Louisville at Boston College - 2022 Matchup Preview

Louisville Cardinals at Boston College Eagles

Saturday, October 1st 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Louisville -13.5 (48.5)
Boston College 34 - Louisville: 33 (ACC)

Cardinals (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 27 - 19 (21 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Predicted
BC is playing their 5th straight game
LOU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ LOU -24)
Projected Score: LOU: 26 - BC: 21 (47)
LOU Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
LOU Travel: 819 miles

Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Hafley (11 - 11)
Avg Score : 18 - 30 (25 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LOU Players
BC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisville's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Louisville at Syracuse	-6.0	55.0	L 7 - 31	U	N
Fri 9/9	Louisville at UCF	+5.5	62.0	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Fri 9/16	Louisville vs Florida State	+2.5	57.0	L 31 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/24	Louisville vs South Florida	-15.5	63.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Louisville at Boston College	-13.5	48.5	L 33 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/8	Louisville at Virginia	+1.5	47.5	W 34 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Louisville vs Pittsburgh	-1.5	55.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Louisville vs Wake Forest	+3.0	66.5	W 48 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Louisville vs James Madison	-6.5	53.0	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Louisville at Clemson	+7.0	52.0	L 16 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/19	Louisville vs NC State	-4.0	43.0	W 25 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Louisville at Kentucky	+3.5	42.5	L 13 - 26	U	N
Sat 12/17	Louisville vs Cincinnati	-2.5	38.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule

Boston College's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Boston College vs Rutgers	-8.5	47.0	L 21 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/10	Boston College at Virginia Tech	+2.5	45.0	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/17	Boston College vs Maine	-31.0	48.0	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/24	Boston College at Florida State	+18.5	48.5	L 14 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/1	Boston College vs Louisville	+13.5	48.5	W 34 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Boston College vs Clemson	+21.0	49.0	L 3 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Boston College at Wake Forest	+20.0	60.0	L 15 - 43	U	N
Sat 10/29	Boston College at UConn	-8.0	44.0	L 3 - 13	U	N
Fri 11/4	Boston College vs Duke	+11.5	47.0	L 31 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Boston College at NC State	+18.0	41.0	W 21 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Boston College at Notre Dame	+20.0	42.0	L 0 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/26	Boston College vs Syracuse	+10.5	47.0	L 23 - 32	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU	.19	41%	26.9	43%	3.18	201	41%	206	3.74	.07	40%	19.2	43%	38%	2.85	66	1.8	2.6
BC	.12	37%	17.8	36%	2.23	64	38%	247	3.25	.19	42%	30.3	44%	42%	4.28	48.5	2.2	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU	#15 (.31)	46% (26)		48% (20)	3.09 (56)	173	45% (30)	251	4.27 (31)	#73 (.18)	40% (49)		40% (44)	40% (65)	3.98 (87)	46.1	0.8	1.2
BC	#89 (.16)	41% (93)		41% (96)	2.87 (99)	164	41% (78)	176	4 (58)	#56 (.15)	42% (74)		40% (40)	44% (104)	3.64 (51)	40	1.2	1.8

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Offense	13	26.9	20.5	41.3%	3.74	1.8	20	407	201	206	5	55%	44%	43%	41%	15%	.19
BC Defense	12	30.3	28.8	42.4%	4.28	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	44%	42%	20%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Defense	13	19.2	25.5	40.3%	2.85	2.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	43%	38%	20%	.07
BC Offense	12	17.8	25	36.5%	3.25	2.2	17	311	64	247	2.1	37%	62%	36%	38%	25%	.12

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisville	13	29:54	20.3	38%	40%	6.9	66	1.8	2.6	7.2	3.7	3	30
Boston College	12	29:15	16.8	33%	44%	6	48.5	2.2	1.3	6.8	2.2	0	28.5

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Offense	13	55%	43%	39.9	201	5	25	.21	3.18	69%	10%	1.13
BC Defense	12	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.03	78%	13%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Defense	13	51%	43%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.97	60%	14%	0.92
BC Offense	12	37%	36%	30.3	64	2.1	6	-.04	2.23	68%	17%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Offense	13	44%	41%	16.8	28.3	205.5	7.3	12.3	13	12	.22	1.6	34%	31%	.37	5%	2.1
BC Defense	12	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.29	1.5	33%	30%	.37	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Defense	13	48%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.16	1.6	33%	26%	.14	6%	2.1
BC Offense	12	62%	38%	21.8	36.7	247.1	6.7	11.3	21	14	.27	1.7	38%	27%	.34	8%	2.3

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisville's 2022 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.0 #39
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #28

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: Boston College: -4.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 9.0 Boston College: -14.9

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -4.95 NR
Boston College's Offense Rating: NR
Boston College's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boston College's 2022 Expected Record: -
Boston College's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #114
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #99
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.8 #98

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 26.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.5
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Louisville's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Louisville 26
Boston College 21

Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisville 24
Boston College 20

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Louisville 27
Boston College 22

Total Points: 49

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

Boston College's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Louisville	38	Boston College	24	Louisville -25.5	Boston College	54.5	Over
2024	10/25	Boston College	27	Louisville	31	Louisville -7.0	Boston College	54.0	Over
2023	09/23	Louisville	56	Boston College	28	Louisville -14	Louisville	53.0	Over
2022	10/01	Boston College	34	Louisville	33	Louisville -13.5	Boston College	48.5	Over
2021	10/23	Louisville	28	Boston College	14	Louisville -4	Louisville	57.5	Under
2020	11/28	Boston College	34	Louisville	27	Boston College -1	Boston College	57.0	Over
2019	10/05	Louisville	41	Boston College	39	Louisville -3.5	Boston College	61.0	Over
2018	10/13	Boston College	38	Louisville	20	Boston College -11	Boston College	56.5	Over
2017	10/14	Louisville	42	Boston College	45	Louisville -20	Boston College	60.0	Over
2016	11/05	Boston College	7	Louisville	52	Louisville -24.5	Louisville	52.0	Over
2015	10/24	Louisville	17	Boston College	14	Louisville -8.5	Boston College	37.0	Under
2014	11/08	Boston College	19	Louisville	38	Louisville -2.5	Louisville	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boston College	4	8	9 Overs
Louisville	8	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 4	6 - 6	4 - 4	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 8	6 - 6	2 - 2	4 - 4

(#) LOU at (#) BC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LOU	BC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#39	#114
Perf GradeGrade	#57	#127
OffenseOff	#68	#126
DefenseDef	#51	#97
Spec TeamsST	#114	#81
TalentTal	#60	#42
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Louisville Injury Report

Boston College Injury Report

Louisville on Offense


CategoryCat	LOU Off	BC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#68	#97
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#65	#98
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisville Run Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	#62	#71
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#37	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#89

Louisville Pass Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	#99	#127
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#40	#61
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Boston College on Offense


CategoryCat	BC Off	LOU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#126	#51
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#28
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boston College Run Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	LOU Def
Run GameRun	#125	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#132	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#124

Boston College Pass Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	LOU Def
Pass GamePass	#119	#99
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#103	#9
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 56° - Wind: 10 mph
Rain: 0.051

Rematch from Week 5
Louisville 13.5 (48.5)
Boston College won vs Louisville this year (34-33)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Boston College last year (31-27)
Louisville beat Boston College in 2023 (56-28)
Boston College beat Louisville in 2022 (34-33)

LOU's OC Lance Taylor (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Bryan Brown (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BC's OC John McNulty (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tem Lukabu (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD