Murray State at Missouri - 2024 Matchup Preview
Murray State logo Murray State Racers at Missouri TigersMissouri logo
Thursday, August 29th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Missouri -50.5 (62.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Missouri 51 - Murray State: 0

 
Racers (0 - 2) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 3 - 50 (3 - 50 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Missouri -15.5  (SP+ MIZ -14)
MIZ Win prob: 100% | Cover: 33%
Tigers (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (28 - 21)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (32 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Murray State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Murray State at Missouri+50.562.5L 0 - 51UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Murray State at Kentucky+41.554.5L 6 - 48UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Murray State's Schedule
Missouri's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Missouri vs Murray State-50.562.5W 51 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Missouri vs Buffalo-34.553.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/14 Missouri vs Boston College-14.551.5W 27 - 21UN
Sat 9/21 Missouri vs Vanderbilt-17.552.0W 30 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Missouri at Texas A&M+3.047.5L 10 - 41ON
Sat 10/12 Missouri at Massachusetts-27.054.0W 45 - 3UY
Sat 10/19 Missouri vs Auburn-3.549.5W 21 - 17UY
Sat 10/26 Missouri at Alabama+16.051.5L 0 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Missouri vs Oklahoma+3.541.5W 30 - 23OY
Sat 11/16 Missouri at South Carolina+10.542.5L 30 - 34OY
Sat 11/23 Missouri at Mississippi State-9.558.0W 39 - 20OY
Sat 11/30 Missouri vs Arkansas-3.551.5W 28 - 21UY
Mon 12/30 Missouri vs Iowa-1.041.0W 27 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MURR0%30%000%000%49.50%0%0000
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)28.947% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)20.442% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MURR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)47% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)42% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MURR Offense2330%00000000%0%0%0%0%
MIZ Defense1320.415.640.6%3.381.2 - - - - - 53%47%42%39%18%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MURR Defense249.549.50%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
MIZ Offense1328.932.144%3.910.7193611592024.353%47%47%41%11%.19

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Murray State20:000NAN%0%0000000100
Missouri1330:2819.547%53%5.2460.71.251.9231
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MURR Offense20%0%000000%0%0
MIZ Defense1353% (91)42% (57) - - - - .01 (18)2.75 (29)73% (64)12% (22)0.92 (43)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MURR Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
MIZ Offense1353% (48)47% (28)37.1158.74.325 (41).12 (73)3.04 (67)79% (26)8% (31)0.9 (100)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MURR Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
MIZ Defense1347% (47)39% (56) - - - - - - 6 (109).23 (65)1.6 (70)32% (61)27% (20).2 (27)6% (54)2 (65)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MURR Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
MIZ Offense1347% (85)41% (80)17.828.5202.27.111.412 (118)5 (6).26 (66)1.6 (69)30% (49)33% (52).39 (44)4% (10)2.1 (49)

Murray State's Power Ratings
Murray State's Power Rating: NR
Murray State's Offense Rating: NR
Murray State's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Murray State's 2024 Expected Record: -
Murray State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Murray State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Murray State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average OVC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Murray State:    Missouri: 15.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Murray State:    Missouri: 14.0




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 15.405  #26
Missouri's Offense Rating: 21.28  #55
Missouri's Defense Rating: 6.00  #33
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 25  #23
Missouri's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Missouri's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.0  #19
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7  #23
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7  #20

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Murray State Scoring
Offense: 3 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 49.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 49.5

Murray State's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 2
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 36
Murray State 21

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Missouri 40
Murray State 13

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Missouri 40
Murray State 11

Total Points: 51
Missouri Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.1
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Missouri's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/29Missouri51Murray State0Missouri -50.5Missouri62.5Under
201308/31Missouri58Murray State14Missouri -38Missouri0
200609/02Missouri47Murray State7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri320 Overs
Murray State001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 30 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#NR) MURR at (#26) MIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMURRMIZ
Power RatePwrNR #26
SP+SP+NR #19
Perf GradeGradeNR #24
OffenseOffNR #26
DefenseDefNR #37
Spec TeamsSTNR #12
TalentTalNR #1
Blue ChipsBC%NR #23
Missouri Notes
(11/30) 3-1 finish. Even w/ Ark, forced 2 TOs, good 3rd Def
(11/24) Off OK vs Miss St, Def held 2-10 on 3rd downs
(11/18) Cook nearly beat SC, Run Def great, Pass D WTF?
(11/13) Off bad, Def good, great Pyne drive beat OU
(11/12) C Tollison (top in CFB) out for season
(10/27) Off is broken, all stats < '23. Cook/Rgame bad
(10/23) QB Brady Cook doubtful for Bama game (ankle)
(10/23) RB Noel doubtful for Bama game
(10/22) Def stop rate is 72% (#20) into Bama game
(10/19) Rallied (Aub), Off was bad but clutch. Def held
(10/18) 2ndary getting cooked, repeatedly & big plays
(10/7) Killed by A&M. Cook, RB, Def all awful. Shocking
Missouri Injury Report
Murray State on Offense
CategoryCat
MURR OffMIZ Def
Perf GradePerfNR #37
SuccessSucNR #54
ExplosiveExpNR #51
PPAPPANR #32
PowerPwrNR #33
SP+SP+NR #20
Pts POPPONR #28
HavocHavNR #32
Murray State Run Game
CategoryCat
MURR OffMIZ Def
Run GameRunNR #39
Run SuccessRSucNR #57
Run ExplRExpNR #43
PPAExpNR #18
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #29
Stuff RateStuffNR #46
TackleTak -  #52
Murray State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MURR OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePassNR #79
Pass SuccessPSucNR #56
Pass ExplPExlNR #70
PPAExpNR #65
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #34
F7 HavocF7NR #22
DB HavocDBNR #54
Missouri on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatMIZ OffMURR Def
Perf GradePerf #26NR
SuccessSuc #54NR
ExplosiveExp #114NR
PPAPPA #70NR
PowerPwr #55NR
SP+SP+ #23NR
Pts POPPO #68NR
HavocHav #9NR
Missouri Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
MIZ OffMURR Def
Run GameRun #53NR
Run SuccessRSuc #28NR
Run ExplRExp #100NR
PPAExp #73NR
Run BlockR Blk #6 -
OL YdsOLY #67NR
Stuff RateStuff #25NR
TackleTak - NR
Missouri Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatMIZ OffMURR Def
Pass GamePass #77NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #80NR
Pass ExplPExl #69NR
PPAExp #66NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #29NR
F7 HavocF7 #31NR
DB HavocDB #10NR
Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

MURR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 85°( - Hum: 78%)
Rematch from Week 1
Missouri -50.5 (62.5)
Missouri won vs Murray State this year (51-0)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Murray State last year (51-0)

  
MURR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Murray State's Full Roster

MURR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amari Wansley (Tr)190000
Justice Cross (Tr)90000
Esteban Guillory82100
Larry Preston80000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayson Coley62200
Esteban Guillory82100
Kevon Haigler (Tr)22101
Amari Wansley (Tr)190000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Williamson30001
KaVan Reed71001
Kevon Haigler (Tr)22101

MIZ's OC Kirby Moore (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brady Cook20032063%25251127.9
Drew Pyne (Tr)498260%391334.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Noel (Tr)16381835.064
Marcus Carroll (Tr)140595124.335
Brady Cook8722352.631
Jamal Roberts5321634.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Theo Wease60884414.770
Luther Burden III60666611.144
Marquis Johnson25352114.149
Brett Norfleet2623529.036

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Corey Batoon (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Corey Flagg Jr.815110
Triston Newson727241
Marvin Burks Jr.662002
Daylan Carnell515006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Walker43131041
Zion Young (Tr)416353
Chris McClellan (Tr)396332
Khalil Jacobs (Tr)123220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daylan Carnell515006
Joseph Charleston442004
Nicholas Deloach Jr.231004