Missouri at South Carolina - 2024 Matchup Preview
Missouri logo Missouri Tigers at South Carolina GamecocksSouth Carolina logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (4:15 PM EST)
South Carolina -10.5 (42.5) (-410)  Open: -13.0
South Carolina 34 - Missouri: 30  (SEC)

 
Tigers (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (28 - 21)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (25 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Our Line: South Carolina -6.5  (SP+ SC -3)
Projected Score: MIZ: 20 - SC: 26 (46)
SC Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
MIZ Travel: 715 miles, 1 hrs behind
Gamecocks (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Shane Beamer (20 - 18)
Avg Score : 31 - 18 (35 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Missouri's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Missouri vs Murray State-50.562.5W 51 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Missouri vs Buffalo-34.553.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/14 Missouri vs Boston College-14.551.5W 27 - 21UN
Sat 9/21 Missouri vs Vanderbilt-17.552.0W 30 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Missouri at Texas A&M+3.047.5L 10 - 41ON
Sat 10/12 Missouri at Massachusetts-27.054.0W 45 - 3UY
Sat 10/19 Missouri vs Auburn-3.549.5W 21 - 17UY
Sat 10/26 Missouri at Alabama+16.051.5L 0 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Missouri vs Oklahoma+3.541.5W 30 - 23OY
Sat 11/16 Missouri at South Carolina+10.542.5L 30 - 34OY
Sat 11/23 Missouri at Mississippi State-9.558.0W 39 - 20OY
Sat 11/30 Missouri vs Arkansas-3.551.5W 28 - 21UY
Mon 12/30 Missouri vs Iowa-1.041.0W 27 - 24OY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
South Carolina's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 South Carolina vs Old Dominion-20.549.5W 23 - 19UN
Sat 9/7 South Carolina at Kentucky+9.541.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 9/14 South Carolina vs LSU+7.050.0L 33 - 36OY
Sat 9/21 South Carolina vs Akron-25.042.0W 50 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 South Carolina vs Ole Miss+10.053.0L 3 - 27UN
Sat 10/12 South Carolina at Alabama+21.050.0L 25 - 27OY
Sat 10/19 South Carolina at Oklahoma-1.040.5W 35 - 9OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 South Carolina vs Texas A&M+3.043.5W 44 - 20OY
Sat 11/9 South Carolina at Vanderbilt-6.044.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 11/16 South Carolina vs Missouri-10.542.5W 34 - 30ON
Sat 11/23 South Carolina vs Wofford-42.549.5W 56 - 12OY
Sat 11/30 South Carolina at Clemson+2.548.5W 17 - 14UY
Tue 12/31 South Carolina vs Illinois-9.550.0L 17 - 21UN

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)28.947% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)20.442% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2
SC#48 (.22)44% (58)30.544% (74)3.01 (73)17544% (42)2033.97 (62)#15 (.08)42% (73)18.145% (93)40% (61)3.19 (16)53.81.51.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)47% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)42% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2
SC#48 (.22)44% (58)44% (74)3.01 (73)17544% (42)2033.97 (62)#15 (.08)42% (73)45% (93)40% (61)3.19 (16)53.81.51.7



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Offense1328.924.844%3.910.7193611592024.353%47%47%41%11%.19
SC Defense1318.121.642.1%3.191.7 - - - - - 49%50%45%40%19%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Defense1320.426.440.6%3.381.2 - - - - - 53%47%42%39%18%.11
SC Offense1330.534.743.7%3.971.5203781752034.458%41%44%44%17%.22

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Missouri1330:2819.547%53%5.2460.71.251.9231
South Carolina1328:442042%50%6.253.81.51.76.53.1230.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense1353% (48)47% (28)37.1158.74.325 (41).12 (73)3.04 (67)79% (26)8% (31)0.9 (100)
SC Defense1349% (52)45% (93) - - - - .03 (23)2.87 (46)69% (43)13% (10)0.73 (4)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense1353% (91)42% (57) - - - - .01 (18)2.75 (29)73% (64)12% (22)0.92 (43)
SC Offense1358% (15)44% (74)39.5175.24.425 (41).13 (70)3.01 (73)79% (29)13% (121)0.95 (79)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense1347% (85)41% (80)17.828.5202.27.111.412 (118)5 (6).26 (66)1.6 (69)30% (49)33% (52).39 (44)4% (10)2.1 (49)
SC Defense1350% (74)40% (61) - - - - - - 13 (31).15 (31)1.5 (35)30% (104)29% (49).26 (45)6% (76)2.1 (76)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense1347% (47)39% (56) - - - - - - 6 (109).23 (65)1.6 (70)32% (61)27% (20).2 (27)6% (54)2 (65)
SC Offense1341% (118)44% (42)15.523.6202.88.613.120 (58)7 (26).37 (23)1.8 (14)30% (45)32% (61).35 (63)4% (17)2.1 (47)

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 11.81  #26
Missouri's Offense Rating: 21.28  #55
Missouri's Defense Rating: 6.00  #33
2024 Talent Rating: 846.00  #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 25%  #23
Missouri's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Missouri's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.0  #19
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7  #23
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7  #20

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 11.81   South Carolina: 19.43

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 14.0   South Carolina: 16.9




South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 19.43  #11
South Carolina's Offense Rating: 20.17  #65
South Carolina's Defense Rating: 3.17  #13
2024 Talent Rating: 856.00  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 32  #20
South Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
South Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.9  #14
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1  #35
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.0  #13

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Missouri Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Missouri's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
South Carolina 26
Missouri 20


Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
South Carolina 29
Missouri 21

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
South Carolina 28
Missouri 24

Total Points: 52
South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.7
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

South Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Missouri29South Carolina20Missouri -10South Carolina48.5Over
202411/16South Carolina34Missouri30South Carolina -10.5Missouri42.5Over
202310/21Missouri34South Carolina12Missouri -7.5Missouri57.5Under
202210/29South Carolina10Missouri23South Carolina -3.5Missouri45.5Under
202111/13Missouri31South Carolina28Missouri -1Missouri56.5Over
202011/21South Carolina10Missouri17Missouri -5.0Missouri57.5Under
201909/21Missouri34South Carolina14Missouri -9.5Missouri61.0Under
201810/06South Carolina37Missouri35Missouri -1South Carolina62.5Over
201709/09Missouri13South Carolina31Missouri -2.5South Carolina71.0Under
201611/05South Carolina31Missouri21South Carolina -5South Carolina56.5Under
201510/03Missouri24South Carolina10Missouri -3.5Missouri42.5Under
201409/27South Carolina20Missouri21South Carolina -5.5Missouri0
201310/26Missouri24South Carolina27Missouri -2.5South Carolina0
201209/22South Carolina31Missouri10
200512/30Missouri38South Carolina31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Carolina654 Overs
Missouri987 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 56 - 75 - 61 - 1
Road Teams5 - 107 - 61 - 16 - 5

(#26) MIZ at (#11) SC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMIZSC
Power RatePwr #26 #11
SP+SP+ #19 #14
Perf GradeGrade #24 #21
OffenseOff #26 #78
DefenseDef #37 #10
Spec TeamsST #12 #26
TalentTal #22 #19
Blue ChipsBC% #23 #20

Missouri Notes
(11/30) 3-1 finish. Even w/ Ark, forced 2 TOs, good 3rd Def
(11/24) Off OK vs Miss St, Def held 2-10 on 3rd downs
(11/18) Cook nearly beat SC, Run Def great, Pass D WTF?
(11/13) Off bad, Def good, great Pyne drive beat OU
(11/12) C Tollison (top in CFB) out for season
(10/27) Off is broken, all stats < '23. Cook/Rgame bad
(10/23) QB Brady Cook doubtful for Bama game (ankle)
(10/23) RB Noel doubtful for Bama game
(10/22) Def stop rate is 72% (#20) into Bama game
(10/19) Rallied (Aub), Off was bad but clutch. Def held
(10/18) 2ndary getting cooked, repeatedly & big plays

South Carolina Notes
(12/11) OC Loggains left for App St HC job
(12/11) Hired Mike Shula as OC? Was OA, NLF, Bama HC
(12/1) Sellers future, how much DL can they keep/get?
(12/1) Even w/ Clem, Sellers legs the diff. Run D good
(11/18) Hot team, Sellers 353 yds (Mizzu) Rgame bad
(11/13) Killed Vandy, Sellers improving, Def best in SEC?
(10/18) Allowed most sacks in FBS, also 8 QB fumbles
(10/12) Run Def great vs Bama, Sellers better. Tough team
(10/6) QB Sellers does not look healthy
(9/15) DL top unit in CFB. Rgame good vs LSU, QB bad
(9/8) Huge W @ UK, Def great, Off still awful.
Missouri on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
MIZ OffSC Def
Perf GradePerf #26 #10
SuccessSuc #54 #73
ExplosiveExp #114 #5
PPAPPA #70 #15
PowerPwr #55 #13
SP+SP+ #23 #13
Pts POPPO #68 #16
HavocHav #9 #21
Missouri Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
MIZ OffSC Def
Run GameRun #53 #28
Run SuccessRSuc #28 #93
Run ExplRExp #100 #4
PPAExp #73 #23
Run BlockR Blk #6 -
OL YdsOLY #67 #46
Stuff RateStuff #25 #74
TackleTak -  #42
Missouri Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
MIZ OffSC Def
Pass GamePass #77 #12
Pass SuccessPSuc #80 #61
Pass ExplPExl #69 #35
PPAExp #66 #31
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #29 #3
F7 HavocF7 #31 #10
DB HavocDB #10 #76
South Carolina on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatSC OffMIZ Def
Perf GradePerf #78 #37
SuccessSuc #58 #54
ExplosiveExp #56 #51
PPAPPA #48 #32
PowerPwr #65 #33
SP+SP+ #35 #20
Pts POPPO #62 #28
HavocHav #93 #32
South Carolina Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
SC OffMIZ Def
Run GameRun #35 #39
Run SuccessRSuc #74 #57
Run ExplRExp #79 #43
PPAExp #70 #18
Run BlockR Blk #103 -
OL YdsOLY #73 #29
Stuff RateStuff #41 #46
TackleTak -  #52
South Carolina Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatSC OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePass #69 #79
Pass SuccessPSuc #42 #56
Pass ExplPExl #14 #70
PPAExp #23 #65
Pass Block/RushP Blk #107 #34
F7 HavocF7 #121 #22
DB HavocDB #17 #54
Program Comparison
SC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

MIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams-Brice Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 66°
Rematch from Week 12
South Carolina -10.5 (42.5)
South Carolina won vs Missouri this year (34-30)

Previous Matchups
South Carolina beat Missouri last year (34-30)
Missouri beat South Carolina in 2023 (34-12)
Missouri beat South Carolina in 2022 (23-10)

  
MIZ's OC Kirby Moore (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brady Cook20032063%25251127.9
Drew Pyne (Tr)498260%391334.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Noel (Tr)16381835.064
Marcus Carroll (Tr)140595124.335
Brady Cook8722352.631
Jamal Roberts5321634.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Theo Wease60884414.770
Luther Burden III60666611.144
Marquis Johnson25352114.149
Brett Norfleet2623529.036

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Corey Batoon (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Corey Flagg Jr.815110
Triston Newson727241
Marvin Burks Jr.662002
Daylan Carnell515006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Walker43131041
Zion Young (Tr)416353
Chris McClellan (Tr)396332
Khalil Jacobs (Tr)123220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daylan Carnell515006
Joseph Charleston442004
Nicholas Deloach Jr.231004

SC's OC Dowell Loggains (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Lanorris Sellers19730066%25271878.4
Robby Ashford (Tr)233272%3242010.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Raheim Sanders (Tr)183881114.866
Lanorris Sellers16568174.175
Oscar Adaway III (Tr)7729533.836
Robby Ashford (Tr)4122725.538
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Joshua Simon41512712.557
Nyck Harbor26376314.543
Mazeo Bennett30337311.236
Raheim Sanders (Tr)27316211.743

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nick Emmanwori883002
Demetrius Knight II828201
Bam Martin-Scott668302
Debo Williams635110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Kennard (Tr)29171291
Dylan Stewart2311731
Bryan Thomas Jr.237520
Tonka Hemingway254461
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Judge Collier283008
Jalon Kilgore483035
O'Donnell Fortune472003