Gardner-Webb at East Carolina - 2023 Matchup Preview

Gardner-Webb Bulldogs at East Carolina Pirates

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
East Carolina -13 (51.0) (0) Open: 0.0
East Carolina 44 - Gardner-Webb: 0

Bulldogs (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 56 (24 - 56 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WEBB coming off BYE
ECU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -9 (SP+ ECU -13)
ECU Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%

Pirates (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Houston (22 - 27)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WEBB Players
ECU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Gardner-Webb's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Gardner-Webb at App State	+22.5	51.0	L 24 - 45	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Gardner-Webb at East Carolina	+13.0	51.0	L 0 - 44	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Gardner-Webb's Schedule

East Carolina's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	East Carolina at Michigan	+36.0	53.5	L 3 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/9	East Carolina vs Marshall	+3.0	43.5	L 13 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/16	East Carolina at App State	+7.5	48.5	L 28 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/23	East Carolina vs Gardner-Webb	-13.0	51.0	W 44 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/30	East Carolina at Rice	+3.5	47.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12	East Carolina vs SMU	+11.5	48.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/21	East Carolina vs Charlotte	-6.0	39.5	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/28	East Carolina at UTSA	+17.5	48.0	L 27 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/4	East Carolina vs Tulane	+17.0	46.0	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/11	East Carolina at Florida Atlantic	+7.5	44.5	W 22 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/18	East Carolina at Navy	+2.5	30.5	L 0 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/25	East Carolina vs Tulsa	-4.5	44.5	L 27 - 29	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WEBB		0%	23.5	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	55.5	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ECU	.28	45%	32.7	45%	3.08	171	45%	290	3.84	.24	45%	20.1	42%	48%	4.14	37.6	0.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WEBB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ECU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WEBB Offense	3	23.5	23.5	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ECU Defense	13	20.1	19.8	45.1%	4.14	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	39%	59%	42%	48%	18%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WEBB Defense	3	55.5	55.5	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ECU Offense	13	32.7	36.2	45%	3.84	0.5	23	461	171	290	5.2	46%	54%	45%	45%	17%	.28

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Gardner-Webb	3	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
East Carolina	13	31:11	22.5	46%	45%	4.3	37.6	0.5	1.5	5.4	1.8	2	30

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WEBB Offense	3	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
ECU Defense	13	39%	42%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.83	59%	11%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WEBB Defense	3	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
ECU Offense	13	46%	45%	32.5	170.6	5.2	25	.21	3.08	68%	9%	1.13

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WEBB Offense	3	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ECU Defense	13	59%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.39	1.5	31%	36%	.4	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WEBB Defense	3	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ECU Offense	13	54%	45%	24.8	37.2	290.5	7.8	11.7	28	5	.35	1.5	32%	34%	.49	8%	2.1

Gardner-Webb's Power Ratings
Gardner-Webb's Power Rating: NR
Gardner-Webb's Offense Rating: NR
Gardner-Webb's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: 80.81 #177
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Gardner-Webb's 2023 Expected Record: -
Gardner-Webb's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Gardner-Webb's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Gardner-Webb's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big South Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Gardner-Webb: East Carolina: -8.96

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Gardner-Webb: East Carolina: -13.3

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -8.96 #117
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 4.42 #132
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 4.62 #25
2023 Talent Rating: 563.94 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
East Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50
East Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #111
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #126
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Gardner-Webb Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.5
Defense: 55.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 55.5

Gardner-Webb's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
East Carolina 45
Gardner-Webb 22

Projected Total Points: 67

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

East Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	East Carolina	44	Gardner-Webb	0	East Carolina -13	East Carolina	51.0	Under
2019	09/07	East Carolina	48	Gardner-Webb	9	East Carolina -31	East Carolina	58.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
East Carolina	2	2	0 Overs
Gardner-Webb	0	0	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#) WEBB at (#117) ECU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WEBB	ECU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#117
SP+SP+	NR	#111
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#127
OffenseOff	NR	#134
DefenseDef	NR	#71
Spec TeamsST	NR	#91
TalentTal	#177	#77
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#69

Gardner-Webb Injury Report

East Carolina Injury Report

Gardner-Webb on Offense


CategoryCat	WEBB Off	ECU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#71
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	#25
SP+SP+	NR	#81
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Gardner-Webb Run Game


CategoryCat	WEBB Off	ECU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#39
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#14

Gardner-Webb Pass Game


CategoryCat	WEBB Off	ECU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#107
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#107
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

East Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	ECU Off	WEBB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#134	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#132	NR
SP+SP+	#126	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

East Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	WEBB Def
Run GameRun	#92	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#114	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

East Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	WEBB Def
Pass GamePass	#115	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#135	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

WEBB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
East Carolina -13.0 (51.0)
East Carolina won vs Gardner-Webb this year (44-0)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Gardner-Webb in 2023 (44-0)

WEBB's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Matthew Caldwell	8	11	73%	85	1	0	7.7
Ephraim Floyd	1	1	100%	70	1	0	70.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayden Brown	32	262	2	8.2	49
Matthew Caldwell	2	64	0	32.0	50
Maleek Huggins	2	35	0	17.5	19
Jaylen King	2	6	0	3.0	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Maleek Huggins	56	808	7	14.4	85
Ephraim Floyd	63	613	2	9.7	45
Caleb Borders	27	468	4	17.3	43
Hakeem Meggett	16	377	5	23.6	42

View Gardner-Webb's Full Roster

WEBB's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jecari Bryson	10	0	0	0
Jaycob Neely	8	3	1	0
Jimmy Bowdry	6	1	0	0
T.J. Jones	6	1	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jaycob Neely	8	3	1	0
Jecari Bryson	10	0	0	0
Jimmy Bowdry	6	1	0	0
T.J. Jones	6	1	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
T.J. Jones	6	1	0	1
Jecari Bryson	10	0	0	0
Jaycob Neely	8	3	1	0

ECU's OC Donnie Kirkpatrick (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Alex Flinn	159	290	55%	1558	6	12	5.4
Mason Garcia	48	95	51%	408	1	2	4.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rahjai Harris	129	485	5	3.8	50
Mason Garcia	50	227	2	4.5	57
Javious Bond	41	221	1	5.4	39
Alex Flinn	97	178	0	1.8	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chase Sowell (Tr)	47	622	1	13.2	45
Jaylen Johnson	45	466	2	10.4	39
Jsi Hatfield	27	341	1	12.6	39
Jhari Patterson	20	137	0	6.9	30

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Blake Harrell (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Julius Wood	87	3	0	1	1
Michael Edwards III	58	8	1	1	0
BJ Davis	57	6	0	2	6
Shavon Revel	55	4	1	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Anta Johnson	33	9	4	1	0
Chad Stephens	39	12	4	4	0
Jeremy Lewis	40	9	3	6	1
J.D. Lampley	16	6	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
BJ Davis	57	6	0	2	6
Shavon Revel	55	4	1	0	6
Teylor Jackson	51	5	1	3	4