Charlotte at East Carolina - 2023 Matchup Preview
Charlotte logo Charlotte 49ers at East Carolina PiratesEast Carolina logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
East Carolina -6 (39.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Charlotte 10 - East Carolina: 7  (American Athletic)

 
49ers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Biff Poggi (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (17 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ECU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: East Carolina -9   (SP+ ECU -9)

Projected Score: CHAR: 16 - ECU: 25 (41)
ECU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
CHAR Travel: 191 miles
Pirates (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Houston (22 - 27)
Avg Score : 17 - 22 (19 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Charlotte's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Charlotte vs South Carolina State-24.044.5W 24 - 3UN
Sat 9/9 Charlotte at Maryland+24.550.0L 20 - 38OY
Sat 9/16 Charlotte vs Georgia State+6.552.0L 25 - 41ON
Sat 9/23 Charlotte at Florida+28.048.5L 7 - 22UY
Sat 9/30 Charlotte at SMU+22.553.0L 16 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Charlotte vs Navy+3.544.0L 0 - 14UN
Sat 10/21 Charlotte at East Carolina+6.039.5W 10 - 7UY
Fri 10/27 Charlotte vs Florida Atlantic+3.545.5L 16 - 38ON
Sat 11/4 Charlotte at Tulsa+4.547.5W 33 - 26OY
Sat 11/11 Charlotte vs Memphis+9.551.5L 38 - 44OY
Sat 11/18 Charlotte vs Rice-0.546.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 11/25 Charlotte at South Florida+7.556.5L 14 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule
East Carolina's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 East Carolina at Michigan+36.053.5L 3 - 30UY
Sat 9/9 East Carolina vs Marshall+3.043.5L 13 - 31ON
Sat 9/16 East Carolina at App State+7.548.5L 28 - 43ON
Sat 9/23 East Carolina vs Gardner-Webb-13.051.0W 44 - 0UY
Sat 9/30 East Carolina at Rice+3.547.0L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12 East Carolina vs SMU+11.548.5L 10 - 31UN
Sat 10/21 East Carolina vs Charlotte-6.039.5L 7 - 10UN
Sat 10/28 East Carolina at UTSA+17.548.0L 27 - 41OY
Sat 11/4 East Carolina vs Tulane+17.046.0L 10 - 13UY
Sat 11/11 East Carolina at Florida Atlantic+7.544.5W 22 - 7UY
Sat 11/18 East Carolina at Navy+2.530.5L 0 - 10UN
Sat 11/25 East Carolina vs Tulsa-4.544.5L 27 - 29ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CHAR#126 (.05)35% (131)17.537% (125)2.91 (104)14533% (128)1682.84 (127)#55 (.16)41% (50)28.641% (50)41% (57)4 (87)58.61.81.4
ECU#132 (.02)33% (132)17.335% (128)2.85 (111)11232% (130)1642.62 (129)#40 (.14)34% (6)22.430% (2)39% (37)2.84 (8)54.31.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CHAR#116 (.1)37% (122)39% (110)2.75 (113)11935% (120)2243.9 (70)#113 (.25)45% (107)48% (111)42% (83)3.87 (81)65.31.81
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CHAR Offense1217.516.734.6%2.841.8173131451683.854%44%37%33%18%.05
ECU Defense1222.41934.3%2.841.3 - - - - - 51%48%30%39%20%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CHAR Defense1228.629.240.6%41.4 - - - - - 53%46%41%41%15%.16
ECU Offense1217.318.533.3%2.621.8152761121643.546%53%35%32%20%.02

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Charlotte1232:1716.824%54%6.958.61.81.451.6228.8
East Carolina1228:5915.130%35%5.854.31.81.36.91.5230.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CHAR Offense1254% (34)37% (125)38.71453.816 (89).13 (81)2.91 (104)66% (114)12% (115)1.15 (9)
ECU Defense1251% (88)30% (2) - - - - -.01 (13)2.53 (7)74% (76)13% (8)1.19 (124)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CHAR Defense1253% (111)41% (50) - - - - .13 (59)2.97 (42)61% (14)9% (97)1.01 (76)
ECU Offense1246% (98)35% (128)32.2111.73.512 (116).03 (123)2.85 (111)71% (90)12% (108)0.97 (87)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CHAR Offense1244% (103)33% (128)15.527.3167.86.110.87 (129)16 (121).02 (133)1.5 (83)36% (123)22% (128).11 (126)6% (53)2 (83)
ECU Defense1248% (55)39% (37) - - - - - - 6 (120).32 (100)1.8 (126)38% (6)33% (107).43 (116)6% (53)2.2 (98)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CHAR Defense1246% (23)41% (57) - - - - - - 11 (53).28 (73)1.6 (72)31% (82)31% (85).28 (49)6% (88)1.9 (23)
ECU Offense1253% (37)32% (130)17.332.3163.95.19.57 (129)14 (107).05 (129)1.5 (92)38% (133)22% (129).11 (127)8% (116)2.1 (55)

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -13.58 #128
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 6.97 #130
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Charlotte's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Charlotte's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1 #130
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #128
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #113

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -13.58   East Carolina: -8.96

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -22.1   East Carolina: -13.3




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -8.96 #117
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 4.42 #132
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 4.62 #25
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
East Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50
East Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #111
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #126
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 17.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.7
Defense: 28.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.2

Charlotte's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 25
Charlotte 16


Total Points: 41

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 17.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.5
Defense: 22.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 19

East Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Charlotte55East Carolina24CharlotteEast Carolina -9.5Charlotte47.5Over
202310/21East Carolina7Charlotte10CharlotteEast Carolina -6Charlotte39.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina001 Overs
Charlotte221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#128) Charlotte Info
Power Rating: -13.58 #128
Offense Rating: 6.97 #130
Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #128
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #113
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60


Charlotte has lost 5 straight
Charlotte has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (5 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Charlotte Highlights
Charlotte Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#118)

Charlotte Deficiencies
Charlotte has a really bad Offense
Charlotte has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Charlotte Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Charlotte throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Charlotte offense is really bad (#65)
Charlotte Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#104)
Charlotte offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#108)
Charlotte run game is really bad (#91)
Charlotte pass game is really bad (#42)
Charlotte offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Charlotte does not Sack the QB (#80)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatECUCHAR
OverallOver#106#99
OffenseOff#115#106
DefenseDef#57#67
Special TeamsST#72#28
PassingPass#97#108
RushingRush#65#80
Run BlockRBLK#87#55
Pass BlockPBLK#117#104
Route RunningWR Rt#114#92
TacklingTkl#12#73
Run DefenseR Def#34#95
Pass Rush DefPRush#82#68
Coverage DefCov#87#15

Rematch from Week 8
East Carolina -6.0 (39.5)
Charlotte won at East Carolina this year (10-7)

Previous Matchups
Charlotte beat East Carolina last year (55-24)
Charlotte beat East Carolina in 2023 (10-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CHAR | ECU
Depth Chart: CHAR | ECU
Rosters: CHAR | ECU
(#117) East Carolina Info
Power Rating: -8.96 #117
Offense Rating: 4.42 #132
Defense Rating: 4.62 #25
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50


East Carolina has lost 2 straight
East Carolina has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 5 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

East Carolina Highlights
East Carolina has a really good defense (#34)
East Carolina defense is really good in red zone (#20)
East Carolina has a good run defense (#44)
East Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#5)
East Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#15)
East Carolina Front 7 is disruptive (#3)

East Carolina Deficiencies
East Carolina has a really bad Offense
East Carolina has a really bad Offense at Home
East Carolina Can Not Run the Ball (#86)
East Carolina throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
East Carolina offense is really bad (#73)
East Carolina offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#66)
East Carolina run game is really bad (#132)
East Carolina pass game is really bad (#23)
East Carolina offense is bad on 3rd Downs
East Carolina does not Sack the QB (#31)
East Carolina gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#91)


  
Charlotte's OC Mike Miller
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trexler Ivey11220355%12634106.2
Jalon Jones6710962%646245.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalon Jones11047644.358
Terron Kellman8232814.018
Hahsaun Wilson5432236.034
Shadrick Byrd6021103.518
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jairus Mack25453218.151
Colin Weber34362010.645
Jack Hestera28349312.537
Duane Thomas Jr.24244010.251

View Charlotte's Full Roster
Charlotte's DC Ryan Osborn
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Demetrius Knight II896204
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)719203
Dontae Balfour (Tr)5410010
Eyabi Anoma4810691
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eyabi Anoma4810691
Demon Clowney314340
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)719203
Jaren Handy276211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontae Balfour (Tr)5410010
Demetrius Knight II896204
Dontez Fagan213004

East Carolina's OC Donnie Kirkpatrick
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alex Flinn15929055%15586125.4
Mason Garcia489551%408124.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahjai Harris12948553.850
Mason Garcia5022724.557
Javious Bond4122115.439
Alex Flinn9717801.821
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Sowell (Tr)47622113.245
Jaylen Johnson45466210.439
Jsi Hatfield27341112.639
Jhari Patterson2013706.930

View East Carolina's Full Roster
East Carolina's DC Blake Harrell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Julius Wood873011
Michael Edwards III588110
BJ Davis576026
Shavon Revel554106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Anta Johnson339410
Chad Stephens3912440
Jeremy Lewis409361
J.D. Lampley166221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
BJ Davis576026
Shavon Revel554106
Teylor Jackson515134