Texas A&M at Auburn - 2024 Matchup Preview
Texas A&M logo (#10)Texas A&M Aggies at Auburn Tigers(#22)Auburn logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
Texas A&M -2.5 (47.0) (-135)  Open: -2.0
Auburn 43 - Texas A&M: 41  (SEC)

 
Aggies (8 - 5) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 22 (32 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
AUB 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas A&M -2   (SP+ TA&M -7.5)

Projected Score: TA&M: 27 - AUB: 25 (51)
TA&M Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TA&M Travel: 653 miles
Tigers (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (33 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas A&M's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Texas A&M vs Notre Dame-3.047.0L 13 - 23UN
Sat 9/7 Texas A&M vs McNeese-48.556.5W 52 - 10ON
Sat 9/14 Texas A&M at Florida-4.547.0W 33 - 20OY
Sat 9/21 Texas A&M vs Bowling Green-21.050.5W 26 - 20UN
Sat 9/28 Texas A&M vs Arkansas-6.550.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 10/5 Texas A&M vs Missouri-3.047.5W 41 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Texas A&M at Mississippi State-21.055.5W 34 - 24ON
Sat 10/26 Texas A&M vs LSU-2.054.5W 38 - 23OY
Sat 11/2 Texas A&M at South Carolina-3.043.5L 20 - 44ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Texas A&M vs New Mexico State-38.554.5W 38 - 3UN
Sat 11/23 Texas A&M at Auburn-2.547.0L 41 - 43ON
Sat 11/30 Texas A&M vs Texas+4.549.5L 7 - 17UN
Fri 12/27 Texas A&M vs USC-3.556.5L 31 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Auburn's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Auburn vs Alabama A&M-48.558.5W 73 - 3OY
Sat 9/7 Auburn vs California-11.552.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 9/14 Auburn vs New Mexico-25.558.5W 45 - 19OY
Sat 9/21 Auburn vs Arkansas-2.553.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 9/28 Auburn vs Oklahoma-2.043.0L 21 - 27ON
Sat 10/5 Auburn at Georgia+21.050.0L 13 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Auburn at Missouri+3.549.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/26 Auburn at Kentucky+2.043.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/2 Auburn vs Vanderbilt-7.548.0L 7 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Auburn vs UL Monroe-24.546.0W 48 - 14OY
Sat 11/23 Auburn vs Texas A&M+2.547.0W 43 - 41OY
Sat 11/30 Auburn at Alabama+10.550.5L 14 - 28UN

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)30.446% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)22.240% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)27.848% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)21.338% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)46% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)40% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Offense1330.43244.8%3.631203721851884.957%43%46%43%12%.21
AUB Defense1221.320.837.8%3.351.1 - - - - - 53%47%38%38%15%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Defense1322.232.838.1%3.031.3 - - - - - 47%53%40%37%20%.16
AUB Offense1227.833.144.9%3.421.821430166264548%52%48%42%17%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas A&M1329:1319.645%41%6.960.711.36.61.8238.6
Auburn1227:1320.941%47%5.849.31.81.15.72.3127.9
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense1357% (21)46% (38)37.8184.54.926 (36).19 (37)3.29 (27)73% (68)7% (12)0.97 (66)
AUB Defense1253% (98)38% (19) - - - - -.02 (7)2.49 (6)80% (108)10% (81)0.93 (44)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense1347% (35)40% (38) - - - - .1 (60)2.55 (10)77% (89)11% (46)1.11 (117)
AUB Offense1248% (85)48% (21)33.4165.7513 (105).16 (55)3.32 (23)69% (95)10% (67)0.92 (89)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense1343% (112)43% (58)14.624.5187.87.712.916 (87)9 (48).25 (70)1.6 (72)30% (48)34% (43).35 (61)5% (28)1.9 (112)
AUB Defense1247% (42)38% (34) - - - - - - 8 (93).22 (63)1.7 (104)35% (19)28% (34).21 (31)6% (77)2.1 (85)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense1353% (105)37% (22) - - - - - - 13 (31).22 (62)1.8 (131)36% (11)30% (69).37 (94)8% (2)2.3 (131)
AUB Offense1252% (47)42% (67)19.230.8263.98.613.827 (20)13 (103).31 (45)1.6 (39)31% (55)32% (69).41 (34)7% (113)1.9 (101)

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 12.04 #24
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 18.38 #83
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 6.01 #35
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 59% #5
Texas A&M's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas A&M's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.0 #13
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #19

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 12.04   Auburn: 12.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 17.0   Auburn: 9.5




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 12.735 #27
Auburn's Offense Rating: 23.04 #40
Auburn's Defense Rating: 5.80 #32
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
Auburn's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Auburn's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #63
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas A&M's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 27
Auburn 25


Total Points: 51

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Auburn's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Auburn43Texas A&M41AuburnTexas A&M -2.5Auburn47.0Over
202309/23Texas A&M27Auburn10Texas A&MTexas A&M -9.5Texas A&M51.0Under
202211/12Auburn13Texas A&M10AuburnAuburn -1.5Auburn48.0Under
202111/06Texas A&M20Auburn3Texas A&MTexas A&M -4.5Texas A&M49.5Under
202012/05Auburn20Texas A&M31Texas A&MTexas A&M -6.0Texas A&M49.0Over
201909/21Texas A&M20Auburn28AuburnTexas A&M -4Auburn48.5Under
201811/03Auburn28Texas A&M24AuburnAuburn -3.5Auburn47.0Over
201711/04Texas A&M27Auburn42AuburnAuburn -15NA51.5Over
201609/17Auburn16Texas A&M29Texas A&MAuburn -4Texas A&M55.5Under
201511/07Texas A&M10Auburn26AuburnTexas A&M -8.5Auburn58.5Under
201411/08Auburn38Texas A&M41Texas A&MAuburn -14.5Texas A&M0
201310/19Texas A&M41Auburn45AuburnTexas A&M -12Auburn0
201210/27Auburn21Texas A&M63Texas A&M
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn764 Overs
Texas A&M656 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 85 - 64 - 51 - 1
Road Teams8 - 56 - 51 - 15 - 4

(#24) Texas A&M Info
Power Rating: 12.04 #24
Offense Rating: 18.38 #83
Defense Rating: 6.01 #35
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.0 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #19
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 59% #5
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.03 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Great Field Position

Texas A&M has won 1 straight
Texas A&M has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 2 (1 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Texas A&M Notes
(11/30) Off pitiful vs Tex, Rgame awful, Run Def mauled
(11/30) Beat LSU and NOTHING else to finish 8-4
(11/24) Def mauled by Aub, comeback fell in 4 OT
(11/5) Lead RB Moss (765 yds) out for season (leg)
(10/27) QB Reed 3 TD rush over LSU, DL was diff in game
(10/19) Off bad vs MSU. Def just OK this week
(10/7) Weigman/Rgame/Def great in rout of Mizzu.
(9/28) Def/Reed just good enough vs Hogs. Run D great
(9/26) Rgame 237 (5.6 ypc) in fight w/ BG. Reed better QB
(9/16) Rgame 310 (5.6 ypc) @ UF. QB Reed adds mobility

Texas A&M Highlights
Texas A&M has Really Good Running Game (#65)
Texas A&M has a top Offensive Line (#41)
Texas A&M does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#70)

Texas A&M has a really good defense (#36)
Texas A&M defense is really good in red zone (#116)
Texas A&M has a good pass defense (#48)
Texas A&M Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#48)
Texas A&M Defensive Line is very good (#28)
Texas A&M Secondary is very good (#107)
Texas A&M has a great TO Margin (#28)

Texas A&M Deficiencies
Texas A&M Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Texas A&M offense is not Explosive (#30)
Texas A&M gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#124)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatAUBTA&M
OverallOver#21#41
OffenseOff#42#56
DefenseDef#15#42
Special TeamsST#46#83
PassingPass#55#83
RushingRush#52#39
Run BlockRBLK#34#39
Pass BlockPBLK#55#47
Route RunningWR Rt#37#49
TacklingTkl#39#100
Run DefenseR Def#10#19
Pass Rush DefPRush#27#27
Coverage DefCov#59#82

Rematch from Week 13
Texas A&M 2.5 (47.0)
Auburn won vs Texas A&M this year (43-41)

Previous Matchups
Auburn beat Texas A&M last year (43-41)
Texas A&M beat Auburn in 2023 (27-10)
Auburn beat Texas A&M in 2022 (13-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TA&M | AUB
Depth Chart: TA&M | AUB
Rosters: TA&M | AUB
(#27) Auburn Info
Power Rating: 12.735 #27
Offense Rating: 23.04 #40
Defense Rating: 5.80 #32
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.42 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.35 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Auburn has won 1 straight
Auburn has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 4 (4 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Auburn Highlights
Auburn is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Auburn has a top Offensive Line (#21)
Auburn has a really good defense (#16)
Auburn defense is really good in red zone (#63)
Auburn has a good run defense (#3)
Auburn Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#9)
Auburn Defensive Line is very good (#6)

Auburn Deficiencies
Auburn has a bad TO Margin (#11)
Auburn Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Auburn throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Auburn offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#8)


  
Texas A&M's OC Collin Klein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Marcel Reed14724061%18641567.8
Conner Weigman6411456%819357.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Le'Veon Moss121765106.375
Amari Daniels13966184.871
Marcel Reed11654774.731
E.J. Smith (Tr)5420703.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Thomas39574814.773
Jabre Barber (Tr)38381210.058
Jahdae Walker29345211.940
Tre Watson (Tr)21280113.333

View Texas A&M's Full Roster
Texas A&M's DC Jay Bateman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taurean York8310324
Dalton Brooks596132
Marcus Ratcliffe (Tr)484010
Scooby Williams (Tr)438024
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nic Caraway3714442
Cashius Howell (Tr)409487
Taurean York8310324
Malick Sylla63200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Lee III (Tr)4210010
Cashius Howell (Tr)409487
Albert Regis363126

Auburn's OC Derrick Nix
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Payton Thorne19931763%27132198.6
Hank Brown274363%403639.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jarquez Hunter187120186.450
Payton Thorne11228322.531
Damari Alston5227635.336
Jeremiah Cobb2914204.927
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keandre Lambert50981819.667
Cam Coleman37598816.263
Malcolm Simmons40451311.357
Rivaldo Fairweather31372212.043

View Auburn's Full Roster
Auburn's DC D. J. Durkin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dorian Mausi Jr. (Tr)819312
Jerrin Thompson (Tr)652105
Jalen McLeod5614821
Keldric Faulk4511771
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen McLeod5614821
Keldric Faulk4511771
Demarcus Riddick275321
Dorian Mausi Jr. (Tr)819312
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kayin Lee320007
Jay Crawford150007
Jerrin Thompson (Tr)652105