Florida Atlantic at Charlotte - 2023 Matchup Preview
Florida Atlantic logo   Florida Atlantic Owls at Charlotte 49ers  Charlotte logo
Friday, October 27th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Florida Atlantic -3.5 (45.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Florida Atlantic 38 - Charlotte: 16  (American Athletic)

 
Owls (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Tom Herman (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (22 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FAU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Florida Atlantic -8.5  (SP+ FAU -12)
Projected Score: FAU: 30 - CHAR: 21 (51)
FAU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
FAU Travel: 618 miles
49ers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Biff Poggi (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (17 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Florida Atlantic vs Monmouth-26.556.0W 42 - 20ON
Sat 9/9 Florida Atlantic vs Ohio-3.561.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 Florida Atlantic at Clemson+25.051.5L 14 - 48ON
Sat 9/23 Florida Atlantic at Illinois+16.045.5L 17 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa-3.054.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 10/14 Florida Atlantic at South Florida+3.061.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 10/21 Florida Atlantic vs UTSA+2.558.5L 10 - 36UN
Fri 10/27 Florida Atlantic at Charlotte-3.545.5W 38 - 16OY
Sat 11/4 Florida Atlantic at UAB+1.059.5L 42 - 45ON
Sat 11/11 Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina-7.544.5L 7 - 22UN
Sat 11/18 Florida Atlantic vs Tulane+9.546.5L 8 - 24UN
Sat 11/25 Florida Atlantic at Rice+5.046.5L 21 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule
Charlotte's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Charlotte vs South Carolina State-24.044.5W 24 - 3UN
Sat 9/9 Charlotte at Maryland+24.550.0L 20 - 38OY
Sat 9/16 Charlotte vs Georgia State+6.552.0L 25 - 41ON
Sat 9/23 Charlotte at Florida+28.048.5L 7 - 22UY
Sat 9/30 Charlotte at SMU+22.553.0L 16 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Charlotte vs Navy+3.544.0L 0 - 14UN
Sat 10/21 Charlotte at East Carolina+6.039.5W 10 - 7UY
Fri 10/27 Charlotte vs Florida Atlantic+3.545.5L 16 - 38ON
Sat 11/4 Charlotte at Tulsa+4.547.5W 33 - 26OY
Sat 11/11 Charlotte vs Memphis+9.551.5L 38 - 44OY
Sat 11/18 Charlotte vs Rice-0.546.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 11/25 Charlotte at South Florida+7.556.5L 14 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FAU.2645%29.547%3.2918444%2264.16.2445%36.344%47%4.08581.11.9
CHAR.1647%14.347%3.1911649%2714.07.3549%36.348%51%4.1158.51.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FAU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CHAR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FAU Offense1229.521.845.1%4.161.1224101842264.552%47%47%44%16%.26
CHAR Defense1236.335.748.7%4.111.3 - - - - - 56%42%48%51%13%.35
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FAU Defense1236.337.245.2%4.081.9 - - - - - 49%50%44%47%18%.24
CHAR Offense1214.317.247%4.071.8213871162713.742%56%47%49%17%.16

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic1228:502243%57%6.2581.11.94.31.6328.3
Charlotte1229:3221.240%35%6.758.51.81.34.91.4030.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FAU Offense1252%47%41184.24.519.223.2961%9%1
CHAR Defense1256%48% - - - - .253.2973%9%1.07
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FAU Defense1249%44% - - - - .213.1974%10%1.04
CHAR Offense1242%47%30.9115.83.713.093.1966%10%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FAU Offense1247%44%18.131.5226.37.212.5255.331.730%36%.526%2.2
CHAR Defense1242%51% - - - - - - 9.561.727%37%.744%2.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FAU Defense1250%47% - - - - - - 12.331.630%39%.529%2.1
CHAR Offense1256%49%21.435.8271.27.612.72714.311.529%33%.418%2.2

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -4.02  #87
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 11.82  #112
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 9.58  #67
2023 Talent Rating: 582.59  #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9  #104
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5  #108
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1  #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -4.02   Charlotte: -15.34

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -9.9   Charlotte: -22.1




Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -15.34  #128
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 6.97  #130
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 10.44  #77
2023 Talent Rating: 554.96  #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Charlotte's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Charlotte's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1  #130
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.3  #128
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #113

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.2

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida Atlantic 30
Charlotte 21

Projected Total Points: 51
Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.2
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Charlotte's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Florida Atlantic27Charlotte39Charlotte -3Charlotte49.5Over
202310/27Charlotte16Florida Atlantic38Florida Atlantic -3.5Florida Atlantic45.5Over
202208/27Florida Atlantic43Charlotte13Florida Atlantic -7.0Florida Atlantic60.0Under
202110/21Charlotte9Florida Atlantic38Florida Atlantic -6.5Florida Atlantic58.0Under
202010/03Florida Atlantic21Charlotte17Florida Atlantic -5Charlotte63.0Under
201909/28Charlotte27Florida Atlantic45Florida Atlantic -2.5Florida Atlantic63.5Over
201811/24Florida Atlantic24Charlotte27Florida Atlantic -16.5Charlotte54.5Under
201711/25Charlotte12Florida Atlantic31Florida Atlantic -24.5Charlotte65.0Under
201610/09Florida Atlantic23Charlotte28Florida Atlantic -15Charlotte62.0Under
201509/26Charlotte7Florida Atlantic17Florida Atlantic -9.5Florida Atlantic65.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Charlotte353 Overs
Florida Atlantic757 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 82 - 81 - 31 - 5
Road Teams8 - 28 - 25 - 13 - 1

(#87) FAU at (#128) CHAR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFAUCHAR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #87 #128
SP+SP+ #104 #130
Perf GradeGrade #79 #120
OffenseOff #92 #124
DefenseDef #60 #88
Spec TeamsST #81 #29
TalentTal #71 #79
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Florida Atlantic on Offense
CategoryCat
FAU OffCHAR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #92 #88
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #112 #77
SP+SP+ #108 #113
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida Atlantic Run Game
CategoryCat
FAU OffCHAR Def
Run GameRun #113 #112
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #88 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #83
Florida Atlantic Pass Game
CategoryCat
FAU OffCHAR Def
Pass GamePass #42 #18
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #53 #86
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Charlotte on Offense
CategoryCatCHAR OffFAU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #124 #60
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #130 #67
SP+SP+ #128 #80
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Charlotte Run Game
CategoryCat
CHAR OffFAU Def
Run GameRun #111 #62
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #70 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #27
Charlotte Pass Game
CategoryCatCHAR OffFAU Def
Pass GamePass #128 #71
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #120 #102
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CHAR 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Poor G5

FAU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Florida Atlantic 3.5 (45.5)
Florida Atlantic won at Charlotte this year (38-16)

Previous Matchups
Charlotte beat Florida Atlantic in 2024 (39-27)
Florida Atlantic beat Charlotte in 2023 (38-16)

  
FAU's OC Charlie Frye (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Daniel Richardson (Tr)20831865%200113106.3
Casey Thompson (Tr)507963%509556.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Larry McCammon III14968154.640
Kobe Lewis (Tr)8440634.875
Michael Johnson Jr.2314076.127
Zuberi Mobley226202.811
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
LaJohntay Wester1081168810.876
Tony Johnson36406411.372
Je'Quan Burton24277211.539
Larry McCammon III2520508.255

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Roc Bellantoni (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Ambush827110
Jarron Morris (Tr)736006
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)615302
Darius McClendon605012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Decarius Hawthorne177540
Marlon Bradley214320
Courtney McBride217321
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)615302
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jarron Morris (Tr)736006
Daedae Hill331004
Romain Mungin322003

CHAR's OC Mike Miller (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trexler Ivey11220355%12634106.2
Jalon Jones6710962%646245.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalon Jones11047644.358
Terron Kellman8232814.018
Hahsaun Wilson5432236.034
Shadrick Byrd6021103.518
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jairus Mack25453218.151
Colin Weber34362010.645
Jack Hestera28349312.537
Duane Thomas Jr.24244010.251

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Ryan Osborn (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Demetrius Knight II896204
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)719203
Dontae Balfour (Tr)5410010
Eyabi Anoma4810691
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eyabi Anoma4810691
Demon Clowney314340
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)719203
Jaren Handy276211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontae Balfour (Tr)5410010
Demetrius Knight II896204
Dontez Fagan213004