Florida Atlantic at UAB - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (3:00 PM EDT)
UAB -1 (59.5) (-112) Open: -2.5
UAB 45 - Florida Atlantic: 42 (American Athletic)

Owls (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Tom Herman (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (22 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FAU 2nd straight Road Game
UAB coming off BYE
FAU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Florida Atlantic -1 (SP+ FAU -5.5)
Projected Score: FAU: 31 - UAB: 30 (62)
UAB Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
FAU Travel: 636 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Blazers (4 - 8) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Trent Dilfer (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 26 - 38 (28 - 38 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FAU Players
UAB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Florida Atlantic vs Monmouth	-26.5	56.0	W 42 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/9	Florida Atlantic vs Ohio	-3.5	61.5	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Florida Atlantic at Clemson	+25.0	51.5	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/23	Florida Atlantic at Illinois	+16.0	45.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa	-3.0	54.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/14	Florida Atlantic at South Florida	+3.0	61.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Florida Atlantic vs UTSA	+2.5	58.5	L 10 - 36	U	N
Fri 10/27	Florida Atlantic at Charlotte	-3.5	45.5	W 38 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Florida Atlantic at UAB	+1.0	59.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/11	Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina	-7.5	44.5	L 7 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Florida Atlantic vs Tulane	+9.5	46.5	L 8 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/25	Florida Atlantic at Rice	+5.0	46.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

UAB's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	UAB vs North Carolina A&T	-24.5	46.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UAB at Georgia Southern	+7.0	63.0	L 35 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/16	UAB vs Louisiana	-2.0	60.0	L 21 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/23	UAB at Georgia	+40.0	56.0	L 21 - 49	O	Y
Sat 9/30	UAB at Tulane	+22.5	59.5	L 23 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/7	UAB vs South Florida	+3.5	68.5	W 56 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/14	UAB at UTSA	+9.0	67.0	L 20 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/21	UAB vs Memphis	+7.5	61.5	L 21 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	UAB vs Florida Atlantic	-1.0	59.5	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/11	UAB at Navy	-3.5	52.5	L 6 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/18	UAB vs Temple	-8.0	61.5	W 34 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UAB at North Texas	+3.0	72.5	L 42 - 45	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	.26	45%	29.5	47%	3.29	184	44%	226	4.16	.24	45%	36.3	44%	47%	4.08	58	1.1	1.9
UAB	.32	46%	26.4	48%	3.33	235	44%	203	4.05	.17	43%	38.3	48%	40%	3.25	60.5	1.4	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UAB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Offense	12	29.5	21.8	45.1%	4.16	1.1	22	410	184	226	4.5	52%	47%	47%	44%	16%	.26
UAB Defense	13	38.3	37.7	43.4%	3.25	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	48%	40%	17%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Defense	12	36.3	37.2	45.2%	4.08	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	47%	18%	.24
UAB Offense	13	26.4	28.2	46%	4.05	1.4	21	438	235	203	5.8	60%	40%	48%	44%	16%	.32

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic	12	28:50	22	43%	57%	6.2	58	1.1	1.9	4.3	1.6	3	28.3
UAB	13	31:55	21.2	45%	48%	7	60.5	1.4	1.5	4.7	1.9	3	29.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Offense	12	52%	47%	41	184.2	4.5	19	.22	3.29	61%	9%	1
UAB Defense	13	49%	48%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.31	78%	9%	1.03

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Defense	12	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.19	74%	10%	1.04
UAB Offense	13	60%	48%	40.6	235.1	5.8	32	.3	3.33	73%	11%	1.15

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Offense	12	47%	44%	18.1	31.5	226.3	7.2	12.5	25	5	.33	1.7	30%	36%	.52	6%	2.2
UAB Defense	13	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.12	1.5	30%	29%	.14	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Defense	12	50%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.33	1.6	30%	39%	.52	9%	2.1
UAB Offense	13	40%	44%	14.9	24.7	203.2	8.2	13.6	15	7	.41	1.8	31%	35%	.45	4%	2.3

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -4.02 #87
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 11.82 #112
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 9.58 #67
2023 Talent Rating: 582.59 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #108
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -4.02 UAB: -8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -9.9 UAB: -15.2

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -8 #96
UAB's Offense Rating: 23.13 #18
UAB's Defense Rating: 17.37 #126
2023 Talent Rating: 473.46 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UAB's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
UAB's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.2

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Florida Atlantic 31
UAB 30

Projected Total Points: 62

UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.7

UAB's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Florida Atlantic	53	UAB	33	Florida Atlantic -4.5	Florida Atlantic	66.5	Over
2023	11/04	UAB	45	Florida Atlantic	42	UAB -1	UAB	59.5	Over
2022	10/29	Florida Atlantic	24	UAB	17	UAB -5	Florida Atlantic	45.0	Under
2021	10/09	UAB	31	Florida Atlantic	14	UAB -3.5	UAB	48.5	Under
2019	12/07	Florida Atlantic	49	UAB	6	Florida Atlantic -8.0	Florida Atlantic	49.5	Over
2014	11/01	Florida Atlantic	28	UAB	31	Florida Atlantic -4.5	UAB	0
2013	10/05	UAB	23	Florida Atlantic	37	UAB -7	Florida Atlantic	0
2011	11/26	Florida Atlantic	38	UAB	35
2010	09/02	UAB	31	Florida Atlantic	32
2009	11/07	UAB	56	Florida Atlantic	29
2008	09/06	Florida Atlantic	49	UAB	34

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UAB	4	3	3 Overs
Florida Atlantic	7	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 3	5 - 2	4 - 2	1 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 8	2 - 5	0 - 1	2 - 4

(#87) FAU at (#96) UAB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FAU	UAB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#87	#96
SP+SP+	#104	#118
Perf GradeGrade	#79	#87
OffenseOff	#92	#57
DefenseDef	#60	#101
Spec TeamsST	#81	#131
TalentTal	#71	#98
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Florida Atlantic Injury Report

UAB Injury Report

Florida Atlantic on Offense


CategoryCat	FAU Off	UAB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#92	#101
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#112	#126
SP+SP+	#108	#132
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Run Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	UAB Def
Run GameRun	#113	#108
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#88	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#69

Florida Atlantic Pass Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	UAB Def
Pass GamePass	#42	#104
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#53	#33
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UAB on Offense


CategoryCat	UAB Off	FAU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#57	#60
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#18	#67
SP+SP+	#65	#80
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UAB Run Game


CategoryCat	UAB Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	#21	#62
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#64	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#27

UAB Pass Game


CategoryCat	UAB Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	#81	#71
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#48	#102
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UAB 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

FAU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Protective Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
UAB -1.0 (59.5)
UAB won vs Florida Atlantic this year (45-42)

Previous Matchups
Florida Atlantic beat UAB last year (53-33)
UAB beat Florida Atlantic in 2023 (45-42)

FAU's OC Charlie Frye (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Daniel Richardson (Tr)	208	318	65%	2001	13	10	6.3
Casey Thompson (Tr)	50	79	63%	509	5	5	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Larry McCammon III	149	681	5	4.6	40
Kobe Lewis (Tr)	84	406	3	4.8	75
Michael Johnson Jr.	23	140	7	6.1	27
Zuberi Mobley	22	62	0	2.8	11

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LaJohntay Wester	108	1168	8	10.8	76
Tony Johnson	36	406	4	11.3	72
Je'Quan Burton	24	277	2	11.5	39
Larry McCammon III	25	205	0	8.2	55

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Roc Bellantoni (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Ambush	82	7	1	1	0
Jarron Morris (Tr)	73	6	0	0	6
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)	61	5	3	0	2
Darius McClendon	60	5	0	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Decarius Hawthorne	17	7	5	4	0
Marlon Bradley	21	4	3	2	0
Courtney McBride	21	7	3	2	1
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)	61	5	3	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jarron Morris (Tr)	73	6	6
Daedae Hill	33	1	4
Romain Mungin	32	2	3

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jacob Zeno	279	379	74%	3126	20	9	8.2
Landy Lyddy	14	22	64%	121	1	3	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jermaine Brown Jr.	158	803	12	5.1	40
Lee Beebe	52	360	4	6.9	66
Isaiah Jacobs	55	249	3	4.5	26
Jacob Zeno	91	168	4	1.8	44

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tejhaun Palmer	47	858	7	18.3	80
Amare Thomas	53	437	3	8.2	49
Jermaine Brown Jr.	41	416	1	10.1	55
Fred Farrier II	18	266	1	14.8	67

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Sione Ta'ufo'ou (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keondre Swoopes	72	0	0	0	1
Jackson Bratton	70	5	2	3	1
Michael Moore	62	6	1	3	1
Ike Rowell	54	0	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Desmond Little	30	8	6	3	2
Kevin Penn	43	5	4	4	0
Michael Fairbanks II	23	5	4	3	0
Nikia Eason Jr.	26	4	4	6	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Brian Mayes	41	1	10
Colby Dempsey	37	1	9
Mac McWilliams	52	2	8