Texas A&M at Auburn - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
Texas A&M -2.5 (47.0) (-135) Open: -2.0
Auburn 43 - Texas A&M: 41 (SEC)

Aggies (8 - 5) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 22 (32 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AUB 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas A&M -2 (SP+ TA&M -7.5)
Projected Score: TA&M: 26 - AUB: 24 (50)
TA&M Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TA&M Travel: 653 miles

Tigers (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (33 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TA&M Players
AUB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas A&M's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Texas A&M vs Notre Dame	-3.0	47.0	L 13 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/7	Texas A&M vs McNeese	-48.5	56.5	W 52 - 10	O	N
Sat 9/14	Texas A&M at Florida	-4.5	47.0	W 33 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Texas A&M vs Bowling Green	-21.0	50.5	W 26 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/28	Texas A&M vs Arkansas	-6.5	50.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/5	Texas A&M vs Missouri	-3.0	47.5	W 41 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Texas A&M at Mississippi State	-21.0	55.5	W 34 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/26	Texas A&M vs LSU	-2.0	54.5	W 38 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Texas A&M at South Carolina	-3.0	43.5	L 20 - 44	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Texas A&M vs New Mexico State	-38.5	54.5	W 38 - 3	U	N
Sat 11/23	Texas A&M at Auburn	-2.5	47.0	L 41 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/30	Texas A&M vs Texas	+4.5	49.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Fri 12/27	Texas A&M vs USC	-3.5	56.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule

Auburn's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Auburn vs Alabama A&M	-48.5	58.5	W 73 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Auburn vs California	-11.5	52.5	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/14	Auburn vs New Mexico	-25.5	58.5	W 45 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Auburn vs Arkansas	-2.5	53.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/28	Auburn vs Oklahoma	-2.0	43.0	L 21 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/5	Auburn at Georgia	+21.0	50.0	L 13 - 31	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Auburn at Missouri	+3.5	49.5	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/26	Auburn at Kentucky	+2.0	43.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Auburn vs Vanderbilt	-7.5	48.0	L 7 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Auburn vs UL Monroe	-24.5	46.0	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Auburn vs Texas A&M	+2.5	47.0	W 43 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Auburn at Alabama	+10.5	50.5	L 14 - 28	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TA&M	#54 (.21)	45% (41)	30.4	46% (38)	3.29 (27)	185	43% (58)	188	3.63 (93)	#67 (.16)	38% (23)	22.2	40% (38)	37% (22)	3.03 (9)	60.7	1	1.3
AUB	#42 (.24)	45% (40)	27.8	48% (21)	3.32 (23)	166	42% (67)	264	3.42 (110)	#21 (.09)	38% (20)	21.3	38% (19)	38% (34)	3.35 (25)	49.3	1.8	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TA&M	#54 (.21)	45% (41)		46% (38)	3.29 (27)	185	43% (58)	188	3.63 (93)	#67 (.16)	38% (23)		40% (38)	37% (22)	3.03 (9)	60.7	1	1.3
AUB	#42 (.24)	45% (40)		48% (21)	3.32 (23)	166	42% (67)	264	3.42 (110)	#21 (.09)	38% (20)		38% (19)	38% (34)	3.35 (25)	49.3	1.8	1.1

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TA&M Offense	13	30.4	32	44.8%	3.63	1	20	372	185	188	4.9	57%	43%	46%	43%	12%	.21
AUB Defense	12	21.3	20.8	37.8%	3.35	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	38%	38%	15%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TA&M Defense	13	22.2	32.8	38.1%	3.03	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	40%	37%	20%	.16
AUB Offense	12	27.8	33.1	44.9%	3.42	1.8	21	430	166	264	5	48%	52%	48%	42%	17%	.24

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas A&M	13	29:13	19.6	45%	41%	6.9	60.7	1	1.3	6.6	1.8	2	38.6
Auburn	12	27:13	20.9	41%	47%	5.8	49.3	1.8	1.1	5.7	2.3	1	27.9

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense	13	57% (21)	46% (38)	37.8	184.5	4.9	26 (36)	.19 (37)	3.29 (27)	73% (68)	7% (12)	0.97 (66)
AUB Defense	12	53% (98)	38% (19)	-	-	-	-	-.02 (7)	2.49 (6)	80% (108)	10% (81)	0.93 (44)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense	13	47% (35)	40% (38)	-	-	-	-	.1 (60)	2.55 (10)	77% (89)	11% (46)	1.11 (117)
AUB Offense	12	48% (85)	48% (21)	33.4	165.7	5	13 (105)	.16 (55)	3.32 (23)	69% (95)	10% (67)	0.92 (89)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense	13	43% (112)	43% (58)	14.6	24.5	187.8	7.7	12.9	16 (87)	9 (48)	.25 (70)	1.6 (72)	30% (48)	34% (43)	.35 (61)	5% (28)	1.9 (112)
AUB Defense	12	47% (42)	38% (34)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.22 (63)	1.7 (104)	35% (19)	28% (34)	.21 (31)	6% (77)	2.1 (85)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense	13	53% (105)	37% (22)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (31)	.22 (62)	1.8 (131)	36% (11)	30% (69)	.37 (94)	8% (2)	2.3 (131)
AUB Offense	12	52% (47)	42% (67)	19.2	30.8	263.9	8.6	13.8	27 (20)	13 (103)	.31 (45)	1.6 (39)	31% (55)	32% (69)	.41 (34)	7% (113)	1.9 (101)

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 12.04 #24
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 18.38 #83
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 6.01 #35
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 59% #5
Texas A&M's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas A&M's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.0 #13
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #19

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 12.04 Auburn: 12.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 17.0 Auburn: 9.5

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 12.735 #27
Auburn's Offense Rating: 23.04 #40
Auburn's Defense Rating: 5.80 #32
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
Auburn's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Auburn's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #63
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas A&M's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Texas A&M 26
Auburn 24

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Auburn 27
Texas A&M 23

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Auburn 29
Texas A&M 26

Total Points: 55

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Auburn's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Texas A&M	16	Auburn	10	Texas A&M -6.5	Auburn	51.5	Under
2024	11/23	Auburn	43	Texas A&M	41	Texas A&M -2.5	Auburn	47.0	Over
2023	09/23	Texas A&M	27	Auburn	10	Texas A&M -9.5	Texas A&M	51.0	Under
2022	11/12	Auburn	13	Texas A&M	10	Auburn -1.5	Auburn	48.0	Under
2021	11/06	Texas A&M	20	Auburn	3	Texas A&M -4.5	Texas A&M	49.5	Under
2020	12/05	Auburn	20	Texas A&M	31	Texas A&M -6.0	Texas A&M	49.0	Over
2019	09/21	Texas A&M	20	Auburn	28	Texas A&M -4	Auburn	48.5	Under
2018	11/03	Auburn	28	Texas A&M	24	Auburn -3.5	Auburn	47.0	Over
2017	11/04	Texas A&M	27	Auburn	42	Auburn -15	NA	51.5	Over
2016	09/17	Auburn	16	Texas A&M	29	Auburn -4	Texas A&M	55.5	Under
2015	11/07	Texas A&M	10	Auburn	26	Texas A&M -8.5	Auburn	58.5	Under
2014	11/08	Auburn	38	Texas A&M	41	Auburn -14.5	Texas A&M	0
2013	10/19	Texas A&M	41	Auburn	45	Texas A&M -12	Auburn	0
2012	10/27	Auburn	21	Texas A&M	63

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Auburn	7	7	4 Overs
Texas A&M	7	5	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 8	5 - 7	4 - 6	1 - 1
Road Teams	8 - 6	7 - 5	1 - 1	6 - 4

(#24) TA&M at (#27) AUB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TA&M	AUB
Power RatePwr	#24	#27
SP+SP+	#13	#33
Perf GradeGrade	#57	#28
OffenseOff	#67	#48
DefenseDef	#58	#20
Spec TeamsST	#100	#55
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#5	#18

Texas A&M Notes(12/28) 0-3 finish. Elko didn't change a thing in yr 1
(11/30) Off pitiful vs Tex, Rgame awful, Run Def mauled
(11/30) Beat LSU and NOTHING else to finish 8-4
(11/24) Def mauled by Aub, comeback fell in 4 OT
(11/5) Lead RB Moss (765 yds) out for season (leg)
(10/27) QB Reed 3 TD rush over LSU, DL was diff in game
(10/19) Off bad vs MSU. Def just OK this week
(10/7) Weigman/Rgame/Def great in rout of Mizzu.
(9/28) Def/Reed just good enough vs Hogs. Run D great
(9/26) Rgame 237 (5.6 ypc) in fight w/ BG. Reed better QB
(9/16) Rgame 310 (5.6 ypc) @ UF. QB Reed adds mobility
(8/31) Wegman awful vs ND (12/30/2 Int). RB? Playmakers?
Texas A&M Injury Report

Auburn Injury Report

Texas A&M on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	TA&M Off	AUB Def
Perf GradePerf	#67	#20
SuccessSuc	#41	#20
ExplosiveExp	#106	#74
PPAPPA	#54	#21
PowerPwr	#83	#32
SP+SP+	#21	#17
Pts POPPO	#93	#25
HavocHav	#13	#79

Texas A&M Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	TA&M Off	AUB Def
Run GameRun	#56	#11
Run SuccessRSuc	#38	#19
Run ExplRExp	#66	#44
PPAExp	#37	#7
Run BlockR Blk	#49	-
OL YdsOLY	#27	#6
Stuff RateStuff	#29	#20
TackleTak	-	#43

Texas A&M Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	TA&M Off	AUB Def
Pass GamePass	#105	#73
Pass SuccessPSuc	#58	#34
Pass ExplPExl	#72	#104
PPAExp	#70	#63
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#47	#29
F7 HavocF7	#12	#81
DB HavocDB	#28	#77

Auburn on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	AUB Off	TA&M Def
Perf GradePerf	#48	#58
SuccessSuc	#40	#23
ExplosiveExp	#71	#131
PPAPPA	#42	#67
PowerPwr	#40	#35
SP+SP+	#63	#19
Pts POPPO	#110	#9
HavocHav	#94	#17

Auburn Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	AUB Off	TA&M Def
Run GameRun	#73	#25
Run SuccessRSuc	#21	#38
Run ExplRExp	#89	#117
PPAExp	#55	#60
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	#23	#10
Stuff RateStuff	#60	#8
TackleTak	-	#115

Auburn Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	AUB Off	TA&M Def
Pass GamePass	#70	#101
Pass SuccessPSuc	#67	#22
Pass ExplPExl	#39	#131
PPAExp	#45	#62
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#61	#29
F7 HavocF7	#67	#46
DB HavocDB	#113	#2

Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 49°

Rematch from Week 13
Texas A&M 2.5 (47.0)
Auburn won vs Texas A&M this year (43-41)

Previous Matchups
Auburn beat Texas A&M last year (43-41)
Texas A&M beat Auburn in 2023 (27-10)
Auburn beat Texas A&M in 2022 (13-10)

TA&M's OC Collin Klein (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Marcel Reed	147	240	61%	1864	15	6	7.8
Conner Weigman	64	114	56%	819	3	5	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Le'Veon Moss	121	765	10	6.3	75
Amari Daniels	139	661	8	4.8	71
Marcel Reed	116	547	7	4.7	31
E.J. Smith (Tr)	54	207	0	3.8	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Noah Thomas	39	574	8	14.7	73
Jabre Barber (Tr)	38	381	2	10.0	58
Jahdae Walker	29	345	2	11.9	40
Tre Watson (Tr)	21	280	1	13.3	33

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC Jay Bateman (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taurean York	83	10	3	2	4
Dalton Brooks	59	6	1	3	2
Marcus Ratcliffe (Tr)	48	4	0	1	0
Scooby Williams (Tr)	43	8	0	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nic Caraway	37	14	4	4	2
Cashius Howell (Tr)	40	9	4	8	7
Taurean York	83	10	3	2	4
Malick Sylla	6	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Will Lee III (Tr)	42	1	0	0	10
Cashius Howell (Tr)	40	9	4	8	7
Albert Regis	36	3	1	2	6

AUB's OC Derrick Nix (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Payton Thorne	199	317	63%	2713	21	9	8.6
Hank Brown	27	43	63%	403	6	3	9.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jarquez Hunter	187	1201	8	6.4	50
Payton Thorne	112	283	2	2.5	31
Damari Alston	52	276	3	5.3	36
Jeremiah Cobb	29	142	0	4.9	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keandre Lambert	50	981	8	19.6	67
Cam Coleman	37	598	8	16.2	63
Malcolm Simmons	40	451	3	11.3	57
Rivaldo Fairweather	31	372	2	12.0	43

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC D. J. Durkin (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dorian Mausi Jr. (Tr)	81	9	3	1	2
Jerrin Thompson (Tr)	65	2	1	0	5
Jalen McLeod	56	14	8	2	1
Keldric Faulk	45	11	7	7	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen McLeod	56	14	8	2	1
Keldric Faulk	45	11	7	7	1
Demarcus Riddick	27	5	3	2	1
Dorian Mausi Jr. (Tr)	81	9	3	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Kayin Lee	32	0	0	7
Jay Crawford	15	0	0	7
Jerrin Thompson (Tr)	65	2	1	5