Cincinnati at UCF - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 29th 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
UCF -1.5 (55.5)
UCF 25 - Cincinnati: 21 (American Athletic)

Bearcats (9 - 4) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach Luke Fickell (48 - 15)
Avg Score : 29 - 21 (26 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 12.4 MPH
CIN 2nd straight Road Game
UCF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ CIN -3)
Projected Score: CIN: 24 - UCF: 30 (54)
UCF Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
CIN Travel: 752 miles

Knights (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 33 - 24 (35 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CIN Players
UCF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Cincinnati's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Cincinnati at Arkansas	+6.5	54.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/10	Cincinnati vs Kennesaw State	-30
Sat 9/17	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-24.0	51.0	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/24	Cincinnati vs Indiana	-16.5	57.0	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Cincinnati at Tulsa	-10.0	59.0	W 31 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/8	Cincinnati vs South Florida	-27.0	58.5	W 28 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Cincinnati at SMU	-3.5	59.5	W 29 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/29	Cincinnati at UCF	+1.5	55.5	L 21 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/5	Cincinnati vs Navy	-18.5	43.5	W 20 - 10	U	N
Fri 11/11	Cincinnati vs East Carolina	-4.5	51.5	W 27 - 25	O	N
Sat 11/19	Cincinnati at Temple	-17.0	48.5	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Cincinnati vs Tulane	+1.0	44.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 12/17	Cincinnati vs Louisville	+2.5	38.5	L 7 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule

UCF's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	UCF vs South Carolina State	-43.5	58.5	W 56 - 10	O	Y
Fri 9/9	UCF vs Louisville	-5.5	62.0	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/17	UCF at Florida Atlantic	-7.5	61.5	W 40 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/24	UCF vs Georgia Tech	-21.0	56.5	W 27 - 10	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5	UCF vs SMU	-3.0	65.0	W 41 - 19	U	Y
Thu 10/13	UCF vs Temple	-23.5	46.5	W 70 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/22	UCF at East Carolina	-5.5	63.0	L 13 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/29	UCF vs Cincinnati	-1.5	55.5	W 25 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/5	UCF at Memphis	-3.0	60.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/12	UCF at Tulane	+1.0	54.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/19	UCF vs Navy	-14.5	53.0	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/26	UCF at South Florida	-20.0	67.5	W 46 - 39	O	N
Sat 12/3	UCF at Tulane	+3.5	57.5	L 28 - 45	O	N
Wed 12/28	UCF vs Duke	+3.5	63.0	L 13 - 30	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	.18	40%	29.2	39%	3.01	130	41%	243	3.8	.09	37%	20.6	40%	35%	3.52	64.4	1.1	1.8
UCF	.24	47%	32.9	51%	3.38	228	44%	241	4.08	.21	41%	23.6	40%	43%	3.53	46.4	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	#59 (.21)	45% (43)		44% (67)	3.03 (69)	185	45% (32)	237	3.33 (118)	#75 (.18)	42% (76)		46% (94)	39% (43)	3.51 (40)	44.4	1.5	1.2
UCF	#58 (.21)	46% (28)		52% (8)	3.62 (2)	248	38% (103)	200	3.75 (86)	#63 (.16)	40% (45)		37% (12)	42% (84)	4.37 (118)	54.4	1.6	0.9

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Offense	13	29.2	25.6	39.5%	3.8	1.1	19	372	130	243	4	46%	53%	39%	41%	17%	.18
UCF Defense	14	23.6	15.7	41.2%	3.53	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	40%	43%	16%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Defense	13	20.6	21.4	37.2%	3.52	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	40%	35%	20%	.09
UCF Offense	14	32.9	35.3	47.4%	4.08	1.5	24	469	228	241	5.2	53%	46%	51%	44%	14%	.24

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Cincinnati	13	28:14	18.5	36%	65%	7.5	64.4	1.1	1.8	6.7	2.7	3	29.2
UCF	14	30:51	24.2	46%	63%	4.9	46.4	1.5	1.5	5	1.5	2	28

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Offense	13	46%	39%	32.8	129.7	4	19	.1	3.01	68%	10%	0.96
UCF Defense	14	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.16	2.95	66%	10%	1.12

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Defense	13	54%	40%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.01	82%	13%	1.01
UCF Offense	14	53%	51%	43.9	228	5.2	35	.29	3.38	73%	10%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Offense	13	53%	41%	19.2	32.1	242.7	7.6	12.7	22	8	.28	1.6	35%	32%	.37	6%	1.9
UCF Defense	14	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.3	1.5	33%	30%	.29	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Defense	13	45%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.12	1.6	34%	28%	.3	7%	2.1
UCF Offense	14	46%	44%	20.8	32.2	241.2	7.5	11.6	22	9	.21	1.4	27%	32%	.27	4%	1.9

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2022 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.1 #24
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #62
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #17

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: UCF: 7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 13.1 UCF: 10.3

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 7.65 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2022 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #35
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #55
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #32

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.6
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.4

Cincinnati's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
UCF 30
Cincinnati 24

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
UCF 33
Cincinnati 24

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
UCF 28
Cincinnati 23

Total Points: 51

UCF Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

UCF's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Cincinnati	20	UCF	11	Cincinnati -10	UCF	55.5	Under
2024	10/12	UCF	13	Cincinnati	19	UCF -2	Cincinnati	58.0	Under
2023	11/04	Cincinnati	26	UCF	28	UCF -3.5	Cincinnati	59.5	Under
2022	10/29	UCF	25	Cincinnati	21	UCF -1.5	UCF	55.5	Under
2021	10/16	Cincinnati	56	UCF	21	Cincinnati -21.5	Cincinnati	56.0	Over
2020	11/21	UCF	33	Cincinnati	36	Cincinnati -4.5	UCF	66.0	Over
2019	10/04	Cincinnati	27	UCF	24	UCF -3.5	Cincinnati	64.0	Under
2018	11/17	UCF	38	Cincinnati	13	UCF -7.5	UCF	60.0	Under
2017	10/07	Cincinnati	23	UCF	51	UCF -15	UCF	52.5	Over
2016	11/12	UCF	24	Cincinnati	3	UCF -10	UCF	55.0	Under
2015	10/31	Cincinnati	52	UCF	7	Cincinnati -20.5	Cincinnati	61.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UCF	5	6	3 Overs
Cincinnati	6	5	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 4	8 - 3	5 - 2	3 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 7	3 - 8	1 - 3	2 - 5

(#) CIN at (#) UCF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CIN	UCF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#24	#35
Perf GradeGrade	#31	#40
OffenseOff	#59	#22
DefenseDef	#19	#80
Spec TeamsST	#54	#59
TalentTal	#49	#53
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Cincinnati Injury Report

UCF Injury Report

Cincinnati on Offense


CategoryCat	CIN Off	UCF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#59	#80
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#62	#32
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Cincinnati Run Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	UCF Def
Run GameRun	#98	#67
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#51	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#92

Cincinnati Pass Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	UCF Def
Pass GamePass	#25	#79
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#73	#104
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UCF on Offense


CategoryCat	UCF Off	CIN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#22	#19
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#55	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UCF Run Game


CategoryCat	UCF Off	CIN Def
Run GameRun	#59	#15
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#20	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#39

UCF Pass Game


CategoryCat	UCF Off	CIN Def
Pass GamePass	#32	#65
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#3	#4
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Remains Average P4

CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 84° - Wind: 12 mph

Rematch from Week 9
UCF -1.5 (55.5)
UCF won vs Cincinnati this year (25-21)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat UCF last year (19-13)
UCF beat Cincinnati in 2023 (28-26)
UCF beat Cincinnati in 2022 (25-21)

CIN's OC Gino Guidugli (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Mike Tressel (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UCF's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC David Gibbs (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD