East Carolina at Florida Atlantic - 2023 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at Florida Atlantic OwlsFlorida Atlantic logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (4:00 PM EST)
Florida Atlantic -7.5 (44.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
East Carolina 22 - Florida Atlantic: 7  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Houston (22 - 27)
Avg Score : 17 - 22 (16 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FAU is playing their 6th straight game
ECU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Florida Atlantic -7   (SP+ FAU -3)

Projected Score: ECU: 18 - FAU: 25 (43)
FAU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ECU Travel: 657 miles
Owls (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Tom Herman (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (16 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 East Carolina at Michigan+36.053.5L 3 - 30UY
Sat 9/9 East Carolina vs Marshall+3.043.5L 13 - 31ON
Sat 9/16 East Carolina at App State+7.548.5L 28 - 43ON
Sat 9/23 East Carolina vs Gardner-Webb-13.051.0W 44 - 0UY
Sat 9/30 East Carolina at Rice+3.547.0L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12 East Carolina vs SMU+11.548.5L 10 - 31UN
Sat 10/21 East Carolina vs Charlotte-6.039.5L 7 - 10UN
Sat 10/28 East Carolina at UTSA+17.548.0L 27 - 41OY
Sat 11/4 East Carolina vs Tulane+17.046.0L 10 - 13UY
Sat 11/11 East Carolina at Florida Atlantic+7.544.5W 22 - 7UY
Sat 11/18 East Carolina at Navy+2.530.5L 0 - 10UN
Sat 11/25 East Carolina vs Tulsa-4.544.5L 27 - 29ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Florida Atlantic vs Monmouth-26.556.0W 42 - 20ON
Sat 9/9 Florida Atlantic vs Ohio-3.561.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 Florida Atlantic at Clemson+25.051.5L 14 - 48ON
Sat 9/23 Florida Atlantic at Illinois+16.045.5L 17 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa-3.054.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 10/14 Florida Atlantic at South Florida+3.061.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 10/21 Florida Atlantic vs UTSA+2.558.5L 10 - 36UN
Fri 10/27 Florida Atlantic at Charlotte-3.545.5W 38 - 16OY
Sat 11/4 Florida Atlantic at UAB+1.059.5L 42 - 45ON
Sat 11/11 Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina-7.544.5L 7 - 22UN
Sat 11/18 Florida Atlantic vs Tulane+9.546.5L 8 - 24UN
Sat 11/25 Florida Atlantic at Rice+5.046.5L 21 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#132 (.02)33% (132)17.335% (128)2.85 (111)11232% (130)1642.62 (129)#40 (.14)34% (6)22.430% (2)39% (37)2.84 (8)54.31.81.3
FAU#108 (.12)39% (107)23.843% (73)3.33 (26)11537% (104)2163.72 (83)#77 (.19)43% (85)25.541% (51)46% (122)3.44 (39)33.31.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
FAU#80 (.17)39% (108)40% (107)3.15 (48)18939% (99)2093.19 (122)#90 (.21)41% (54)43% (72)38% (39)3.72 (62)51.61.51.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1217.316.233.3%2.621.8152761121643.546%53%35%32%20%.02
FAU Defense1225.522.743.2%3.441.5 - - - - - 51%48%41%46%15%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1222.425.834.3%2.841.3 - - - - - 51%48%30%39%20%.14
FAU Offense1223.816.239.1%3.721.4183311152163.843%55%43%37%20%.12

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1228:5915.130%35%5.854.31.81.36.91.5230.6
Florida Atlantic1227:2417.934%38%3.433.31.41.56.92.3331.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1246% (98)35% (128)32.2111.73.512 (116).03 (123)2.85 (111)71% (90)12% (108)0.97 (87)
FAU Defense1251% (84)41% (51) - - - - .08 (30)3.26 (102)76% (92)11% (52)0.81 (7)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1251% (88)30% (2) - - - - -.01 (13)2.53 (7)74% (76)13% (8)1.19 (124)
FAU Offense1243% (109)43% (73)30.8115.33.816 (89).16 (67)3.33 (26)72% (85)12% (113)1.01 (59)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1253% (37)32% (130)17.332.3163.95.19.57 (129)14 (107).05 (129)1.5 (92)38% (133)22% (129).11 (127)8% (116)2.1 (55)
FAU Defense1248% (49)46% (122) - - - - - - 10 (67).36 (111)1.6 (57)34% (42)32% (97).34 (81)4% (125)1.9 (33)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1248% (55)39% (37) - - - - - - 6 (120).32 (100)1.8 (126)38% (6)33% (107).43 (116)6% (53)2.2 (98)
FAU Offense1255% (27)37% (104)22.134.3215.56.39.819 (78)15 (116).16 (105)1.5 (106)34% (110)24% (125).11 (125)8% (125)2 (102)

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -9.62 #117
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 4.42 #132
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 4.62 #25
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
East Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50
East Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #111
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #126
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -9.62   Florida Atlantic: -4.46

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -13.3   Florida Atlantic: -9.9




Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -4.46 #87
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 11.82 #112
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 9.58 #67
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #108
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 17.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.2
Defense: 22.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

East Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Florida Atlantic 25
East Carolina 18


Total Points: 43

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 16.2
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 5 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/07East Carolina49Florida Atlantic14East CarolinaEast Carolina -5.5East Carolina58.5Over
202311/11Florida Atlantic7East Carolina22East CarolinaFlorida Atlantic -7.5East Carolina44.5Under
201309/05East Carolina31Florida Atlantic13East CarolinaEast Carolina -15East Carolina0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida Atlantic001 Overs
East Carolina331 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 21 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#117) East Carolina Info
Power Rating: -9.62 #117
Offense Rating: 4.42 #132
Defense Rating: 4.62 #25
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50


East Carolina has lost 5 straight
East Carolina has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

East Carolina Highlights
East Carolina has a really good defense (#34)
East Carolina defense is really good in red zone (#20)
East Carolina has a good run defense (#44)
East Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#5)
East Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#15)
East Carolina Front 7 is disruptive (#3)

East Carolina Deficiencies
East Carolina has a really bad Offense
East Carolina Can Not Run the Ball (#86)
East Carolina throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
East Carolina offense is really bad (#73)
East Carolina offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#66)
East Carolina run game is really bad (#132)
East Carolina pass game is really bad (#23)
East Carolina offense is bad on 3rd Downs
East Carolina does not Sack the QB (#31)
East Carolina gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#91)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatFAUECU
OverallOver#64#106
OffenseOff#80#115
DefenseDef#51#57
Special TeamsST#65#72
PassingPass#32#97
RushingRush#81#65
Run BlockRBLK#66#87
Pass BlockPBLK#46#117
Route RunningWR Rt#83#114
TacklingTkl#25#12
Run DefenseR Def#54#34
Pass Rush DefPRush#79#82
Coverage DefCov#56#87

Rematch from Week 11
Florida Atlantic -7.5 (44.5)
East Carolina won at Florida Atlantic this year (22-7)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Florida Atlantic last year (49-14)
East Carolina beat Florida Atlantic in 2023 (22-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ECU | FAU
Depth Chart: ECU | FAU
Rosters: ECU | FAU
(#87) Florida Atlantic Info
Power Rating: -4.46 #87
Offense Rating: 11.82 #112
Defense Rating: 9.58 #67
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #80
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10


Florida Atlantic has lost 1 straight
Florida Atlantic has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (0 - 5 - 1 vs Spread)

Florida Atlantic Highlights
Florida Atlantic has a top Offensive Line (#109)
Florida Atlantic does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#48)

Florida Atlantic defense does not give up big plays (#104)
Florida Atlantic commits very few Penalties (#91)

Florida Atlantic Deficiencies
Florida Atlantic has a really bad Offense at Home
Florida Atlantic Can Not Run the Ball (#93)
Florida Atlantic throws a Lot of Interceptions (#136)
Florida Atlantic offense is really bad (#62)
Florida Atlantic pass game is really bad (#72)
Florida Atlantic offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Florida Atlantic Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)
Florida Atlantic has a bad defensive line (#10)


  
East Carolina's OC Donnie Kirkpatrick
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alex Flinn15929055%15586125.4
Mason Garcia489551%408124.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahjai Harris12948553.850
Mason Garcia5022724.557
Javious Bond4122115.439
Alex Flinn9717801.821
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Sowell (Tr)47622113.245
Jaylen Johnson45466210.439
Jsi Hatfield27341112.639
Jhari Patterson2013706.930

View East Carolina's Full Roster
East Carolina's DC Blake Harrell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Julius Wood873011
Michael Edwards III588110
BJ Davis576026
Shavon Revel554106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Anta Johnson339410
Chad Stephens3912440
Jeremy Lewis409361
J.D. Lampley166221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
BJ Davis576026
Shavon Revel554106
Teylor Jackson515134

Florida Atlantic's OC Charlie Frye
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Daniel Richardson (Tr)20831865%200113106.3
Casey Thompson (Tr)507963%509556.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Larry McCammon III14968154.640
Kobe Lewis (Tr)8440634.875
Michael Johnson Jr.2314076.127
Zuberi Mobley226202.811
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
LaJohntay Wester1081168810.876
Tony Johnson36406411.372
Je'Quan Burton24277211.539
Larry McCammon III2520508.255

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster
Florida Atlantic's DC Roc Bellantoni
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Ambush827110
Jarron Morris (Tr)736006
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)615302
Darius McClendon605012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Decarius Hawthorne177540
Marlon Bradley214320
Courtney McBride217321
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)615302
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jarron Morris (Tr)736006
Daedae Hill331004
Romain Mungin322003