Murray State at Missouri - 2024 Matchup Preview

Thursday, August 29th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Missouri -50.5 (62.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Missouri 51 - Murray State: 0

Racers (0 - 2) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 41 (16 - 41 on Road)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Missouri -15.5 (SP+ MIZ -14)
MIZ Win prob: 100% | Cover: 33%

Tigers (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (28 - 21)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (40 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MURR Players
MIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Murray State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Murray State at Missouri	+50.5	62.5	L 0 - 51	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Murray State at Kentucky	+41.5	54.5	L 6 - 48	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Murray State's Schedule

Missouri's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Missouri vs Murray State	-50.5	62.5	W 51 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Missouri vs Buffalo	-34.5	53.5	W 38 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Missouri vs Boston College	-14.5	51.5	W 27 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/21	Missouri vs Vanderbilt	-17.5	52.0	W 30 - 27	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Missouri at Texas A&M	+3.0	47.5	L 10 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/12	Missouri at Massachusetts	-27.0	54.0	W 45 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Missouri vs Auburn	-3.5	49.5	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Missouri at Alabama	+16.0	51.5	L 0 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Missouri vs Oklahoma	+3.5	41.5	W 30 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Missouri at South Carolina	+10.5	42.5	L 30 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Missouri at Mississippi State	-9.5	58.0	W 39 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Missouri vs Arkansas	-3.5	51.5	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Mon 12/30	Missouri vs Iowa	-1.0	41.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MURR		0%	15.5	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	41	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MIZ	#21 (.29)	46% (26)	30.2	45% (48)	3.06 (82)	172	48% (13)	261	4.51 (22)	#47 (.15)	37% (19)	18.9	35% (13)	39% (30)	3.93 (81)	54.2	0.7	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MURR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MURR Offense	2	15.5	15.5	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
MIZ Defense	13	18.9	20.6	36.8%	3.93	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	35%	39%	19%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MURR Defense	2	41	41	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
MIZ Offense	13	30.2	39.5	46.1%	4.51	0.7	22	433	172	261	4.5	54%	46%	45%	48%	13%	.29

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Murray State	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Missouri	13	30:24	21.5	43%	73%	7.2	54.2	0.7	1.5	6.1	2.8	1	28.6

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MURR Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
MIZ Defense	13	46% (18)	35% (13)	-	-	-	-	.08 (33)	2.74 (17)	71% (56)	13% (11)	1.06 (97)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MURR Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
MIZ Offense	13	54% (40)	45% (48)	38.2	171.8	4.5	25 (37)	.18 (50)	3.06 (82)	75% (52)	9% (46)	0.97 (84)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MURR Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
MIZ Defense	13	54% (118)	39% (30)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.23 (46)	1.6 (58)	36% (21)	25% (15)	.18 (12)	6% (64)	1.9 (19)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MURR Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
MIZ Offense	13	46% (93)	48% (13)	19	28.9	261.2	9	13.7	23 (51)	7 (21)	.44 (18)	1.7 (42)	31% (46)	36% (21)	.46 (29)	5% (16)	2 (69)

Murray State's Power Ratings
Murray State's Power Rating: NR
Murray State's Offense Rating: NR
Murray State's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Murray State's 2024 Expected Record: -
Murray State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Murray State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Murray State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average OVC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Murray State: Missouri: 15.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Murray State: Missouri: 14.0

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 15.405 #26
Missouri's Offense Rating: 21.28 #55
Missouri's Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
2024 Talent Rating: 455.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Missouri's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Missouri's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.0 #19
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #20

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 511.63
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Murray State Scoring
Offense: 15.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 41 PPG
Defense on Road: 41

Murray State's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 2
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri 37
Murray State 22

Projected Total Points: 59

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Missouri's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/29	Missouri	51	Murray State	0	Missouri -50.5	Missouri	62.5	Under
2013	08/31	Missouri	58	Murray State	14	Missouri -38	Missouri	0
2006	09/02	Missouri	47	Murray State	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Missouri	3	2	0 Overs
Murray State	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 3	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#) MURR at (#26) MIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MURR	MIZ
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#26
SP+SP+	NR	#19
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#24
OffenseOff	NR	#26
DefenseDef	NR	#37
Spec TeamsST	NR	#12
TalentTal	NR	#22
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#23

Murray State Injury Report

Missouri Notes(11/30) 3-1 finish. Even w/ Ark, forced 2 TOs, good 3rd Def
(11/24) Off OK vs Miss St, Def held 2-10 on 3rd downs
(11/18) Cook nearly beat SC, Run Def great, Pass D WTF?
(11/13) Off bad, Def good, great Pyne drive beat OU
(11/12) C Tollison (top in CFB) out for season
(10/27) Off is broken, all stats < '23. Cook/Rgame bad
(10/23) QB Brady Cook doubtful for Bama game (ankle)
(10/23) RB Noel doubtful for Bama game
(10/22) Def stop rate is 72% (#20) into Bama game
(10/19) Rallied (Aub), Off was bad but clutch. Def held
(10/18) 2ndary getting cooked, repeatedly & big plays
(10/7) Killed by A&M. Cook, RB, Def all awful. Shocking
Missouri Injury Report

Murray State on Offense


CategoryCat	MURR Off	MIZ Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#37
SuccessSuc	NR	#19
ExplosiveExp	NR	#102
PPAPPA	NR	#47
PowerPwr	NR	#33
SP+SP+	NR	#20
Pts POPPO	NR	#81
HavocHav	NR	#19

Murray State Run Game


CategoryCat	MURR Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	NR	#39
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#13
Run ExplRExp	NR	#97
PPAExp	NR	#33
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#17
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#14
TackleTak	-	#52

Murray State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MURR Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#79
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#30
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#58
PPAExp	NR	#46
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#34
F7 HavocF7	NR	#11
DB HavocDB	NR	#64

Missouri on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	MURR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#26	NR
SuccessSuc	#26	NR
ExplosiveExp	#63	NR
PPAPPA	#21	NR
PowerPwr	#55	NR
SP+SP+	#23	NR
Pts POPPO	#22	NR
HavocHav	#24	NR

Missouri Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	MURR Def
Run GameRun	#53	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#48	NR
Run ExplRExp	#84	NR
PPAExp	#50	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#6	-
OL YdsOLY	#82	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#120	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Missouri Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MIZ Off	MURR Def
Pass GamePass	#77	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#13	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#42	NR
PPAExp	#18	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#29	NR
F7 HavocF7	#46	NR
DB HavocDB	#16	NR

Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'24 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

MURR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Missouri -50.5 (62.5)
Missouri won vs Murray State this year (51-0)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Murray State in 2024 (51-0)

MURR's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Murray State's Full Roster

MURR's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS
Amari Wansley (Tr)	19	0	0
Justice Cross (Tr)	9	0	0
Esteban Guillory	8	2	1
Larry Preston	8	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jayson Coley	6	2	2	0
Esteban Guillory	8	2	1	0
Kevon Haigler (Tr)	2	2	1	1
Amari Wansley (Tr)	19	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Josh Williamson	3	0	0	1
KaVan Reed	7	1	0	1
Kevon Haigler (Tr)	2	2	1	1

MIZ's OC Kirby Moore (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brady Cook	200	320	63%	2525	11	2	7.9
Drew Pyne (Tr)	49	82	60%	391	3	3	4.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nate Noel (Tr)	163	818	3	5.0	64
Marcus Carroll (Tr)	140	595	12	4.3	35
Brady Cook	87	223	5	2.6	31
Jamal Roberts	53	216	3	4.1	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Theo Wease	60	884	4	14.7	70
Luther Burden III	60	666	6	11.1	44
Marquis Johnson	25	352	1	14.1	49
Brett Norfleet	26	235	2	9.0	36

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Corey Batoon (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Corey Flagg Jr.	81	5	1	1	0
Triston Newson	72	7	2	4	1
Marvin Burks Jr.	66	2	0	0	2
Daylan Carnell	51	5	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Johnny Walker	43	13	10	4	1
Zion Young (Tr)	41	6	3	5	3
Chris McClellan (Tr)	39	6	3	3	2
Khalil Jacobs (Tr)	12	3	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Daylan Carnell	51	5	6
Joseph Charleston	44	2	4
Nicholas Deloach Jr.	23	1	4