Pittsburgh at Louisville - 2022 Matchup Preview

Pittsburgh Panthers at Louisville Cardinals

Saturday, October 22nd 2022 (8:00 PM EDT)
Louisville -1.5 (55.0)
Louisville 24 - Pittsburgh: 10 (ACC)

Panthers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (53 - 37)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (33 - 25 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

PITT coming off BYE
LOU coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ LOU -0)
Projected Score: PITT: 27 - LOU: 28 (55)
LOU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
PITT Travel: 344 miles

Cardinals (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (34 - 19 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PITT Players
LOU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Pittsburgh's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Pittsburgh vs West Virginia	-7.5	50.0	W 38 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/10	Pittsburgh vs Tennessee	+6.0	63.0	L 27 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/17	Pittsburgh at Western Michigan	-10.0	46.0	W 34 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Pittsburgh vs Rhode Island	-32.5	55.0	W 45 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/1	Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech	-21.5	47.0	L 21 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/8	Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech	-14.5	42.0	W 45 - 29	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Pittsburgh at Louisville	+1.5	55.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/29	Pittsburgh at North Carolina	+2.5	65.5	L 24 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/5	Pittsburgh vs Syracuse	-3.5	47.5	W 19 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Pittsburgh at Virginia	-5.5	41.5	W 37 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Pittsburgh vs Duke	-6.5	49.0	W 28 - 26	O	N
Sat 11/26	Pittsburgh at Miami	-5.5	43.0	W 42 - 16	O	Y
Fri 12/30	Pittsburgh vs UCLA	+9.0	55.0	W 37 - 35	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

Louisville's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Louisville at Syracuse	-6.0	55.0	L 7 - 31	U	N
Fri 9/9	Louisville at UCF	+5.5	62.0	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Fri 9/16	Louisville vs Florida State	+2.5	57.0	L 31 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/24	Louisville vs South Florida	-15.5	63.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Louisville at Boston College	-13.5	48.5	L 33 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/8	Louisville at Virginia	+1.5	47.5	W 34 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Louisville vs Pittsburgh	-1.5	55.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Louisville vs Wake Forest	+3.0	66.5	W 48 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Louisville vs James Madison	-6.5	53.0	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Louisville at Clemson	+7.0	52.0	L 16 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/19	Louisville vs NC State	-4.0	43.0	W 25 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Louisville at Kentucky	+3.5	42.5	L 13 - 26	U	N
Sat 12/17	Louisville vs Cincinnati	-2.5	38.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT	.3	48%	33.7	48%	3.17	151	48%	337	4.59	.09	40%	24.8	38%	42%	3.72	63.9	1.1	1.9
LOU	.32	44%	29.9	43%	3.27	210	45%	236	4.45	.24	42%	21.2	46%	40%	4.21	54.9	1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Offense	14	33.7	33	47.6%	4.59	1.1	26	488	151	337	4	44%	56%	48%	48%	15%	.3
LOU Defense	13	21.2	18.9	42.4%	4.21	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	46%	40%	17%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Defense	14	24.8	24.6	39.9%	3.72	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	42%	58%	38%	42%	20%	.09
LOU Offense	13	29.9	33.8	44.1%	4.45	1	21	446	210	236	5.4	56%	44%	43%	45%	14%	.32

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Pittsburgh	14	30:55	25.9	44%	68%	6.7	63.9	1.1	1.9	8.1	3.9	5	30.1
Louisville	13	30:32	21.1	40%	52%	6.2	54.9	1	1.3	6.2	2.5	3	28.6

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Offense	14	44%	48%	37.5	150.5	4	26	.19	3.17	73%	9%	0.88
LOU Defense	13	48%	46%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.27	77%	10%	1.06

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Defense	14	42%	38%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.58	56%	14%	0.89
LOU Offense	13	56%	43%	38.8	209.8	5.4	29	.25	3.27	68%	9%	1.22

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Offense	14	56%	48%	26.2	38.9	337.4	8.7	12.9	44	8	.4	1.6	29%	32%	.42	5%	2.1
LOU Defense	13	52%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.25	1.7	33%	30%	.35	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Defense	14	58%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.17	1.5	34%	29%	.26	6%	2.1
LOU Offense	13	44%	45%	17	28	236.5	8.5	13.9	21	6	.4	1.7	30%	36%	.51	5%	2.1

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Pittsburgh's 2022 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #40
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #43
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: Louisville: 7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 8.6 Louisville: 9.0

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 7 NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisville's 2022 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.0 #39
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #28

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.6

Pittsburgh's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Louisville 28
Pittsburgh 27

Projected Total Points: 55

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.9

Louisville's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Pittsburgh	27	Louisville	34	Louisville -3	Louisville	53.5	Over
2024	11/23	Louisville	37	Pittsburgh	9	Louisville -7	Louisville	57.0	Under
2023	10/14	Pittsburgh	38	Louisville	21	Louisville -7.5	Pittsburgh	44.5	Over
2022	10/22	Louisville	24	Pittsburgh	10	Louisville -1.5	Louisville	55.0	Under
2020	09/26	Pittsburgh	23	Louisville	20	Pittsburgh -3	Push	53.0	Under
2015	11/21	Pittsburgh	45	Louisville	34	Pittsburgh -1.5	Pittsburgh	48.5	Over
2012	10/13	Pittsburgh	35	Louisville	45
2011	11/12	Louisville	14	Pittsburgh	21
2010	10/30	Pittsburgh	20	Louisville	3
2009	10/02	Louisville	10	Pittsburgh	35
2008	11/08	Pittsburgh	41	Louisville	7
2007	10/27	Louisville	24	Pittsburgh	17
2006	11/25	Pittsburgh	24	Louisville	48
2005	11/03	Louisville	42	Pittsburgh	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisville	7	3	3 Overs
Pittsburgh	7	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 5	4 - 1	3 - 0	1 - 1
Road Teams	5 - 9	1 - 4	1 - 1	0 - 3

(#) PITT at (#) LOU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PITT	LOU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#40	#39
Perf GradeGrade	#12	#57
OffenseOff	#43	#68
DefenseDef	#10	#51
Spec TeamsST	#68	#114
TalentTal	#45	#60
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Pittsburgh Injury Report

Louisville Injury Report

Pittsburgh on Offense


CategoryCat	PITT Off	LOU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#43	#51
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#43	#28
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Pittsburgh Run Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	LOU Def
Run GameRun	#16	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#62	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#124

Pittsburgh Pass Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	LOU Def
Pass GamePass	#60	#99
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#63	#9
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Louisville on Offense


CategoryCat	LOU Off	PITT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#68	#10
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#65	#50
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisville Run Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	PITT Def
Run GameRun	#62	#17
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#37	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#4

Louisville Pass Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	PITT Def
Pass GamePass	#99	#5
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#40	#22
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Average P4

PITT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Louisville -1.5 (55.0)
Louisville won vs Pittsburgh this year (24-10)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Pittsburgh last year (34-27)
Louisville beat Pittsburgh in 2024 (37-9)
Pittsburgh beat Louisville in 2023 (38-21)

PITT's OC Frank Cignetti Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

LOU's OC Lance Taylor (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Bryan Brown (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD