Cincinnati at SMU - 2022 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo (#24)Cincinnati Bearcats at SMU MustangsSMU logo
Saturday, October 22nd 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -3.5 (59.5)
Cincinnati 29 - SMU: 27  (American Athletic)

 
Bearcats (9 - 4) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach Luke Fickell (48 - 15)
Avg Score : 29 - 21 (26 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.9 MPH
SMU 2nd straight Home Game
CIN coming off BYE
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ CIN -8.5)
Projected Score: CIN: 33 - SMU: 29 (62)
CIN Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
CIN Travel: 811 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Mustangs (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 34 (43 - 36 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Cincinnati at Arkansas+6.554.5L 24 - 31ON
Sat 9/10 Cincinnati vs Kennesaw State-30
Sat 9/17 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-24.051.0W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/24 Cincinnati vs Indiana-16.557.0W 45 - 24OY
Sat 10/1 Cincinnati at Tulsa-10.059.0W 31 - 21UN
Sat 10/8 Cincinnati vs South Florida-27.058.5W 28 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Cincinnati at SMU-3.559.5W 29 - 27UN
Sat 10/29 Cincinnati at UCF+1.555.5L 21 - 25UN
Sat 11/5 Cincinnati vs Navy-18.543.5W 20 - 10UN
Fri 11/11 Cincinnati vs East Carolina-4.551.5W 27 - 25ON
Sat 11/19 Cincinnati at Temple-17.048.5W 23 - 3UY
Fri 11/25 Cincinnati vs Tulane+1.044.0L 24 - 27ON
Sat 12/17 Cincinnati vs Louisville+2.538.5L 7 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
SMU's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 SMU at North Texas-9.567.5W 48 - 10UY
Sat 9/10 SMU vs Lamar-48.566.0W 45 - 16UN
Sat 9/17 SMU at Maryland+3.074.0L 27 - 34UN
Sat 9/24 SMU vs TCU+2.572.0L 34 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5 SMU at UCF+3.065.0L 19 - 41UN
Fri 10/14 SMU vs Navy-12.559.0W 40 - 34ON
Sat 10/22 SMU vs Cincinnati+3.559.5L 27 - 29UY
Sat 10/29 SMU at Tulsa-1.063.5W 45 - 34OY
Sat 11/5 SMU vs Houston-3.566.0W 77 - 63OY
Sat 11/12 SMU at South Florida-17.572.5W 41 - 23UY
Thu 11/17 SMU at Tulane+3.565.0L 24 - 59ON
Sat 11/26 SMU vs Memphis-4.569.0W 34 - 31UN
Sat 12/17 SMU vs BYU-4.565.0L 23 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN.1840%29.239%3.0113041%2433.8.0937%20.640%35%3.5264.41.11.8
SMU.2645%37.245%3.1315645%3174.58.2643%33.846%40%4.3241.71.51.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1329.225.639.5%3.81.119372130243446%53%39%41%17%.18
SMU Defense1333.835.843%4.321.7 - - - - - 54%45%46%40%13%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1320.621.437.2%3.521.8 - - - - - 54%45%40%35%20%.09
SMU Offense1337.242.844.8%4.581.5254731563174.147%52%45%45%13%.26

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1328:1418.536%65%7.564.41.11.86.72.7329.2
SMU1327:4225.548%59%4.241.71.51.74.82.1029.7
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1346%39%32.8129.7419.13.0168%10%0.96
SMU Defense1354%46% - - - - .293.2374%8%1.16
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1354%40% - - - - .13.0182%13%1.01
SMU Offense1347%45%37.8156.24.126.173.1372%9%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1353%41%19.232.1242.77.612.7228.281.635%32%.376%1.9
SMU Defense1345%40% - - - - - - 10.311.732%30%.375%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1345%35% - - - - - - 11.121.634%28%.37%2.1
SMU Offense1352%45%25.639.5316.7812.43611.371.731%35%.485%2.2

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2022 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.1  #24
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #62
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1  #17

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati:    SMU: 4.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 13.1   SMU: 4.7




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 4.85 NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
SMU's 2022 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7  #56
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.0  #10
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1  #116

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.6
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.4

Cincinnati's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 33
SMU 29

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Cincinnati 36
SMU 27

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Cincinnati 31
SMU 31

Total Points: 62
SMU Scoring
Offense: 37.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.8
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.8

SMU's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/22SMU27Cincinnati29Cincinnati -3.5SMU59.5Under
202111/20Cincinnati48SMU14Cincinnati -9.5Cincinnati65.5Under
202010/24SMU13Cincinnati42SMU -1.5Cincinnati56.5Under
201810/27SMU20Cincinnati26Cincinnati -9.5SMU50.0Under
201710/21Cincinnati28SMU31SMU -6Cincinnati66.0Under
201410/18SMU3Cincinnati41Cincinnati -14.5Cincinnati0
201311/09Cincinnati28SMU25Cincinnati -10.5SMU0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU130 Overs
Cincinnati645 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 54 - 31 - 23 - 1
Road Teams5 - 23 - 41 - 32 - 1

(#) CIN at (#) SMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCINSMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #56
Perf GradeGrade #31 #67
OffenseOff #59 #28
DefenseDef #19 #126
Spec TeamsST #54 #51
TalentTal #49 #63
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCat
CIN OffSMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #59 #126
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #62 #116
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffSMU Def
Run GameRun #98 #124
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #51 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #127
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffSMU Def
Pass GamePass #25 #100
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #73 #120
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCatSMU OffCIN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #28 #19
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #10 #17
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffCIN Def
Run GameRun #122 #15
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #32 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #39
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCatSMU OffCIN Def
Pass GamePass #22 #65
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #9 #4
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 77° - Wind: 14 mph
Rematch from Week 8
Cincinnati 3.5 (59.5)
Cincinnati won at SMU this year (29-27)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat SMU in 2022 (29-27)

  
CIN's OC Gino Guidugli (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Mike Tressel (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

SMU's OC Casey Woods (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Scott Symons (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD