Charlotte at East Carolina Game Matchup

Charlotte 49ers at East Carolina Pirates

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
East Carolina -6 (39.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Charlotte 10 - East Carolina: 7 (American Athletic)

49ers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Biff Poggi (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (23 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ECU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: East Carolina -9 (SP+ ECU -9)
Projected Score: CHAR: 20 - ECU: 29 (60)
ECU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
CHAR Travel: 191 miles

Pirates (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Houston (22 - 27)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (36 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CHAR Players
ECU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Charlotte's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Charlotte vs South Carolina State	-24.0	44.5	W 24 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	Charlotte at Maryland	+24.5	50.0	L 20 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Charlotte vs Georgia State	+6.5	52.0	L 25 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/23	Charlotte at Florida	+28.0	48.5	L 7 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Charlotte at SMU	+22.5	53.0	L 16 - 34	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Charlotte vs Navy	+3.5	44.0	L 0 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/21	Charlotte at East Carolina	+6.0	39.5	W 10 - 7	U	Y
Fri 10/27	Charlotte vs Florida Atlantic	+3.5	45.5	L 16 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Charlotte at Tulsa	+4.5	47.5	W 33 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Charlotte vs Memphis	+9.5	51.5	L 38 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Charlotte vs Rice	-0.5	46.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/25	Charlotte at South Florida	+7.5	56.5	L 14 - 48	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule

East Carolina's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	East Carolina at Michigan	+36.0	53.5	L 3 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/9	East Carolina vs Marshall	+3.0	43.5	L 13 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/16	East Carolina at App State	+7.5	48.5	L 28 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/23	East Carolina vs Gardner-Webb	-13.0	51.0	W 44 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/30	East Carolina at Rice	+3.5	47.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12	East Carolina vs SMU	+11.5	48.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/21	East Carolina vs Charlotte	-6.0	39.5	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/28	East Carolina at UTSA	+17.5	48.0	L 27 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/4	East Carolina vs Tulane	+17.0	46.0	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/11	East Carolina at Florida Atlantic	+7.5	44.5	W 22 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/18	East Carolina at Navy	+2.5	30.5	L 0 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/25	East Carolina vs Tulsa	-4.5	44.5	L 27 - 29	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CHAR	.16	47%	23.7	47%	3.19	116	49%	271	4.07	.35	49%	35.1	48%	51%	4.11	58.5	1.8	1.3
ECU	.28	45%	32	45%	3.08	171	45%	290	3.84	.24	45%	27.3	42%	48%	4.14	37.6	0.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CHAR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ECU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CHAR Offense	12	23.7	23.2	47%	4.07	1.8	21	387	116	271	3.7	42%	56%	47%	49%	17%	.16
ECU Defense	13	27.3	21	45.1%	4.14	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	39%	59%	42%	48%	18%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CHAR Defense	12	35.1	36.8	48.7%	4.11	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	56%	42%	48%	51%	13%	.35
ECU Offense	13	32	36	45%	3.84	0.5	23	461	171	290	5.2	46%	54%	45%	45%	17%	.28

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Charlotte	12	29:32	21.2	40%	35%	6.7	58.5	1.8	1.3	4.9	1.4	0	30.7
East Carolina	13	31:11	22.5	46%	45%	4.3	37.6	0.5	1.5	5.4	1.8	2	30

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CHAR Offense	12	42%	47%	30.9	115.8	3.7	13	.09	3.19	66%	10%	0.98
ECU Defense	13	39%	42%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.83	59%	11%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CHAR Defense	12	56%	48%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.29	73%	9%	1.07
ECU Offense	13	46%	45%	32.5	170.6	5.2	25	.21	3.08	68%	9%	1.13

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CHAR Offense	12	56%	49%	21.4	35.8	271.2	7.6	12.7	27	14	.31	1.5	29%	33%	.41	8%	2.2
ECU Defense	13	59%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.39	1.5	31%	36%	.4	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CHAR Defense	12	42%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.56	1.7	27%	37%	.74	4%	2.6
ECU Offense	13	54%	45%	24.8	37.2	290.5	7.8	11.7	28	5	.35	1.5	32%	34%	.49	8%	2.1

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -13.58 #128
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 6.97 #130
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
2023 Talent Rating: 396.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Charlotte's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Charlotte's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1 #130
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #128
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #113

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -13.58 East Carolina: -8.96

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -22.1 East Carolina: -13.3

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -8.96 #117
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 4.42 #132
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 4.62 #25
2023 Talent Rating: 566.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
East Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50
East Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #111
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #126
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 35.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.8

Charlotte's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
East Carolina 29
Charlotte 20

Projected Total Points: 60

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

East Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/05	Charlotte	55	East Carolina	24	Charlotte	East Carolina -9.5	Charlotte	47.5	Over
2023	10/21	East Carolina	7	Charlotte	10	Charlotte	East Carolina -6	Charlotte	39.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
East Carolina	0	0	1 Overs
Charlotte	2	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

(#128) Charlotte Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.58 #128
Offense Rating: 6.97 #130
Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #128
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #113
Talent Rating: 396.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60

Team Profile

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Charlotte Ratings Matchup East Carolina

Power #128

#117

Off #130

#132

Def #77

#25

Talent #115

#79

SP+ #130

#111

SP+ Off #128

#126

SP+ Def #113

#81

Rematch from Week 8
East Carolina -6.0 (39.5)
Charlotte won at East Carolina this year (10-7)

Previous Matchups
Charlotte beat East Carolina last year (55-24)
Charlotte beat East Carolina in 2023 (10-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 68° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: CHAR | ECU
Depth Chart: CHAR | ECU
Rosters: CHAR | ECU

(#117) East Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.96 #117
Offense Rating: 4.42 #132
Defense Rating: 4.62 #25
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81
Talent Rating: 566.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50

Team Profile

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Charlotte's OC Mike Miller

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Trexler Ivey	34	59	58%	326	3	2	5.5
Steven Johnson	3	3	100%	33	0	0	11.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Durell Robinson	107	731	8	6.8	68
Jaden Bradley (Tr)	1	6	0	6.0	6
Jack Hestera	1	4	0	4.0	4
Trexler Ivey	4	3	0	0.8	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sean Brown	35	470	1	13.4	42
Jack Hestera	24	340	4	14.2	32
Bryce Kennon	17	173	1	10.2	42
Jaden Bradley (Tr)	9	173	1	19.2	42

View Charlotte's Full Roster

Charlotte's DC Ryan Osborn

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Demetrius Knight II	82	8	2	0	1
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	79	12	2	2	4
Dontez Fagan	37	0	0	0	3
Treyveon McGee	33	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	79	12	2	2	4
Demetrius Knight II	82	8	2	0	1
Miguel Jackson	12	2	2	0	0
Brian Bates Jr.	2	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	79	12	2	2	4
Dontez Fagan	37	0	0	0	3
Michael Kelly	21	1	0	0	2

East Carolina's OC Donnie Kirkpatrick

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
David Chapeau	1	1	100%	23	0	0	23.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rahjai Harris	206	1166	11	5.7	86
Gerald Green (Tr)	111	545	3	4.9	51
Jhari Patterson	7	91	0	13.0	30
Ryan King (Tr)	1	-3	0	-3.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jhari Patterson	33	281	1	8.5	27
Tyler Savage	14	193	1	13.8	34
Ryan King (Tr)	13	151	0	11.6	27
Gerald Green (Tr)	9	134	1	14.9	83

View East Carolina's Full Roster

East Carolina's DC Blake Harrell

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyquan King (Tr)	111	6	3	6	0
Omar Rogers (Tr)	105	6	1	2	2
Michael Edwards III	75	9	1	2	4
Devon King	46	0	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Elijah Morris	31	6	4	2
Tyquan King (Tr)	111	6	3	6
Chad Stephens	36	4	1	1
Suirad Ware	21	3	1	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Edwards III	75	9	1	2	4
Antoine Jackson	13	1	0	0	3
Shavon Revel	8	1	0	0	2