Cincinnati at Arkansas - 2022 Matchup Preview

Cincinnati Bearcats at Arkansas Razorbacks

Saturday, September 3rd 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Arkansas -6.5 (54.5)
Arkansas 31 - Cincinnati: 24

Bearcats (9 - 4) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach Luke Fickell (48 - 15)
Avg Score : 29 - 21 (26 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -2 (SP+ CIN -1)
Projected Score: CIN: 30 - ARK: 26 (56)
ARK Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
CIN Travel: 569 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Razorbacks (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (12 - 11)
Avg Score : 33 - 31 (30 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CIN Players
ARK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Cincinnati's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Cincinnati at Arkansas	+6.5	54.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/10	Cincinnati vs Kennesaw State	-30
Sat 9/17	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-24.0	51.0	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/24	Cincinnati vs Indiana	-16.5	57.0	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Cincinnati at Tulsa	-10.0	59.0	W 31 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/8	Cincinnati vs South Florida	-27.0	58.5	W 28 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Cincinnati at SMU	-3.5	59.5	W 29 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/29	Cincinnati at UCF	+1.5	55.5	L 21 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/5	Cincinnati vs Navy	-18.5	43.5	W 20 - 10	U	N
Fri 11/11	Cincinnati vs East Carolina	-4.5	51.5	W 27 - 25	O	N
Sat 11/19	Cincinnati at Temple	-17.0	48.5	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Cincinnati vs Tulane	+1.0	44.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 12/17	Cincinnati vs Louisville	+2.5	38.5	L 7 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule

Arkansas's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Arkansas vs Cincinnati	-6.5	54.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Arkansas vs South Carolina	-9.0	56.0	W 44 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Arkansas vs Missouri State	-26.0	60.0	W 38 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/24	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+1.5	51.0	L 21 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/1	Arkansas vs Alabama	+17.0	61.0	L 26 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/8	Arkansas at Mississippi State	+8.0	55.5	L 17 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/15	Arkansas at BYU	+1.0	66.5	W 52 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Arkansas at Auburn	-4.0	60.0	W 41 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Arkansas vs Liberty	-14.5	61.5	L 19 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/12	Arkansas vs LSU	+5.0	59.0	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Arkansas vs Ole Miss	+0.0	67.5	W 42 - 27	O	Y
Fri 11/25	Arkansas at Missouri	-3.0	55.5	L 27 - 29	O	N
Wed 12/28	Arkansas vs Kansas	-1.5	70.5	W 55 - 53	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	.18	40%	29.2	39%	3.01	130	41%	243	3.8	.09	37%	20.6	40%	35%	3.52	64.4	1.1	1.8
ARK	.26	46%	32.5	48%	3.23	237	43%	234	4.18	.25	43%	30.6	45%	41%	3.65	55.6	1.4	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	#59 (.21)	45% (43)		44% (67)	3.03 (69)	185	45% (32)	237	3.33 (118)	#75 (.18)	42% (76)		46% (94)	39% (43)	3.51 (40)	44.4	1.5	1.2
ARK	#27 (.25)	48% (13)		52% (5)	3.23 (38)	168	44% (41)	248	3.95 (64)	#45 (.13)	42% (66)		39% (32)	44% (100)	3.31 (22)	56.3	1.7	1

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Offense	13	29.2	25.6	39.5%	3.8	1.1	19	372	130	243	4	46%	53%	39%	41%	17%	.18
ARK Defense	13	30.6	27.3	42.5%	3.65	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	45%	41%	16%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Defense	13	20.6	21.4	37.2%	3.52	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	40%	35%	20%	.09
ARK Offense	13	32.5	30	45.6%	4.18	1.4	24	471	237	234	5.1	60%	40%	48%	43%	15%	.26

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Cincinnati	13	28:14	18.5	36%	65%	7.5	64.4	1.1	1.8	6.7	2.7	3	29.2
Arkansas	13	30:22	23.9	46%	45%	6.4	55.6	1.4	1.7	5.6	3	1	31.8

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Offense	13	46%	39%	32.8	129.7	4	19	.1	3.01	68%	10%	0.96
ARK Defense	13	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	.22	3.04	76%	10%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Defense	13	54%	40%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.01	82%	13%	1.01
ARK Offense	13	60%	48%	46.6	237.3	5.1	27	.14	3.23	71%	11%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Offense	13	53%	41%	19.2	32.1	242.7	7.6	12.7	22	8	.28	1.6	35%	32%	.37	6%	1.9
ARK Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.32	1.8	34%	34%	.5	6%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Defense	13	45%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.12	1.6	34%	28%	.3	7%	2.1
ARK Offense	13	40%	43%	17.7	27.4	233.9	8.5	13.2	26	7	.46	1.9	30%	36%	.51	5%	2.1

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2022 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.1 #24
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #62
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #17

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: Arkansas: 8.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 13.1 Arkansas: 12.0

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 8.5 NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas's 2022 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.0 #29
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.3 #19
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.6
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.4

Cincinnati's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Cincinnati 30
Arkansas 26

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Cincinnati 32
Arkansas 25

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Cincinnati 28
Arkansas 26

Total Points: 54

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30
Defense: 30.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Arkansas's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	09/03	Arkansas	31	Cincinnati	24	Arkansas -6.5	Arkansas	54.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas	1	1	1 Overs
Cincinnati	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) CIN at (#) ARK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CIN	ARK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#24	#29
Perf GradeGrade	#31	#43
OffenseOff	#59	#18
DefenseDef	#19	#87
Spec TeamsST	#54	#104
TalentTal	#49	#26
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Cincinnati Injury Report

Arkansas Injury Report

Cincinnati on Offense


CategoryCat	CIN Off	ARK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#59	#87
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#62	#64
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Cincinnati Run Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	#98	#34
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#51	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#83

Cincinnati Pass Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	#25	#119
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#73	#71
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas on Offense


CategoryCat	ARK Off	CIN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#18	#19
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#19	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas Run Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	CIN Def
Run GameRun	#43	#15
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#9	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#39

Arkansas Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	CIN Def
Pass GamePass	#18	#65
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#11	#4
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Average P4

CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 85°

Rematch from Week 1
Arkansas -6.5 (54.5)
Arkansas won vs Cincinnati this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas beat Cincinnati in 2022 (31-24)

CIN's OC Gino Guidugli (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Mike Tressel (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARK's OC Kendal Briles (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Barry Odom (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD