East Carolina at UTSA - 2023 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at UTSA RoadrunnersUTSA logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
UT San Antonio -17.5 (48.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
UTSA 41 - East Carolina: 27  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Houston (22 - 27)
Avg Score : 17 - 22 (16 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UTSA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UTSA -17   (SP+ UTSA -18)

Projected Score: ECU: 16 - UTSA: 33 (49)
UTSA Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
ECU Travel: 1299 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Roadrunners (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (31 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 24 (36 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#32)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 East Carolina at Michigan+36.053.5L 3 - 30UY
Sat 9/9 East Carolina vs Marshall+3.043.5L 13 - 31ON
Sat 9/16 East Carolina at App State+7.548.5L 28 - 43ON
Sat 9/23 East Carolina vs Gardner-Webb-13.051.0W 44 - 0UY
Sat 9/30 East Carolina at Rice+3.547.0L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12 East Carolina vs SMU+11.548.5L 10 - 31UN
Sat 10/21 East Carolina vs Charlotte-6.039.5L 7 - 10UN
Sat 10/28 East Carolina at UTSA+17.548.0L 27 - 41OY
Sat 11/4 East Carolina vs Tulane+17.046.0L 10 - 13UY
Sat 11/11 East Carolina at Florida Atlantic+7.544.5W 22 - 7UY
Sat 11/18 East Carolina at Navy+2.530.5L 0 - 10UN
Sat 11/25 East Carolina vs Tulsa-4.544.5L 27 - 29ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
UTSA's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 UTSA at Houston-2.559.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 9/9 UTSA vs Texas State-13.566.5W 20 - 13UN
Fri 9/15 UTSA vs Army-7.042.0L 29 - 37ON
Sat 9/23 UTSA at Tennessee+24.059.0L 14 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 UTSA at Temple-14.056.0W 49 - 34OY
Sat 10/14 UTSA vs UAB-9.067.0W 41 - 20UY
Sat 10/21 UTSA at Florida Atlantic-2.558.5W 36 - 10UY
Sat 10/28 UTSA vs East Carolina-17.548.0W 41 - 27ON
Sat 11/4 UTSA at North Texas-7.571.0W 37 - 29UY
Sat 11/11 UTSA vs Rice-13.553.5W 34 - 14UY
Fri 11/17 UTSA vs South Florida-14.565.5W 49 - 21OY
Fri 11/24 UTSA at Tulane+2.551.5L 16 - 29UN
Tue 12/19 UTSA vs Marshall-7.047.0W 35 - 17OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#132 (.02)33% (132)17.335% (128)2.85 (111)11232% (130)1642.62 (129)#40 (.14)34% (6)22.430% (2)39% (37)2.84 (8)54.31.81.3
UTSA#45 (.23)42% (66)31.941% (89)3 (88)17244% (49)2504.45 (24)#35 (.14)37% (21)24.138% (26)38% (25)3.77 (65)51.21.71.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1217.316.233.3%2.621.8152761121643.546%53%35%32%20%.02
UTSA Defense1324.12237.4%3.771.3 - - - - - 47%52%38%38%20%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1222.425.834.3%2.841.3 - - - - - 51%48%30%39%20%.14
UTSA Offense1331.935.742.2%4.451.7234221722504.351%49%41%44%15%.23

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1228:5915.130%35%5.854.31.81.36.91.5230.6
UTSA1330:0822.647%58%5.651.21.71.37.63.5129
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1246% (98)35% (128)32.2111.73.512 (116).03 (123)2.85 (111)71% (90)12% (108)0.97 (87)
UTSA Defense1347% (27)38% (26) - - - - .12 (52)2.86 (27)83% (114)12% (14)1.14 (118)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1251% (88)30% (2) - - - - -.01 (13)2.53 (7)74% (76)13% (8)1.19 (124)
UTSA Offense1351% (62)41% (89)39.7171.84.327 (29).18 (48)3 (88)81% (14)9% (45)1.13 (13)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1253% (37)32% (130)17.332.3163.95.19.57 (129)14 (107).05 (129)1.5 (92)38% (133)22% (129).11 (127)8% (116)2.1 (55)
UTSA Defense1352% (101)38% (25) - - - - - - 10 (67).23 (44)1.6 (70)35% (28)24% (6).18 (13)8% (11)2.4 (130)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1248% (55)39% (37) - - - - - - 6 (120).32 (100)1.8 (126)38% (6)33% (107).43 (116)6% (53)2.2 (98)
UTSA Offense1349% (72)44% (49)22.334.3249.87.311.225 (37)14 (107).31 (58)1.6 (60)32% (71)35% (27).46 (28)6% (64)2.2 (35)

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -9.62 #117
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 4.42 #132
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 4.62 #25
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
East Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50
East Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #111
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #126
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -9.62   UTSA: 5.32

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -13.3   UTSA: 4.2




UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 5.32 #55
UTSA's Offense Rating: 18.48 #51
UTSA's Defense Rating: 7.49 #43
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UTSA's 2023 Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40
UTSA's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.2 #49
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 17.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.2
Defense: 22.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

East Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 33
East Carolina 16


Total Points: 49

UTSA Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

UTSA's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28East Carolina30UTSA20East CarolinaEast Carolina -2East Carolina53.5Under
202310/28UTSA41East Carolina27UTSAUT San Antonio -17.5East Carolina48.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTSA101 Overs
East Carolina121 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#117) East Carolina Info
Power Rating: -9.62 #117
Offense Rating: 4.42 #132
Defense Rating: 4.62 #25
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50


East Carolina has lost 3 straight
East Carolina has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

East Carolina Highlights
East Carolina has a really good defense (#34)
East Carolina defense is really good in red zone (#20)
East Carolina has a good run defense (#44)
East Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#5)
East Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#15)
East Carolina Front 7 is disruptive (#3)

East Carolina Deficiencies
East Carolina has a really bad Offense
East Carolina Can Not Run the Ball (#86)
East Carolina throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
East Carolina offense is really bad (#73)
East Carolina offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#66)
East Carolina run game is really bad (#132)
East Carolina pass game is really bad (#23)
East Carolina offense is bad on 3rd Downs
East Carolina does not Sack the QB (#31)
East Carolina gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#91)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUTSAECU
OverallOver#52#106
OffenseOff#49#115
DefenseDef#58#57
Special TeamsST#98#72
PassingPass#57#97
RushingRush#27#65
Run BlockRBLK#64#87
Pass BlockPBLK#90#117
Route RunningWR Rt#24#114
TacklingTkl#83#12
Run DefenseR Def#49#34
Pass Rush DefPRush#21#82
Coverage DefCov#91#87

Rematch from Week 9
UTSA -17.5 (48.0)
UTSA won vs East Carolina this year (41-27)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat UTSA last year (30-20)
UTSA beat East Carolina in 2023 (41-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ECU | UTSA
Depth Chart: ECU | UTSA
Rosters: ECU | UTSA
(#55) UTSA Info
Power Rating: 5.32 #55
Offense Rating: 18.48 #51
Defense Rating: 7.49 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.2 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40


UTSA has won 3 straight
UTSA has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

UTSA Highlights
UTSA offense is explosive (#11)
UTSA offense is good in red zone (#37)
UTSA offense is good on 3rd downs
UTSA Defense Sacks the QB a lot

UTSA has a really good defense (#77)
UTSA has a good run defense (#54)
UTSA has a good pass defense (#101)
UTSA Defensive Line is very good (#19)
UTSA Front 7 is disruptive (#74)
UTSA Secondary is very good (#41)

UTSA Deficiencies
UTSA has a bad TO Margin (#1)
UTSA throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
UTSA gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#130)


  
East Carolina's OC Donnie Kirkpatrick
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alex Flinn15929055%15586125.4
Mason Garcia489551%408124.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahjai Harris12948553.850
Mason Garcia5022724.557
Javious Bond4122115.439
Alex Flinn9717801.821
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Sowell (Tr)47622113.245
Jaylen Johnson45466210.439
Jsi Hatfield27341112.639
Jhari Patterson2013706.930

View East Carolina's Full Roster
East Carolina's DC Blake Harrell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Julius Wood873011
Michael Edwards III588110
BJ Davis576026
Shavon Revel554106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Anta Johnson339410
Chad Stephens3912440
Jeremy Lewis409361
J.D. Lampley166221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
BJ Davis576026
Shavon Revel554106
Teylor Jackson515134

UTSA's OC Justin Burke
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Frank Harris21833665%25061887.5
Owen McCown (Tr)435874%442437.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevorian Barnes14771564.944
Robert Henry127588114.643
Rocko Griffin (Tr)9148365.369
Frank Harris8632343.840
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Joshua Cephus8911511012.984
Tykee Ogle-Kellogg33575717.446
Devin Mccuin42546313.072
Oscar Cardenas3228028.828

View UTSA's Full Roster
UTSA's DC Jess Loepp
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ken Robinson652014
Jamal Ligon627151
Martavius French615243
Rashad Wisdom612204
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Moore45181433
Brandon Matterson146550
Jimmori Robinson40115102
Nick Booker-Brown187313
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameryn Alexander (Tr)3421115
Nicktroy Fortune261029
Ken Robinson652014