Old Dominion at Georgia Southern - 2023 Matchup Preview

Old Dominion Monarchs at Georgia Southern Eagles

Saturday, November 18th 2023 (6:00 PM EST)
Georgia Southern -4.5 (61.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Old Dominion 20 - Georgia Southern: 17 (Sun Belt)

Monarchs (6 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (10 - 18)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (21 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ODU 2nd straight Road Game
GASO is playing their 6th straight game
ODU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Georgia Southern -5 (SP+ GASO -6)
Projected Score: ODU: 27 - GASO: 32 (60)
GASO Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
ODU Travel: 439 miles

Eagles (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Clay Helton (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 31 (37 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ODU Players
GASO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Old Dominion's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Old Dominion at Virginia Tech	+16.0	48.0	L 17 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/9	Old Dominion vs Louisiana	+6.0	51.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Old Dominion vs Wake Forest	+13.5	60.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Old Dominion vs East Texas A&M	-18.5
Sat 9/30	Old Dominion at Marshall	+14.5	47.0	L 35 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Old Dominion at Southern Miss	+3.0	56.5	W 17 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Old Dominion vs App State	+6.0	56.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Old Dominion at James Madison	+19.5	48.0	L 27 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Old Dominion vs Coastal Carolina	+1.0	51.0	L 24 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/11	Old Dominion at Liberty	+13.5	58.5	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/18	Old Dominion at Georgia Southern	+4.5	61.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Old Dominion vs Georgia State	-2.0	49.5	W 25 - 24	U	N
Mon 12/18	Old Dominion vs Western Kentucky	-4.0	49.0	L 35 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule

Georgia Southern's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Georgia Southern vs The Citadel	-34.0	53.5	W 34 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia Southern vs UAB	-7.0	63.0	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Georgia Southern at Wisconsin	+20.5	65.5	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia Southern at Ball State	-6.0	60.0	W 40 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina	-6.0	67.5	W 38 - 28	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Georgia Southern at James Madison	+5.5	60.0	L 13 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/21	Georgia Southern vs UL Monroe	-16.5	60.5	W 38 - 28	O	N
Thu 10/26	Georgia Southern vs Georgia State	+1.0	63.0	W 44 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia Southern at Texas State	-2.0	69.0	L 24 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia Southern at Marshall	-1.5	56.5	L 33 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/18	Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion	-4.5	61.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/25	Georgia Southern at App State	+7.5	62.5	L 27 - 55	O	N
Sat 12/16	Georgia Southern vs Ohio	-1.5	48.5	L 21 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ODU	#102 (.13)	38% (109)	23.8	41% (92)	3.08 (76)	154	37% (107)	195	3.14 (117)	#30 (.13)	44% (100)	27.2	42% (60)	47% (124)	3.49 (46)	60.6	1.4	1.6
GASO	#55 (.21)	45% (32)	30.2	48% (21)	3.13 (64)	117	45% (40)	302	3.64 (88)	#118 (.27)	45% (107)	30.5	45% (94)	45% (115)	4.45 (123)	51.8	2.4	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ODU	#47 (.22)	42% (71)		45% (55)	3.24 (34)	211	40% (89)	193	4.75 (6)	#71 (.17)	39% (33)		38% (22)	40% (64)	3.64 (50)	54.2	1.7	1.4
GASO	#68 (.19)	43% (65)		46% (44)	2.84 (101)	128	40% (85)	238	4.57 (17)	#105 (.23)	45% (108)		47% (109)	44% (102)	3.81 (71)	48.3	1.7	1.5

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ODU Offense	13	23.8	21	38.5%	3.14	1.4	17	348	154	195	4.2	50%	49%	41%	37%	20%	.13
GASO Defense	13	30.5	23	44.9%	4.45	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	45%	45%	22%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ODU Defense	13	27.2	29.2	44.1%	3.49	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	42%	47%	17%	.13
GASO Offense	13	30.2	36.7	45.3%	3.64	2.4	23	419	117	302	4	35%	64%	48%	45%	17%	.21

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Old Dominion	13	24:49	16.5	37%	27%	6.5	60.6	1.4	1.6	6.1	1.5	2	29.1
Georgia Southern	13	31:06	23.1	46%	59%	5.8	51.8	2.4	1.6	7	1.8	4	30.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ODU Offense	13	50% (70)	41% (92)	36.5	153.5	4.2	15 (100)	.17 (58)	3.08 (76)	62% (127)	15% (131)	1.18 (4)
GASO Defense	13	49% (55)	45% (94)	-	-	-	-	.25 (122)	3.16 (85)	72% (59)	14% (7)	1.13 (116)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ODU Defense	13	52% (98)	42% (60)	-	-	-	-	-.01 (11)	2.81 (22)	70% (50)	11% (56)	0.73 (2)
GASO Offense	13	35% (130)	48% (21)	29	117.1	4	16 (89)	.23 (25)	3.13 (64)	78% (35)	10% (63)	1.05 (41)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ODU Offense	13	49% (68)	37% (107)	15.7	27.8	194.8	7	12.4	20 (70)	11 (68)	.15 (112)	1.7 (39)	35% (119)	31% (70)	.3 (79)	5% (37)	2.2 (33)
GASO Defense	13	50% (81)	45% (115)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.3 (89)	1.5 (32)	31% (96)	35% (120)	.49 (127)	9% (5)	2.1 (81)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ODU Defense	13	47% (38)	47% (124)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.31 (93)	1.5 (39)	28% (126)	30% (71)	.24 (36)	6% (70)	2.1 (76)
GASO Offense	13	64% (4)	45% (40)	28.9	44.4	302.2	6.8	10.5	26 (31)	20 (133)	.26 (74)	1.4 (131)	30% (41)	34% (35)	.41 (42)	8% (114)	2.1 (62)

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: -7.26 #102
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 11.50 #114
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 8.69 #56
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Old Dominion's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Old Dominion's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #97
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #92

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -7.26 Georgia Southern: -3.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -10.2 Georgia Southern: -4.4

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -3.8 #109
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 16.14 #69
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 13.87 #111
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #68
Georgia Southern's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
Georgia Southern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #120

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.2

Old Dominion's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Southern 32
Old Dominion 27

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia Southern 35
Old Dominion 26

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Georgia Southern 31
Old Dominion 25

Total Points: 56

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

Georgia Southern's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Georgia Southern	10	Old Dominion	45	Old Dominion -10.0	Old Dominion	62.0	Under
2024	10/24	Old Dominion	47	Georgia Southern	19	Georgia Southern -1.0	Old Dominion	52.0	Over
2023	11/18	Georgia Southern	17	Old Dominion	20	Georgia Southern -4.5	Old Dominion	61.5	Under
2022	10/22	Old Dominion	23	Georgia Southern	28	Old Dominion -1.5	Georgia Southern	66.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Southern	1	1	1 Overs
Old Dominion	3	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 3	1 - 3	0 - 2	1 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 1	3 - 1	1 - 1	2 - 0

(#102) ODU at (#109) GASO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ODU	GASO
Power RatePwr	#102	#109
SP+SP+	#105	#80
Perf GradeGrade	#107	#75
OffenseOff	#131	#76
DefenseDef	#35	#81
Spec TeamsST	#101	#48
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#68

Old Dominion Injury Report

Georgia Southern Injury Report

Old Dominion on Offense


CategoryCat	ODU Off	GASO Def
Perf GradePerf	#131	#81
SuccessSuc	#109	#107
ExplosiveExp	#9	#83
PPAPPA	#102	#118
PowerPwr	#114	#111
SP+SP+	#97	#120
Pts POPPO	#117	#123
HavocHav	#122	#4

Old Dominion Run Game


CategoryCat	ODU Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	#67	#66
Run SuccessRSuc	#92	#94
Run ExplRExp	#4	#116
PPAExp	#58	#122
Run BlockR Blk	#128	-
OL YdsOLY	#76	#85
Stuff RateStuff	#105	#61
TackleTak	-	#48

Old Dominion Pass Game


CategoryCat	ODU Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	#97	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	#107	#115
Pass ExplPExl	#39	#32
PPAExp	#112	#89
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#125	#105
F7 HavocF7	#131	#7
DB HavocDB	#37	#5

Georgia Southern on Offense


CategoryCat	GASO Off	ODU Def
Perf GradePerf	#76	#35
SuccessSuc	#32	#100
ExplosiveExp	#95	#4
PPAPPA	#55	#30
PowerPwr	#69	#56
SP+SP+	#40	#92
Pts POPPO	#88	#46
HavocHav	#91	#56

Georgia Southern Run Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	ODU Def
Run GameRun	#64	#9
Run SuccessRSuc	#21	#60
Run ExplRExp	#41	#2
PPAExp	#25	#11
Run BlockR Blk	#106	-
OL YdsOLY	#64	#22
Stuff RateStuff	#106	#42
TackleTak	-	#9

Georgia Southern Pass Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	ODU Def
Pass GamePass	#59	#59
Pass SuccessPSuc	#40	#124
Pass ExplPExl	#131	#39
PPAExp	#74	#93
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#34	#129
F7 HavocF7	#63	#56
DB HavocDB	#114	#70

Program Comparison
GASO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

ODU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paulson Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 64°

Rematch from Week 12
Georgia Southern -4.5 (61.5)
Old Dominion won at Georgia Southern this year (20-17)

Previous Matchups
Old Dominion beat Georgia Southern last year (47-19)
Old Dominion beat Georgia Southern in 2023 (20-17)
Georgia Southern beat Old Dominion in 2022 (28-23)

ODU's OC Kevin Decker (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Grant Wilson	178	312	57%	2149	17	8	6.9
Jack Shields	25	47	53%	353	2	3	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kadarius Calloway	88	623	5	7.1	75
Keshawn Wicks	120	588	4	4.9	36
Grant Wilson	130	292	4	2.2	79
Obasanjo Sanni	57	248	1	4.4	67

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Reymello Murphy	28	502	3	17.9	61
Kelby Williams	26	451	2	17.3	78
Isiah Paige	43	445	2	10.3	42
Javon Harvey	29	391	4	13.5	68

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

ODU's DC Blake Seiler (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jason Henderson	165	19	5	5	0
Wayne Matthews III	135	10	4	0	3
Terry Jones	104	4	0	3	4
Shawn Asbury II	95	6	0	3	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jason Henderson	165	19	5	5	0
Wayne Matthews III	135	10	4	0	3
Denzel Lowry	46	5	3	1	1
Mario Thompson	43	6	2	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Rasheed Reason	34	3	0	7
Lamareon James	60	1	0	7
Nolan Johnson	38	1	1	6

GASO's OC Bryan Ellis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Davis Brin (Tr)	362	552	66%	3781	24	19	6.8
JC French (Tr)	13	16	81%	122	1	1	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen White	160	889	9	5.6	45
OJ Arnold	75	411	4	5.5	39
David Mbadinga	22	112	2	5.1	29
Dalen Cobb	7	51	0	7.3	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Khaleb Hood	101	948	5	9.4	43
Derwin Burgess Jr.	74	813	6	11.0	68
Dalen Cobb	40	601	2	15.0	76
Jjay Mcafee	37	378	4	10.2	32

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC Brandon Bailey (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marques Watson-Trent	116	13	4	2	2
Tyrell Davis	65	5	0	0	3
Khadry Jackson	57	6	1	2	2
Marc Stampley II	56	3	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Walker	24	9	6	3	7
Elhadj Fall	19	5	4	1	1
Marques Watson-Trent	116	13	4	2	2
Da'Shawn Davis	25	8	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shemar Bartholomew	38	3	0	0	14
Damel Hickman (Tr)	36	2	0	1	7
Isaac Walker	24	9	6	3	7