Navy at Cincinnati - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 5th 2022 (4:00 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -18.5 (43.5)
Cincinnati 20 - Navy: 10 (American Athletic)

Midshipmen (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (104 - 74)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (26 - 30 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NAVY is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -12.5 (SP+ CIN -20)
Projected Score: NAVY: 26 - CIN: 30 (56)
CIN Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
NAVY Travel: 430 miles

Bearcats (9 - 4) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach Luke Fickell (48 - 15)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (34 - 20 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NAVY Players
CIN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Navy's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Navy vs Delaware	-13.0	48.5	L 7 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/10	Navy vs Memphis	+4.5	47.5	L 13 - 37	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	Navy at East Carolina	+16.5	48.5	W 23 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Navy at Air Force	+14.0	38.0	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Navy vs Tulsa	+4.5	45.5	W 53 - 21	O	Y
Fri 10/14	Navy at SMU	+12.5	59.0	L 34 - 40	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Navy vs Houston	+3.0	51.0	L 20 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/29	Navy vs Temple	-14.5	41.5	W 27 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/5	Navy at Cincinnati	+18.5	43.5	L 10 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Navy vs Notre Dame	+17.0	40.5	L 32 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Navy at UCF	+14.5	53.0	W 17 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/10	Navy vs Army	-2.5	32.0	L 17 - 20	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule

Cincinnati's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Cincinnati at Arkansas	+6.5	54.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/10	Cincinnati vs Kennesaw State	-30
Sat 9/17	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-24.0	51.0	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/24	Cincinnati vs Indiana	-16.5	57.0	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Cincinnati at Tulsa	-10.0	59.0	W 31 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/8	Cincinnati vs South Florida	-27.0	58.5	W 28 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Cincinnati at SMU	-3.5	59.5	W 29 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/29	Cincinnati at UCF	+1.5	55.5	L 21 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/5	Cincinnati vs Navy	-18.5	43.5	W 20 - 10	U	N
Fri 11/11	Cincinnati vs East Carolina	-4.5	51.5	W 27 - 25	O	N
Sat 11/19	Cincinnati at Temple	-17.0	48.5	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Cincinnati vs Tulane	+1.0	44.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 12/17	Cincinnati vs Louisville	+2.5	38.5	L 7 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NAVY	.12	37%	31.5	38%	2.89	226	27%	57	3.87	.21	42%	25	41%	44%	3.87	35.2	0.7	1.3
CIN	.3	48%	30.3	50%	3.13	172	47%	241	4.56	.06	38%	25.6	41%	35%	2.87	53.9	1.4	2.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NAVY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CIN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NAVY Offense	12	31.5	25.8	36.6%	3.87	0.7	17	283	226	57	3.9	84%	15%	38%	27%	14%	.12
CIN Defense	14	25.6	19.6	38.2%	2.87	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	41%	35%	20%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NAVY Defense	12	25	30.2	42.4%	3.87	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	41%	44%	16%	.21
CIN Offense	14	30.3	34.4	48.3%	4.56	1.4	20	413	172	241	5.2	48%	52%	50%	47%	13%	.3

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Navy	12	34:47	16.7	37%	69%	4.4	35.2	0.7	1.3	5.1	1.3	2	30.5
Cincinnati	14	27:09	19.8	39%	63%	7.2	53.9	1.4	2.4	7.3	2.8	2	33.9

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense	12	84%	38%	58.1	226	3.9	19	.15	2.89	78%	13%	1.11
CIN Defense	14	54%	41%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.87	73%	13%	0.86

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense	12	54%	41%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.68	71%	11%	1.07
CIN Offense	14	48%	50%	33.1	171.9	5.2	34	.29	3.13	83%	8%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense	12	15%	27%	4	8.1	56.8	7	14.2	6	3	-.03	1.8	30%	23%	.13	1%	1.9
CIN Defense	14	46%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.07	1.6	35%	25%	.15	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense	12	46%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.32	1.6	32%	34%	.44	5%	2
CIN Offense	14	52%	47%	18.4	28.6	241.2	8.4	13.1	33	9	.31	1.5	27%	28%	.17	5%	1.8

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #233
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2022 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #94
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #106
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #47

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy: Cincinnati: 9.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: -7.2 Cincinnati: 13.1

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 9.05 NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Cincinnati's 2022 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.1 #24
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #62
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #17

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Navy's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Cincinnati 30
Navy 26

Projected Total Points: 56

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.4
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Cincinnati's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	01/02	Cincinnati	13	Navy	35	Navy -7.5	Navy	57.5	Under
2022	11/05	Cincinnati	20	Navy	10	Cincinnati -18.5	Navy	43.5	Under
2021	10/23	Navy	20	Cincinnati	27	Cincinnati -28.5	Navy	49.5	Under
2018	11/03	Cincinnati	42	Navy	0	Cincinnati -13	Cincinnati	47.0	Under
2017	09/23	Navy	42	Cincinnati	32	Navy -8.5	Navy	52.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Cincinnati	3	1	1 Overs
Navy	2	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	3 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 3	2 - 3	1 - 1	1 - 2

(#) NAVY at (#) CIN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NAVY	CIN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#94	#24
Perf GradeGrade	#109	#31
OffenseOff	#87	#59
DefenseDef	#121	#19
Spec TeamsST	#30	#54
TalentTal	#233	#49
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Navy Injury Report

Cincinnati Injury Report

Navy on Offense


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	CIN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#87	#19
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#106	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Navy Run Game


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	CIN Def
Run GameRun	#128	#15
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#41	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#39

Navy Pass Game


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	CIN Def
Pass GamePass	#112	#65
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#136	#4
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Cincinnati on Offense


CategoryCat	CIN Off	NAVY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#59	#121
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#62	#47
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Cincinnati Run Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	NAVY Def
Run GameRun	#98	#74
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#51	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#103

Cincinnati Pass Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	NAVY Def
Pass GamePass	#25	#134
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#73	#103
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Cincinnati -18.5 (43.5)
Cincinnati won vs Navy this year (20-10)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Cincinnati last year (35-13)

NAVY's OC Vacant (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC Brian Newberry (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CIN's OC Gino Guidugli (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Mike Tressel (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD