgomery
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Hairston407355%480506.6
Will Perry71164%72106.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen John11158355.368
C.J. Hester (Tr)11952944.424
Brandon Campbell (Tr)6123333.821
Ahmad Haston1817419.738
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jakobie Keeney-James (Tr)51870617.175
Ty Harding18303516.858
Jacquon Gibson23270111.739
Sterling Galban (Tr)2521008.421

View Massachusetts's Full Roster
Massachusetts's DC Keith Dudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Stewart773312
Gerrell Johnson743122
Te'Rai Powell522001
Derrieon Craig433011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Louce Julien437411
Kofi Asare306311
Jalen Stewart773312
Christian Lebrun222200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lake Ellis (Tr)293005
Tim Grant-Randall (Tr)272003
Jalen Stewart773312