Central Connecticut at Massachusetts - 2024 Matchup Preview
Central Connecticut logo   Central Connecticut Blue Devils at Massachusetts Minutemen  Massachusetts logo
Saturday, September 21st 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Massachusetts -19.5 (52.0) (-1200)  Open: 0.0 | 52.5
Massachusetts 35 - Central Connecticut: 31

 
Blue Devils (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 13 - 59 (13 - 59 on Road)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CCSU coming off BYE
UMASS is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -16.5  (SP+ UMASS -22)
UMASS Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
Minutemen (2 - 10) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Don Brown (4 - 20)
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (13 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Central Connecticut's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Central Connecticut at Central Michigan+33.554.5L 10 - 66ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Central Connecticut at Massachusetts+19.552.0L 31 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Connecticut's Schedule
Massachusetts's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Massachusetts vs Eastern Michigan-2.549.0L 14 - 28UN
Sat 9/7 Massachusetts at Toledo+17.550.5L 23 - 38OY
Sat 9/14 Massachusetts at Buffalo+3.545.5L 3 - 34UN
Sat 9/21 Massachusetts vs Central Connecticut-19.552.0W 35 - 31ON
Sat 9/28 Massachusetts at Miami (OH)+15.544.5L 20 - 23UY
Sat 10/5 Massachusetts at Northern Illinois+14.041.0L 20 - 34OY
Sat 10/12 Massachusetts vs Missouri+27.054.0L 3 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Massachusetts vs Wagner-23.048.0W 35 - 7UY
Sat 11/2 Massachusetts at Mississippi State+19.559.5L 20 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Massachusetts vs Liberty+17.053.0L 34 - 35OY
Sat 11/23 Massachusetts at Georgia+42.555.5L 21 - 59OY
Sat 11/30 Massachusetts vs UConn+9.549.5L 42 - 47OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CCSU0%130%000%000%590%0%0000
UMASS#72 (.18)42% (68)11.145% (47)3.35 (21)14240% (86)2143.73 (82)#124 (.31)49% (132)38.653% (131)43% (92)4.31 (114)70.91.41.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CCSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CCSU Offense113130%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UMASS Defense1238.634.748.5%4.311.2 - - - - - 58%42%53%43%15%.31
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CCSU Defense159590%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UMASS Offense1211.112.842%3.731.4183561422144.451%48%45%40%21%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Central Connecticut10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Massachusetts1229:4517.836%23%870.91.41.24.51.5226.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CCSU Offense10%0%000000%0%0
UMASS Defense1258% (130)53% (131) - - - - .34 (131)3.83 (133)85% (123)9% (89)1 (69)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CCSU Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UMASS Offense1251% (59)45% (47)32.5142.24.419 (69).25 (18)3.35 (21)62% (125)14% (127)1.14 (11)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CCSU Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
UMASS Defense1242% (4)43% (92) - - - - - - 8 (100).31 (94)1.8 (122)29% (121)37% (125).47 (124)6% (90)1.9 (30)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CCSU Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UMASS Offense1248% (76)40% (86)17.729214.17.412.114 (106)11 (68).18 (99)1.5 (85)32% (62)33% (50).43 (35)7% (109)2.2 (36)

Central Connecticut's Power Ratings
Central Connecticut's Power Rating: NR
Central Connecticut's Offense Rating: NR
Central Connecticut's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Central Connecticut's 2024 Expected Record: -
Central Connecticut's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Central Connecticut's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Central Connecticut's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average NEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Connecticut:    Massachusetts: -16.56

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Connecticut:    Massachusetts: -21.9




Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -16.56  #115
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 19.80  #69
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 17.13  #122
2024 Talent Rating: 245.00  #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #82
Massachusetts's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Massachusetts's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9  #129
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #110
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3  #129

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 247.58
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Central Connecticut Scoring
Offense: 13 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 59 PPG
Defense on Road: 59

Central Connecticut's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Massachusetts 35
Central Connecticut 25

Projected Total Points: 60
Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 12.8
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

Massachusetts's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Massachusetts35Central Connecticut31Massachusetts -19.5Central Connecticut52.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Massachusetts101 Overs
Central Connecticut010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) CCSU at (#115) UMASS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCCSUUMASS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #115
SP+SP+NR #129
Perf GradeGradeNR #128
OffenseOffNR #114
DefenseDefNR #117
Spec TeamsSTNR #126
TalentTalNR #98
Blue ChipsBC%NR #82
Massachusetts Notes
(12/18) Hired HC Joe Harasymiak (Rutgers DC)
(11/18) HC Brown fired, OC Montgomery interim
(11/18) 1-5 stretch, fight w/ Liberty, Rgame good
(9/14) Very competitive 0-2. Outgained Toledo by 100 yds
(8/11) Play Clanga/Mizzu/Liberty/UGA weeks 7-13
(7/30) Lost a ton via portal, did add some. Depth issues.
(7/30) HC Brown improving each year, could they bowl?
(7/30) OL portal rebuild, top 2 RB's portaled out
(7/30) QB Phommachanh bad, WR mostly portal adds
(7/30) Run D nearly last in CFB LY, doesn't look much better
Massachusetts Injury Report
Central Connecticut on Offense
CategoryCat
CCSU OffUMASS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #117
SuccessSucNR #132
ExplosiveExpNR #66
PPAPPANR #124
PowerPwrNR #122
SP+SP+NR #129
Pts POPPONR #114
HavocHavNR #97
Central Connecticut Run Game
CategoryCat
CCSU OffUMASS Def
Run GameRunNR #119
Run SuccessRSucNR #131
Run ExplRExpNR #69
PPAExpNR #131
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #133
Stuff RateStuffNR #133
TackleTak -  #14
Central Connecticut Pass Game
CategoryCat
CCSU OffUMASS Def
Pass GamePassNR #104
Pass SuccessPSucNR #92
Pass ExplPExlNR #122
PPAExpNR #94
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #86
F7 HavocF7NR #89
DB HavocDBNR #90
Massachusetts on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatUMASS OffCCSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #114NR
SuccessSuc #68NR
ExplosiveExp #48NR
PPAPPA #72NR
PowerPwr #69NR
SP+SP+ #110NR
Pts POPPO #82NR
HavocHav #129NR
Massachusetts Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
UMASS OffCCSU Def
Run GameRun #119NR
Run SuccessRSuc #47NR
Run ExplRExp #11NR
PPAExp #18NR
Run BlockR Blk #94 -
OL YdsOLY #21NR
Stuff RateStuff #29NR
TackleTak - NR
Massachusetts Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatUMASS OffCCSU Def
Pass GamePass #115NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #86NR
Pass ExplPExl #85NR
PPAExp #99NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #57NR
F7 HavocF7 #127NR
DB HavocDB #109NR
Program Comparison
UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

CCSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Massachusetts -19.5 (52.0)
Massachusetts won vs Central Connecticut this year (35-31)

Previous Matchups
Massachusetts beat Central Connecticut in 2024 (35-31)

  
CCSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Central Connecticut's Full Roster

CCSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kimal Clarke270001
Malachi Wright160000
Jack Stoll111100
Vincent Thomas81000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Stoll111100
Kimal Clarke270001
Christopher Jean30001
Reggie Darkah11000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kimal Clarke270001
Christopher Jean30001
Davone Walden Jr.70001

UMASS's OC Shane Montgomery (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taisun Phommachanh13223456%1590866.8
AJ Hairston407355%480506.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen John11158355.368
C.J. Hester (Tr)11952944.424
Taisun Phommachanh10731733.033
Brandon Campbell (Tr)6123333.821
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jakobie Keeney-James (Tr)51870617.175
Ty Harding18303516.858
Jacquon Gibson23270111.739
Sterling Galban (Tr)2521008.421

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC Keith Dudzinski (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Stewart773312
Gerrell Johnson743122
Tyler Rudolph612003
Te'Rai Powell522001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Louce Julien437411
Kofi Asare306311
Jalen Stewart773312
Christian Lebrun222200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lake Ellis (Tr)293005
Isaiah Rutherford81004
Tim Grant-Randall (Tr)272003