UTSA at Florida Atlantic Game Matchup

UTSA Roadrunners at Florida Atlantic Owls

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
UT San Antonio -2.5 (58.5) (0) Open: 0.0
UTSA 36 - Florida Atlantic: 10 (American Athletic)

Roadrunners (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (31 - 12)
Avg Score : 33 - 30 (22 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#32)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: UTSA -7.5 (SP+ UTSA -14)
Projected Score: UTSA: 33 - FAU: 26 (60)
UTSA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UTSA Travel: 1140 miles, 1 hrs behind

Owls (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Tom Herman (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 26 - 30 (29 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UTSA Players
FAU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UTSA's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UTSA at Houston	-2.5	59.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/9	UTSA vs Texas State	-13.5	66.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
Fri 9/15	UTSA vs Army	-7.0	42.0	L 29 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/23	UTSA at Tennessee	+24.0	59.0	L 14 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	UTSA at Temple	-14.0	56.0	W 49 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/14	UTSA vs UAB	-9.0	67.0	W 41 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/21	UTSA at Florida Atlantic	-2.5	58.5	W 36 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/28	UTSA vs East Carolina	-17.5	48.0	W 41 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/4	UTSA at North Texas	-7.5	71.0	W 37 - 29	U	Y
Sat 11/11	UTSA vs Rice	-13.5	53.5	W 34 - 14	U	Y
Fri 11/17	UTSA vs South Florida	-14.5	65.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Fri 11/24	UTSA at Tulane	+2.5	51.5	L 16 - 29	U	N
Tue 12/19	UTSA vs Marshall	-7.0	47.0	W 35 - 17	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Florida Atlantic vs Monmouth	-26.5	56.0	W 42 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/9	Florida Atlantic vs Ohio	-3.5	61.5	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Florida Atlantic at Clemson	+25.0	51.5	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/23	Florida Atlantic at Illinois	+16.0	45.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa	-3.0	54.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/14	Florida Atlantic at South Florida	+3.0	61.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Florida Atlantic vs UTSA	+2.5	58.5	L 10 - 36	U	N
Fri 10/27	Florida Atlantic at Charlotte	-3.5	45.5	W 38 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Florida Atlantic at UAB	+1.0	59.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/11	Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina	-7.5	44.5	L 7 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Florida Atlantic vs Tulane	+9.5	46.5	L 8 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/25	Florida Atlantic at Rice	+5.0	46.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA	.31	49%	33.2	46%	3.41	176	53%	300	4.28	.16	36%	30.1	34%	38%	3.18	62.6	1.4	1.7
FAU	.26	45%	25.9	47%	3.29	184	44%	226	4.16	.24	45%	30.3	44%	47%	4.08	58	1.1	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FAU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Offense	14	33.2	22.2	49.3%	4.28	1.4	26	476	176	300	4.5	48%	52%	46%	53%	14%	.31
FAU Defense	12	30.3	29.7	45.2%	4.08	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	47%	18%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Defense	14	30.1	39.8	35.8%	3.18	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	34%	38%	21%	.16
FAU Offense	12	25.9	28.5	45.1%	4.16	1.1	22	410	184	226	4.5	52%	47%	47%	44%	16%	.26

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UTSA	14	29:44	25.9	49%	48%	7.1	62.6	1.4	1.7	6.4	1.8	2	30.6
Florida Atlantic	12	28:50	22	43%	57%	6.2	58	1.1	1.9	4.3	1.6	3	28.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense	14	48%	46%	38.8	175.6	4.5	28	.21	3.41	75%	9%	0.99
FAU Defense	12	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.19	74%	10%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense	14	48%	34%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.65	67%	12%	1.24
FAU Offense	12	52%	47%	41	184.2	4.5	19	.22	3.29	61%	9%	1

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense	14	52%	53%	24.4	35.9	300.4	8.4	12.3	34	9	.44	1.5	27%	38%	.49	6%	2
FAU Defense	12	50%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.33	1.6	30%	39%	.52	9%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense	14	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.25	1.7	36%	28%	.31	8%	2.3
FAU Offense	12	47%	44%	18.1	31.5	226.3	7.2	12.5	25	5	.33	1.7	30%	36%	.52	6%	2.2

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 1.44 #55
UTSA's Offense Rating: 18.48 #51
UTSA's Defense Rating: 7.49 #43
2023 Talent Rating: 420.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UTSA's 2023 Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40
UTSA's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.2 #49
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 1.44 Florida Atlantic: -4.46

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 4.2 Florida Atlantic: -9.9

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -4.46 #87
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 11.82 #112
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 9.58 #67
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #108
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

UTSA Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 30.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.8

UTSA's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
UTSA 33
Florida Atlantic 26

Projected Total Points: 60

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	UTSA	38	Florida Atlantic	24	UTSA	UTSA -4	UTSA	52.5	Over
2023	10/21	Florida Atlantic	10	UTSA	36	UTSA	UT San Antonio -2.5	UTSA	58.5	Under
2020	10/31	Florida Atlantic	24	UTSA	3	Florida Atlantic	Florida Atlantic -4.5	Florida Atlantic	47.0	Under
2019	11/23	UTSA	26	Florida Atlantic	40	Florida Atlantic	Florida Atlantic -21.5	UTSA	57.0	Over
2014	09/27	Florida Atlantic	41	UTSA	37	Florida Atlantic	UT San Antonio -4	Florida Atlantic	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida Atlantic	3	2	2 Overs
UTSA	2	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	4 - 1	2 - 0	2 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 3	1 - 4	1 - 2	0 - 2

(#55) UTSA Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.44 #55
Offense Rating: 18.48 #51
Defense Rating: 7.49 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.2 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 420.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40

Team Profile

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UTSA Ratings Matchup Florida Atlantic

Power #55

#87

Off #51

#112

Def #43

#67

Talent #109

#98

SP+ #49

#104

SP+ Off #42

#108

SP+ Def #75

#80

Rematch from Week 8
UTSA 2.5 (58.5)
UTSA won at Florida Atlantic this year (36-10)

Previous Matchups
UTSA beat Florida Atlantic last year (38-24)
UTSA beat Florida Atlantic in 2023 (36-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 79° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: UTSA | FAU
Depth Chart: UTSA | FAU
Rosters: UTSA | FAU

(#87) Florida Atlantic Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.46 #87
Offense Rating: 11.82 #112
Defense Rating: 9.58 #67
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #80
Talent Rating: 482.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10

Team Profile

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UTSA's OC Justin Burke

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Eddie Lee Marburger	22	40	55%	234	2	3	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Robert Henry	130	706	7	5.4	88
Eddie Lee Marburger	9	33	0	3.7	9
Chris Carpenter	4	22	0	5.5	14
Oscar Cardenas	1	0	0	0.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Carpenter	39	479	1	12.3	69
Robert Henry	21	199	1	9.5	61
Oscar Cardenas	13	141	3	10.8	35

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elliott Davison (Tr)	58	0	0	0	4
Jamal Ligon	46	7	3	4	3
Donyai Taylor	40	6	2	4	3
Trey Moore	36	11	7	6	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Moore	36	11	7	6	1
Brandon Brown	29	9	4	1	0
Jamal Ligon	46	7	3	4	3
Donyai Taylor	40	6	2	4	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Zah Frazier	24	1	1	9
Elliott Davison (Tr)	58	0	0	4
Dywan Griffin	4	0	0	3

Florida Atlantic's OC Charlie Frye

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kasen Weisman	39	73	53%	416	2	3	5.7
Michael Johnson Jr.	2	3	67%	31	0	0	10.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kasen Weisman	15	71	1	4.7	17
Tony Johnson	2	13	0	6.5	13
Donovan Giles	2	8	0	4.0	12
LaJohntay Wester	1	0	0	0.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LaJohntay Wester	74	931	10	12.6	69
Tony Johnson	49	452	6	9.2	23
Donovan Giles	8	123	1	15.4	37
Elijah Brown (Tr)	1	22	0	22.0	22

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

Florida Atlantic's DC Roc Bellantoni

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eddie Williams	51	7	0	2	1
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)	41	2	0	0	1
Decarius Hawthorne	39	10	3	3	2
Courtney McBride	39	11	5	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Courtney McBride	39	11	5	3	0
Decarius Hawthorne	39	10	3	3	2
Marlon Bradley	14	5	2	1	0
Latrell Jean	21	5	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daedae Hill	27	1	0	0	5
Chris Jones	34	8	1	5	4
Michal Antoine Jr.	19	1	0	0	3