East Carolina at Cincinnati - 2022 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at Cincinnati BearcatsCincinnati logo
Friday, November 11th 2022 (8:00 PM EST)
Cincinnati -4.5 (51.5)
Cincinnati 27 - East Carolina: 25  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Houston (14 - 19)
Avg Score : 33 - 27 (28 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CIN 2nd straight Home Game
ECU coming off BYE
CIN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ CIN -12)
Projected Score: ECU: 23 - CIN: 27 (50)
CIN Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
ECU Travel: 462 miles
Bearcats (9 - 4) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach Luke Fickell (48 - 15)
Avg Score : 29 - 21 (35 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 East Carolina vs NC State+12.552.0L 20 - 21UY
Sat 9/10 East Carolina vs Old Dominion-13.049.5W 39 - 21OY
Sat 9/17 East Carolina vs Campbell-32.558.0W 49 - 10OY
Sat 9/24 East Carolina vs Navy-16.548.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 10/1 East Carolina vs South Florida-10.055.5W 48 - 28OY
Sat 10/8 East Carolina at Tulane+2.556.0L 9 - 24UN
Sat 10/15 East Carolina vs Memphis-5.562.5W 47 - 45ON
Sat 10/22 East Carolina vs UCF+5.563.0W 34 - 13UY
Fri 10/28 East Carolina at BYU+3.064.0W 27 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/11 East Carolina at Cincinnati+4.551.5L 25 - 27OY
Sat 11/19 East Carolina vs Houston-6.066.5L 3 - 42UN
Sat 11/26 East Carolina at Temple-9.552.0W 49 - 46ON
Tue 12/27 East Carolina vs Coastal Carolina-7.067.5W 53 - 29OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Cincinnati's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Cincinnati at Arkansas+6.554.5L 24 - 31ON
Sat 9/10 Cincinnati vs Kennesaw State-30
Sat 9/17 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-24.051.0W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/24 Cincinnati vs Indiana-16.557.0W 45 - 24OY
Sat 10/1 Cincinnati at Tulsa-10.059.0W 31 - 21UN
Sat 10/8 Cincinnati vs South Florida-27.058.5W 28 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Cincinnati at SMU-3.559.5W 29 - 27UN
Sat 10/29 Cincinnati at UCF+1.555.5L 21 - 25UN
Sat 11/5 Cincinnati vs Navy-18.543.5W 20 - 10UN
Fri 11/11 Cincinnati vs East Carolina-4.551.5W 27 - 25ON
Sat 11/19 Cincinnati at Temple-17.048.5W 23 - 3UY
Fri 11/25 Cincinnati vs Tulane+1.044.0L 24 - 27ON
Sat 12/17 Cincinnati vs Louisville+2.538.5L 7 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU.2845%32.545%3.0817145%2903.84.2445%27.242%48%4.1437.60.51.5
CIN.1840%29.239%3.0113041%2433.8.0937%20.640%35%3.5264.41.11.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1332.527.545%3.840.5234611712905.246%54%45%45%17%.28
CIN Defense1320.62037.2%3.521.8 - - - - - 54%45%40%35%20%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1327.230.345.1%4.141.5 - - - - - 39%59%42%48%18%.24
CIN Offense1329.234.539.5%3.81.119372130243446%53%39%41%17%.18

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1331:1122.546%45%4.337.60.51.55.41.8230
Cincinnati1328:1418.536%65%7.564.41.11.86.72.7329.2
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1346%45%32.5170.65.225.213.0868%9%1.13
CIN Defense1354%40% - - - - .13.0182%13%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1339%42% - - - - .092.8359%11%0.96
CIN Offense1346%39%32.8129.7419.13.0168%10%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1354%45%24.837.2290.57.811.7285.351.532%34%.498%2.1
CIN Defense1345%35% - - - - - - 11.121.634%28%.37%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1359%48% - - - - - - 10.391.531%36%.47%2.1
CIN Offense1353%41%19.232.1242.77.612.7228.281.635%32%.376%1.9

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2022 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1  #68
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #51
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7  #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    Cincinnati: 9.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 1.1   Cincinnati: 13.1




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 9.05 NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Cincinnati's 2022 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.1  #24
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #62
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1  #17

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.3

East Carolina's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 27
East Carolina 23

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Cincinnati 25
East Carolina 21

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Cincinnati 30
East Carolina 25

Total Points: 55
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.5
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Cincinnati's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/11Cincinnati27East Carolina25Cincinnati -4.5East Carolina51.5Over
202111/26East Carolina13Cincinnati35Cincinnati -14.5Cincinnati56.5Under
202011/13Cincinnati55East Carolina17Cincinnati -27.5Cincinnati56.5Over
201911/02East Carolina43Cincinnati46Cincinnati -25East Carolina48.5Over
201811/23Cincinnati56East Carolina6Cincinnati -15.5Cincinnati49.5Over
201711/18East Carolina48Cincinnati20Cincinnati -4.5East Carolina67.5Over
201610/22Cincinnati31East Carolina19Cincinnati -2Cincinnati63.0Under
201511/28East Carolina16Cincinnati19Cincinnati -3NA69.0Under
201411/13Cincinnati54East Carolina46East Carolina -2.5Cincinnati0
200409/25East Carolina19Cincinnati24
200309/01Cincinnati40East Carolina3
200111/10Cincinnati26East Carolina28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati1055 Overs
East Carolina233 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 56 - 23 - 13 - 1
Road Teams5 - 72 - 61 - 31 - 3

(#) ECU at (#) CIN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUCIN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #68 #24
Perf GradeGrade #77 #31
OffenseOff #49 #59
DefenseDef #119 #19
Spec TeamsST #41 #54
TalentTal #82 #49
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
ECU OffCIN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #49 #19
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #51 #17
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffCIN Def
Run GameRun #31 #15
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #75 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #39
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffCIN Def
Pass GamePass #14 #65
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #101 #4
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCatCIN OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #59 #119
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #62 #75
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffECU Def
Run GameRun #98 #45
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #51 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #40
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCatCIN OffECU Def
Pass GamePass #25 #128
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #73 #130
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 51° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 11
Cincinnati -4.5 (51.5)
Cincinnati won vs East Carolina this year (27-25)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat East Carolina in 2022 (27-25)

  
ECU's OC Donnie Kirkpatrick (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Blake Harrell (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CIN's OC Gino Guidugli (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Mike Tressel (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD