UTSA at Florida Atlantic - 2023 Matchup Preview
UTSA logo UTSA Roadrunners at Florida Atlantic OwlsFlorida Atlantic logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
UT San Antonio -2.5 (58.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
UTSA 36 - Florida Atlantic: 10  (American Athletic)

 
Roadrunners (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (31 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 24 (28 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#32)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: UTSA -7.5   (SP+ UTSA -14)
Projected Score: UTSA: 31 - FAU: 23 (54)
UTSA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UTSA Travel: 1140 miles, 1 hrs behind
Owls (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Tom Herman (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (16 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UTSA's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 UTSA at Houston-2.559.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 9/9 UTSA vs Texas State-13.566.5W 20 - 13UN
Fri 9/15 UTSA vs Army-7.042.0L 29 - 37ON
Sat 9/23 UTSA at Tennessee+24.059.0L 14 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 UTSA at Temple-14.056.0W 49 - 34OY
Sat 10/14 UTSA vs UAB-9.067.0W 41 - 20UY
Sat 10/21 UTSA at Florida Atlantic-2.558.5W 36 - 10UY
Sat 10/28 UTSA vs East Carolina-17.548.0W 41 - 27ON
Sat 11/4 UTSA at North Texas-7.571.0W 37 - 29UY
Sat 11/11 UTSA vs Rice-13.553.5W 34 - 14UY
Fri 11/17 UTSA vs South Florida-14.565.5W 49 - 21OY
Fri 11/24 UTSA at Tulane+2.551.5L 16 - 29UN
Tue 12/19 UTSA vs Marshall-7.047.0W 35 - 17OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Florida Atlantic vs Monmouth-26.556.0W 42 - 20ON
Sat 9/9 Florida Atlantic vs Ohio-3.561.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 Florida Atlantic at Clemson+25.051.5L 14 - 48ON
Sat 9/23 Florida Atlantic at Illinois+16.045.5L 17 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa-3.054.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 10/14 Florida Atlantic at South Florida+3.061.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 10/21 Florida Atlantic vs UTSA+2.558.5L 10 - 36UN
Fri 10/27 Florida Atlantic at Charlotte-3.545.5W 38 - 16OY
Sat 11/4 Florida Atlantic at UAB+1.059.5L 42 - 45ON
Sat 11/11 Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina-7.544.5L 7 - 22UN
Sat 11/18 Florida Atlantic vs Tulane+9.546.5L 8 - 24UN
Sat 11/25 Florida Atlantic at Rice+5.046.5L 21 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#45 (.23)42% (66)31.941% (89)3 (88)17244% (49)2504.45 (24)#35 (.14)37% (21)24.138% (26)38% (25)3.77 (65)51.21.71.3
FAU#108 (.12)39% (107)23.843% (73)3.33 (26)11537% (104)2163.72 (83)#77 (.19)43% (85)25.541% (51)46% (122)3.44 (39)33.31.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6
FAU#80 (.17)39% (108)40% (107)3.15 (48)18939% (99)2093.19 (122)#90 (.21)41% (54)43% (72)38% (39)3.72 (62)51.61.51.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense1331.927.742.2%4.451.7234221722504.351%49%41%44%15%.23
FAU Defense1225.522.743.2%3.441.5 - - - - - 51%48%41%46%15%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense1324.127.337.4%3.771.3 - - - - - 47%52%38%38%20%.14
FAU Offense1223.816.239.1%3.721.4183311152163.843%55%43%37%20%.12

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA1330:0822.647%58%5.651.21.71.37.63.5129
Florida Atlantic1227:2417.934%38%3.433.31.41.56.92.3331.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense1351% (62)41% (89)39.7171.84.327 (29).18 (48)3 (88)81% (14)9% (45)1.13 (13)
FAU Defense1251% (84)41% (51) - - - - .08 (30)3.26 (102)76% (92)11% (52)0.81 (7)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense1347% (27)38% (26) - - - - .12 (52)2.86 (27)83% (114)12% (14)1.14 (118)
FAU Offense1243% (109)43% (73)30.8115.33.816 (89).16 (67)3.33 (26)72% (85)12% (113)1.01 (59)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense1349% (72)44% (49)22.334.3249.87.311.225 (37)14 (107).31 (58)1.6 (60)32% (71)35% (27).46 (28)6% (64)2.2 (35)
FAU Defense1248% (49)46% (122) - - - - - - 10 (67).36 (111)1.6 (57)34% (42)32% (97).34 (81)4% (125)1.9 (33)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense1352% (101)38% (25) - - - - - - 10 (67).23 (44)1.6 (70)35% (28)24% (6).18 (13)8% (11)2.4 (130)
FAU Offense1255% (27)37% (104)22.134.3215.56.39.819 (78)15 (116).16 (105)1.5 (106)34% (110)24% (125).11 (125)8% (125)2 (102)

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 1.44 #55
UTSA's Offense Rating: 18.48 #51
UTSA's Defense Rating: 7.49 #43
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UTSA's 2023 Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40
UTSA's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.2 #49
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 1.44   Florida Atlantic: -4.46

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 4.2   Florida Atlantic: -9.9




Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -4.46 #87
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 11.82 #112
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 9.58 #67
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #108
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.7
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.3

UTSA's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 31
Florida Atlantic 23


Total Points: 54

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 16.2
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19UTSA38Florida Atlantic24UTSAUTSA -4UTSA52.5Over
202310/21Florida Atlantic10UTSA36UTSAUT San Antonio -2.5UTSA58.5Under
202010/31Florida Atlantic24UTSA3Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic -4.5Florida Atlantic47.0Under
201911/23UTSA26Florida Atlantic40Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic -21.5UTSA57.0Over
201409/27Florida Atlantic41UTSA37Florida AtlanticUT San Antonio -4Florida Atlantic0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida Atlantic322 Overs
UTSA232 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 24 - 12 - 02 - 1
Road Teams2 - 31 - 41 - 20 - 2

(#55) UTSA Info
Power Rating: 1.44 #55
Offense Rating: 18.48 #51
Defense Rating: 7.49 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.2 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40


UTSA has won 2 straight
UTSA has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

UTSA Highlights
UTSA offense is explosive (#11)
UTSA offense is good in red zone (#37)
UTSA offense is good on 3rd downs
UTSA Defense Sacks the QB a lot

UTSA has a really good defense (#77)
UTSA has a good run defense (#54)
UTSA has a good pass defense (#101)
UTSA Defensive Line is very good (#19)
UTSA Front 7 is disruptive (#74)
UTSA Secondary is very good (#41)

UTSA Deficiencies
UTSA has a bad TO Margin (#1)
UTSA throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
UTSA gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#130)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatFAUUTSA
OverallOver#64#52
OffenseOff#80#49
DefenseDef#51#58
Special TeamsST#65#98
PassingPass#32#57
RushingRush#81#27
Run BlockRBLK#66#64
Pass BlockPBLK#46#90
Route RunningWR Rt#83#24
TacklingTkl#25#83
Run DefenseR Def#54#49
Pass Rush DefPRush#79#21
Coverage DefCov#56#91

Rematch from Week 8
UTSA 2.5 (58.5)
UTSA won at Florida Atlantic this year (36-10)

Previous Matchups
UTSA beat Florida Atlantic last year (38-24)
UTSA beat Florida Atlantic in 2023 (36-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UTSA | FAU
Depth Chart: UTSA | FAU
Rosters: UTSA | FAU
(#87) Florida Atlantic Info
Power Rating: -4.46 #87
Offense Rating: 11.82 #112
Defense Rating: 9.58 #67
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #80
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10


Florida Atlantic has won 2 straight
Florida Atlantic has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (0 - 5 - 1 vs Spread)

Florida Atlantic Highlights
Florida Atlantic has a top Offensive Line (#109)
Florida Atlantic does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#48)

Florida Atlantic defense does not give up big plays (#104)
Florida Atlantic commits very few Penalties (#91)

Florida Atlantic Deficiencies
Florida Atlantic has a really bad Offense at Home
Florida Atlantic Can Not Run the Ball (#93)
Florida Atlantic throws a Lot of Interceptions (#136)
Florida Atlantic offense is really bad (#62)
Florida Atlantic pass game is really bad (#72)
Florida Atlantic offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Florida Atlantic Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)
Florida Atlantic has a bad defensive line (#10)


  
UTSA's OC Justin Burke
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Frank Harris21833665%25061887.5
Owen McCown (Tr)435874%442437.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevorian Barnes14771564.944
Robert Henry127588114.643
Rocko Griffin (Tr)9148365.369
Frank Harris8632343.840
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Joshua Cephus8911511012.984
Tykee Ogle-Kellogg33575717.446
Devin Mccuin42546313.072
Oscar Cardenas3228028.828

View UTSA's Full Roster
UTSA's DC Jess Loepp
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ken Robinson652014
Jamal Ligon627151
Martavius French615243
Rashad Wisdom612204
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Moore45181433
Brandon Matterson146550
Jimmori Robinson40115102
Nick Booker-Brown187313
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameryn Alexander (Tr)3421115
Nicktroy Fortune261029
Ken Robinson652014

Florida Atlantic's OC Charlie Frye
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Daniel Richardson (Tr)20831865%200113106.3
Casey Thompson (Tr)507963%509556.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Larry McCammon III14968154.640
Kobe Lewis (Tr)8440634.875
Michael Johnson Jr.2314076.127
Zuberi Mobley226202.811
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
LaJohntay Wester1081168810.876
Tony Johnson36406411.372
Je'Quan Burton24277211.539
Larry McCammon III2520508.255

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster
Florida Atlantic's DC Roc Bellantoni
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Ambush827110
Jarron Morris (Tr)736006
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)615302
Darius McClendon605012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Decarius Hawthorne177540
Marlon Bradley214320
Courtney McBride217321
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)615302
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jarron Morris (Tr)736006
Daedae Hill331004
Romain Mungin322003