East Carolina at UTSA Game Matchup

East Carolina Pirates at UTSA Roadrunners

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
UT San Antonio -17.5 (48.0) (0) Open: 0.0
UTSA 41 - East Carolina: 27 (American Athletic)

Pirates (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Houston (22 - 27)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (29 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Shower Predicted
UTSA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UTSA -17 (SP+ UTSA -18)
Projected Score: ECU: 19 - UTSA: 36 (61)
UTSA Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
ECU Travel: 1299 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Roadrunners (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (31 - 12)
Avg Score : 33 - 30 (43 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#32)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ECU Players
UTSA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

East Carolina's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	East Carolina at Michigan	+36.0	53.5	L 3 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/9	East Carolina vs Marshall	+3.0	43.5	L 13 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/16	East Carolina at App State	+7.5	48.5	L 28 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/23	East Carolina vs Gardner-Webb	-13.0	51.0	W 44 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/30	East Carolina at Rice	+3.5	47.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12	East Carolina vs SMU	+11.5	48.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/21	East Carolina vs Charlotte	-6.0	39.5	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/28	East Carolina at UTSA	+17.5	48.0	L 27 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/4	East Carolina vs Tulane	+17.0	46.0	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/11	East Carolina at Florida Atlantic	+7.5	44.5	W 22 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/18	East Carolina at Navy	+2.5	30.5	L 0 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/25	East Carolina vs Tulsa	-4.5	44.5	L 27 - 29	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule

UTSA's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UTSA at Houston	-2.5	59.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/9	UTSA vs Texas State	-13.5	66.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
Fri 9/15	UTSA vs Army	-7.0	42.0	L 29 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/23	UTSA at Tennessee	+24.0	59.0	L 14 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	UTSA at Temple	-14.0	56.0	W 49 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/14	UTSA vs UAB	-9.0	67.0	W 41 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/21	UTSA at Florida Atlantic	-2.5	58.5	W 36 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/28	UTSA vs East Carolina	-17.5	48.0	W 41 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/4	UTSA at North Texas	-7.5	71.0	W 37 - 29	U	Y
Sat 11/11	UTSA vs Rice	-13.5	53.5	W 34 - 14	U	Y
Fri 11/17	UTSA vs South Florida	-14.5	65.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Fri 11/24	UTSA at Tulane	+2.5	51.5	L 16 - 29	U	N
Tue 12/19	UTSA vs Marshall	-7.0	47.0	W 35 - 17	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU	.28	45%	32	45%	3.08	171	45%	290	3.84	.24	45%	27.3	42%	48%	4.14	37.6	0.5	1.5
UTSA	.31	49%	33.2	46%	3.41	176	53%	300	4.28	.16	36%	30.1	34%	38%	3.18	62.6	1.4	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UTSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Offense	13	32	29	45%	3.84	0.5	23	461	171	290	5.2	46%	54%	45%	45%	17%	.28
UTSA Defense	14	30.1	21.7	35.8%	3.18	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	34%	38%	21%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Defense	13	27.3	34.7	45.1%	4.14	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	39%	59%	42%	48%	18%	.24
UTSA Offense	14	33.2	42.6	49.3%	4.28	1.4	26	476	176	300	4.5	48%	52%	46%	53%	14%	.31

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
East Carolina	13	31:11	22.5	46%	45%	4.3	37.6	0.5	1.5	5.4	1.8	2	30
UTSA	14	29:44	25.9	49%	48%	7.1	62.6	1.4	1.7	6.4	1.8	2	30.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Offense	13	46%	45%	32.5	170.6	5.2	25	.21	3.08	68%	9%	1.13
UTSA Defense	14	48%	34%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.65	67%	12%	1.24

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Defense	13	39%	42%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.83	59%	11%	0.96
UTSA Offense	14	48%	46%	38.8	175.6	4.5	28	.21	3.41	75%	9%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Offense	13	54%	45%	24.8	37.2	290.5	7.8	11.7	28	5	.35	1.5	32%	34%	.49	8%	2.1
UTSA Defense	14	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.25	1.7	36%	28%	.31	8%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Defense	13	59%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.39	1.5	31%	36%	.4	7%	2.1
UTSA Offense	14	52%	53%	24.4	35.9	300.4	8.4	12.3	34	9	.44	1.5	27%	38%	.49	6%	2

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -9.62 #117
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 4.42 #132
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 4.62 #25
2023 Talent Rating: 566.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
East Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50
East Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #111
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #126
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -9.62 UTSA: 5.32

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -13.3 UTSA: 4.2

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 5.32 #55
UTSA's Offense Rating: 18.48 #51
UTSA's Defense Rating: 7.49 #43
2023 Talent Rating: 420.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UTSA's 2023 Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40
UTSA's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.2 #49
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

East Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
UTSA 36
East Carolina 19

Projected Total Points: 61

UTSA Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.6
Defense: 30.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.7

UTSA's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	East Carolina	30	UTSA	20	East Carolina	East Carolina -2	East Carolina	53.5	Under
2023	10/28	UTSA	41	East Carolina	27	UTSA	UT San Antonio -17.5	East Carolina	48.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UTSA	1	0	1 Overs
East Carolina	1	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#117) East Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.62 #117
Offense Rating: 4.42 #132
Defense Rating: 4.62 #25
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81
Talent Rating: 566.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50

Team Profile

,
,

East Carolina Ratings Matchup UTSA

Power #117

#55

Off #132

#51

Def #25

#43

Talent #79

#109

SP+ #111

#49

SP+ Off #126

#42

SP+ Def #81

#75

Rematch from Week 9
UTSA -17.5 (48.0)
UTSA won vs East Carolina this year (41-27)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat UTSA last year (30-20)
UTSA beat East Carolina in 2023 (41-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions: Rain Shower
Temp: 89° - Wind: 9 mph
Rain: 0.008

Team Information
Injuries: ECU | UTSA
Depth Chart: ECU | UTSA
Rosters: ECU | UTSA

(#55) UTSA Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.32 #55
Offense Rating: 18.48 #51
Defense Rating: 7.49 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.2 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 420.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40

Team Profile

,
,

East Carolina's OC Donnie Kirkpatrick

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
David Chapeau	1	1	100%	23	0	0	23.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rahjai Harris	206	1166	11	5.7	86
Gerald Green (Tr)	111	545	3	4.9	51
Jhari Patterson	7	91	0	13.0	30
Ryan King (Tr)	1	-3	0	-3.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jhari Patterson	33	281	1	8.5	27
Tyler Savage	14	193	1	13.8	34
Ryan King (Tr)	13	151	0	11.6	27
Gerald Green (Tr)	9	134	1	14.9	83

View East Carolina's Full Roster

East Carolina's DC Blake Harrell

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyquan King (Tr)	111	6	3	6	0
Omar Rogers (Tr)	105	6	1	2	2
Michael Edwards III	75	9	1	2	4
Devon King	46	0	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Elijah Morris	31	6	4	2
Tyquan King (Tr)	111	6	3	6
Chad Stephens	36	4	1	1
Suirad Ware	21	3	1	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Edwards III	75	9	1	2	4
Antoine Jackson	13	1	0	0	3
Shavon Revel	8	1	0	0	2

UTSA's OC Justin Burke

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Eddie Lee Marburger	22	40	55%	234	2	3	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Robert Henry	130	706	7	5.4	88
Eddie Lee Marburger	9	33	0	3.7	9
Chris Carpenter	4	22	0	5.5	14
Oscar Cardenas	1	0	0	0.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Carpenter	39	479	1	12.3	69
Robert Henry	21	199	1	9.5	61
Oscar Cardenas	13	141	3	10.8	35

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elliott Davison (Tr)	58	0	0	0	4
Jamal Ligon	46	7	3	4	3
Donyai Taylor	40	6	2	4	3
Trey Moore	36	11	7	6	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Moore	36	11	7	6	1
Brandon Brown	29	9	4	1	0
Jamal Ligon	46	7	3	4	3
Donyai Taylor	40	6	2	4	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Zah Frazier	24	1	1	9
Elliott Davison (Tr)	58	0	0	4
Dywan Griffin	4	0	0	3