Oklahoma at Missouri - 2024 Matchup Preview
Oklahoma logo Oklahoma Sooners at Missouri TigersMissouri logo
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (7:45 PM EST)
Oklahoma -3.5 (41.5) (-165)  Open: -2.5 | 42.5
Missouri 30 - Oklahoma: 23  (SEC)

 
Sooners (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brent Venables (16 - 10)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (20 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
MIZ coming off BYE
OKLA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Missouri -6  (SP+ MIZ -5)

Projected Score: OKLA: 19 - MIZ: 25 (44)
OKLA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
OKLA Travel: 382 miles
Tigers (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (28 - 21)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (32 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Oklahoma's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Oklahoma vs Temple-42.559.5W 51 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Oklahoma vs Houston-27.548.5W 16 - 12UN
Sat 9/14 Oklahoma vs Tulane-13.548.5W 34 - 19OY
Sat 9/21 Oklahoma vs Tennessee+6.057.0L 15 - 25UN
Sat 9/28 Oklahoma at Auburn+2.043.0W 27 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Oklahoma vs Texas+16.548.5L 3 - 34UN
Sat 10/19 Oklahoma vs South Carolina+1.040.5L 9 - 35ON
Sat 10/26 Oklahoma at Ole Miss+19.050.0L 14 - 26UY
Sat 11/2 Oklahoma vs Maine-37.548.5W 59 - 14OY
Sat 11/9 Oklahoma at Missouri-3.541.5L 23 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Oklahoma vs Alabama+14.047.0W 24 - 3UY
Sat 11/30 Oklahoma at LSU+4.547.5L 17 - 37ON
Fri 12/27 Oklahoma vs Navy+1.044.0L 20 - 21UY

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule
Missouri's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Missouri vs Murray State-50.562.5W 51 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Missouri vs Buffalo-34.553.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/14 Missouri vs Boston College-14.551.5W 27 - 21UN
Sat 9/21 Missouri vs Vanderbilt-17.552.0W 30 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Missouri at Texas A&M+3.047.5L 10 - 41ON
Sat 10/12 Missouri at Massachusetts-27.054.0W 45 - 3UY
Sat 10/19 Missouri vs Auburn-3.549.5W 21 - 17UY
Sat 10/26 Missouri at Alabama+16.051.5L 0 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Missouri vs Oklahoma+3.541.5W 30 - 23OY
Sat 11/16 Missouri at South Carolina+10.542.5L 30 - 34OY
Sat 11/23 Missouri at Mississippi State-9.558.0W 39 - 20OY
Sat 11/30 Missouri vs Arkansas-3.551.5W 28 - 21UY
Mon 12/30 Missouri vs Iowa-1.041.0W 27 - 24OY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKLA#123 (.06)39% (113)2443% (85)2.99 (81)14435% (122)1553.39 (112)#12 (.07)36% (5)21.533% (2)39% (55)3.47 (34)421.51.6
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)28.947% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)20.442% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKLA#123 (.06)39% (113)43% (85)2.99 (81)14435% (122)1553.39 (112)#12 (.07)36% (5)33% (2)39% (55)3.47 (34)421.51.6
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)47% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)42% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKLA Offense132420.339%3.391.5172981441553.953%46%43%35%18%.06
MIZ Defense1320.415.640.6%3.381.2 - - - - - 53%47%42%39%18%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKLA Defense1321.528.535.7%3.471.6 - - - - - 53%46%33%39%18%.07
MIZ Offense1328.932.144%3.910.7193611592024.353%47%47%41%11%.19

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma1326:4016.935%52%4.8421.51.67.12.7229.6
Missouri1330:2819.547%53%5.2460.71.251.9231
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKLA Offense1353% (45)43% (85)36.8143.63.916 (90).07 (100)2.99 (81)75% (58)14% (129)0.98 (63)
MIZ Defense1353% (91)42% (57) - - - - .01 (18)2.75 (29)73% (64)12% (22)0.92 (43)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKLA Defense1353% (100)33% (2) - - - - -.05 (1)2.56 (11)69% (43)13% (12)0.88 (25)
MIZ Offense1353% (48)47% (28)37.1158.74.325 (41).12 (73)3.04 (67)79% (26)8% (31)0.9 (100)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKLA Offense1346% (94)35% (122)15.825.3154.76.19.814 (108)6 (10).07 (127)1.5 (105)33% (102)27% (109).25 (99)4% (9)2.2 (24)
MIZ Defense1347% (47)39% (56) - - - - - - 6 (109).23 (65)1.6 (70)32% (61)27% (20).2 (27)6% (54)2 (65)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKLA Defense1346% (34)39% (55) - - - - - - 9 (76).22 (61)1.6 (83)37% (6)28% (33).25 (43)5% (114)1.9 (36)
MIZ Offense1347% (85)41% (80)17.828.5202.27.111.412 (118)5 (6).26 (66)1.6 (69)30% (49)33% (52).39 (44)4% (10)2.1 (49)

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 9.59  #33
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 12.20  #119
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 1.17  #6
2024 Talent Rating: 1086.00  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 52%  #10
Oklahoma's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Oklahoma's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5  #33
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9  #75
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8  #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 9.59   Missouri: 15.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 9.5   Missouri: 14.0




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 15.405  #26
Missouri's Offense Rating: 21.28  #55
Missouri's Defense Rating: 6.00  #33
2024 Talent Rating: 846.00  #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 25  #23
Missouri's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Missouri's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.0  #19
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7  #23
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7  #20

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.3
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5

Oklahoma's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 25
Oklahoma 19


Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
Missouri 23
Oklahoma 19

Total Points: 42

Based on Entire Season
Missouri 28
Oklahoma 20

Total Points: 48
Missouri Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.1
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Missouri's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Missouri30Oklahoma23Oklahoma -3.5Missouri41.5Over
201109/24Oklahoma38Missouri28
201010/23Missouri36Oklahoma27
200812/06Oklahoma62Missouri21
200710/13Oklahoma41Missouri31
200712/01Missouri17Oklahoma38
200610/28Missouri10Oklahoma26
200310/18Oklahoma34Missouri13
200210/05Missouri24Oklahoma31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri211 Overs
Oklahoma700 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 31 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams3 - 60 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#33) OKLA at (#26) MIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOKLAMIZ
Power RatePwr #33 #26
SP+SP+ #33 #19
Perf GradeGrade #90 #24
OffenseOff #133 #26
DefenseDef #12 #37
Spec TeamsST #50 #12
TalentTal #2 #22
Blue ChipsBC% #10 #23

Oklahoma Notes
(12/18) Signed QB Mateer (Wazzu)
(12/18) QB Arnold left via portal (Auburn)
(12/2) Hired Wazzu OC Arbuckle, top 25 pass off 4 yrs
(12/2) Rgame meh, Arnold bad, Pass D torched in LSU L
(11/24) Huge W vs Bama. Rgame 251, 5.1 ypc. Def great
(11/13) Arnold awful, Rgame bad, Def choked vs Mizzu
(10/28) OL allowed 19 sacks in past 2 gms (SC/Miss)
(10/20) OC Littrell fired, Co-OC Finley taking over
(10/12) Have no answers on Off. Def cannot hold 4ever
(10/10) Top 5 WR are out vs Texas w/ injuries
(10/4) Gutty W @ Aub. OG'd by 200 yds, Hawkins meh

Missouri Notes
(11/30) 3-1 finish. Even w/ Ark, forced 2 TOs, good 3rd Def
(11/24) Off OK vs Miss St, Def held 2-10 on 3rd downs
(11/18) Cook nearly beat SC, Run Def great, Pass D WTF?
(11/13) Off bad, Def good, great Pyne drive beat OU
(11/12) C Tollison (top in CFB) out for season
(10/27) Off is broken, all stats < '23. Cook/Rgame bad
(10/23) QB Brady Cook doubtful for Bama game (ankle)
(10/23) RB Noel doubtful for Bama game
(10/22) Def stop rate is 72% (#20) into Bama game
(10/19) Rallied (Aub), Off was bad but clutch. Def held
(10/18) 2ndary getting cooked, repeatedly & big plays
Oklahoma on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
OKLA OffMIZ Def
Perf GradePerf #133 #37
SuccessSuc #113 #54
ExplosiveExp #112 #51
PPAPPA #123 #32
PowerPwr #119 #33
SP+SP+ #75 #20
Pts POPPO #112 #28
HavocHav #100 #32
Oklahoma Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
OKLA OffMIZ Def
Run GameRun #133 #39
Run SuccessRSuc #85 #57
Run ExplRExp #63 #43
PPAExp #100 #18
Run BlockR Blk #109 -
OL YdsOLY #81 #29
Stuff RateStuff #72 #46
TackleTak -  #52
Oklahoma Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
OKLA OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePass #126 #79
Pass SuccessPSuc #122 #56
Pass ExplPExl #105 #70
PPAExp #127 #65
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #110 #34
F7 HavocF7 #129 #22
DB HavocDB #9 #54
Missouri on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatMIZ OffOKLA Def
Perf GradePerf #26 #12
SuccessSuc #54 #5
ExplosiveExp #114 #63
PPAPPA #70 #12
PowerPwr #55 #6
SP+SP+ #23 #17
Pts POPPO #68 #34
HavocHav #9 #43
Missouri Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
MIZ OffOKLA Def
Run GameRun #53 #5
Run SuccessRSuc #28 #2
Run ExplRExp #100 #25
PPAExp #73 #1
Run BlockR Blk #6 -
OL YdsOLY #67 #11
Stuff RateStuff #25 #25
TackleTak -  #45
Missouri Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatMIZ OffOKLA Def
Pass GamePass #77 #81
Pass SuccessPSuc #80 #55
Pass ExplPExl #69 #83
PPAExp #66 #61
Pass Block/RushP Blk #29 #9
F7 HavocF7 #31 #12
DB HavocDB #10 #114
Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

OKLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 54° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 11
Oklahoma 3.5 (41.5)
Missouri won vs Oklahoma this year (30-23)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Oklahoma last year (30-23)

  
OKLA's OC Joe Jon Finley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jackson Arnold15424663%14211235.8
Michael Hawkins Jr.7612063%783326.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jovantae Barnes12257754.774
Jackson Arnold15044433.047
Taylor Tatum5627835.035
Xavier Robinson4923344.840
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Bauer Sharp (Tr)4232427.743
Javian Hester14315122.590
Deion Burks (Tr)3124537.920
Jacob Jordan2723418.727

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Zac Alley (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Danny Stutsman1108130
Robert Spears-Jennings665301
Kip Lewis634011
Billy Bowman553013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
R Mason Thomas23139111
Gracen Halton306530
Ethan Downs299322
Robert Spears-Jennings665301
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kani Walker242006
Eli Bowen292004
Billy Bowman553013

MIZ's OC Kirby Moore (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brady Cook20032063%25251127.9
Drew Pyne (Tr)498260%391334.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Noel (Tr)16381835.064
Marcus Carroll (Tr)140595124.335
Brady Cook8722352.631
Jamal Roberts5321634.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Theo Wease60884414.770
Luther Burden III60666611.144
Marquis Johnson25352114.149
Brett Norfleet2623529.036

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Corey Batoon (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Corey Flagg Jr.815110
Triston Newson727241
Marvin Burks Jr.662002
Daylan Carnell515006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Walker43131041
Zion Young (Tr)416353
Chris McClellan (Tr)396332
Khalil Jacobs (Tr)123220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daylan Carnell515006
Joseph Charleston442004
Nicholas Deloach Jr.231004