Marshall at East Carolina - 2023 Matchup Preview
Marshall logo Marshall Thundering Herd at East Carolina PiratesEast Carolina logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Marshall -3 (43.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Marshall 31 - East Carolina: 13

 
Thundering Herd (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Charles Huff (18 - 10)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 7.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Marshall -2   (SP+ MRSH -5)
Projected Score: MRSH: 23 - ECU: 21 (44)
MRSH Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
MRSH Travel: 341 miles
Pirates (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Houston (22 - 27)
Avg Score : 17 - 22 (19 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Marshall's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Marshall vs UAlbany-22.047.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 9/9 Marshall at East Carolina-3.043.5W 31 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 Marshall vs Virginia Tech-5.541.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 9/30 Marshall vs Old Dominion-14.547.0W 41 - 35ON
Sat 10/7 Marshall at NC State+6.544.0L 41 - 48ON
Sat 10/14 Marshall at Georgia State+2.053.5L 24 - 41ON
Thu 10/19 Marshall vs James Madison+5.049.0L 9 - 20UN
Sat 10/28 Marshall at Coastal Carolina-3.547.0L 6 - 34UN
Sat 11/4 Marshall at App State+3.057.5L 9 - 31UN
Sat 11/11 Marshall vs Georgia Southern+1.556.5W 38 - 33OY
Sat 11/18 Marshall at South Alabama+10.544.5L 0 - 28UN
Sat 11/25 Marshall vs Arkansas State-2.054.0W 35 - 21OY
Tue 12/19 Marshall vs UTSA+7.047.0L 17 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule
East Carolina's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 East Carolina at Michigan+36.053.5L 3 - 30UY
Sat 9/9 East Carolina vs Marshall+3.043.5L 13 - 31ON
Sat 9/16 East Carolina at App State+7.548.5L 28 - 43ON
Sat 9/23 East Carolina vs Gardner-Webb-13.051.0W 44 - 0UY
Sat 9/30 East Carolina at Rice+3.547.0L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12 East Carolina vs SMU+11.548.5L 10 - 31UN
Sat 10/21 East Carolina vs Charlotte-6.039.5L 7 - 10UN
Sat 10/28 East Carolina at UTSA+17.548.0L 27 - 41OY
Sat 11/4 East Carolina vs Tulane+17.046.0L 10 - 13UY
Sat 11/11 East Carolina at Florida Atlantic+7.544.5W 22 - 7UY
Sat 11/18 East Carolina at Navy+2.530.5L 0 - 10UN
Sat 11/25 East Carolina vs Tulsa-4.544.5L 27 - 29ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MRSH#101 (.13)39% (108)22.838% (121)2.7 (125)13341% (81)2262.7 (128)#31 (.13)38% (25)28.737% (20)40% (41)3.15 (18)58.92.21.4
ECU#132 (.02)33% (132)17.335% (128)2.85 (111)11232% (130)1642.62 (129)#40 (.14)34% (6)22.430% (2)39% (37)2.84 (8)54.31.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MRSH#60 (.21)43% (66)45% (47)3.35 (18)20340% (88)1813.93 (66)#47 (.13)40% (46)43% (75)37% (21)3.87 (79)42.50.71.5
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MRSH Offense1322.818.538.7%2.72.2183591332263.848%50%38%41%20%.13
ECU Defense1222.41934.3%2.841.3 - - - - - 51%48%30%39%20%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MRSH Defense1328.732.537.9%3.151.4 - - - - - 48%51%37%40%18%.13
ECU Offense1217.318.533.3%2.621.8152761121643.546%53%35%32%20%.02

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Marshall1329:2718.231%24%6.558.92.21.46.52.5428.1
East Carolina1228:5915.130%35%5.854.31.81.36.91.5230.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MRSH Offense1348% (86)38% (121)34.8132.73.821 (54).13 (79)2.7 (125)74% (62)13% (126)1.14 (12)
ECU Defense1251% (88)30% (2) - - - - -.01 (13)2.53 (7)74% (76)13% (8)1.19 (124)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MRSH Defense1348% (39)37% (20) - - - - .11 (43)2.81 (23)64% (23)11% (43)1.2 (126)
ECU Offense1246% (98)35% (128)32.2111.73.512 (116).03 (123)2.85 (111)71% (90)12% (108)0.97 (87)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MRSH Offense1350% (58)41% (81)20.632.7226.26.91112 (113)18 (128).19 (97)1.4 (126)34% (98)26% (105).23 (99)6% (86)2.1 (51)
ECU Defense1248% (55)39% (37) - - - - - - 6 (120).32 (100)1.8 (126)38% (6)33% (107).43 (116)6% (53)2.2 (98)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MRSH Defense1351% (91)40% (41) - - - - - - 13 (26).2 (28)1.6 (74)35% (34)30% (61).27 (46)7% (26)2.2 (107)
ECU Offense1253% (37)32% (130)17.332.3163.95.19.57 (129)14 (107).05 (129)1.5 (92)38% (133)22% (129).11 (127)8% (116)2.1 (55)

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -5.29 #91
Marshall's Offense Rating: 11.11 #118
Marshall's Defense Rating: 6.26 #33
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Marshall's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10
Marshall's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #94
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #96

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -5.29   East Carolina: -8.96

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -8.2   East Carolina: -13.3




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -8.96 #117
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 4.42 #132
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 4.62 #25
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
East Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50
East Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #111
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #126
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Marshall Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.5
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.5

Marshall's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Marshall 23
East Carolina 21


Total Points: 44

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 17.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.5
Defense: 22.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 19

East Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09East Carolina13Marshall31MarshallMarshall -3Marshall43.5Over
202109/18Marshall38East Carolina42East CarolinaMarshall -11East Carolina58.5Over
201311/29Marshall59East Carolina28MarshallMarshall -3Marshall0
201211/23East Carolina65Marshall59East Carolina
201111/26Marshall34East Carolina27Marshall
201010/23East Carolina37Marshall10East Carolina
200910/03Marshall17East Carolina21East Carolina
200811/08East Carolina19Marshall16East Carolina
200711/10Marshall26East Carolina7Marshall
200611/11East Carolina33Marshall20East Carolina
200511/19Marshall29East Carolina34East Carolina
200112/19Marshall64East Carolina61Marshall
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina712 Overs
Marshall520 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 41 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams4 - 82 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#91) Marshall Info
Power Rating: -5.29 #91
Offense Rating: 11.11 #118
Defense Rating: 6.26 #33
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #94
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #96
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10


Marshall has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )

Marshall Highlights
Marshall Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Marshall has a really good defense (#108)
Marshall defense is really good in red zone (#121)
Marshall has a good run defense (#98)
Marshall Defensive Line is very good (#57)
Marshall Secondary is very good (#88)
Marshall defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Marshall Deficiencies
Marshall has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Marshall Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Marshall Commits a Lot of Penalties (#85)
Marshall throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Marshall offense is really bad (#136)
Marshall Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#129)
Marshall offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#101)
Marshall run game is really bad (#133)
Marshall offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Marshall gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#122)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatECUMRSH
OverallOver#106#51
OffenseOff#115#95
DefenseDef#57#10
Special TeamsST#72#20
PassingPass#97#89
RushingRush#65#81
Run BlockRBLK#87#59
Pass BlockPBLK#117#35
Route RunningWR Rt#114#97
TacklingTkl#12#37
Run DefenseR Def#34#10
Pass Rush DefPRush#82#15
Coverage DefCov#87#20

Rematch from Week 2
Marshall 3.0 (43.5)
Marshall won at East Carolina this year (31-13)

Previous Matchups
Marshall beat East Carolina in 2023 (31-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MRSH | ECU
Depth Chart: MRSH | ECU
Rosters: MRSH | ECU
(#117) East Carolina Info
Power Rating: -8.96 #117
Offense Rating: 4.42 #132
Defense Rating: 4.62 #25
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50


East Carolina has lost 1 straight
Record at home: 1 - 5 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

East Carolina Highlights
East Carolina has a really good defense (#34)
East Carolina defense is really good in red zone (#20)
East Carolina has a good run defense (#44)
East Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#5)
East Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#15)
East Carolina Front 7 is disruptive (#3)

East Carolina Deficiencies
East Carolina has a really bad Offense
East Carolina has a really bad Offense at Home
East Carolina Can Not Run the Ball (#86)
East Carolina throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
East Carolina offense is really bad (#73)
East Carolina offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#66)
East Carolina run game is really bad (#132)
East Carolina pass game is really bad (#23)
East Carolina offense is bad on 3rd Downs
East Carolina does not Sack the QB (#31)
East Carolina gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#91)


  
Marshall's OC Clint Trickett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cam Fancher20230866%216211117.0
Cole Pennington6411257%695066.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rasheen Ali2121140155.464
Ethan Payne8333514.064
Cam Fancher12027342.363
Caleb McMillan121121.021
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Harrison28410114.652
DeMarcus Harris24396116.565
Caleb Coombs3931027.924
Caleb McMillan18275215.375

View Marshall's Full Roster
Marshall's DC Jason Semore
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elias Neal9311332
J.J. Roberts (Tr)742011
Owen Porter62144132
Stephen Dix Jr. (Tr)627241
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Burton428780
Elijah Alston45116142
Owen Porter62144132
Michael Green418460
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Micah Abraham3600015
Dyoni Hill5410010
Josh Moten301016

East Carolina's OC Donnie Kirkpatrick
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alex Flinn15929055%15586125.4
Mason Garcia489551%408124.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahjai Harris12948553.850
Mason Garcia5022724.557
Javious Bond4122115.439
Alex Flinn9717801.821
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Sowell (Tr)47622113.245
Jaylen Johnson45466210.439
Jsi Hatfield27341112.639
Jhari Patterson2013706.930

View East Carolina's Full Roster
East Carolina's DC Blake Harrell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Julius Wood873011
Michael Edwards III588110
BJ Davis576026
Shavon Revel554106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Anta Johnson339410
Chad Stephens3912440
Jeremy Lewis409361
J.D. Lampley166221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
BJ Davis576026
Shavon Revel554106
Teylor Jackson515134