Florida Atlantic at Charlotte - 2023 Matchup Preview

Florida Atlantic Owls at Charlotte 49ers

Friday, October 27th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Florida Atlantic -3.5 (45.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida Atlantic 38 - Charlotte: 16 (American Athletic)

Owls (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Tom Herman (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (31 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FAU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Florida Atlantic -8.5 (SP+ FAU -12)
Projected Score: FAU: 27 - CHAR: 18 (45)
FAU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
FAU Travel: 618 miles

49ers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Biff Poggi (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (18 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FAU Players
CHAR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Florida Atlantic vs Monmouth	-26.5	56.0	W 42 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/9	Florida Atlantic vs Ohio	-3.5	61.5	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Florida Atlantic at Clemson	+25.0	51.5	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/23	Florida Atlantic at Illinois	+16.0	45.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa	-3.0	54.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/14	Florida Atlantic at South Florida	+3.0	61.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Florida Atlantic vs UTSA	+2.5	58.5	L 10 - 36	U	N
Fri 10/27	Florida Atlantic at Charlotte	-3.5	45.5	W 38 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Florida Atlantic at UAB	+1.0	59.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/11	Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina	-7.5	44.5	L 7 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Florida Atlantic vs Tulane	+9.5	46.5	L 8 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/25	Florida Atlantic at Rice	+5.0	46.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Charlotte's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Charlotte vs South Carolina State	-24.0	44.5	W 24 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	Charlotte at Maryland	+24.5	50.0	L 20 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Charlotte vs Georgia State	+6.5	52.0	L 25 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/23	Charlotte at Florida	+28.0	48.5	L 7 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Charlotte at SMU	+22.5	53.0	L 16 - 34	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Charlotte vs Navy	+3.5	44.0	L 0 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/21	Charlotte at East Carolina	+6.0	39.5	W 10 - 7	U	Y
Fri 10/27	Charlotte vs Florida Atlantic	+3.5	45.5	L 16 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Charlotte at Tulsa	+4.5	47.5	W 33 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Charlotte vs Memphis	+9.5	51.5	L 38 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Charlotte vs Rice	-0.5	46.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/25	Charlotte at South Florida	+7.5	56.5	L 14 - 48	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	#108 (.12)	39% (107)	23.8	43% (73)	3.33 (26)	115	37% (104)	216	3.72 (83)	#77 (.19)	43% (85)	25.5	41% (51)	46% (122)	3.44 (39)	33.3	1.4	1.5
CHAR	#126 (.05)	35% (131)	17.5	37% (125)	2.91 (104)	145	33% (128)	168	2.84 (127)	#55 (.16)	41% (50)	28.6	41% (50)	41% (57)	4 (87)	58.6	1.8	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	#80 (.17)	39% (108)		40% (107)	3.15 (48)	189	39% (99)	209	3.19 (122)	#90 (.21)	41% (54)		43% (72)	38% (39)	3.72 (62)	51.6	1.5	1.6
CHAR	#116 (.1)	37% (122)		39% (110)	2.75 (113)	119	35% (120)	224	3.9 (70)	#113 (.25)	45% (107)		48% (111)	42% (83)	3.87 (81)	65.3	1.8	1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Offense	12	23.8	31.3	39.1%	3.72	1.4	18	331	115	216	3.8	43%	55%	43%	37%	20%	.12
CHAR Defense	12	28.6	28	40.6%	4	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	41%	41%	15%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Defense	12	25.5	28.3	43.2%	3.44	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	41%	46%	15%	.19
CHAR Offense	12	17.5	18.3	34.6%	2.84	1.8	17	313	145	168	3.8	54%	44%	37%	33%	18%	.05

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic	12	27:24	17.9	34%	38%	3.4	33.3	1.4	1.5	6.9	2.3	3	31.7
Charlotte	12	32:17	16.8	24%	54%	6.9	58.6	1.8	1.4	5	1.6	2	28.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Offense	12	43% (109)	43% (73)	30.8	115.3	3.8	16 (89)	.16 (67)	3.33 (26)	72% (85)	12% (113)	1.01 (59)
CHAR Defense	12	53% (111)	41% (50)	-	-	-	-	.13 (59)	2.97 (42)	61% (14)	9% (97)	1.01 (76)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Defense	12	51% (84)	41% (51)	-	-	-	-	.08 (30)	3.26 (102)	76% (92)	11% (52)	0.81 (7)
CHAR Offense	12	54% (34)	37% (125)	38.7	145	3.8	16 (89)	.13 (81)	2.91 (104)	66% (114)	12% (115)	1.15 (9)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Offense	12	55% (27)	37% (104)	22.1	34.3	215.5	6.3	9.8	19 (78)	15 (116)	.16 (105)	1.5 (106)	34% (110)	24% (125)	.11 (125)	8% (125)	2 (102)
CHAR Defense	12	46% (23)	41% (57)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.28 (73)	1.6 (72)	31% (82)	31% (85)	.28 (49)	6% (88)	1.9 (23)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Defense	12	48% (49)	46% (122)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.36 (111)	1.6 (57)	34% (42)	32% (97)	.34 (81)	4% (125)	1.9 (33)
CHAR Offense	12	44% (103)	33% (128)	15.5	27.3	167.8	6.1	10.8	7 (129)	16 (121)	.02 (133)	1.5 (83)	36% (123)	22% (128)	.11 (126)	6% (53)	2 (83)

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -4.02 #87
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 11.82 #112
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 9.58 #67
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #108
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -4.02 Charlotte: -15.34

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -9.9 Charlotte: -22.1

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -15.34 #128
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 6.97 #130
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Charlotte's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Charlotte's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1 #130
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #128
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #113

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Florida Atlantic 27
Charlotte 18

Total Points: 45

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida Atlantic 24
Charlotte 12

Total Points: 36

Based on Entire Season
Florida Atlantic 28
Charlotte 23

Total Points: 51

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 17.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.3
Defense: 28.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 28

Charlotte's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Florida Atlantic	27	Charlotte	39	Charlotte -3	Charlotte	49.5	Over
2023	10/27	Charlotte	16	Florida Atlantic	38	Florida Atlantic -3.5	Florida Atlantic	45.5	Over
2022	08/27	Florida Atlantic	43	Charlotte	13	Florida Atlantic -7.0	Florida Atlantic	60.0	Under
2021	10/21	Charlotte	9	Florida Atlantic	38	Florida Atlantic -6.5	Florida Atlantic	58.0	Under
2020	10/03	Florida Atlantic	21	Charlotte	17	Florida Atlantic -5	Charlotte	63.0	Under
2019	09/28	Charlotte	27	Florida Atlantic	45	Florida Atlantic -2.5	Florida Atlantic	63.5	Over
2018	11/24	Florida Atlantic	24	Charlotte	27	Florida Atlantic -16.5	Charlotte	54.5	Under
2017	11/25	Charlotte	12	Florida Atlantic	31	Florida Atlantic -24.5	Charlotte	65.0	Under
2016	10/09	Florida Atlantic	23	Charlotte	28	Florida Atlantic -15	Charlotte	62.0	Under
2015	09/26	Charlotte	7	Florida Atlantic	17	Florida Atlantic -9.5	Florida Atlantic	65.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Charlotte	3	5	3 Overs
Florida Atlantic	7	5	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 8	2 - 8	1 - 3	1 - 5
Road Teams	8 - 2	8 - 2	5 - 1	3 - 1

(#87) FAU at (#128) CHAR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FAU	CHAR
Power RatePwr	#87	#128
SP+SP+	#104	#130
Perf GradeGrade	#79	#120
OffenseOff	#92	#124
DefenseDef	#60	#88
Spec TeamsST	#81	#29
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Florida Atlantic Injury Report

Charlotte Injury Report

Florida Atlantic on Offense


CategoryCat	FAU Off	CHAR Def
Perf GradePerf	#92	#88
SuccessSuc	#107	#50
ExplosiveExp	#87	#64
PPAPPA	#108	#55
PowerPwr	#112	#77
SP+SP+	#108	#113
Pts POPPO	#83	#87
HavocHav	#125	#100

Florida Atlantic Run Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	CHAR Def
Run GameRun	#113	#112
Run SuccessRSuc	#73	#50
Run ExplRExp	#59	#76
PPAExp	#67	#59
Run BlockR Blk	#88	-
OL YdsOLY	#26	#42
Stuff RateStuff	#7	#30
TackleTak	-	#83

Florida Atlantic Pass Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	CHAR Def
Pass GamePass	#42	#18
Pass SuccessPSuc	#104	#57
Pass ExplPExl	#106	#72
PPAExp	#105	#73
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#53	#86
F7 HavocF7	#113	#97
DB HavocDB	#125	#88

Charlotte on Offense


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	FAU Def
Perf GradePerf	#124	#60
SuccessSuc	#131	#85
ExplosiveExp	#53	#21
PPAPPA	#126	#77
PowerPwr	#130	#67
SP+SP+	#128	#80
Pts POPPO	#127	#39
HavocHav	#96	#93

Charlotte Run Game


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	#111	#62
Run SuccessRSuc	#125	#51
Run ExplRExp	#9	#7
PPAExp	#81	#30
Run BlockR Blk	#70	-
OL YdsOLY	#104	#102
Stuff RateStuff	#127	#127
TackleTak	-	#27

Charlotte Pass Game


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	#128	#71
Pass SuccessPSuc	#128	#122
Pass ExplPExl	#83	#57
PPAExp	#133	#111
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#120	#102
F7 HavocF7	#115	#52
DB HavocDB	#53	#125

Program Comparison
CHAR 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

FAU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 72°

Rematch from Week 9
Florida Atlantic 3.5 (45.5)
Florida Atlantic won at Charlotte this year (38-16)

Previous Matchups
Charlotte beat Florida Atlantic last year (39-27)
Florida Atlantic beat Charlotte in 2023 (38-16)
Florida Atlantic beat Charlotte in 2022 (43-13)

FAU's OC Charlie Frye (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Daniel Richardson (Tr)	208	318	65%	2001	13	10	6.3
Casey Thompson (Tr)	50	79	63%	509	5	5	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Larry McCammon III	149	681	5	4.6	40
Kobe Lewis (Tr)	84	406	3	4.8	75
Michael Johnson Jr.	23	140	7	6.1	27
Zuberi Mobley	22	62	0	2.8	11

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LaJohntay Wester	108	1168	8	10.8	76
Tony Johnson	36	406	4	11.3	72
Je'Quan Burton	24	277	2	11.5	39
Larry McCammon III	25	205	0	8.2	55

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Roc Bellantoni (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Ambush	82	7	1	1	0
Jarron Morris (Tr)	73	6	0	0	6
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)	61	5	3	0	2
Darius McClendon	60	5	0	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Decarius Hawthorne	17	7	5	4	0
Marlon Bradley	21	4	3	2	0
Courtney McBride	21	7	3	2	1
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)	61	5	3	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jarron Morris (Tr)	73	6	6
Daedae Hill	33	1	4
Romain Mungin	32	2	3

CHAR's OC Mike Miller (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Trexler Ivey	112	203	55%	1263	4	10	6.2
Jalon Jones	67	109	62%	646	2	4	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalon Jones	110	476	4	4.3	58
Terron Kellman	82	328	1	4.0	18
Hahsaun Wilson	54	322	3	6.0	34
Shadrick Byrd	60	211	0	3.5	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jairus Mack	25	453	2	18.1	51
Colin Weber	34	362	0	10.6	45
Jack Hestera	28	349	3	12.5	37
Duane Thomas Jr.	24	244	0	10.2	51

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Ryan Osborn (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Demetrius Knight II	89	6	2	0	4
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	71	9	2	0	3
Dontae Balfour (Tr)	54	1	0	0	10
Eyabi Anoma	48	10	6	9	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eyabi Anoma	48	10	6	9	1
Demon Clowney	31	4	3	4	0
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	71	9	2	0	3
Jaren Handy	27	6	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Dontae Balfour (Tr)	54	1	0	10
Demetrius Knight II	89	6	2	4
Dontez Fagan	21	3	0	4